M'MAWA KUGWIRITSA NTCHITO
"Zinthu zomwe zimakupangitsani kupita hmmm", akatswiri amakayikira kudula kwa OPEC kudzakhalapobe…
Inki sinali yowuma pamgwirizano womwe OPEC (mwachiwonekere) adasainira Novembara 30 ndipo akatswiri adakanda mitu yawo, adadula ndevu zawo, adachepetsa maso awo, adalola mapensulo awo ndikuyamba kuyang'anitsitsa manambalawo. Zosavuta; manambala sawonjezekera, samachulukana ndipo okayikira ndikuti mgwirizano wamakampaniwo uphwanyidwa posachedwa, m'malo mochedwa.
Choyamba kusokonekera koonekera; mgwirizano wonse wopanga, wa migolo 32.68m patsiku, uli pafupifupi 200,000 b / d wapamwamba kuposa chandamale chatsopano.
Chachiwiri; Ngakhale Indonesia idayimitsidwa kuchokera ku OPEC, kupanga kwa dzikolo pafupifupi 720,000 b / d kuphatikizidwa mu denga latsopano la 32.5mb / d. Momwemonso zotulutsidwa ku Nigeria ndi Libya, mayiko awiri omwe sakhululukidwa. Chifukwa chake mayiko atatu ndiwamasulidwe, koma zomwe akuperekazo zikuphatikizanso. Ndizowona kuti mayiko awa apitiliza kuonjezera zokolola.
Ndiye pali vuto la Saudi Arabia, yemwe azigwira theka la zochepetsedwa za OPEC. Pomaliza, Russia, yomwe ndi yachiwiri yopereka mphamvu zamagetsi padziko lapansi, ikufuna kudula, koma ngati mamembala omwe si a OPEC ali ndi ufulu wosintha zomwe akupereka kuti zigwirizane ndi zosowa zawo, osati za OPEC.
Angakhale wogulitsa ndalama kapena wolimba mtima amene angasankhe kuyitanitsa "pamwamba pa mafuta" pafupifupi $ 50 mbiya ndikufupikitsa msika, posakhalitsa mgwirizano utakwaniritsidwa. Koma ofufuza ambiri akukayikira kuti, ziwerengerozo ndi zovuta zikayamba kuwululidwa pamsika, tidzazindikira kuti zochepazo zidzaphwanyidwa ndipo kuchuluka kwa zoperekako kudzayambanso (kumanganso).
Misika yamalonda ku USA posachedwapa yasindikiza okwera, masiku angapo motsatizana. Kuwonongeka kwachilengedwe kotereku kwapangitsa anthu ambiri kunyalanyaza kusintha kwanyengo pamsika wina womwe sunafikepo pawailesi yodziwika bwino, mwina chifukwa sikunagwirizane ndi "nthawi yabwino". Msika wogulitsa wataya pafupifupi $ 1.7 trilioni m'mwezi umodzi, msika wazaka 30 wazaka zamphongo wazomangidwa pamapeto pake zikuwoneka ngati ukutha, ndi phokoso.
Index ya S&P 500 idagwa ndi 0.4% mpaka 2,191.08 panthawi yamalonda Lachinayi, ndipo idagwa kachitatu masiku anayi atatha sabata yatha. DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial A average) idakwera ndi 0.4%. Magawo aukadaulo mu Nasdaq Composite Index anali otsika ndi 1.4 peresenti, popeza amalonda azungulira gawo lazogulitsa lomwe limakondedwa kale chaka chonse.
Msika waku Europe wagulitsidwa; UK FTSE idatseka 0.45%, DAX yaku Germany idatsika 1% ndipo CAC yaku France idatseka 0.39%. STOXX 50 yamaliza tsiku kutsika ndi 0.68%.
Gold yakhala ikuvutika kwambiri pamwezi wazaka zitatu, ikutsika ndi 7.8% mu Novembala, pamalingaliro oti USA Fed ikuyembekezeka kukweza mitengo ndi 0.25% pomwe FOMC ikumana kumapeto kwa mwezi uno, chifukwa chake golide wataya mwayi wake . Tsogolo la golide pakubweretsa kwa February lidatsika ndi 0.4% mpaka $ 1,169.40 pauni masana Lachinayi pa Comex ku New York, asadapezenso $ 117.40 pambuyo pake. Chitsulo chidagwera pansi pa $ 1,200 sabata yatha, koyamba kuyambira February.
