Zindikirani Kusiyana; Kusintha Kwa Gawo La London Pre New York's Open
Kodi tingalotere kuti Europe itha kukhala ikutha pachuma?
M'nkhani yathu ya pakati pa The Lines m'mawa uno tidatsimikiza zakufunika kuyang'anitsitsa zidziwitso za Markit Economics PMI komanso momwe zingakhudzire malingaliro amsika, makamaka ngati zofalitsa zambiri zomwe zimafotokoza zakupanga ndi ntchito zaku Europe zasintha, zidutsa mzere wapakatikati wa 50 ndikubwera motsimikiza.
Zambiri za ku PMI ku Europe zidalimbikitsadi, ndikupereka msika wofunikira kwambiri pambuyo pa chidziwitso cha 'flash' chaku China PMI, chololedwa ndi HSBC molumikizana ndi Markit, yomwe idawonetsa mwezi umodzi kuti ichepetse. Flash ya HSBC / Markit Purchasing Managers 'Index idagwa kwa mwezi wachitatu motsatizana, mpaka kuwerengedwa kwa 47.7, kuyambira pomwe Juni adatsimikiza kuwerengera 48.2. Monga momwe zimakhalira ndizowerengera zambiri zowerengera pansipa 50 zikuwonetsa kuti zochitika zidagwa.
Hongbin Qu, wamkulu wazachuma ku China ku HSBC:
"Kuwerenga kotsika kwa Julayi HSBC Flash China Manufacturing PMI kukuwonetsa kuchepa kopitilira magawo azogulitsa chifukwa cha kuchepa kwamaoda atsopano komanso kuwononga mwachangu. Izi zikuwonjezera kukakamizidwa pamsika wa ntchito."
Kubwerera ku nkhani zabwino zokhudzana ndi ma PMI aku Europe komanso France ndi Germany ndizo zomwe zidakhudzidwa ...
Zikuwoneka kuti wogulitsa zachuma waku France sanali kuchita changu ndi chiweruzo chake kuti chuma chachiwiri chachikulu ku Europe tsopano sichikutha. A Markit akuti mabungwe azinsinsi ku France PMI adakwera kufika 48.8, kuyambira pa 47.4 ya Juni, uno ndi mwezi khumi ndi zisanu ndi ziwiri zomwe zikusonyeza kuti mabungwe azokha adachepa pang'ono pang'ono komanso pang'ono pang'onopang'ono m'miyezi khumi ndi isanu ndi iwiri. Makampani opanga ku France, omwe ali ndi PMI a 49.8 (kuyambira 48.4 mu Juni), adakhumudwa kwambiri chifukwa cha 50 (zomwe zikuwonetsa kukula), mwezi wina wa 17, pomwe gawo lazantchito lidakwera 48.2 kuchokera 47.2. Markit ananena kuti;
"Ogwira ntchito akuwonetsa kuchepa kwa bizinesi yayikulu, pomwe opanga ma lipoti akwera koyamba kuyambira Epulo 2012. Kuchuluka kwa ntchito pantchito yaboma yaku France kudapitiliranso mu Julayi. Kutsika kwaposachedwa kwa anthu ogwira ntchito kunali kochedwa kwambiri mu 15 Onse omwe amapereka chithandizo komanso opanga adatsimikiza kuchepa pantchito.
"Zotulutsa mgulu lazachuma ku France zidayandikira kukhazikika koyambirira kwa kotala lachitatu. Opanga adawonetsa kukwera kwa zotulutsa koyamba kwa pafupifupi chaka chimodzi ndi theka, pomwe omwe amapereka ntchito adalembetsa kuchepa kwa ntchito . "
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Zambiri zaku Germany zomwe zidafalitsidwa ndi Markit zidalimbikitsanso. Mabungwe achinsinsi aku Germany adatulutsa zotulutsa zabwino kwambiri m'miyezi isanu. Mulingo wa Flash Germany PMI unakwera kufika 52.8, kuyambira Juni 50.4, uwu ndi mulingo wapamwamba kwambiri womwe udachitidwa kuyambira February 2013. Gawo lama fakitole ku Germany lidabwereranso kukula, mulingo wazaka 50 wazaka zapakati udafika 50.3 motsutsana ndi 48.6 ya Juni. Gawo lantchito ku Germany PMI lakula kuchokera ku 52.5, kuchokera 50.4. Tim Moore, wofufuza pa Markit adati;
"Kubwerera kukukula kwamabizinesi atsopano kumapereka chiyembekezo chabwino koyambirira kwa gawo lachitatu ndipo kuchuluka kwa kuchuluka kwa ntchito kumawonjezera chiyembekezo cha ziwerengero zaposachedwa. Kukhazikika kwamakampani aboma aku Germany mu Julayi zikuwoneka kuti kwidayendetsedwa ndikusintha kwamabizinesi azinyumba komanso kuwononga ndalama kwa ogula. Makamaka, opanga adatchulira mitundu yakufunika kwambiri kuchokera kumakampani oyendetsa magalimoto komanso pakati pa makasitomala pantchito zomanga nyumba, zomwe zidathandiza kuthana ndi kufooka kwaposachedwa m'misika yayikulu yotumiza kunja. "
Zambiri mu Europe, zoperekedwa ndi a Markit's composite PMI index, zidakwaniritsidwa kwambiri m'miyezi yopitilira 18. Kuwonjezeka kunafika pa 50.4, kuchokera pa 48.7 mu Juni, nthawi yoyamba yomwe idaphwanyidwa pamwamba pa 50.0 kuyambira Januware 2012. Malipoti akuti malamulo atsopano adatsika pang'ono, pomwe kutayika kwa ntchito kudachepa.
