MALO OGULITSIRA MASabata PAMODZI 23 / 10-27 / 10 | Lingaliro la ECB, kuchepa kwa kugulidwa kwa ngongole ndi ziwonetsero zaposachedwa kwambiri ku USA GDP, zikhala zowunika kwambiri sabata ikubwerayi
Sabata likubwerali ndi sabata lotanganidwa kwambiri pakusindikiza kwa data, CPI yaku Australia, pakadali pano pa 1.9%, idzawunikidwa, mphekesera zikupitiliza kuti kusintha kwa chiwongola dzanja ndikotheka ngati (ndi liti) kuchuluka kwa CPI pachaka kupitilira zomwe amavomereza chandamale chapakati kubanki cha 2% mosasintha. Pali ma raft a Markit PMIs omwe atulutsidwa kutsogolera chuma ku Eurozone ndi USA Lachiwiri, izi zikuwongolera m'malo mongotsalira, ma PMI akuyenera kuyang'aniridwa mosamala pazizindikiro zilizonse zakuchepa kwachuma.
Zosankha ziwiri zofunika kubweza chiwongola dzanja zalengezedwa sabata ino; ECB panthawi ina iyenera kuchoka ku ZIRP (ndondomeko ya chiwongola dzanja), pomwe chilengezo chokhudza kuyambika kwenikweni kwa pulogalamu yogula katundu chikuyembekezeka. Ngati yachepetsedwa kuchoka pa € 60b, kupita pa € 30b, ndiye kuti ndizomveka kuyembekezera kuti yuro ichitepo kanthu. Bank of Canada ipanganso chiwongola dzanja chake, pakadali pano pa 1%, banki yayikulu posachedwa idadabwitsa misika ndikuwonjezeka kwamitengo, chifukwa chake kusintha kwina kulikonse kukuwoneka kuti sikokayikitsa.
CPI yaku Japan idzawunikiridwa bwino, posachedwa posachedwa zisankho ku Japan, zonse zomwe zikubwera ku Japan ziziyang'aniridwa mosamala m'masiku ndi milungu ikubwerayi. Chochitika chomaliza chokhudzidwa kwambiri sabata ino chimakhudza chiwerengero chaposachedwa cha USA GDP cha Q3, kuchuluka kwapachaka pano ndi 3.1%, kugwa kwa 2.1% kunanenedweratu ndi akatswiri azachuma. Kuchepetsa koteroko kumatha kuwononga zikhulupiriro pakati pa osunga ndalama ndi akatswiri ambiri, kuti chuma cha USA chili ndi mphamvu zokwanira kupirira kuwonjezeka kwamitengo ikukwera, kuyambira mu Disembala ndikukulitsa kuchuluka, kuti achepetse ndalama za Fed za $ 4.5 trilioni.
Chiwerengero chaposachedwa cha GDP ku UK chidzawululidwanso, pakadali pano pa 1.5% pachaka, kuyembekezera kuti chiwerengero cha Q3 chifike pa 0.3%, zomwe zingatenge chaka mpaka pano kukula mpaka 0.8%. Chiwerengero cha Q3 chikasowa kuneneratu, ndiye kuti ofufuza atha kuganiza kuti chaka chimodzi mpaka 1% sichingasoweke, ndipo Brexit ikadali vuto lalikulu, kuphonya kulikonse kwakukulu kumayang'aniridwa ndi oyimilira.
Lolemba ndi mawu achidule pamilandu ya sabata yachuma, kuchokera ku Asia China mitengo yamitengo yatulutsidwa, chitsogozo chotsogola ku Japan, cholozera chofananira ndi kugulitsa m'sitolo akuti. Ma Swiss deposits amafalitsidwa nthawi zonse Lolemba ndipo amatha kukhudza misika, ngati achepetsedwa kwambiri kapena akuchuluka. Ngongole za Eurozone govt v GDP zimasindikizidwa mu 2016, pa 89.2% pakadali pano sizichotsa pafupifupi $ 1.7 trilioni kugula / kuchuluka kwa ndalama zomwe ECB yakhala ikugwira m'zaka zaposachedwa. Kuwerengera chidaliro kwa ogula ku Eurozone mu Okutobala kudzatulutsidwa, -1.2% ya Seputembala kusintha kukuyembekezeredwa. Kafukufuku wosiyanasiyana waku UK CBI adasindikizidwa; maoda, chiyembekezo ndi kuwerengera mtengo wogulitsa ziperekedwa.
