Bank of Canada ikufuna kukweza chiwongola dzanja cha Canada Lachitatu kufika pa 1.25%, koma kodi atha kudabwitsa misika posunga mitengo osasintha?
Nthawi ya 15:00 GMT (nthawi yaku London) Lachitatu Januware 17, BOC (banki yayikulu yaku Canada), ithetsa msonkhano wawo wazachuma / misonkho ndi chilengezo chokhudza chiwongola dzanja chachikulu. Chiyembekezo, malinga ndi gulu lazachuma lomwe adafunsidwa ndi Reuters, ndichakuti chikwere kuchokera pamlingo wapano wa 1.00% mpaka 1.25%. Banki yayikulu idakweza chiwonetsero chake usiku umodzi ndi 0.25% mpaka 1% pamsonkhano wake wa Seputembara 6th 2017, izi zidadabwitsa misika yomwe sinkaganiza kuti isintha. Uku kunali kukwera kwachiwiri pamtengo wobwereketsa kuyambira Julayi, panthawi yomwe kukula kwa GDP kunali kwamphamvu kuposa momwe zimayembekezeredwa, zomwe zidathandizira lingaliro la BOC kuti kukula ku Canada kwakhala kokhazikika komanso kodzisamalira.
Kuchuluka kwa mitengo sikunakhudze mtengo wamadola aku Canada motsutsana ndi anzawo aku US, ngakhale USD idagulitsidwa kwambiri mu 2017, USD idachira motsutsana ndi CAD kuyambira sabata yachiwiri ya Seputembala, mpaka pafupifupi wachitatu sabata mu Disembala. CAD yapindula kwambiri motsutsana ndi USD m'masabata oyamba a 2018.
Mawu ochokera ku BOC mu Disembala, kutsata lingaliro lawo lokhala ndi mitengo pa 1.00%, zikuwoneka kuti zikutsutsana ndi malingaliro akuti mitengo idzakwezedwa Lachitatu, gawo lofalitsa atolankhani adati;
"Potengera momwe kutsika kwachuma kumakhalira komanso kusinthika kwazovuta komanso kusatsimikizika komwe kwadziwika mu MPR ya Okutobala, Khonsolo Yoyang'anira ikuweruza kuti malingaliro apano azachuma akadali oyenera. Ngakhale chiwongola dzanja chambiri chidzafunika pakapita nthawi, Bungwe Lolamulira lipitiliza kukhala osamala, motsogozedwa ndi zomwe zikubwera posanthula kukhudzidwa kwachuma ndi chiwongola dzanja, kusintha kwachuma, komanso mphamvu zakukula kwa malipiro komanso kukwera kwa mitengo. ”
Chiyambire kunena izi ndi kuchuluka kwake pamalingaliro, kuchuluka kwa ma data okhudzana ndi chuma cha Canada sikunali koyipa; Kukula kwa GDP kwapachaka kwatsika kuchokera pa 4.3% mpaka 1.7%, ndikukula kwapachaka kuchoka pa 3.6% mpaka 3.0%, chifukwa chake BOC itha kukhulupirira kuti ndichanzeru kusiya mitengo isasinthe. Kukula kwina komwe kungakhudze lingaliro lawo, kumaphatikizapo chiwopsezo chaposachedwa ndi Purezidenti wa USA a Trump kuti athetse bungwe la NAFTA laulere, lomwe limagwira bwino ntchito pakati pa; Mexico Canada ndi USA.
USD / CAD yagwa kwambiri kuyambira Disembala 20, kuyambira pafupifupi 1.29, mpaka kutsika kwaposachedwa kwa 1.24. BOC itha kuwona kuti mtengo wa dollar yaku Canada pakadali pano ndiwokwera poyerekeza ndi anzawo akulu, pomwe inflation ya 2.1% ikuwoneka kuti ikuwongoleredwa.
Ngakhale kuneneratu kopitilira muyeso kukweza mitengo kufika pa 1.25%, kuyambira mndandanda wa mitengo itatu ikukwera mu 2018, BOC itha kudabwitsa misika polengeza zakulipira, kukhala pafupi ndi chilengezo chazachuma chomwe chidapangidwa mu Disembala 2017. Komabe, amalonda akuyenera kusintha malo awo moyenera ndikuwona kuti kusinthasintha ndi kusintha kwamitengo mu dollar yaku Canada kungakwere patsikuli, zilizonse zomwe angaganize, makamaka ngati kukwera kwa 1.25% kwakhala kukugulitsidwa kale ndipo sikukuyenda bwino.
ZOTHANDIZA ZOTHANDIZA ZOTHANDIZA KU Canada
Chiwongola dzanja cha 1%.
• Mtengo wama inflation wa 2.1%.
• GDP 3%.
• Ulova 5.7%
• Ngongole zaboma ku GDP 92.3%.
« Golide ikukwera kufika 1,340, dollar yaku US imagwera motsutsana ndi anzawo akulu, ma indices aku Europe agwa pomwe misika yaku USA yatsekedwa tsiku la Martin Luther King Msika wamsika waku US watsekedwa, pomaliza ndikuwononga mndandanda wopambana wa 2018, USD yalephera kupindula motsutsana ndi anzawo akulu »
