ZOKHUDZA MALO OTSOGOLERA PAMASabata 16 / 10-20 / 10 | Zambiri zachuma ku UK zidzaunikiridwa bwino, kuti ziwone ngati BoE ili ndi zida zokweza chiwongola dzanja chapamwamba kuposa 0.25% mu Novembala
Pali deta yambiri yochititsa chidwi yowerengera sabata ino, chiwerengero cha CPI (inflation) chimasindikizidwa ku mayiko ambiri, kukula kwa GDP kwa China kwatsopano, komabe dziko la UK lidzapambana pazifukwa zosiyanasiyana.
Pali dera la kalendala ya zachuma kuti liperekedwe ndi matupi osiyanasiyana ovomerezeka ku UK, makamaka bungwe la ONS lidzapereka tsatanetsatane pa: Ma CPI atsopano, kukula kwa mitengo ya malonda komanso kutsika mtengo kwa mitengo. Otsogolera mamembala a BoE adzaitanidwa kuti adzawonekere ku komiti yosankhidwa ndi pulezidenti, kuti afotokoze komwe akuwona chuma chikuyendetsedwa, chomwe chiri chofunikira kwambiri pa ola lomwe likuwonekera pa nkhani ya Brexit ndi bwanamkubwa wa BoE ndi anzake, awonetsa kuti padzakhala chiwongoladzanja pa November 2nd.
Sunday amayamba sabata ndi kalendala yachilendo yamalonda, Janet Yellen, yemwe ali pulezidenti wa Fed, amapereka ndemanga pa zachuma ndi ndalama pa madzulo (GMT) nthawi. Madzulo madzulo a New Zealand akugwira ntchito yowonetsera ntchito, ndipo madzulo madzulo a UK akulandira mtengo wamtengo wapatali wa nyumba, kuchokera ku Privatemove, omwe akugulitsa malonda, omwe amalephera kufunsa mitengo, osati kugulitsa mitengo.
Lolemba Zimayamba ndi zotsatira za mchere kuchokera ku New Zealand, izi ndizofunika kwambiri kuti ziwonongeke, kupatsidwa momwe NZ imakhudzira zochokera kunja kwa mkaka kupita ku Asia, komanso momwe Kiwi NZD (monga ndalama yamtengo wapatali), imatha kukhalira ndi zotsatira zoterozo. Machitidwe a zachuma a China ndi deta zake zovuta, zikuwoneka kuti sizing'onozing'ono za zokambirana m'mabuku a zachuma a West West posachedwapa, chiwerengero chaposachedwa cha CPI cha September chikuyenera kugwera ku 1.6%, kuchokera ku 1.8% (YoY) mu August. Europe imakhala ndi mpumulo kuchokera ku masewera mpaka masewera apamwamba pa Lolemba, USA momwemo, malonda a ku Canada omwe akupezekapo kwa September ayenera kusintha kupitirira kuwerengera kwa 1.3% ya August. CPI ya ku New Zealand imatseka zochitika zazikulu za kalendala za tsikulo; Q3 ndi deta ya CPI chaka ndi chaka imatulutsidwa, ndi kotala yomwe ikuyembekezeka kukhala yosalala ndipo YoY akuwonetsera kuti azikhala pafupi ndi 1.7% yowerengera.
LachiwiriZochitika za kalendala zachinsinsi zimayambira ndi banki yayikulu ya Australia (RBA), kufalitsa maminiti atsopano omwe ali pamsonkhanowu ndi msonkhano wa ndondomeko ya ndalama, pambuyo pake, pamene misika ya ku Europe ikutseguka, cholinga chake chidzapita ku UK monga mamembala osiyanasiyana a UK BoE kuchitira umboni pamaso pa komiti yosankhidwa. Mndandanda wamakono owerengeka okhudzidwa ndi kuwonjezeka kwa chuma cha dziko lapansi amalembedwa kuti makampani a UK a CPI ndi RPI aperekedwe pamodzi ndi kuwerengedwa kwa mitengo yotsika mtengo. Kuwerenga kofunika kuyang'anira ndi CPI, pakali pano ku 2.9%, makamaka ndi BoE yomwe ikuwonetsa kuti chiwongoladzanja cha UK chiyenera kuwuka, kuti athetse mavuto opatsirana. Deta yatsopano ya Eurozone ya CPI ya September idzawululidwa, pakali pano ku 1.5%, pali chiyembekezo chochepa cha kuwuka. Malingaliro a zachuma kuchokera ku ZEW, onse a Germany ndi a Eurozone, adzayang'aniridwa mosamala kwa zizindikiro zirizonse za kuchepetsa chikhulupiliro. USA ikufalitsa deta yovuta yambiri pa Lachiwiri, makamaka kuitanitsa ndi kuitanitsa mitengo, kuchuluka kwa mafakitale / kupanga mafakitale ndi NAHB nyumba index.
