Gawo 26 • Ndemanga za Msika • 4881 Views • Comments Off pa The Euro is Dead, Long Live the Euro
Lidzafika tsiku lomwe mayiko onse pakontinenti yathu apanga ubale waku Europe. Tsiku lidzafika lomwe tidzawona United States of America ndi United States of Europe, maso ndi maso, ndikufunsana wina ndi mnzake kudutsa nyanja. - Victor Hugo 1848.
Mu December 1996, mapangidwe a ndalama za euro adasankhidwa pambuyo pa mpikisano. Bungwe la European Monetary Institute (EMI) linasankha wopambana, wojambula wa ku Austria Robert Kalina, “Mibadwo ndi Masitayelo ku Europe” unali mutuwo. Chizindikiro chinali; mazenera, zipata, ndi milatho. Luc Luycx, wojambula waku Belgian, adapambana mpikisano waku Europe wopangidwa kuti apange ndalama zasiliva. Adapanga gawo lofananira ku Europe. Mbali yadziko ndiyosiyana m'maiko khumi ndi awiriwo. Euro poyamba idakhala ndalama wamba ku Europe kumayiko khumi ndi awiri ku European Union. Uku kunali kungosintha kwakukulu komwe dziko lamakono lidawonapo pomwe ndalamazo 'zidayamba kukhala' mu 2002.
European Union (EU) ndi yolemera ngati United States. EU ndiye malo ogulitsa kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi. Yuro ndi ndalama yachiwiri ikulu yosungidwa ndipo ndiyo ndalama yachiwiri yogulitsidwa kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi pambuyo pa dola yaku United States. Kuyambira mu Julayi 2011, pafupifupi € 890 biliyoni ikufalikira, yuro inali ndi ndalama zonse zandalama ndi ndalama zandalama zomwe zikupezeka padziko lonse lapansi, kuposa dollar yaku US. Kutengera kuwerengera kwa International Monetary Fund kuyerekezera kwa GDP ya 2008 komanso kugula mphamvu pakati pa ndalama zosiyanasiyana, eurozone ndiye chuma chachiwiri padziko lonse lapansi.
George Soros, yemwe ndalama zake zokwana madola 10 biliyoni mu 1992 asadapereke ndalama za Bank of England paundi ndi John Taylor ku FX Concepts, yemwe amayendetsa ndalama zazikulu kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi, ananeneratu kutha kwa yuro, kapena akaneneratu kuti zidzagwa mofanana ndi dola . Komabe, kuneneratu kwawo kumatha kutanthauziridwa ngati kubetcha, mwachidziwikire ali ndi zifukwa zomwe akufuna kugwa ndipo zifukwa sizikhala zopanda pake, ndi umbombo wofunikira. Omwe adadzipereka kwathunthu pakulimbana motsutsana ndi ndalamazo atha kukhala kuti adathandizira gulu lolakwika. Musakhale onyenga kuti ngakhale kuli kugwada pomwe mukuyang'ana panyanja, kuwopseza komwe ndalama zakusungidwa ku USA kwadzetsa mpungwepungwe mu kayendetsedwe ka USA kuyambira mgwirizanowu wachuma ku Europe. Makamaka pomwe chiwopsezocho pakadali posungira dola chimafikira mafuta pamtengo mumauro.
Poyerekeza ndi dola, yuro yakhala ikuchokera pa masenti 82.3 mu Okutobala 2000 mpaka $ 1.6038 mu Julayi 2008. Mgwirizano wapakati ndikuti yuro izikhala pamwamba pa $ 1.30 chaka chino popeza ma Central Banks ndi ndalama zodziyimira palokha zimafuna njira zina kuposa dola. Tisaiwale kuti kutsimikiza mtima kwa SNB (Swiss National Bank) kukhomera franc kumathandiziranso kuti euro isakhale yosalunjika 'ndi proxy' yosungira chuma. Msomaliwu ukuwonetsa ngati chopweteka chachikulu kwa omwe anali atayimitsidwa kalekale komanso chuma chobisika.
Ngakhale kuti chisokonezo chonse cha euro chinalimbikitsidwa ndi 1.42 peresenti sabata yatha potsutsa tsamba la anthu asanu ndi anayi omwe anakhalapo pakati pa anzao, omwe amapeza kwambiri peresenti ya 1.55 m'nthawi ya June 3, malinga ndi Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Currency Indexes. Awoneratu peresenti ya 2.5 kuyambira pa mwezi uno pa Sept. 12, ma inde akuwonetsa. Mlungu wapita pafupi ndi $ 1.35, ndalamazo ndi 12 peresenti yoposa mphamvu yake ya $ 1.2024 kuyambira January 1999. Ngakhale akatswiri akudula maumboni awo kuti ayamikire, iwo akuwona kuti ikukwera kwa $ 1.43 pamapeto a 2012, malinga ndi kafukufuku wa 35 mufukufuku wa Bloomberg. A circa 40% kugwa, kuti afikire mgwirizano ndi dola ya USA, ndithudi ali pa radar?