Mwachilengedwe zosindikiza zabwino izi za Markit zalimbikitsa mabungwe aku Europe kuti adzuke mgulu lamalonda m'mawa. Chidwi tsopano chitembenukira ku chidziwitso cha USA Markit - PMI yopanga kung'anima, ndikuyembekeza kuti USA ilinso ndi chitukuko chokhazikika.
Kodi payenera kukhala chenjezo pokhudzana ndi kuchuluka kwa ma PMI aku Europe?
Nkhani ziwiri zikuwonekera. Poyamba tikukhala ndi chiyembekezo pazithunzi zambiri zomwe zikutsikabe pansi pa makumi asanu, zomwe zikuwonetsa kukula pakuchepetsa. Nthawi zambiri tikunena kuti kupendekera kwachepa ndipo kuti 'kuchepa' kwachuma kukucheperachepera, titha kunena kuti Europe ikulephera bwino. Ngakhale kulondola komanso kudalirika kwa zomwe Markit adziwe si 'zovomerezeka'. Ofufuzawo akuyang'ana malo ogulitsira, monga Eurostat, kuti adziwe nthawi yomwe Europe idzatuluke pachuma.
Dziwani Zomwe Mungakwanitse Ndi Akaunti Yaulere Yaulere & Palibe Chiwopsezo
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Chachiwiri tifunika kuwona njira yomwe ma data omwe amabwera pa 47-49 ayamba kuwoloka ma rubicon a 50 m'miyezi ingapo yotsatira, pokhapokha titha kuyamba kulingalira zomwe zimawoneka ngati zosatheka posachedwa pa Feb-Marichi; kuti Eurozone komanso Europe yayamba kutuluka chifukwa cha kuchepa kwachuma kwa zaka zingapo.
Zowonera Msika nthawi ya 10:45 UK
Mmawa / m'mawa ku Asia-pacific gawo lomwe Nikkei adatseka 0.32%, Hang Seng idatseka 0.24% pomwe CSI idatseka 0.36%.
UK FTSE pakadali pano ili ndi mfundo za 42 kapena ndi 0.62%. Chiwerengero cha French CAC chikukwera 0.78%, DAX ndi 0.5%, IBEX ndi 0.78%, pomwe STOXX ikukwera 0.75%.
Kuyang'ana mitengo yazopangika golide ndi wotsika ndi 0.29% pa $ 1341 paunzi. Mafuta a WTI atsika ndi 0.08% pa $ 107.14 pa mbiya, pomwe mafuta a NYMEX atsika ndi 0.67% pa $ 3.72.
Kuyang'ana Kwambiri
Mayiko khumi ndi asanu ndi awiri aku Europe adagawana ndalama poyerekeza pafupifupi anzawo onse ochita nawo malonda chifukwa cholozera kwabwino kwa oyang'anira ku Europe. Ndalama ya Aussie idagwa koyamba m'masiku anayi apitawa motsutsana ndi mnzake waku US chifukwa chazidziwitso zowulula kupangika kwa zinthu ku China, yemwe ndiogulitsa wamkulu kwambiri ku Australia komanso komwe akutumiza kunja.
Yuro idakwera ndi 0.1% mpaka $ 1.323 mu gawo la London, itafika $ 1.3255, mulingo wapamwamba kwambiri womwe udachitiridwa umboni kuyambira Juni 20. Ndalama zaku Europe zidakwera ndi 0.8% mpaka ma yen 132.49, ndikufika pamiyezi iwiri yokwana 132.61 yen. Greenback idakwera peresenti ya 0.7 mpaka ma 100.10 yen. Ndalama zaku Australia zidatsika ndi 0.9% mpaka 92.13 masenti aku US. Idafika masenti 89.99 aku US pa Julayi 12, gawo lotsika kwambiri lomwe lachitiridwa umboni pafupifupi zaka zitatu, kuyambira 2013 yokwera $ 1.0599 pa Januware 10.
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