Ku United States ofunsira ulova akukwera kuposa zomwe akuyembekeza, misika imakomoka pomwe zenizeni zikugunda pambuyo pa chisankho cha FOMC
Pambuyo pa chisangalalo cha chisankho chosayembekezereka kuchokera ku FOMC Lachitatu misika yaku Europe, yomwe inali itatsekedwa pomwe chigamulochi chidawululidwa, nthawi yomweyo adalimbikitsidwa kuti athe 'kufanana' ndi maulendo aku USA. Misika yaku USA inali yopanda kanthu mkati mwa gawo lamasana chifukwa nkhani zapakatikati mpaka zotulukapo zazikulu zimapereka zotsatira zosakanikirana.
USA kusowa kwa ntchito sabata yatha kwambiri, mopitilira zomwe akatswiri amafotokoza; owerengera akuti adakwera 10,000 kuyambira sabata yapitayi mpaka 379K, pomwe kuyerekezera kwa sabata la 4 kudakwera ndi 13,250 mpaka 343,500. Kuwerenganso kwafika pamlingo wovuta womwe talangiza kuti chiwerengerochi chakhalapo kwa ambiri mwa 2013. Tiyeneranso kudziwa kuti gawo lina lazifukwa zakusankha kwa Fed kuti ligwire ntchito zidachokera pantchito zabwino komanso kuchuluka kwa owerengera, ndi zidangotenga tsiku kuti malingaliro amenewo akayikidwe.
Mayiko ena USA nkhani zomwe zakhala zikugulitsa nyumba ku USA zomwe zinatsutsidwa ndi 4.3% mwezi umodzi, zinagwa pansi pa chaka choyamba pa miyezi makumi awiri, ndipo zinachititsa kuti zikhulupiliro zokhudzana ndi zochitika zapakhomo zikuwonongeke. Ngakhale kuti NAR yanena kuti kuwonjezeka kwa mitengo monga chisonyezero chaumphawi, ndibwino kwa osunga ndalama, koma osati ogula, monga oyamba kugula.
Kusindikiza kwa Philly Fed kunabwera m'munsimu kuyembekezera; kuwerenga kunali 7 pomwe akatswiri ambiri adaneneratu za 10. Komabe, pakhala pakuwerengedwa bwino miyezi isanu ndi iwiri yapitayi.
Lipoti La Milandu Ya Inshuwaransi Yaku United States Yochoka Ku Ntchito
Sabata yomaliza Disembala 14, kuchuluka kwakadalipo kwamakalata oyendetsedwa nyengo idali 379,000, kuwonjezeka kwa 10,000 kuchokera ku 369,000 ya sabata yapitayo. Avareji yamasabata 4 yosuntha anali 343,500, kuwonjezeka kwa 13,250 poyerekeza ndi 330,250 ya sabata yatha. Kuchuluka kwa kusowa kwa ntchito kwa inshuwaransi komwe kudachitika nyengoyo kunali 2.2% sabata latha pa Disembala 7, chiwonjezeko cha 0.1% poyerekeza ndi kuchuluka kosasinthidwa sabata yoyamba. Chiwerengero choyambilira cha kusowa kwa ntchito kwa inshuwaransi munyengo yomwe idatha Disembala 7 chinali 2,884,000, kuwonjezeka kwa 94,000.
Kutha Kwapanyumba Kwawo Kumatha mu November, koma Mtengo Wolimba Ukupitiriza Kupitiriza
Nyuzipepala ya National Realtors inachitika mu November, ngakhale mitengo yam'mbuyo ikupitirizabe kusonyeza kukula kwakukulu kwa chaka chimodzi. Zonse zomwe zilipo malonda a panyumba, omwe amatha kusamalidwa omwe akuphatikizapo nyumba zapabanja, midzi ya tawuni, makondomu ndi o-ops, ataya peresenti ya 4.3 pa chaka chokhazikika cha 4.90 miliyoni mwezi wa November kuchokera ku 5.12 miliyoni mu October, ndipo ali 1.2 peresenti pansi pa 4.96-unit unit unit mu November 2012. Ino ndi nthawi yoyamba mu miyezi ya 29 kuti malonda anali pansi pa zaka zapitazo.
