SNTHAWI YAMALUNGU ACHIKHULUPIRIRO 04 / 12-08 / 12 | Australia ndi chisankho cha Canada chokhudzidwa ndi chiwongoladzanja ndi ntchito za NFP ntchito ndi kalendala yamakono yachuma pa sabata likudza
Banki yayikulu ku Australia iulula ziwonetsero zake zaposachedwa pa chiwongola dzanja Lachiwiri, ndi malingaliro oyenera pokhudzana ndi kukwera kapena kuchepa, kutulutsidwa kwa kalendala iyi yazachuma kuyang'aniridwa mosamalitsa, monganso momwe angatsatirire, malongosoledwe akutsogolo kuchokera ku RBA, pankhani ya ndalama zawo mfundo. Dola la Aussie lagulitsa motsutsana ndi USD kuyambira pakati pa Seputembala, komanso motsutsana ndi anzawo nthawi yomweyo. Ponena za kuwonongeka kwa dola yofooka yomwe ikuyambitsa chuma cha Aussie ndi nkhani yoti ikambitsirane ndi malipoti a RBA, omwe mwina adzawonetseratu ziwerengero zaposachedwa za GDP yaku Australia, zomwe zimasulidwa sabata ikubwerayi.
Banki yayikulu yaku Canada iperekanso zisankho zaposachedwa pamalipiro ake ofunikira, ofanana ndi Aussie, ndalama ya loonie (mawu osakira a dollar yaku Canada), yagulitsa motsutsana motsutsana ndi anzawo akulu kuyambira Seputembara, ngati ndalama zamalonda, Selloff sangakhale okhudzana kokha ndi kukwera kwa mtengo wazinthu m'miyezi yaposachedwa.
Chiwerengero chaposachedwa cha NFP ku USA mwezi uliwonse chidzafotokozedwa Lachisanu, kuwulula ziwerengero zaposachedwa pantchito za Novembala. Ziwerengero za Seputembala ndi Okutobala zidakhudzidwa ndi mphepo yamkuntho ku USA, chifukwa chomwe Reuters adaneneratu kuti Novembala ndiwokonda kudziwa, nambala ya 198k, motsutsana ndi 261k yolembedwa mu Okutobala, ikuwoneka ngati yopanda chiyembekezo, makamaka mu mwezi pomwe ntchito ndi bizinesi yogulitsa ikuyenera kukonzekera zochitika za nyengo ya Xmas.
Lolemba imayamba nkhani zamakalata azachuma sabata ino ndi zotsatira zakugulitsa mkaka pamwezi kuchokera ku New Zealand, monga nthawi zonse izi zimatha kusunthira mtengo wa kiwi dollar, potengera kudalira komwe dziko limagulitsa kunja, kupita ku Asia makamaka. Kuwerenga kwatsopano kwa kudalira kwa ogula ku Japan kudzatulutsidwa mu gawo lazamalonda ku Asia, izi zisanachitike ziwerengero zaposachedwa kwambiri zaku Japan zikhala zitasindikizidwa.
Pomwe chidwi chikuyang'ana ku Europe, PMI yaposachedwa yomanga ku UK iperekedwa, yomwe ikubwera ku 50.8 ya Okutobala, zomwe zili pang'ono pang'ono kuposa 50 yomwe ikulekanitsa kukula ndi chidule. Komabe, chiwerengerochi sichikuwonetsa kuchepa kwa ntchito, komanso chimapereka kuwerengera kwamomwe oyang'anira ogula amayembekezera kuti ntchito yomanga ipanga, kwakanthawi kochepa mpaka pakati. Ziwerengero zamitengo yaopanga Eurozone zidzafalitsidwa, metric yayikuluyi imatha kuwonetsa mayendedwe aliwonse azotsatira a CPI / RPI (inflation).
Kuchokera ku USA timalandila deta yaposachedwa kwambiri komanso yoyeserera; ndi msonkhano womaliza wa FOMC womwe wakonzedwa sabata yachiwiri mu Disembala, tsopano akuyamba kulingalira za omwe amagulitsa ndalama ndi malingaliro a onse amalonda a FX, pokhudzana ndi chiwopsezo chokwera chiwongola dzanja, chidziwitso chilichonse chabwino chomwe chitha kuthandizira kukwera kwa mitengo, chidzagwiridwa kupitilira ndi olosera.
On Lachiwiri timayamba tsikuli ndi ntchito zaposachedwa kwambiri zaku Japan komanso ma PMI angapo, pomwe zambiri zaku Australia pa: kuchuluka kwa maakaunti, zogulitsa kunja ndi kugulitsa zimasindikizidwanso mgulu lazamalonda ku Asia. Ma China a Caixan PMIs atulutsidwa, chuma cha China chabwereranso m'mbuyomu posachedwa, chifukwa misika yamakampani ogulitsa nyumba idagulitsidwa pang'ono, chifukwa chobwereketsa kwa boma, chifukwa chake kukula kosalekeza kudzafunidwa. Banki yayikulu ku Australia RBA yalengeza chigamulo chake pa chiwongola dzanja, pakadali pano pa 1.5% chiyembekezero sichingasinthe, pomwe atolankhani omwe akutsatiridwa ndi ndondomeko yamalamulo azandalama zakhala zapamwamba kwambiri. Gulu la ma PMI a: Italy, France, Germany ndi Eurozone yayikulu lasindikizidwa Lachiwiri, pomwe ntchito zowerengera ku UK zimasindikizidwanso. Eurozone: kugulitsa, kugulitsa maboma, kagwiritsidwe ntchito kanyumba ndi ziwerengero zaposachedwa za GDP zikuperekedwanso.
