Ndalama zaku US zikukwera patatha masiku awiri kugwa, FOMC ikuwonetsa kuti chiwongola dzanja cha Marichi chikukwera, golide akukwera, pomwe dollar yaku US imagwera motsutsana ndi anzawo angapo
Purezidenti Trump adalankhula koyamba pamsonkhano wa mgwirizano Lachitatu m'mawa kwambiri, zomwe zimawoneka kuti zikhazikitse mitima ya amalonda aku Wall Street, zomwe zidapangitsa kuti misika yamalonda yaku USA ikwere pamene gawo la New York limatsegulidwa. FOMC yalengeza kuti chiwongola dzanja (chachikulu) chikhalebe pa 1.5% kumapeto kwa msonkhano wawo wamasiku awiri. Munkhani yomwe ikutsatirayi, komiti ya Fed idapereka chitsogozo, kuwonetsa kuti chiwonjezeko cha Marichi chinali chotheka kwambiri, chifukwa chakulimba kuposa momwe amayembekezera komanso chidaliro chawo chakuti inflation idzakwera kuposa 2%. Mgwirizano wapakati, kuchokera kwa akatswiri ambiri omwe adafunsidwa pambuyo pa chisankho cha chiwongola dzanja, ndikuti mamembala a FOMC tsopano asunthira singanoyo pamalingaliro a hawkish.
Zokolola pamalipiro azachuma zaka khumi zidafika pamlingo wokwera kwambiri kuyambira Epulo 2014, kupitirira 2.75%. SPX tsopano yalemba kuyambira koyambirira kwa Januware kuyambira 1997, kutseka pang'ono ndi 0.05%, ngakhale misika itatseka ziwonetsero za SPX ndi DJIA zidagwa mtsogolo. USD idakwera ndi circa 0.3% poyerekeza ndi yen, komabe motsutsana ndi euro ndi UK mapaundi dola idagwa, pomwe index ya dollar idatsika ndi circa 0.2% Lachitatu. Gold idagwira zomwe idagulitsidwa posachedwa, potseka pafupifupi 0.4%. Mafuta a WTI adawopseza kuti aphwanya $ 65.00 ya mbiya, pomwe ofufuza akuwonetsa nkhawa kuti California (chuma chachisanu ndi chimodzi / chachisanu ndi chiwiri padziko lonse lapansi), itha kukhala ndi ndalama zokwana $ 4 pa galoni mu Meyi. Nkhani za kalendala yachuma nthawi zambiri zimakomera chuma cha USA; nambala yosintha ntchito ku ADP inali yolimbikitsa; pa 234k akumenya zomwe zanenedwa, ndikuwonetsa kuti nambala ya NFP itha kumenyanso nyengo ikadasindikizidwa Lachisanu, pomwe malonda akunyumba akuyembekezereka.
Nkhani zaku Europe zidayang'ana kutulutsidwa kwa Germany; kugulitsa malonda kunaphonya chandamale patali, kugwa ndi -1.9% MoM ndi chifaniziro chomwecho YoY, chiwonetsero cha YoY chikuyembekezeka kulembetsa kukula kwa 2.8%. Ulova sunasinthe ku Germany pa 5.4%, pomwe milandu ya ulova idagwa. Kuchuluka kwa ulova ku Eurozone kudatsalira pa 8.3%, kukwera kwamitengo mu EZ kudabwera chiyembekezo chapamwamba kuposa 1.3%, ndipo yuro idawoneka ngati ikumveka pa nkhani, ofufuza akuwona kuti ECB itha kukhala ndi mavuto olimbikitsa kukwera kwamitengo kuchitika, asanafike mwamphamvu APP ndipo mwina kukweza chiwongola dzanja pamwamba pa 0.00%. DAX idazembera, pomwe CAC ndi EURO STOXX zidakwera pang'ono.