Schneider Foreign Exchange, wolosera molondola kwambiri pazigawo zisanu ndi chimodzizi mpaka 30 Juni, malinga ndi zomwe adalemba ndi Bloomberg, akuneneratu kuti yuro idzagulitsa $ 1.56 chaka chamawa. Malinga ndi a Stephen Gallo, wamkulu wa kusanthula msika . Izi zitha kubwereranso ku UK monga kuchepa kwake ndikuwongolera ngongole zomwe pokhapokha mwa chisomo cha maubwenzi 'anzeru' ndikusokonekera sikunatsutsidwe. Pomwe ngongole yaku UK (ngongole) ku UK ikuwoneka kuti ikuyang'aniridwa ndi ngongole yanyumba (ngongole yonse) ikadali yayikulu.
"Sindikuganiza kuti euro idzaphwasuka, ikukumana ndi mavuto ambiri koma sizingatheke," Audrey Childe-Freeman, yemwe ali mkulu wa ndalama zamakono ku London ku bungwe labungwe labungwe la JPMorgan. "Kwachuma, palibe dziko limene lidzapindula chifukwa cha chigawo cha euro, ndipo chifukwa chake ndale, sizingatheke."
"Ndalama zambiri zandale komanso zandalama zidayikidwa palimodzi kuti ntchito ya yuro igwire ntchito ndikubweretsa dziko la Europe kuyandikira limodzi kuyambira kumapeto kwa nkhondo yachiwiri yapadziko lonse kuti liziwonongeka tsopano," - a Thanos Papasavvas, wamkulu wa kasamalidwe ka ndalama ku London ku Investec Asset Management Ltd., yomwe imayendetsa pafupifupi $ 95 biliyoni, yanena poyankhulana ndi Seputembala 20 ndi Bloomberg.
Pomwe njira zonse zofalitsira nkhani zakhala zakugwa kwa Euro, makamaka ndi andale akumapiko akumanja omwe akuvina msanga pamanda ake, kodi akuyenera kuyamba kuvomereza kuti ntchito yayikuluyi singaloledwe kulephera? Poganizira mbiri yaposachedwa ndikofunikira kukumbukira momwe mayiko olimba ngati Argentina adatulukira pamavuto azachuma, nkhawa yomwe ikuwonetsedwa mwa adani onse a Euro itha kukhala kuti dera la Euro likhoza kukhala lolimba komanso logwirizana mgwirizano ukatha. Lingaliro lomwe oyang'anira aku USA atha kupeza losasangalatsa ngati lingakhudze momwe amasungidwira ndalama zawo.
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Yuro yafa, Live Euroyo
Gawo 26 • Ndemanga za Msika • 4881 Views • Comments Off pa The Euro is Dead, Long Live the Euro
Lidzafika tsiku lomwe mayiko onse pakontinenti yathu apanga ubale waku Europe. Tsiku lidzafika lomwe tidzawona United States of America ndi United States of Europe, maso ndi maso, ndikufunsana wina ndi mnzake kudutsa nyanja. - Victor Hugo 1848.
Mu December 1996, mapangidwe a ndalama za euro adasankhidwa pambuyo pa mpikisano. Bungwe la European Monetary Institute (EMI) linasankha wopambana, wojambula wa ku Austria Robert Kalina, “Mibadwo ndi Masitayelo ku Europe” unali mutuwo. Chizindikiro chinali; mazenera, zipata, ndi milatho. Luc Luycx, wojambula waku Belgian, adapambana mpikisano waku Europe wopangidwa kuti apange ndalama zasiliva. Adapanga gawo lofananira ku Europe. Mbali yadziko ndiyosiyana m'maiko khumi ndi awiriwo. Euro poyamba idakhala ndalama wamba ku Europe kumayiko khumi ndi awiri ku European Union. Uku kunali kungosintha kwakukulu komwe dziko lamakono lidawonapo pomwe ndalamazo 'zidayamba kukhala' mu 2002.
European Union (EU) ndi yolemera ngati United States. EU ndiye malo ogulitsa kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi. Yuro ndi ndalama yachiwiri ikulu yosungidwa ndipo ndiyo ndalama yachiwiri yogulitsidwa kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi pambuyo pa dola yaku United States. Kuyambira mu Julayi 2011, pafupifupi € 890 biliyoni ikufalikira, yuro inali ndi ndalama zonse zandalama ndi ndalama zandalama zomwe zikupezeka padziko lonse lapansi, kuposa dollar yaku US. Kutengera kuwerengera kwa International Monetary Fund kuyerekezera kwa GDP ya 2008 komanso kugula mphamvu pakati pa ndalama zosiyanasiyana, eurozone ndiye chuma chachiwiri padziko lonse lapansi.
