Chuma cha Germany chikupewa kugwa kwaukadaulo, pomwe zogulitsa ku China zimabwereranso

Feb 14 • Zogulitsa Zamalonda, Ndemanga za Msika • 1623 Views • Comments Off pa Chuma cha Germany chikupewa kugwa kwaukadaulo, pomwe zogulitsa ku China zimabwereranso

Chiwerengero chaposachedwa cha GDP ku Germany pa Q4 chinabwera pa 0.00%, patsogolo pa -0.2% yolembedwa pa Q3. Magawo awiri mwa magawo atatu (motsatira) amawerengedwa molakwika amawonedwa ngati kuchepa kwachuma. Chifukwa chake, chuma cha Germany pakali pano chitha kufotokozedwa kuti sichikuyenda bwino, ngakhale kukula kwa YoY kukubwera pa 0.9%. Zifukwa za kuchepa kwachuma kwaposachedwa ndi izi: kuchepa kwapadziko lonse lapansi, kutsika kwa malonda agalimoto, nyengo ndi Brexit. Kuwopseza, komanso kukhudzidwa pang'ono kwamitengo ya olamulira a Trump pazolowa ku Europe ku America, kudapangitsanso kuchepa kwa kufunikira ndi kupezeka. Chiwopsezo cha kutulutsa mpweya kwa opanga magalimoto ena aku Germany nawonso.

Ziwerengero zaposachedwa za kukula kwa GDP ya Eurozone zidasindikizidwanso Lachitatu m'mawa, zomwe zidakumana ndi zoneneratu ndi kukula kwa GDP mu Q4 kusungidwa pa 0.2%, ndikukula kwa 1.2% pachaka. Kusintha kwa ntchito kudakwera ndi 0.3% mu Q4. Pa 9: 00am UK nthawi EUR / USD idagulitsidwa pafupi ndi lathyathyathya, mozama pansi pa chogwirira cha 1.130. Yuro idatsika poyerekeza ndi anzawo ambiri, motsutsana ndi UK paundi yuro yomwe idagulitsidwa, EUR/GBP idagulitsidwa pa 0.23% pa ​​0.878.

Zotsatira zakukonzekera kwa Brexit zidzamveka ndi mayiko ena oyandikana nawo azachuma, mayiko aku Europe akusintha kwambiri machitidwe awo kuti athane ndi mtundu uliwonse wa Brexit, kaya palibe mgwirizano, kapena Brexit yofewa. Brexit yawononga chuma cha UK pafupifupi $ 80b pakukula komwe kudatayika pazaka kuyambira referendum ya EU, malinga ndi mkulu wa Bank of England.

Gertjan Vlieghe, membala wakunja wa komiti yowona zandalama ku Banki, amalankhula pamwambo ku London Lachitatu m'mawa, pomwe adaneneratu kuti palibe mgwirizano womwe ungakakamize kudulidwa kwadzidzidzi pamlingo waku UK. Anafotokoza kuti kuyambira pa referendum mu June 2016, chuma cha Britain chataya 2% ya GDP. Voti yawononga chuma cha $ 40b pachaka, pafupifupi $ 800m pa sabata ya ndalama zomwe zatayika.

GPB/USD idapitilizabe kugwa kwapang'onopang'ono kwaposachedwa, kugulitsa pansi 0.15% pa 1.285, mlingo wake wotsika kwambiri pamwezi. Kugwa kwa sterling kudachitikanso motsutsana ndi amnzake ambiri, koyambirira kwa gawo lazamalonda ku London. European equity indices inali pamwamba pa malonda oyambirira; FTSE 100 kukwera 0.35%, CAC kukwera 0.62% ndi DAX kukwera 0.27%. Mndandanda wotsogola ku UK tsopano ndi wocheperapo ndi mfundo za 100 kuchokera ku malonda ku 200 DMA, yomwe ili pa 7,296.

Zogulitsa kunja kuchokera ku China zidadabwitsa akatswiri pokwera 9.1% YoY mu Januware 2019, kugunda zolosera zamsika zakugwa kwa 3.2%, kubwereranso kutsika kwa 4.4% mwezi watha. Kukwera kwa malonda akunja kudabwera pomwe zokambirana zamalonda, pakati pa nthumwi zaku China ndi USA zikuyenda bwino. A Trump adzipereka kuti alole tsiku lomaliza la Marichi 1 mpaka 2 kuti achulukitse mitengo yamitengo, ngati onse angagwirizane njira yopita patsogolo. Kutumiza kwa aluminiyamu ku China kudakwera 25.5% YoY kufika patali matani 552 miliyoni mu Januware, pomwe malonda azitsulo adakula mpaka matani 6.19 miliyoni. Kutumiza kwa malasha kunja kunakwera 0.28% YoY kufika matani 0.60 miliyoni.

USD / CNY idagulitsidwa ku 6.783 ku 9: 00am, pafupi ndi lathyathyathya. Yuan yomwe ikutsika kuchokera pa 7.000 poyerekeza ndi USD mu Okutobala 2018, yathandizanso kugulitsa kwa China ku USA ndi chuma china. Dola ya Aussie idakwera m'magawo a Sydney-Asian, potengera ubale wake wapamtima wamalonda ndi China, nkhani zabwino zilizonse zachuma zochokera kumayiko ndi ku Asia konse, zimakonda kukulitsa mtengo wa AUD. Pa 9: 30am UK nthawi AUD / USD idagulitsidwa ku 0.710 mpaka 0.28%, kugwa pambuyo pophwanya R1, kumayambiriro kwa gawo lazamalonda la Asia.

Kuyang'ana ku gawo la New York, nkhani zazikulu zomwe zimakhudza kwambiri ndikugulitsa kwapamwamba. Metric iyi nthawi zambiri imagwiritsidwa ntchito kukhazikitsa chidaliro cha ogula ku USA. Zoloserazo ndi za mwezi pamwezi kugwa mpaka 0.1% mu Disembala. Ma metric ena okhudzana ndi magwiridwe antchito aku US adzawululidwa. Zambiri zokhudzana ndi PPI (producer price index) zidzasindikizidwa mu gawo la masana pamene deta yogulitsira ikuwulutsidwa. Deta ya PPI imawonedwa ngati chizindikiro chotsogola cha komwe mitengo ya zinthu ku USA ikhoza kupita, pakanthawi kochepa kapena kakang'ono.

Zonena zaposachedwa zaposachedwa zapasabata za kusowa ntchito komanso zodandaula mosalekeza za ulova ku USA, zimasindikizidwanso pagawo lamakono la New York. Otsatsa malonda a USD alangizidwa kuti azikhala tcheru pazotulutsa izi. Atha kusuntha misika ya USD ndi USA equity indices, ngati zolosera zakwaniritsidwa kapena kumenyedwa. Pa 10:30am UK nthawi misika yam'tsogolo ikuwonetsa kutsegulidwa kwabwino ku US; SPX idakwera 0.23% ndipo NASDAQ idakwera 0.35%, zomwe zingayimire kukwera kwatsopano kwa 2019. USD / JPY idagulitsidwa pamwamba pa chogwirira cha 110.00 chovuta kwambiri pa 111.0 mpaka 0.04%, pomwe dola ikuwonetsa DXY idagulitsidwa pa 97.16 mpaka 0.3%.

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