M'MAWA KUGWIRITSA NTCHITO
Ntchito ya Renzi waku Italiya, atha "kungochotsa zitseko zamagazi!"
Mufilimu yaku Britain yaku 1969 ya ku Italy Job, kanema wosonyeza kubedwa kwa golide ku Turin, wosewera Michael Caine adapereka zomwe tsopano zimawoneka ngati nthano; “Umayenera kungochotsa zitseko zamagazi zokha!” Achifwamba kubanki anali atagwiritsa ntchito zachiwawa zochulukirapo ndipo mwangozi anawononga vani yonse, pomwe anali kuyesa kuba ma ingots agolide. Ovota ku Italy komanso Prime Minister Renzi, atha "kungochotsa zitseko zamagazi" pachuma chawo komanso mabanki Lamlungu usiku…
Pomwe akatswiri ambiri pamsika ndi amalonda amayang'ana kwambiri pamsonkhano wa OPEC, womwe pamapeto pake umachitika ku Vienna Lachitatu, pali vuto lina lalikulu pa radar lomwe likuyamba kupangitsa azachuma ambiri, makamaka omwe amakhala m'mabanki aku Italiya, kukhala amanjenje modabwitsa.
Italy ili ndi referendum sabata ikubwerayi Lamlungu Disembala 4. Anthu aku Italiya adzavota pakusintha kwamalamulo komwe Prime Minister Matteo Renzi adachita kuti achepetse mphamvu ya Senate komanso nyumba yamalamulo yayikulu. Ngati Renzi ataya mtima ndikusiya ntchito, ndiye kuti ambiri onena akuneneratu zakusokonekera kwandale komanso zachuma. Zomwe zili pachiwopsezo sichingokhala momwe Italy iziyendetsedwera, koma tsogolo la chuma chake chokhazikika komanso mabanki ake, omwe ali ndi ma NPL akulu (osachita ngongole). FT idafotokoza mwachidule chisokonezo cha NLP ku Italy posachedwa;
"Pali € 360bn ya ngongole zosalongosoka m'dongosolo, malinga ndi Bank of Italy; € 200bn mwa awa ndi amtundu woyipa kwambiri, sofferenze yosachita. Ichi ndi chiwerengero chachikulu chomwe chapatsidwa kuti pali € 225bn mofanana pamabuku ama banki. Ndipo izi zitha kupangitsa kuvunda. Mabanki omwe atsala pang'ono kuwonongeka ali ndi chifukwa chodziwira molemera katundu wawo. ”
Mwayi ndikuti mabanki awa azikhala akuwonjeza phindu lawo ndikuchepetsa ngongole zawo zoyipa. Chifukwa chake anthu akukangana kuti mabanki aku Italiya alibe ndalama. Ndi mphamvu ya domino; mtundu wazipani zomwe sitinawonepo kuyambira 2007/2008, zitha kupatsirana. Koma tisapite patali kwambiri, choyamba pali voti Lamlungu, kenako Mario (zilizonse zomwe zingafune) Draghi, atha kukonzanso zovuta ndi mtundu wina wosinthanitsa ndi kupulumutsa, mwachiyembekezo.
Dongosolo la chidaliro cha ogula ku USA lidalembetsa kuwerenga kwakukulu kuposa momwe amayembekezera Lachiwiri, kubwera ku 107.1, zisanachitike 101.5. Izi ndizomwe zimamveka koyamba pamalingaliro ovota komanso chidaliro chonse, zisankho za Purezidenti ku USA. Zambiri za USA GDP zakhumudwitsidwa pang'ono, kulembetsa ku 1.4% pamwezi wa Okutobala, pansi pa chiyembekezo cha 1.5%. Komabe, GDP yapachaka idakwera mpaka 3.2%. Kuwerenga GDP kwapachaka komanso kulumpha chidaliro kwa ogula, zidathandizira main USA kuwonetsa kuti iwuke pang'ono pamasana. DJIA idatseka 0.12%, SPX idamaliza 0.13% ndipo Nasdaq idatseka 0.21%.
Msika waku Europe udagawika Lachiwiri, pomwe UK FTSE idatsiriza tsiku kutsika ndi 0.40%, koma CAC yaku France idatseka 0.91% ndipo DAX yaku Germany idatseka 0.36%. STOXX 50 yamaliza gawoli ndi 0.72%. Kusiyanasiyana kwa malingaliro kunali chifukwa chotsatira ndondomeko ya UK Brexit ikuwunikidwanso, popeza akuluakulu ena a EU adayamba kunyamula mano ndikuwonetsa kuleza mtima ndikukhumudwitsidwa pakusowa kwakukonzekera kwa UK.
