Zomwe Zikuchitika pa Asia Session
Pambuyo pazigawo zinayi zotsatizana, mitengo yamtsogolo ya Golide ikukwera kwambiri koyambirira kwa Globex kupitirira theka la theka pakukhulupirira chiyembekezo cha mphindi za Fed zomwe zidalimbikitsa mamembala angapo kuthandizira ndalama zochulukirapo ngati chuma chitha.
Ngakhale kuchuluka kwa GDP yaku Japan kudapitilira kuyerekezera, magawo sakuwonetsa chiyembekezo chilichonse, koma maulendowa aku China akugwira mawu obiriwira popeza kuchepa kwawo kwachuma kuyenera kugwira ntchito kuyambira mawa.
Pakadali pano, Euro yadzaza zomwe tikuganiza kuti ndizongobwerera. Ndi ma 1trilion ochulukirapo omwe achotsedwa sabata ino, mabanki aku Greece adzafunika kupezanso ndalama ndipo pali malingaliro a LTRO3. Koma aka ndi koyamba ECB kuleka kubwereketsa kwakanthawi kumabanki aku Greece popeza alibe ndalama zambiri. Izi zitha kukakamiza Euro komanso mantha owonjezera kutuluka kwachi Greek atha kusokonekeranso pamsika.
Chifukwa chake, mantha opatsirana komanso kukana njira zoperekera chisankho pa Juni 17 zitha kuyika Euro ndi magulu ena azinthu pachiwopsezo. Golide sichimakhalanso chosiyana ndi ichi. Kuchokera pantchito zachuma, zopanga ku US zitha kuwonetsa kusintha ndipo zomwe zikunenedwa kuti zilibe ntchito zitha kutsika pambuyo poti ntchito zakapangidwe zikula.
Izi zitha kuthandizira dola madzulo. Zomwe zanenedwa pamwambapa, Golide akuyembekezeka kukhalabe wosakwanira tsikulo popeza ukadaulo wobwerera ukuyembekezeredwa. Komabe, monga tafotokozera, nkhawa sizothandiza kwa golide pakadali pano. Chifukwa chake, ngakhale kukokedwa kukuwoneka, sikungakakamize kwambiri.
Mitengo yamtsogolo ya siliva ikugulitsanso kwambiri patadutsa magawo asanu ndi awiri motsatizana.
Monga tafotokozera kawonedwe ka golideKukula kumeneku kukuyembekezeka kukhala kubwerera mmbuyo chifukwa palibe zifukwa zomwe msika ungakhalire otsimikiza kupatula ndemanga ya dzulo ya FOMC yotsegulira khomo lotseguka lotsatira.
Mbali inayi, kuchoka kwachi Greek ndi nkhani yodetsa nkhawa pakadali pano popeza ECB idasiya kubwereketsa mabanki awo chifukwa omwe alibe ndalama zambiri.
Tikuyembekeza kuti Euro ipitilizabe kupsinjika ndipo chifukwa chake siliva imatha kugwa Europe ikangotseguka. Zotulutsa zachuma zaku US ndizothandizanso pachuma chomwe chitha kukakamiza madzulo. Chifukwa chake siliva amayembekezeredwa kukhalabe atatsekedwa munthawi zosiyanasiyana.
Pakadali pano kumayambiriro kwa gawo la Asia, mafuta amtsogolo amitengo akugulitsa kuposa $ 93 / bbl ndikupeza ndalama zoposa 0.40 papulatifomu ya Globex.
Mabungwe ambiri aku Asia adatsegulira zabwino, zoyendetsedwa ndi manambala oposa GDP omwe akuyembekezeredwa kuchokera ku Japan. Chifukwa chake, mitengo yamafuta iyenera kuti idapeza zabwino pamsika wogulitsa wabwino. Kupanga kwa mafakitale ku Japan akuyembekezeranso kukwera, komwe kungathandizire mitengo yamafuta kukhalabe kumtunda mu gawo laku Asia.
Chofunika koposa, kuyambira pamphindi ya msonkhano wa FOMC yomwe idatulutsidwa dzulo usiku idawonetsa chizindikiro chobiriwira chochepetsera kuchuluka kwachitatu ngati kuchepa kwachuma kudzawoneka. Kuchepa kwa ulova, kukonza kwa mafakitale komanso kukwera kwa nyumba ku US kumalimbikitsa kutukuka kwachuma. Chifukwa chake, mitengo yamafuta itha kugulitsa mbali yayikulu poganiza zakukwera kwakufunika kuchokera kudziko lalikulu kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi lomwe likudya mafuta ku US. Komabe, nkhawa yakutuluka ku Greece ikadali pamsika wadziko lonse wazachuma, atalankhula mwamphamvu ndi Wapampando wa ECB a Mario Draghi.
ECB yati siyikutsutsana ndi mfundo zazikuluzikulu kuti Greece ikhale m'dera la Euro. Chifukwa chake, malingaliro akukwera a Greece akuchoka kudera la Euro akukhala olimba zomwe zingapangitse Euro kukakamizidwa.
Chifukwa chake, mitengo yamafuta imatha kuyendetsa magwiridwe anthawi zonse ku Europe. Mchigawo cha US, msika uzikhala uku ikuyang'ana madandaulo aku US opanda ntchito sabata iliyonse omwe akuyembekezeka kugwa, pomwe imodzi mwazinthu zazikulu zopangira kukwera mu Meyi. Chifukwa chake, kubwerera m'chigawo cha US chikuyembekezeredwa m'malo mwakuyembekezera zabwino kuchokera ku US.
Komabe, lero ndi tsiku lokonzanso mapaipi a Seaway omwe amachepetsa kuchuluka kwa masheya kuchokera ku Cushing. Chifukwa chake, ngati nkhani iliyonse ikadzafika pamsika mitengo yamafuta imatha kusinthasintha.
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