Lachiwiri Anthu okhala ndi mitengo yaku Germany, yomwe ikukwera ndi 2.1% YoY, Nikkei waku Japan wopanga PMI awululidwa; pakadali pano pa 52.9 ya Seputembala, pomwe kugulitsa kwama supermarket kumasindikizidwanso ku Japan. Markit Economics ipanga kufalitsa kwa ma PMI a Eurozone; kupanga, ntchito, kuwerengera kwapadera kwa: Germany, France ndi Eurozone. Kafukufuku wobwereketsa kubanki ya ECB amafalitsidwa, monganso kuwerenga kwa ngongole zomwe boma lili nazo komanso zoperewera. Mndandanda wa ma Markit PMIs aku USA amafalitsidwanso monga index ya Richmond Fed yopangira Okutobala; akuyembekezeka kuterera mpaka 16, kuchokera ku 19.
Lachitatu imayamba tsikulo ndikuyang'ana kwambiri zidziwitso zaku Australia, monga chithunzi chaposachedwa cha CPI chimasindikizidwa; chiwonetsero chatsalira ku 1.9% YoY. Kuwerengedwa kwa IFO ku Germany kudzakwaniritsidwa, nyengo zamabizinesi, ziyembekezo ndi kuwerengera kwamakono kwa nyengo kumalemekezedwa kwambiri, popeza kuwerengetsa kwa zotsatira zakumapeto kumeneku kumayang'aniridwa kwambiri ndi omwe amagulitsa ndalama ngati ali ndi zofooka mu chuma chambiri ku Europe. UK ikuwunikidwa mozama pomwe GDP yaposachedwa yawululidwa, pakadali pano ku 1.5% YoY palibe chiyembekezo chochepa chosintha. Pomwe chidwi chofika ku USA kulimba kwa katundu wolimba chikuyembekezeka kubwera pa 0.6% ya Seputembala, kutsika kuchokera ku 2% yolembedwa mu Ogasiti. Banki yayikulu ku Canada yalengeza chigamulo chake chokhudza chiwongola dzanja, pakadali pano pa 1.0%, palibe chiyembekezo chilichonse chosintha, bankiyi iperekanso lipoti la kayendetsedwe kake ka ndalama, ndipo pambuyo pake kazembeyo kazembeyo Poloz adzachita msonkhano ndi atolankhani, kufotokoza malingaliro ake mfundo ndi chiwongola dzanja. Zambiri zogulitsa kunyumba ku USA zikuyembekezeredwa kuti zisasinthe, ngakhale kusintha kwakanthawi. Kuwerengedwa kosiyanasiyana kwachuma ku New Zealand kudzatulutsidwa; kusinthanitsa kwamalonda, kutumiza kunja ndi kugula.
Lachinayi imayamba ndimitengo yaposachedwa kwambiri ku Australia yotumiza ndi kutumiza kunja, kuyang'ana kenako kutembenukira ku Europe, pomwe kuwerenga kwaposachedwa kwa GfK kwa ogula kumasindikizidwa, ndikutsatira chiwongola dzanja cha ECB, pakadali pano pa 0.00%. Tsatanetsatane wazochepetsedwa zilizonse pazogula katundu, zomwe zikuchitika pa 60b € pamwezi, zidzaululidwa. Chiwerengero choyambirira cha malonda ku USA chidzamasulidwa, nthawi zonse chikuchepa, chiyembekezo chikuyembekezeka kukwera mpaka $ 64.1b kwa Seputembara. Poyembekezera kugulitsa nyumba ku USA YoY akuyembekezeredwa kuti apindule koposa kuwerenga komaliza kwa -3.1% YoY. Chakumadzulo chiwerengero cha CPI chaposachedwa ku Japan chidzaperekedwa, pakadali pano pa 0.7% pali mgwirizano womwe ukuyembekeza kusintha.
Friday akuyamba ndi malonda ogulitsa ku Germany, timadikirira mpaka masana kuti tidzalandire chilichonse chokhudzidwa ngati kuwerenga kwaposachedwa kwa USA GDP, komwe kukuyembekezeka kuchepa mpaka 2.5% m'gawo lachitatu la 2017, kuchokera ku 3.1%. Zambiri zakugwiritsa ntchito kwa ogula ku USA zidzaululidwa, ndipo sabata limatha ndikufalitsa pamwezi pamutu pamalingaliro olemekezeka ochokera ku University of Michigan, kuphatikiza: chidaliro, momwe zinthu ziliri pakali pano ndikuwerengedwa koyembekezeredwa.
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