M'MAWA KUGWIRITSA NTCHITO
Zambiri za ntchito zabwino zaku USA zikulephera kukweza misika yazachuma, chifukwa kuchuluka kwamafuta kumayambitsa chisokonezo kwa osunga ndalama.
Lachitatu m'mawa lidayamba ndi (limodzi) lodziwika bwino lomwe lidatulutsidwa kuchokera kumphamvu yazachuma, nthawi ino inali nthawi yaku China yokweza nsidze za akatswiri. Kutumiza kunja kunatsikira ku kuwerenga koyipa kwa February; akubwera pa -1.3%, akusowa chiyembekezo cha kukula kwa 14%. Trade Balance inali yodabwitsa kwambiri; kusindikiza pa -$9.15b pamwezi, kusowa zoneneratu za $27.0b. Kenako tinali ndi data yaku China yotengera kunja, ngakhale tidawonetsa kuti taphonya; ikubwera pa 44.7% kukwera mu February, pachaka ndi chaka.
Ofufuza onse adavotera zidziwitso zaku China ngati zamphamvu, poganiza kuti kukwera kwakukulu kwa zinthu zomwe zimachokera kunja kudzetsa chilimbikitso ku chuma chapakhomo ku China. Nkhani yomwe ikukula m'manyuzipepala ambiri Lachitatu idawoneka kuti ikuwonetsa kuti chimodzi mwazolinga zachuma cha China; kulimbikitsa kugwiritsa ntchito ndalama kwa ogula, zinali kubwera motsatira ndondomeko. Lingaliro lina ndiloti deta iyi ikhoza kukhala canary mu mgodi wa malasha wachuma ku China; kulira kwa machenjezo amene ambiri a ife tiyenera kudzuka ndi kulabadira. Ngati zogulitsa kunja kwa China zikuwonongeka, kodi kufunikira kwapadziko lonse lapansi kuli kuti, mwachitsanzo, kuyerekezera kwa OECD pakukula kwa GDP padziko lonse lapansi mu 2017?
Ku Europe kupanga mafakitale ku Germany kudakwera mpaka 2.8% m'mwezi wa Januware, patsogolo pa 2.4% yolosera. Pomwe chiwongola dzanja cha CPI pachaka chinafika pa 0.6%. Ku UK, Bajeti ya Spring idayambitsa zovuta zochepa, ngakhale kuti sterling adachira pang'onopang'ono mu gawo la masana ku New York motsutsana ndi anzawo akuluakulu a ndalama.
Ku USA ntchito zanyumba zanyumba zidatsika mpaka kukula kwa 3.8% sabata yoyamba ya Marichi, kuchokera pa 5.8% m'mbuyomu. Deta ya ntchito za ADP inali yabwino kwambiri; ikubwera pa 298k m'mwezi wa February, patsogolo pa ziyembekezo za 185k. Zomwe zimawonedwa ngati zidziwitso za NFP, izi za ADP zitha kuwonetsa kutulutsidwa kwamphamvu kwambiri kwa NFP Lachisanu likubwerali. Zogulitsa mu Januwale zidatsika ndi -0.2% ndipo malonda ogulitsa adatsika ndi -0.1%, onse akutulutsa zoneneratu zomwe zikusowa. Zogulitsa zamafuta osakhazikika ku USA zidafika pa 8209, zisanachitike zonenedweratu za 2000, zomwe zidapangitsa kutsika kwamtengo wamafuta a WTI ndi 5.5%.
DJIA inatseka 0.33%, SPX pansi 0.23% ndipo NASDAQ inakwera 0.06%. Misika yaku Europe yachuma idakumana ndi zotsatira zosakanikirana; STOXX 50 kukwera 0.13%, DAX mmwamba 0.01%, CAC mmwamba 0.11% ndi UK FTSE pansi 0.06%.
Index ya Dollar Spot idalimbikitsidwa ndi 0.3%, ndikusunga kupita patsogolo kwamasiku awiri apitawa pambuyo pakukula kwa ntchito za February kuchokera ku ADP Research Institute. GBP/USD idatsika ndi circa 0.3% mpaka $1.2169 patsikulo, kugwera tsiku lachitatu motsatizana, EUR/USD idatsika ndi pafupifupi 0.2%, mpaka $1.0539 patsikulo.
WTI (West Texas Intermediate) yatsika ndi pafupifupi. 5.5% mpaka $50.02 mbiya, mlingo wotsika kwambiri womwe wawonedwa kuyambira pa 7 Dec., pambuyo poti boma la USA lidawulula kuti kuchepetsedwa kwa kupanga kuchokera ku OPEC ndi opanga ena, sikunakhale ndi zotsatira zofunidwa za kuchepa kwa zinthu zaku US.
Siliva idatsika mpaka $17.24 pa ola imodzi, kusinthika kwakukulu kuyambira pomwe chogwirizira cha $18 chidaphwanyidwa pa February 26. Golide adatsika ndi pafupifupi $ 0.6 mpaka $ 1,207 pa ola limodzi, kutsekereza pamlingo wotsikitsitsa womwe wachitiridwa umboni kuyambira koyambirira kwa February.
Zochitika pakalendala yachuma pa Marichi 9, nthawi zonse zomwe zagwidwa mawu ndi nthawi yaku London (GMT).
08:30, ndalama zakhudza ECB. Purezidenti Draghi achita msonkhano wa atolankhani ku Frankfurt. Msonkhanowu ndi kalambulabwalo wa zisankho zosiyanasiyana za chiwongola dzanja zomwe zidzawululidwe ndi ECB mndandanda kuyambira 12:45 kupita mtsogolo. Mlingo wa pulogalamu yaposachedwa yogula katundu (QE) udzawululidwanso. Otsatsa ndalama atha kukangamira ku mawu aliwonse a Draghi, poyembekezera zowunikira zokhudzana ndi zisankho za chiwongola dzanja.
12:45, ndalama zidakhudza EUR. European Central Bank Rate Decisions (MAR 09). Chiyembekezo ndi chakuti chiwongoladzanja chikhale chokhazikika pa 0.00%, Marginal Rate ikhale pa 0.25% ndi deposit rate kukhala -0.4%. Kusintha kulikonse pa ndondomekoyi kungakhudze mtengo wa euro motsutsana ndi anzawo.
13:30, ndalama zidakhudza USD. Zofuna Zoyamba Zopanda Ntchito (MAR 04). Zonena za ntchito ku USA kwa sabata la Marichi 4 zikunenedweratu kuti zikuwonetsa kuwonjezeka pang'ono mpaka 237k, kuchokera ku 223k sabata yapitayi.
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