Posakhalitsa misika ya USA itatsegulidwa, ziwerengero zaposachedwa kwambiri zamalonda azachuma aku US zidzaululidwa, ma PMI azithandizo ndi gulu adzafalitsidwanso, gulu lopanga zosagwiritsidwa ntchito la ISM liperekedwa, mtengo wowonetsetsa kuti uwonetsetse magwiridwe antchito onse chuma cha USA.
On Lachitatu Kuyang'ana pomwepo kumabwereranso ku chuma cha Australia, chikubwera posakhalitsa chisankho cha chiwongola dzanja koyambirira sabata, timalandila kuchuluka kwaposachedwa kwa GDP, pakadali pano pakukula kwa 1.8% YoY kulosera ndikuti chiwerengerochi chisungidwe. Msika waku Europe usanatsegule zomwe maotchi aposachedwa ku Germany asindikizidwe, chiwerengerocho cha 9.5% YoY chikuwonjezeka mu Novembala. Ntchito zomanga komanso kugulitsa ku Germany ku Germany zimasindikizidwanso, monganso ma PMI ogulitsa ku Italy ndi France. Zochitika zazikuluzikulu patsikuli zimathera ku banki yayikulu yaku Canada kuwulula zomwe apanga posachedwa pamitengo ya chiwongola dzanja, chiyembekezero ndikuti milanduyo isasinthe pa 1%.
Lachinayi zikuchitira umboni ziwerengero zaposachedwa kwambiri zakusowa ntchito ku Switzerland zomwe zidasindikizidwa, ngakhale ndizochepera pafupifupi 3%, kulimba kwanthawi zonse ndikukhazikika kwachuma ku Switzerland kumathandizira kuti pempho la Switzerland likhale malo achitetezo. Zambiri zakukula kwamakampani aku Germany zidzalengezedwa, zikubwera ku 3.6% YoY mu Okutobala, chiyembekezero cha Novembala chikufanana. Zambiri pamitengo ya nyumba ya Halifax zimawonedwa nthawi zonse ku UK, chifukwa chuma chimadalira kwambiri kukwera kwamitengo yazanyumba komanso kutsika pang'ono, komwe kukwera kwamitengo ya nyumba kumatha kupanga.
Kuchokera ku USA kuchepa kwa ntchito kwa omwe akutsutsa ntchito pamwezi komanso kuchuluka kwa anthu osagwira ntchito sabata iliyonse komanso manambala opitilira, amabwera isanafike NFP yomwe idasindikizidwa Lachisanu ndipo chifukwa chake, mndandanda wamtunduwu wokhudzana ndi ntchito, umawonedwa bwino. Manambala a ngongole zaogula ku USA nawonso awululidwa.
Friday imayamba ndi kutsata kwa zidziwitso zaku China, kuphatikiza zakunja, zogulitsa kunja ndi zidziwitso zaposachedwa kwambiri zamalonda. Kafukufuku wolemekezedwa wa alonda a Eco aku Japan amafalitsidwanso, monganso zomwe zapezedwa kumene komanso ziwerengero zaposachedwa za bankirapuse.
Pomwe chidwi chikuyang'ana pamisika yaku Europe yomwe ikuyembekezeka kutsegulidwa, zotulutsidwa ku Germany zaposachedwa kwambiri, zogulitsa kunja ndi ziwonetsero zamalonda zatulutsidwa. Zambiri pazokhudza chuma cha UK zafalitsidwa Lachisanu m'mawa; mafakitale, opanga ndi zomangamanga ndi ziwonetsero zimatulutsidwa. Kupanga kotsika kwa UK ndi nkhani yaposachedwa posachedwa, chifukwa chake ziwerengero zaposachedwa zidzagwiritsidwanso ntchito, pazizindikiro zilizonse zakusokonekera, kapena kusintha. UK ONS imatulutsanso zomwe zaposachedwa pamalonda, pomwe zochulukazo zikuwonetsedwa mosalekeza kuti chisonyezo chotsika chakulitsa manambala aku UK akunja. Chiwerengero cha kukwera kwamitengo ku UK m'miyezi khumi ndi iwiri ikubweranso chidzaperekedwa, chikuyembekezeka kuti sichidzasinthidwa pafupifupi 2.8%.
Pamene chidwi chikusintha ku ziwerengero zaposachedwa kwambiri ku North America Canada pazoyambira nyumba ndikugwiritsa ntchito mphamvu kusindikizidwa, BLS isanapereke deta yaposachedwa ya NFP yachuma ku USA. Zonenedweratu zake ndizachulukidwe kakang'ono ka 198k, makamaka pansi pa 261k omwe adalembetsa mu Okutobala. Kuchuluka kwa kusowa kwa ntchito ku USA kukuyembekezeka kukhalabe pafupi zaka khumi zochepa za 4.1%. Avereji ya mapindu aku USA mu Novembala akuyembekezeka kukwera ndi 0.3% mu Novembala, kuchokera ku zero zero yolembetsedwa mu Okutobala. Kafukufuku waposachedwa kwambiri waku University of Michigan amatseka zomwe zakhudza kwambiri sabata, kuwerenga kwa Novembala 98.5 kukuyembekezeredwa chimodzimodzi mu Disembala.
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