Ziwerengero zaposachedwa za GDP zachuma ku USA zitha kuthandiza Fed kukhazikitsa njira zandalama mu 2018
Pa 13:30 pm GMT Lachitatu 29th, chiwonetsero chaposachedwa pamtengo wapachaka ku GDP yapachaka ku USA, chidzafalitsidwa. Chiwerengero cha kotala chomaliza chidatulutsa kuchuluka kwa 3%, malingaliro ogwirizana, omwe adasonkhanitsidwa kuchokera kwa akatswiri azachuma omwe adafunsidwa ndi Reuters, akuwonetsa kukwera kwa 3.2% pakukula kwaposachedwa kwa QoQ.
Ndi omwe amagulitsa ndalama ku USA adayang'ana pamalingaliro amisonkho a a Trump, omwe atha kuvoteredwa Lachinayi ku Senate ndi FOMC chifukwa chokumana mu Disembala 12-13, kuti akambirane za chiwongola dzanja ndi mfundo zandalama, chiwerengerochi chatsopano cha GDP chikhoza kukhazikika m'malingaliro a mipando Yachigawo ya Fed omwe amapanga FOMC, pomwe akusankha chiwongola dzanja cha 2018.
Lingaliro lodabwitsa ndiloti FOMC yalengeza zakukwera kwa chiwongola dzanja chachikulu ku USA mpaka 1.5%, kumapeto kwa msonkhano wawo wa Disembala. Komabe, ndi nkhani yakutsogola yomwe ikutsatira chilengezo chilichonse, chokhudza nthawi iliyonse yomwe ikukwera mu 2018, yomwe amalonda ndi amalonda a FX adzayang'ana kwambiri.
Chiwerengero cha GDP chikafika pakulosera kukula kwa 3.2%, ndiye kuti FOMC ikhoza kumva kuti ili ndi mphamvu zopitilira pulogalamu yokwera mu 2018, kuti ikweze chiwongola dzanja chachikulu kufika 3% mu 2018. Ngati FOMC ikweza mu Disembala, ndiye kuti apitilizabe kudzipereka kwawo ku 2017 kukweza katatu mu 2017. Pomwe kubweza kwa FOMC ndi mfundo zandalama osati zandalama, azindikira thandizo lomwe a Trump amalipira pamisika yachuma, chifukwa ndondomeko yawo ya ndalama atha kukhala okhwimitsa ndalama ndikulimbitsa chilimbikitso cha ndalama, ngati kukula kuli kolimba ndikuchepetsa misonkho kukhazikitsidwa kwathunthu.
Ngati GDP yaposachedwa ibwera monga momwe amanenera, kapena kugunda, ndiye kuti awiriawiri a ndalama za USD atha kukwera chifukwa: azachuma, amalonda ndi owunikira adzalimbikitsidwa pakupitilizabe komwe chuma cha USA chapanga ndikuwona kuti chuma chili cholimba nyengo yokhazikika yakukwera ikukwera mu 2018. Otsatsa ndalama atha kunena kuti Fed ili ndi malo oyambira kudzichotsera ndalama zake zokwana $ 4.5 trilioni, zomwe zidapezeka kudzera mu pulogalamu yake yogulira zinthu (QE) kuyambira 2007, monga vuto lazachuma adayambitsa kufalikira m'misika yonse yazachuma.
Mwachilengedwe ngati kuneneratu kuphonya kuneneratu zakukwera mpaka 3.2%, omwe akutenga nawo mbali pamsika angaganize kuti FOMC iyenera kutsatira mfundo zowopsya kwambiri mu 2018, popeza kukula kwachuma ku USA sikumangidwa pamaziko olimba omwe deta yolimba yaposachedwa yanena.
ZOFUNIKA KWAMBIRI ZINTHU ZOPHUNZITSIDWA ZA USA
• Kukula kwa PGDP 3%.
• Kuchuluka kwa ntchito 4.1%.
• Mtengo wama inflation wa 2%.
Chiwongola dzanja cha 1.25%.
• Ngongole zaboma ku GDP 106%.
Wophatikiza PMI 54.6.
• Kukula kwa malonda ogulitsa 4.6% YoY.
• Kukula kwa malipiro 3.2%.
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