Msonkhano wa Msonkhano Wotsogolera Economic Index wa US Kuwonjezeka
Bungwe la Msonkhano Wotsogolera Economic Index (LEI) wa US unachulukitsa peresenti ya 0.8 mu November mpaka 98.3 (2004 = 100), potsatira kuwonjezeka kwa 0.1 peresenti mu Oktoba, ndipo kuwonjezeka kwa 1.0 peresenti mu September.
Ataman Ozyildirim, Economist pa Conference Board;
Bungwe la LEI likupitirizabe kuwonetsetsa kuti pang'onopang'ono kulimbitsa mkhalidwe wachuma kupyolera mu 2014 oyambirira. Kupititsa patsogolo misika yogwira ntchito ndi malamulo atsopano pakupanga, kuphatikizapo zizindikiro zamphamvu zachuma, zinathamangitsa November'Kupindula. Komabe, ogula' kuyang'ana kwa chuma ndi kugwa kwa zilolezo za nyumba zikupitiriza kukhala zoopsa mu 2014.
Disembala 2013 Kafukufuku Wamabizinesi - Philly Fed
Kukula kwamalonda m'deralo kunapitiliza mu December payendo yofanana ndi ya mwezi wa November, malinga ndi makampani omwe akuyang'ana pa Business Outlook Survey. Zizindikiro zowonjezereka zokhudzana ndi ntchitoyi, malamulo atsopano, kutumizidwa, ndi ntchito zinali zabwino, kusonyeza kukula, ndi kuwerengera kunachepa pang'ono m'gawo lililonse kuyambira November. Zizindikiro za kafukufuku zomwe zachitika m'tsogolomu zimayesedwa pang'ono koma zimapitiriza kupereka chiyembekezo chokhudzana ndi kukula m'miyezi isanu ndi umodzi yotsatira.
Kafukufuku wochuluka kwambiri wa zochitika zapangidwe, kusiyana kwa chiwerengero cha ntchito yamakono, sikunasinthike kuyambira November mpaka December, ku 7.0. Mndandanda wa tsopano wakhala wabwino kwa miyezi isanu ndi iwiri yotsatizana. Chiwerengero cha makampani omwe akukamba zawonjezeka ntchitoyi mwezi uno (29 peresenti) inali yaikulu kusiyana ndi chiwerengero cha malipoti omwe adachepa ntchito (22 peresenti).
Kuwonetseratu kwa msika pa 11pm UK nthawi
DJIA idatseka pang'ono ndi 0.07%, SPX idatseka 0.06% ndipo NASDAQ pansi 0.29%. Misika yaku Europe idakumana ndi kusunthika kwakukweza posankha lingaliro la taper ya Fed Lachitatu, STOXX idatseka 1.88%, CAC idakwera 1.64%, DAX idakwera 1.68%, FTSE idakwera 1.43%.
Kuyang'ana kutseguka kwa mawa mtsogolo mndandanda wa equity wa DJIA ukukwera 0.02%, tsogolo la SPX kutsika 0.17%, tsogolo la NASDAQ kutsika ndi 0.45%. Zotsatira za Euro STOXX zamtsogolo zakwana 1.78%, tsogolo la DAX likukwera 1.56%, tsogolo la CAC likukwera 1.66%, FTSE kukwera 1.52%.
Mafuta a NYMEX ananyamuka 0.99% mpaka $ 98.77 pa mbiya, NYMEX nat gas ananyamuka kwambiri 4.52% mpaka $ 4.44 pa therm chifukwa cha kusungirako mphamvu zakusowa. Gold COMEX inagulitsidwa kwambiri, pansi pa 3.69% tsiku ndi $ 1189.40 pa ounce. Silver WHEX inatsekedwa tsiku 4.11% pa $ 19.24 pa ounce.
