Chiwerengero chaposachedwa kwambiri ku UK GDP chitha kukhala chofunikira kwambiri ndikuwonetsa zovuta za Brexit
Nthawi ya 9:30 m'mawa GMT, Lachinayi Novembala 23, bungwe lowerengera ku UK la ONS liulula ziwerengero zaposachedwa pamwezi komanso pachaka cha GDP pazachuma ku UK. Mapa sakusintha; Kukula kwa 1.5% pachaka ndi 0.4% kotala 3, yofanana ndi 0.4% yomwe idanenedwa pa Q2. Pomwe ziwerengerozi sizowopsa kuposa owunikira ambiri komanso omwe amagulitsa ndalama akuwopa ku UK pambuyo poti chisankho cha referendum chidachitika mu Juni 2016, 1.5% ikukwera ikuyimira kuchepetsedwa kwa ziwerengero zakukula kwa 2% + mu 2016 ndipo sichikugwirizana ndi ziwonetsero zonse boma la Britain ndi bungwe lawo la OBR (ofesi yamabizinesi) ya 2017.
Ziwerengero za GDP zidzalengezedwa tsiku lotsatira Chancellor waku UK akapereka bajeti yake, zomwe zapezedwa posachedwa zawonetsa kuti kubwereka kwa boma ndi kuchepa kwachulukitsa MoM, chiwerengero cha GDP chikhala chikuyang'aniridwa mosamala ndi osunga ndalama ngati ali ndi zofooka zomwe zikuchitika, monga zikuwululidwa ndi negative -0.3% YoY kukula kwazogulitsa komwe kwalembedwa posachedwa, pachuma chomwe chimadalira kwambiri ogula, chiwerengerochi chidadzetsa nkhawa kwa azimayi.
Otsatsa ndi akatswiri atha kukhulupirira kuti (kwakanthawi) koipa kwambiri kwatha ku UK, malinga ndi zomwe Brexit imachita. Ponseponse sterling yakhalabe ndi (mwina) mulingo wapamwamba motsutsana ndi anzawo, ngakhale pali zovuta za Brexit. Kuyambira pomwe adafika pachimake pazaka zambiri za 93.00 kumapeto kwa Ogasiti 2017, EUR / GBP yabwereranso kumatanthauza; tsopano yakhazikika pafupi ndi mulingo wa 89.00, kulephera kugwira paketi ya 90.00. GBP / USD tsopano ili pamlingo wa 1.32, utagwa kudzera 1.20 mu Januware, ngakhale ziyenera kudziwika kuti kupindula kwa chingwe kwachitika makamaka chifukwa chofooka kwa dollar, motsutsana ndi mphamvu zopambana.
Ziwerengero zaposachedwa zakukula zikaphonya zolinga, ndizotheka kuti mitanda yayikulu ndi chingwe (GBP / USD) zidzakhudzidwa. Mofananamo, ngati ziwerengerozi zikugunda zolosera, ndiye kuti sterling iyenera kukwera motsutsana ndi anzawo ndipo chiwerengero cha Q2 chimawulula kusintha pang'ono pa 0.3% yomwe idalembedweratu Q1, pomwe Q3 mbiri yakale imatha kuyimira kotala labwino kwambiri pakukula kwachuma.
Monga zochitika zovuta pakalendala yazachuma, ziwerengero za GDP nthawi zonse zimatha kugwiritsira ntchito ndalama zapakhomo mdziko momwe ziwerengerozi zimatulutsidwa, chifukwa chake amalonda a FX amalangizidwa kuti: asankhe mwambowu, kuwunika momwe alili ndi chingwe ndi sterling mitanda, ndikusintha zoopsa zawo ndi malo awo moyenera.
UK WOFUNIKA KWAMBIRI METRICS MITU YA NKHANI
• Kukula kwa GDP kotala kotala 0.4%.
• Kukula kwa GDP pachaka 1.5%.
• Kutsika kwa mitengo (CPI) 3%.
• Ulova 4.3%.
• Kukula kwa malipiro 2.2%.
Chiwongola dzanja cha 0.5%.
• Zogulitsa zogulitsa YoY -0.3%.
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