Lachitatu Cholinga cha UK ndi ntchito yatsopano yopezeka ndi ntchito, yomwe ikuwonetseratu, ndi yotsatila bwino komanso yosakhazikika, yomwe ingalimbikitse chikhulupiliro kuti BoE idzakhala ndi zida zina zofunikira kuti zidzakwera ku UK malire, pamene MPC (komiti ya ndondomeko ya ndalama) ikumana pa November 2nd. Deta yokhudzana ndi malo a USA ndi msika wogulitsa nyumba imasindikizidwa Lachitatu; zovomerezeka, kubwezeretsa nyumba ndikuyamba. Zilolezo zimayambira ku 5.7% mpaka -3.3%, zomwe zikuwonetsa kuchepa kwa nyengo, kusiyana ndi kulimbikitsidwa kulikonse mu gawoli. Madzulo madzulo buku la beige la United States likufalitsidwa ndi Fed, tsiku limatsekedwa ndi deta ya chida cha Japan, mzere wofunikira kuwunika ndiwo chiwerengero cha malonda a malonda a September.
Lachinayi Mmawa wam'mawa Ntchito ya Australia ndi ntchito za ntchito zikufalitsidwa, kusiyana kwa ntchito ndikuyembekezeka kukhala pafupi ndi chiwerengero cha 5.6% cha August. Zambiri zofalitsa deta zasindikizidwa ndi China m'mawa kwambiri, kuphatikizapo chiwerengero cha GDP chatsopano; Malingaliro oti alowe mu 6.8% pa Q3, kugwa kwa 6.8%. Zotsatsa malonda ndi mafakitale akuwonetseranso. Pamene misika ya ku Ulaya inatseguka UK ikuwulula nsomba zatsopano zogulitsa malonda, zomwe zasonyeza kusamuka kwa 1% ku August, akatswiri akulosera kuti kugwa kwa September kugulitsa, koma chiwerengero cha YoY chikhalabe cholimba. Madandaulo a sabata osapanda ntchito komanso maulendo opitirira maulendo a USA adzayang'anitsidwa, atapatsidwa ntchito -33k NFP ntchito yofalitsidwa posachedwa, zotsatira zake zimatsutsidwa kwathunthu ku America nyengo yamkuntho.
Friday Zimayamba ndi deta ya New Zealand yogulitsa ngongole yomwe imasindikizidwa m'mawa kwambiri, msika wa ku Ulaya usanatsegule mitengo ya Germany yomwe ikugulitsa posachedwapa idzawululidwa. Bwanamkubwa wa banki la Japan, Bambo Kuroda adzakamba nkhani ku Tokyo, zomwe zidzapindulitsa kwambiri ndi kufunika kwake pamene Japan adzapita posankha posankha chisankho mwadzidzidzi wotchedwa Abe. Tsatanetsatane wa akaunti ya Eurozone ikuperekedwa, monga momwe dziko la UK likumvera pa gawo la boma komanso boma lonse likubwereka. Mwachidziwikire, kuwonongeka kulikonse kudzawoneka kupyolera mu ndende ya BoE ndipo zikutanthauza kuti cholinga chawo chokweza mlingo woyambira mu November. Chithunzi chaposachedwa cha CPI cha Canada chidzafalitsidwa mu gawo la New York, kuyembekezera kuti chiwerengero cha YoY chikhale pa 1.4%. Zotsatsa malonda a ku Canada zimasindikizidwanso, tisanasunthire ku US data za malonda omwe alipo, omwe akuwonetseratu kugwa -0.6% mu September, kusintha kwa -1.7% kugwa kolemba mu August.
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