OECD Imadula Bubble la Eurozone ngati 200 Miliyoni Amawopa Opanda Ntchito

Novembala 1 • Pakati pa mizere • 4391 Views • Comments Off pa OECD Pricks Buluu la ku Ulaya monga 200 Million amawopa Ntchito

Kodi ndizosamveka kapena mwangozi kuti pamene tikulandila nzika yathu yachisanu ndi chiwiri yapadziko lonse lapansi kusowa ntchito padziko lonse lapansi kufika 200 miliyoni malinga ndi ILO. Bungwe la International Labor Organisation linanena mu lipoti lake kuti pafupifupi ntchito zopezera ndalama zatsopano zokwana 80 miliyoni zidzafunika zaka ziwiri zikubwerazi kuti zibwererenso kuntchito zantchito zovuta-27 miliyoni m'maiko akutukuka komanso zotsalira m'maiko omwe akutukuka kumene. Zikuyerekeza kuti 40 miliyoni okha ndi omwe apangidwe.

"Tili ndi mwayi wopewa mwayi wokhala pantchito," atero a Raymond Torres, wamkulu wa ILO International Institute for Labor Study, yemwe adapereka lipotilo.

Chiwopsezo chazisokonezo pakati pa anthu chikuwonjezeka m'maiko 45 mwa mayiko 118 omwe adasanthula - makamaka m'chigawo cha European Union ndi Arab, ILO idachenjeza. Zambiri zomwe zatulutsidwa Lolemba zikuwonetsa kuti anthu omwe sali pantchito kudera la yuro adakwera kufika pa 16.2 miliyoni mu Seputembala, omwe ndi ochuluka kwambiri kuyambira pomwe mbiri idayamba mu 1998. Bungwe la ILO lati kuchuluka kwa anthu osowa ntchito padziko lonse lapansi kwachulukanso kuposa 200 miliyoni.

Msonkhano wa G20 usanachitike sabata ino ku Cannes, France OECD yawononga chipanichi ndikudula mphukira yamasabata apitawo asadasonkhanitsidwe ndi akuluakulu ndikukambirana kwathunthu. OECD idati kukula kwachuma mu yuro kudzafika pang'onopang'ono ku 0.3pc chaka chamawa kutha kwa 1.6pc chaka chino, ndipo kudzakhalabe kofooka ku US chifukwa misika yomwe ikubwera ikukula pang'onopang'ono kusiyana ndi mavuto azachuma asanayambe. Ponseponse, kukula kwamayiko a G20 kudzafika pang'onopang'ono mpaka 3.8pc mu 2012, poyerekeza ndi 3.9pc chaka chino, kutha kupita ku 4.6pc mu 2013. OECD idawonjezeranso kuti zochitikazo zikhala zoyipa kwambiri ngati mgwirizano wopulumutsa yurozone walephera kubwezeretsanso chidaliro. OECD idati chuma cha US chikukula 1.8% chaka chamawa, zochepera ndi kukula kwa 3.1% komwe zidanenedweratu mu Meyi, ndipo zikuyenda mwachangu mu 2013, ndikukula kwa 2.5%. Chiwongola dzanja cha GDP chidzapitilira kukula, kufikira zaka ziwiri 108.7% ku US, 97.6% kudera la euro ndi 227.6% ku Japan, ziwerengero za OECD zidawonetsa.

Kubwereranso kwa mavuto azachuma a 2007 kumatha kufafaniza mpaka 5% pa GDP yayikulu yazachuma pofika theka loyamba la 2013, OECD idawonjezera. Komabe, pulani yayikulu yochitidwa ndi G20 itha kuthandiza kupititsa patsogolo malingaliro ake. Mayiko a G20 akuyenera kupanga masinthidwe amachitidwe kuti athane ndi kusowa kwa ntchito ndikuchepetsa kufunikira kwapadziko lonse lapansi, pomwe chiwongola dzanja ku yuro chiyenera kutsitsidwa pansi pa purezidenti watsopano Mario Draghi, OECD idawonjezera.

