Maonedwe a Mtengo wa USD/JPY: Zochitika Pambuyo pa Kukhazikitsa Zamalonda mumzere wa FOMC
Pambuyo pa Marichi 9, pomwe zidapezeka kuti SVB ikhoza kukhala vuto pamabanki onse, osunga ndalama adatembenukira ku yen yaku Japan ngati ndalama zotetezeka.
Nayi kuyang'ana mwachangu momwe yen yachitira motsutsana ndi ndalama zina zofunika kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi komanso mabwenzi ochita nawo malonda, monga dollar yaku Australia.
Mzere wa mizera woyima ukuwonetsa tsiku lomwe anthu ambiri pamsika adayamba kuda nkhawa. Tsikuli linali chiyambi cha kukwera kowonekera kwa yen.
Fed italengeza njira zothandizira msika ndipo boma la US linanena kuti akukamba za mwayi wopereka inshuwalansi zonse, msika unatsika mofulumira kwambiri.
USDJPY zotheka zokhazikika
Malingaliro otsatirawa amabweretsa zotsatira ziwiri zosiyana kwambiri, koma malonda angakhale pakati kapena kutenga nthawi kuti awoneke. Kusinthanitsa kwa USD/JPY ndikofunikira mulimonse.
Chitsanzo 1: Ndalama zakubanki zidasokonekera
Kusakhazikika kwaposachedwa kwawonetsa momwe misika ingasinthire mwachangu mitengo ikasintha. Pamene mantha aakulu adafika pamsika, ogulitsa adatsitsa mtengo wa Fed funds mtsogolo kwambiri.
Izi zinasonyeza kuti anthu ankaganiza kuti Fed iyenera kusintha njira ndi kuchepetsa chiwongoladzanja m'malo mokweza pamwamba pa 5%. Dola idatsika chifukwa mitengo yama bond ya boma la US idatsika.
Zimbalangondo pa msika wa USD / JPY zidzakhala ndi chidwi ndi mwayi woti izi zidzachitikanso ngati vuto la banki silinayimitsidwe. Popeza USD ikutsika ndipo yen ndi yotetezeka, malonda a awiriwa akhoza kuchepa.
Chitsanzo 2: Mavuto azabanki amapewa, ndipo chidwi chimabwereranso ku kukwera kwa mitengo
Muzochitika zachiwiri, vuto la mabanki limanyalanyazidwa. Tiyeni tibwererenso pakuwongolera ndalama.
Mtengo wandalama wa Fed ndi mtengo wa dollar ukhoza kukweranso ngati nkhawa zazikulu za osunga ndalama zachitetezo cha depositor komanso vuto lakubanki lakonzedwa.
Ngati misika imakonda lingaliro lakukwera kwamitengo yambiri, njira zaposachedwa zothandizira msika zavomereza mabanki. Ndiye, Federal Reserve ikanakhala ndi malo ochulukirapo okweza chiwongoladzanja, kuchepetsa kutsika kwa mitengo.
Ngakhale pakhala pali nkhawa posachedwa, gawo lothandizira (131.35) lachitika. Choncho, anthu akukhala ndi chiyembekezo. Malo ofunikira otsatirawa ali ndi pivot point ya 134-50.
Tili ndi njira yayitali yoti tisiye tisanamenye 138.20. Ngati yen ikhala malo otetezeka oyika ndalama zanu, zizindikiro pa 131.35 ndi 127 zidzakhalanso zofunika.
Maonedwe a USD/JPY amatengera momwe misika imawonera chiwongola dzanja chamtsogolo
Kuneneratu kwa USD / JPY kudzatengera zomwe msika ukuganiza kuti zichitika pa chiwongola dzanja.
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) itulutsa mwachindunji chiwembu chake ndikuwunika zolosera zachuma mtsogolomo lero. Malingaliro aposachedwa a Fed awonetsedwa pazolosera za chiwongola dzanja. Popeza kuti dziko la Japan limayang'anira zokolola, USD/JPY imatsatira kwambiri kusiyana kwa chiwongola dzanja cha mayiko awiriwa.
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