Kodi euro idzatani ngati (monga zikuyembekezeredwa), ECB yalengeza nthawi yakuchepetsa pulogalamu yake yogulira katundu Lachinayi?
Lachinayi pa Okutobala 26, nthawi ya 11:45 GMT, banki yayikulu ku Eurozone, ECB, iulula chisankho chake pokhudzana ndi chiwongola dzanja cha banki imodzi. Mtengo wobwereketsa makiyi wapano ndi zero peresenti, ndipo ndalama zomwe zimayikidwa pansi pa zero, ndi -0.40%. Izi mwadzidzidzi zidakali cholowa chakuchepa kwachuma komwe Eurozone idadzipeza patangopita nthawi yayitali mavuto azachuma apadziko lonse lapansi a 2007/2008, kuchepa kwa ngongole zomwe zidachitika pambuyo pake ndi zina, monga; mavuto achuma ku Greece. ECB idachita nawo pulogalamu yogula katundu / ngongole kuti muchepetse kuchepa kwa ngongole.
Kuyambira Marichi 2015 mpaka Marichi 2016, kuchuluka kwakanthawi pamwezi pazogula zinthu kunali € 60 biliyoni. Kuyambira Epulo 2016 mpaka Marichi 2017 pafupipafupi pamwezi pazogula zinthu zinali € 80 biliyoni. Mtengo wapano ndi 60b € pamwezi, ndikuyembekeza kuti ECB yalengeza zakuchepetsa (taper) mpaka € 40b, kapena € 30b pamwezi Lachinayi, mwina kuyambira mu Disembala, kapena mwina Januware 2018. ECB imasunga ndalama kusunga inflation CPI pansipa 2%, pakadali pano ndi 1.5%.
Ofufuza ena akukhulupirira kuti ECB iyenera kuyamba kuyika ndalama tsopano, chifukwa siyingakwanitse kukankhira APP kupitirira $ 2.5 trilion, malinga ndi malamulo ndi ulamulirowu komanso kugula konseko kwa chiwonetsero cha ECB kuti chifike ku circa € 2.3 trilioni pofika kumapeto kwa 2017, malingaliro ake ndi akuti ECB imangokhala ndi ma 200 biliyoni kuti apereke.
Kuyang'ana kwakukulu kudzakhala pakulongosola nthawi yakuchepetsa APP, mosiyana ndi chilengezo chilichonse chokwera chiwongola dzanja, zomwe zikuwululidwa pamsonkhano wa atolankhani a Mario Draghi, nthawi ya 12:30 pm GMT. Palibe chiyembekezo choti chiwongola dzanja chidzalengezedwe Lachinayi, komabe, akatswiri azachuma ambiri amakhulupirira kuti chiwongola dzanja chidzayamba koyambirira kwa 2018, pomwe APP itha kumapeto kwa 2018 patadutsa nthawi yayitali. Mario Draghi akuyembekezeka kufotokoza zonse ziwiri; za chiwongola dzanja ndi APP, pamsonkhano wa atolankhani.
Yuro idzayang'anitsitsa nthawi yomweyo pambuyo pa chisankho (ndi nkhani yomwe ikutsatira chiwongola dzanja ndi kuchuluka kwa APP), mpaka pamsonkhano wa atolankhani womwe unachitika mphindi makumi anayi ndi zisanu pambuyo pake. Pakati pa zenera komanso patangotha msonkhano wa atolankhani titha kuyembekeza kusinthasintha komanso mayendedwe awiriawiri a ndalama za euro, makamaka ngati pali chododometsa pamgwirizano wonse. Zomwe zanenedwa ndi akatswiri azachuma omwe adafunsidwa ndi mabungwe, monga Reuters ndi Bloomberg, ndikuti chiwongola dzanja chofunikira sichingasinthe pa zero ndipo pulogalamu yogula katundu kuti isasinthe, ndikuwongolera patsogolo pazinthu zazikuluzikulu ziwirizi, kuwonetsa kusintha kuyambira koyambirira kwa 2018 .
MFUNDO ZOFUNIKA ZAUZIMU KWA ZOYENERA KU EURO
Chiwongola dzanja 0.00%
Mtengo wa APP € 60b pamwezi
Mtengo wamagetsi (CPI) 1.5%
Kukula 2.3% (GDP pachaka)
Mulingo wosagwira ntchito 9.1%
Wopanga PMI 55.9
Zogulitsa YoY 1.2%
Ngongole zaboma v GDP 89.2%
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