Pomwe maso ambiri amayang'ana kwambiri pamsika wamsika kuyambira pomwe sabata yatha adalengeza yankho (lamtundu wina) pamavuto akulu aku Eurozone euro sanasewere pomwe ataya zonse zomwe apeza positi yankho. Ndalamayi tsopano yachotsa zopindulitsa zonse, pafupi ndi ma pips 400 poyerekeza ndi dollar yaku USA kuyambira sabata yatha. Usiku utsiku maiko ena a PIIGS, mwanjira yabwino kwambiri ya 'Oliver Twist', akufunsa mwaulemu "chonde Bwana, ndingapeze zambiri?" Atawona Greece ikumeta tsitsi la makumi asanu pa zana aliwonse tsopano akumva kuti ali ndi mphamvu zofunsa chifukwa chomwe akuyenera kulimbikira ndi thukuta kuti asunge zovuta ndi kuwalanga malipiriro omwe onse agwirizana miyezi khumi ndi iwiri yapitayi.

Ndi nkhandwe yayikulu yakuda kwambiri ku Greece yomwe ikukhala, inki itangouma pamgwirizanowu ndipo akuwonetsa kuti referendum yapadziko lonse lapansi, chipewa chonyongedwa, ndiye kuti 'akuumitsa' padziko lonse lapansi, koma anali ndi ena aphunzitsi ndi maphunziro a helluva pazaka zitatu zapitazi. Papandreou ananenanso kuti apempha kuti amupatse voti yolimba mtima kuti athandizidwe pomenyera ufulu wake pazaka zonse zinayi, zomwe zitha mu 2013. Ofufuzawo adati atha kupambana izi, ngakhale panali kusagwirizana pakati pa gulu lake lamalamulo. Adakakamizidwa kuthamangitsa membala wachipani chovota chifukwa chovota motsutsana ndi gawo lina lamapulogalamu ake aposachedwa ndipo ena adamuchenjeza kuti inali nthawi yomaliza kuti avotere zomwe sanakhulupirire.

Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi adakumana ndi mayankho atsopano kuti atule pansi udindo Lolemba pomwe misika idayamba kuyambika ku Italy, kukankhira ndalama zake kubwereka kuzinthu zatsopano zowopsa pakukhalanso ndi nkhawa zakuchulukirachulukira kwachuma cha zone ya yuro. Zokolola pazaka 10 zakunyumba zaku Italy, ma bond rate okhazikika omwe amadziwika kuti BTP adakwera kufika pa 6.1%, mulingo womwe umawoneka kuti sungapezeke kwanthawi yayitali komanso pafupi ndi gawo lomwe linakakamiza Roma kufunafuna thandizo ku European Central Bank mu Ogasiti. ECB idapitilizabe kulowererapo kuti Roma ibwereke ndalama pogula ndalama zaku Italiya pamsika Lolemba koma chiwopsezo chake chidapitilirabe kukwera ndipo zokolola zaku Italy zaka 10 zidamaliza tsikuli kuposa mfundo 407 pamwambapa Bench Bunds.

 

 

Kudumpha kwa zokololaku kukuwonetsa kukhudzidwa kwakukula pamsika pamalingaliro omwe atsogoleri aku EU adagwirizana sabata yatha kuti athetse mavuto azandale ya euro ndikutsimikizira malo aku Italy pakatikati pangozi. Sabata yatha, Italy idalipira zokolola za 6.06% pamsika wazaka 10, zomwe ndizokwera kwambiri kuyambira kukhazikitsidwa kwa yuro zaka zopitilira khumi zapitazo, zomwe zidakulitsa nkhawa yokhudzana ndi momwe zithandizira ndalama zoposa ma euro biliyoni 600 ikufunika kukonzanso pazaka zitatu zikubwerazi. Italy, chuma chachitatu chachikulu kwambiri m'chigawo cha yuro, ikadakhala yayikulu kwambiri kuti oyang'anira zigawo za euro atulutse ndalama ndipo atsogoleri aku EU akhala akukakamiza Berlusconi kuti isinthe mwachangu komanso mozama kuti achepetse kuchepa ndikukulitsa kukula.

