Kodi kulosera kwa IMF kwakukula kocheperako kudzathandizidwa ndi kuchuluka kwa GDP yaku UK, kodi FOMC idzasungabe mitengo pa 1.25%, ngakhale mavuto omwe dollar ikuchitika?
Lolemba IMF idasindikiza zatsopano ndi ziwonetsero zake zakukula kwapadziko lonse kwa 2017, idakonzanso kuneneratu zakukula kwa UK, kutsika kuchokera ku 2% mpaka 1.7%. Tiyenera kudziwa kuti IMF ikudziwika kuti ili ndi chiyembekezo chokhudzana ndi kukula kwapadziko lonse lapansi komanso kuti chiwonetsero chaku United Q1 cha ONS chakukula chidafika pa 0.2%, ndikusowa chiwonetsero cha circa 0.5% patali. Zomwe zikuyembekezeredwa ndikukula kwa 0.3% kwa Q2, pomwe GDP yaposachedwa imasindikizidwa Lachitatu m'mawa. Zomwe zanenedwa zikanatsimikiziridwa kuti ndizolondola, ndiye kuti akatswiri ndi omwe adzagwiritse ntchito ndalama adzaganiza mwachangu kuti kukula pachaka kudzakhala pafupifupi 1%, pamalingaliro.
Chifukwa chopanikizika kwambiri motsutsana ndi yuro posachedwa, pamene zokambirana za Brexit zikuyamba kulowa mgulu lazokambirana, kuchuluka kwakukula kwaposachedwa kwa UK GDP kotala kungapangitse magulu awiri azandalama kusuntha, mosasamala kanthu za kusindikiza. Ngati chiwerengerocho chimamenya, kuphonya kapena kubwera pa zomwe zanenedweratu, pali kuthekera kwakukulu kuti sterling angayankhe pazomwe nthawi zonse zimakhala zochitika zantchito, zomwe zikuyamba kutero, chifukwa chuma cha ku UK chikuwoneka kuti chikumva kale Zotsatira za chisankho cha Juni 2016.
FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) ndi komiti ya atsogoleri amitundu yonse ku Federal Reserves ku USA, omwe amakumana maulendo asanu ndi atatu pachaka, makamaka kwa masiku awiri, kuti akambirane ndikukhazikitsa mfundo zandalama komanso (ngati likulu bank), kuti awulule zisankho zawo, ponena za zisankho zazikulu za chiwongola dzanja. Mitengo yakwera kawiri mu 2017, mulingo waukulu tsopano ndi 1.25%. Ngakhale izi zakweza dollar idagwa motsutsana ndi anzawo ambiri ku 2017, makamaka motsutsana: Swiss franc, euro, yen, dollar ya Aussie, dollar yaku Canada ndi sterling. Wapampando wa Federal Reserve a Janet Yellen akuwoneka osadandaula ndi kugwa uku, komwe (koyambirira) kumatha kukhala kopindulitsa kwa omwe amatumiza kunja. Ndalama ndizodziwika bwino pakati pa mabanki apakati posalengeza zakukwera kwachuma, kapena kugwiritsa ntchito mitengo kuti ichotse inflation, yomwe ili pansi pa 2% pakadali pano ku USA.
Ofufuza omwe adafunsidwa ndi Bloomberg ndi Reuters ali ogwirizana pokhulupirira kuti sipadzakhala kukwezedwa komwe kudalengezedwa Lachitatu usiku. Komabe, ndi nkhani yomwe ikutsatira zisankho zomwe owunikira ambiri ndi omwe amagulitsa amayang'anitsitsa mosamala, popeza ziganizo zotsatirazi zikupereka chitsogozo, potsogolera kuwongolera kwa ndalama, zakomwe FOMC ikuyang'ana kuyendetsa chuma ku USA, yochepa mpaka sing'anga. Ndi dola yomwe idapanikizika komanso kufotokozera kwam'mbuyomu kuti FOMC ikufuna kukhazikitsa mitengo itatu mu 2017, yomalizira yomwe idakonzedweratu kumapeto kwa 2017, ndalama zizayang'ana kutchulidwe kosintha kulikonse ndikusintha mabetcha awo molingana.
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