Kuyang'ana patsogolo
Dola inanyamuka 0.2 peresenti ku $ 1.3655 pa euro madzulo masana New York nthawi itatha kupita ku $ 1.3650, mphamvu yolimba kuyambira Dec. 6th. Ndalama ya US inachepetsa 0.1 peresenti ku yenki ya 104.21. Yen anapeza peresenti ya 0.3 ku 142.29 pa euro atadutsa ku 142.90 dzulo, gawo lofooka kuyambira October 2008. Ndalamayi inakwera kwambiri kwambiri pamasabata awiri motsutsana ndi yuro pamene mabanki akuyesa Federal Reserve akuwombera pansi mgwirizano-kugula chaka chamawa pakati pa zizindikiro kuti chuma chachuma chikukula. Ndalama ya US inayamba kutsutsana ndi akuluakulu ake akuluakulu a 16 pambuyo poti bungwe la Federal Open Market linanena kuti dzulo likhoza kuchepetsa ndalama ku $ 75 biliyoni mwezi kuchokera $ 85 biliyoni.
Index ya US Dollar, yomwe imatsata greenback motsutsana ndi anzawo akulu 10, idakwera ndi 0.2% mpaka 1,023.07 atapeza 0.5% dzulo. Ndalama yaku US yakwera 4.3 peresenti chaka chino, malinga ndi Bloomberg's Correlation-Weighted Indices yomwe imatsata ndalama za mayiko 10 otukuka. Yuro idapeza 8.4 peresenti, pomwe yen idagwa 14.9 peresenti.
The loonie, monga dollar ya Canada yodziwika inapeza 0.4 peresenti ku C $ 1.0666 pa dola la US mochedwa New York nthawi. Poyambirira kunakhudza C $ 1.0728, yotsika kwambiri kuyambira May 2010. Mmodzi loonie akugula 93.76 US senti. Ndalama ya ku Canada inanyamuka kuchoka pansi pa zaka zitatu kuti iwononge Federal Reserve kuti ikhale ndi chiwongoladzanja chochepa kuposa momwe ikuwonetsere pamene ikuchepetseratu kufulumira kwa malonda ake ogulitsa.
Tsogolo la mafuta osakanizika, omwe amagwirizana kwambiri ndi ndalama zogulira ndalama monga loonie, anauka 1 peresenti ku $ 98.77 pirori ku New York atakhudza $ 99.17, wapamwamba kwambiri kuyambira Oct. 22nd.
nsinga
Chuma ca 10 chaka chokwanira chinapitiriza mfundo zinayi, kapena chiwerengero cha 0.04, mpaka pa 2.93 peresenti madzulo madzulo a New York nthawi. Iwo anafika pa 2.95 peresenti, apamwamba kwambiri kuyambira Sept. 13th. Mtengo wa chitetezo cha 2.75 peresenti chifukwa cha November 2023 inagwa 10 / 32, kapena $ 3.13 pa $ 1,000 nkhope yanu, 98 14 / 32.
Zaka zisanu zapitazi zakhudzana ndi 1.68 peresenti, yapamwamba kwambiri kuyambira Sept. 16th, isanagulitsidwe pa 1.64 peresenti, ndi mfundo za 10. Zokolola pamakazi a zaka ziwiri zinapanga zigawo zitatu zofunikira pa 0.36 peresenti, pomwe mgwirizano wa zaka za 30 wa zaka usintha pang'ono pa zana la 3.9.
Zosankha zazikulu zokhudzana ndi ndondomeko ndi zochitika zazikulu zokhudzana ndi nkhani zomwe zingawononge maganizo pa December 20th
Lachisanu kudzawonetsa kufalitsa kwa PPI yaku Germany pamweziwu, kunanenedweratu kuti kudzakhala kosavuta ndi nyengo yamabizinesi aku GfK yoyembekezeka ku 7.4. Zambiri zomwe zidachitika ku UK pano zikuyenera kukulira -13.8 bn, pomwe kubwereketsa pagulu kumanenedweratu kuti kudzakhazikika pa £ 6.6 bn ndipo GDP yomaliza ikuyembekezeredwa pa 0.8%.
Zambiri pa Canada zikuphatikiza kuti CPI ikuyembekezeka kubwera pa 0.1% pomwe malonda ogulitsa akuyenera kukhala osalala ndipo CPI ikuyembekezeredwa ndi 0.2%. Zambiri zomaliza za GDP ku USA zikuyembekezeka kuwonetsa kukula kwa 3.6% pachaka. Chidaliro cha ogula ku Europe chikuyembekezeka kudzachitika pa -15 pomwe chochitika chomaliza chomaliza chokhudza sabata chidzavotera Purezidenti wa Fed.
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