George Soros, yemwe ndalama zake zokwana madola 10 biliyoni mu 1992 asadapereke ndalama za Bank of England paundi ndi John Taylor ku FX Concepts, yemwe amayendetsa ndalama zazikulu kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi, ananeneratu kutha kwa yuro, kapena akaneneratu kuti zidzagwa mofanana ndi dola . Komabe, kuneneratu kwawo kumatha kutanthauziridwa ngati kubetcha, mwachidziwikire ali ndi zifukwa zomwe akufuna kugwa ndipo zifukwa sizikhala zopanda pake, ndi umbombo wofunikira. Omwe adadzipereka kwathunthu pakulimbana motsutsana ndi ndalamazo atha kukhala kuti adathandizira gulu lolakwika. Musakhale onyenga kuti ngakhale kuli kugwada pomwe mukuyang'ana panyanja, kuwopseza komwe ndalama zakusungidwa ku USA kwadzetsa mpungwepungwe mu kayendetsedwe ka USA kuyambira mgwirizanowu wachuma ku Europe. Makamaka pomwe chiwopsezocho pakadali posungira dola chimafikira mafuta pamtengo mumauro.
Poyerekeza ndi dola, yuro yakhala ikuchokera pa masenti 82.3 mu Okutobala 2000 mpaka $ 1.6038 mu Julayi 2008. Mgwirizano wapakati ndikuti yuro izikhala pamwamba pa $ 1.30 chaka chino popeza ma Central Banks ndi ndalama zodziyimira palokha zimafuna njira zina kuposa dola. Tisaiwale kuti kutsimikiza mtima kwa SNB (Swiss National Bank) kukhomera franc kumathandiziranso kuti euro isakhale yosalunjika 'ndi proxy' yosungira chuma. Msomaliwu ukuwonetsa ngati chopweteka chachikulu kwa omwe anali atayimitsidwa kalekale komanso chuma chobisika.
Ngakhale kuti chisokonezo chonse cha euro chinalimbikitsidwa ndi 1.42 peresenti sabata yatha potsutsa tsamba la anthu asanu ndi anayi omwe anakhalapo pakati pa anzao, omwe amapeza kwambiri peresenti ya 1.55 m'nthawi ya June 3, malinga ndi Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Currency Indexes. Awoneratu peresenti ya 2.5 kuyambira pa mwezi uno pa Sept. 12, ma inde akuwonetsa. Mlungu wapita pafupi ndi $ 1.35, ndalamazo ndi 12 peresenti yoposa mphamvu yake ya $ 1.2024 kuyambira January 1999. Ngakhale akatswiri akudula maumboni awo kuti ayamikire, iwo akuwona kuti ikukwera kwa $ 1.43 pamapeto a 2012, malinga ndi kafukufuku wa 35 mufukufuku wa Bloomberg. A circa 40% kugwa, kuti afikire mgwirizano ndi dola ya USA, ndithudi ali pa radar?
Schneider Foreign Exchange, wolosera molondola kwambiri pazigawo zisanu ndi chimodzizi mpaka 30 Juni, malinga ndi zomwe adalemba ndi Bloomberg, akuneneratu kuti yuro idzagulitsa $ 1.56 chaka chamawa. Malinga ndi a Stephen Gallo, wamkulu wa kusanthula msika . Izi zitha kubwereranso ku UK monga kuchepa kwake ndikuwongolera ngongole zomwe pokhapokha mwa chisomo cha maubwenzi 'anzeru' ndikusokonekera sikunatsutsidwe. Pomwe ngongole yaku UK (ngongole) ku UK ikuwoneka kuti ikuyang'aniridwa ndi ngongole yanyumba (ngongole yonse) ikadali yayikulu.
"Sindikuganiza kuti euro idzaphwasuka, ikukumana ndi mavuto ambiri koma sizingatheke," Audrey Childe-Freeman, yemwe ali mkulu wa ndalama zamakono ku London ku bungwe labungwe labungwe la JPMorgan. "Kwachuma, palibe dziko limene lidzapindula chifukwa cha chigawo cha euro, ndipo chifukwa chake ndale, sizingatheke."
"Ndalama zambiri zandale komanso zandalama zidayikidwa palimodzi kuti ntchito ya yuro igwire ntchito ndikubweretsa dziko la Europe kuyandikira limodzi kuyambira kumapeto kwa nkhondo yachiwiri yapadziko lonse kuti liziwonongeka tsopano," - a Thanos Papasavvas, wamkulu wa kasamalidwe ka ndalama ku London ku Investec Asset Management Ltd., yomwe imayendetsa pafupifupi $ 95 biliyoni, yanena poyankhulana ndi Seputembala 20 ndi Bloomberg.
Pomwe njira zonse zofalitsira nkhani zakhala zakugwa kwa Euro, makamaka ndi andale akumapiko akumanja omwe akuvina msanga pamanda ake, kodi akuyenera kuyamba kuvomereza kuti ntchito yayikuluyi singaloledwe kulephera? Poganizira mbiri yaposachedwa ndikofunikira kukumbukira momwe mayiko olimba ngati Argentina adatulukira pamavuto azachuma, nkhawa yomwe ikuwonetsedwa mwa adani onse a Euro itha kukhala kuti dera la Euro likhoza kukhala lolimba komanso logwirizana mgwirizano ukatha. Lingaliro lomwe oyang'anira aku USA atha kupeza losasangalatsa ngati lingakhudze momwe amasungidwira ndalama zawo.
yuroMavuto azachumandemanga za msika wa forex
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