Mafuta a WTI aponyedwa ndi 3.9 peresenti mpaka $ 45.23 mbiya nthawi ya 4 koloko masana ku New York, atakwera 2.2% Lolemba. Saudi Arabia ikuwoneka kuti ikana mgwirizano, pokhapokha mamembala onse a OPEC, kupatula Libya ndi Nigeria, atenga nawo mbali. Mkuwa udagwa kuchokera kumtunda wapamwamba koposa chaka chimodzi, pomwe zitsulo zazikulu zamakampani zidagwa ku London. Golide (yoperekera mwachangu) idagwa ndi 0.5% mpaka $ 1,189.01 paunzi.
Dola lakonzedwa kuti lipindule kwambiri pamwezi poyerekeza ndi yen kuyambira 2009. Greenback yakwera mopitilira 0.25% m'mwezi wa Novembala chifukwa chongoganiza kuti Federal Reserve ichulukitsa mtengo wapansi ndi 2017% mu Disembala, ndikukwera kwina mu 4. The Rally kuyambira Novembala 0.4, ndiye chiwongola dzanja chachikulu kwambiri poyerekeza ndi yen kwazaka zopitilira makumi awiri. Dola idayamika 112.38% mpaka yen yen ya 4 nthawi ya 30:113.90 pm Nthawi yaku New York, itafika miyezi isanu ndi itatu yokwanira 3.4 sabata yatha. Dollar Spot Index, yoyeza greenback motsutsana ndi anzawo akulu khumi, ndi XNUMX% mu Novembala.
Zochitika pazakalendala yazachuma Lachitatu 30/11/2016
UK Bank of England imasindikiza lipoti lake lokhazikika. Izi zimadziwika kuti zimakhudza kwambiri, kutengera momwe zinthu ziliri ndi Brexit ndipo zitha kukhala ndi mtengo wabwino poyerekeza ndi anzawo akulu. Euro imatha kuwona zochitika pamene Germany imasindikiza kuchuluka kwake kwa anthu osowa ntchito nthawi ya 10.00 m'mawa ku London, kuyembekezeredwa pa -5K mweziwo, ndipo chiyembekezero chonse chikadali chokhazikika pa 6%. Zambiri zamitengo yaogula ku Europe zimasindikizidwanso, zikuyembekezeka kukwera ndi 0.1% kuti zifike ku 0.6% pachaka.
Nthawi ya 12.30:13.00 ku London nthawi ya Mario Draghi idzakhala ikulankhula ku Madrid, nkhani zingapo zimatha kuphatikiza: Italy ndi mabanki ake, Brexit komanso kukhazikika kwachuma ku Europe. Pali zidziwitso zokhudzana ndi USA zosindikizidwa pakati pa 13.30 - 160 pm London time. Mfundo zazikuluzikulu ziyenera kuphatikizapo kusintha kwa ntchito kwa ADP, komwe kunanenedweratu ku ntchito za 1.7K zomwe zidapangidwa m'mwezi ndi kugwiritsidwa ntchito kwa anthu aku USA, zikuyembekezeka kukhala zolimba pa XNUMX%, chaka ndi chaka.
Ndalama yaku Canada itha kukhala yovuta kuyambira 13.30 pm kupita mtsogolo, monga ziwerengero za GDP zimasindikizidwa. Chiwerengero cha kotala lachitatu chikuyenera kubwera pa 3.2%, pomwe chaka chikuwonjezeka ndi 1.8%.
USA podikira kugulitsa nyumba ndi kuchuluka kwa mphamvu zimatulutsidwa nthawi ya 14.30:7.00 pm London nthawi, kenako 2 pm a "beige book" a Fed asindikizidwa. Kuwunikaku kumagwiritsidwa ntchito ndi FOMC kuthandiza kuti apange chisankho chotsatira pamitengo ya chiwongola dzanja. Zimakhala ndi zotsatira zochepa, chifukwa FOMC imalandiranso mabuku awiri omwe siaboma; Green Book ndi Blue Book, zomwe anthu ambiri amakhulupirira kuti zimakhudza kwambiri chisankho chawo.