Ndalama zolumikizidwa mwamafuta ndizomwe zidapeza phindu lalikulu pamsika wa FX Lachinayi, kubwera mgwirizano wa OPEC udawona mafuta akuphulika, pomwe WTI nthawi yomweyo imakopana ndi $ 52 mbiya. Ruble waku Russia komanso krone yaku Norway ndi zomwe zidapeza ndalama zazikulu kwambiri pakupanga mafuta. Komabe, peso waku Colombian ndiye adapambana, ndikupeza magawo awiri patsiku.
Potengera ndalama zikuluzikulu (zomwe zimakhudzidwa kwambiri ndi nkhani za Brexit) mapaundi aku UK adakhala ndi tsiku lopindula kwambiri, chifukwa cha Nduna yaku UK David Davis kubwerera pamalingaliro azokambirana ku UK. Magiya obwerera kumbuyo sanali kungogwira chabe, adakwanitsa kupeza mayendedwe osinthira ndikuwongolera U-turn, chifukwa adauza kuti UK ikadakhala yokonzeka kulipira msika umodzi waku Europe ndipo ivomereza kuyenda kwaulere kwa Anthu aku Europe. Mapaundiwo adakwera ndi 0.5% kufika $ 1.258 kufika 5 PM nthawi yaku London, atafika pamwambamwamba kuyambira Oct. 6. Zidakali pafupifupi zaka khumi ndi zisanu ndi chimodzi peresenti kuyambira pomwe voti ya EU idavota kumapeto kwa Juni. Sterling amayamikiridwa ndi 0.2% kufikira 84.52 pence pa yuro.
Zochitika pakalendala yazachuma zomwe zingakhudze misika pa 02/12/2016
Mwambiri zomwe zakhala zikukhudzidwa kwambiri ndi omwe sanalandire malipiro kumunda, omwe amatchedwa "tsiku la NFP". Komabe, pali zina mwazinthu zina zazikulu zomwe zatulutsidwa Lachisanu, zomwe zimatha kugwedeza ndikusuntha misika yamalonda, kutengera kusindikiza kwa data. Timayamba ndi zidziwitso zaku Switzerland.
6.45 nthawi yaku London. CHF Zowonjezera Pakhomo (YoY) (3Q). Zonenerazo ndi zakugwa kuchokera ku GDP ya 2% pachaka mpaka 1.8%. Mwachilengedwe, mtengo wa Swissie, motsutsana ndi yuro ndi USA dollar, ukhoza kugundidwa ngati chiwerengerocho chikusiyana ndi kuyerekezera kopendekezaku.
9.30 nthawi yaku London. GBP Markit / CIPS UK Yomanga PMI (NOV). Zomangamanga zafika pachimake kuyambira pomwe chisankho cha UK chikufunsidwa, komabe, ntchito zazikulu zambiri zidagwirizanitsidwa kale ndipo zikuyembekezeka kuperekedwa. Ofufuza tsopano akuyang'ana kuti awone ngati ntchito yomanga yaku UK yakhudzidwa, chifukwa cha ntchito zomwe zikuwongoleredwa, kapena kuthetsedwa. Zambiri za Markit zimawonedwa ngati chitsogozo chotsogola, osati chotsalira. Ofufuza omwe adafunsidwa akuyembekeza kuti 52.2 itulutsidwa, yotsika kuchokera ku 52.6 mwezi watha. Pamwamba kapena pansi pa chiwerengerochi, zitha kupangitsa kuti sterling ichitepo kanthu.
13.30 nthawi yaku London. Mtengo Wopanda Ntchito wa USD (NOV). Mlingowu ukuyembekezeredwa pa 4.9%, otsalira pamwezi wapitawo.
13.30 nthawi yaku London. USD Change in Non-farm Payrolls (NOV). Zolemba zomwe zikuyembekezeredwa ndi ntchito za 180K zopangidwa mu Novembala. Pali zochitika zanyengo zomwe zikusewera; Makampani atha kukhala kuti akukonzekera kukwaniritsa ma Xmas, atha kukhala ndi antchito owonjezera, kusindikiza komaliza kwa NFP Xmas isanadabwe nthawi zambiri, mwachilengedwe kupatuka kulikonse kwa omwe adafunsidwayo kumatha kuyambitsa USD ndi anzawo ambiri.
13.30 nthawi yaku London. Mtengo Wosowa Ntchito wa CAD (NOV). Kusowa kwa ntchito ku Canada kuyenera kukhalabe kolimba pa 7%. Chiwerengero chomwe chingasinthidwe chikakhala chosiyana kwambiri ndiye kuti mtengo wamadola aku Canada ungakhudzidwe.