M'masiku opanda phokoso, pankhani zachuma komanso zandale ku UK kuwerenga kodziwika kwambiri komwe kunafotokozedwa kumakhudza kuwerenga kwa chidaliro kwa ogula GfK, komwe kudasintha kukhala -9 kuchokera -13. Sterling adakumana ndi kugwa pang'ono, chifukwa chakumva kuti akuluakulu aku European Commission akukana lingaliro la City of London loti achite mgwirizano wamalonda wa Brexit wokhudza ntchito zachuma. Komabe, mapaundi tsopano ali ndi mwezi wabwino kwambiri wopindulitsa motsutsana ndi USD kuyambira Meyi 2009, pafupifupi 5% pamwezi.
EURO
EUR / USD idagulitsidwa mosiyanasiyana ndi kukondera kwamphamvu pamasiku a Lachitatu, kukwera kudzera mu R1, isanapereke zopindulitsa kuti zithetse tsikuli pafupifupi 0.1% ku 1.241, pamwambapa pa pivot point. EUR / GBP imagulitsidwa pamitundu ingapo, ikungoyenda pakati pamikhalidwe yolimba ndi yotsika, ikukwera pamwamba pa R1, ndikubwerera mmbuyo kudzera mu PP tsiku lililonse kufikira S1, kutseka pafupifupi 0.3% pa 0.874.
KUCHITA
GBP / USD imagulitsidwa tsiku lonse mwamphamvu, ndikuphwanya R1 madzulo musanapindule, kutseka pafupifupi 0.3% pafupifupi. 1.420. Sterling idachita bwino kwambiri patsikuli motsutsana ndi Aussie; GPB / AUD idakwapulidwa pamiyeso yosiyanasiyana ndikukondera kopitilira muyeso, kutseka pafupifupi 0.6% pa 1.761, kuphwanya R2.
USDOLLAR
USD / JPY imagulitsidwa mozungulira zolimbitsa pafupifupi 0.4% patsikuli, kutseka pafupifupi 0.3%, ndikubwerera m'manja mwa 109 pa 109.1. USD / CHF idagulitsa mayendedwe olimba a circa 0.3% masana, kutseka pafupifupi 0.3% patsikuli, kupumula ku S1 pa 0.930. USD / CAD idakwapulidwa pamitundu ingapo, kugwa mpaka S2, kugwa ndi circa 0.6% mkati mwa intraday yotsika ya 1.2300, isanayambirenso kutuluka pafupifupi circa 1.2303, pansi pafupifupi. 0.3%.
Golide
XAU / USD idatseka pafupifupi 0.4% patsikuli, ndikumanga kugwa kwaposachedwa komwe mtengo wachitsulo wamtengo wapatali ukugwa kuchokera ku 1,366 mpaka 1,333. Kugwera pamtengo pansi mpaka kutsika kwamkati mwa 1,332 kwamtengo kenako kuchokeranso ku 1,345 paunzi.
ZIZINDIKIRO ZOTHANDIZA ZA JANUARY 31.
• DJIA yatseka 0.28%.
• SPX inatseka 0.05%.
• FTSE 100 inatseka 0.72%.
• DAX inatseka 0.06%.
• CAC inatseka 0.15%.
• EURO STOXX yatseka 0.07%.
ZOFUNIKA KWAMBIRI ZA KALENDA ZOCHITIKA KWA FEBRUARY 1.
• GBP. Markit UK PMI Kupanga sa (JAN).
• USD. Zoyambitsa Zopanda Ntchito (JAN 27).
• CAD. RBC yaku Canada Yopanga PMI (JAN).
• USD. Kupanga kwa ISM (JAN).
• USD. Ntchito ya ISM (JAN).
« Monga USA misika yogwirizanitsa ikupitirizabe kufika pamwamba ndipo madola a US akugwa, kodi zingatanthauzanji kwa 2018, pa malonda a FX Ntchito yoyamba ya NFP yotulutsidwa mu 2018 ikuyembekezeka kubwerera, kuwerenga kwa Disembala kusanachitike »