Kukwera kwamitengo yama Euro kudakwera modabwitsa pa 3.0% pamwezi wachiwiri wowongoka mu Okutobala, EU idalengeza Lolemba, ndikupangitsa akatswiri azachuma kuti abweretse ndalama zawo kubanki yayikulu yodulidwa mpaka Disembala. Zoyesayesa zokopa China kuti ipatse gawo lapaulendo njira yothandizira zidzawonekera pa Msonkhano wa G20 ndikusiya Beijing atagwira makhadi pomwe atsogoleri adziko akuyesera kubwezeretsa chidaliro pamsika. Ngakhale akuluakulu aku Europe adakana kuti ataya mwayi wawo wokambirana ndipo akulonjeza kuti dziko la China silingaperekedwe chilolezo, cholinga chaku Europe chofuna kuti Beijing ipereke ndalama pagalimoto yapadera (SPIV) kuti igwiritse ntchito ndalama zawo za EFSF yayika mpira kukhothi ku China pamsonkhano womaliza wa France ku G20.

Otsatsa anali ndi nkhawa kwambiri kuti atsogoleri azigawo za yuro sangagwirizane pakuthana ndi mavuto azangongole mu Okutobala kotero kuti adachepetsa ndalama zofika pamlingo wachiwiri wotsika kwambiri m'miyezi 12, kafukufuku wa Reuters adawonetsa Lolemba. Kafukufuku wa Reuters of 56 nyumba zoyendetsera ndalama ku United States, Japan, Europe ex UK ndi Britain adawonetsa kuti masheya omwe amakhala ndi mbiri yabwino anali 49.5%, kutsika ndi 50.5% mu Seputembala.

Mabungwe adakwera mpaka 35.9% kuchoka pa 34.6% pomwe ndalama zidatsikira mpaka 5.9%, akadali gawo lachiwiri pamiyezi 12 yapitayi pambuyo pa Seputembala 6.3 peresenti. Kuwonjezeka kwa magawidwe azachuma kunawonetsa mantha ena a omwe amagulitsa ndalama, koma zinali njira zina. Kugawidwa kwapadziko lonse lapansi ku ngongole yaku US kudakwera mpaka 40.3 peresenti kuchoka pa 35.2 peresenti ndikusunga ma bond aku Japan kudakwera pang'ono. Koma ngongole zandalama zaku euro zidagwera mpaka 27.4 peresenti kuchokera pa 29.1% - mwezi wachinayi motsatana adadulidwa.

misika
SPX inatseka 2.47%, STOXX inatseka 3.13%, FTSE inatseka 2.77%, CAC pansi 3.16% ndipo DAX inatseka 3.23%. Tsogolo lazandalama la FTSE likuwonetsa kutsegulidwa kwa circa 1% kutsika, tsogolo la SPX equity lidatsika pafupifupi 0.3% pa ​​23:00 GMT Lolemba.

Kalendala yachuma idatulutsa zomwe zingakhudze malingaliro amsika ku London ndi ku Europe m'mawa.

07: 00 UK - Mitengo Yadziko Lonse Mitengo Okutobala
09: 30 UK - PMI Kupanga Okutobala
09: 30 UK - GDP Q3
09: 30 UK - Index of Services Ogasiti

Ziwerengero za GDP yaku UK zithandizira kwambiri. Ofufuza omwe adafunsidwa ndi Bloomberg adaneneratu za 0.30% pakatikati pa kotala, kuchokera kotala lomaliza la 0.1%. Chaka ndi chaka, kafukufukuyu adaneneratu kuti 0.4%, kuchokera kutulutsidwa kwa 0.6% koyambirira. Komabe, pali kuthekera kwakukulu kwa munthu wolakwika yemwe angadabwe msika.

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