Kubwereza Kwamsika pa Epulo 4 2012
Yuro Ndalama
Yuro ikuponyera pambuyo pa mphindi za FOMC kuwonetsa kuti Ndalama sizikulimbikitsidwa panthawiyi pulogalamu yamtundu uliwonse kapena QE. Yuro ikugulitsa 1.323 kutsika 0.68% m'mphindi zochepa chabe.
Kubwera mgawo mawa la US:
- Secretary of Treasure waku US a Timothy Geithner (Januware 2009 - Januware 2013) alankhula. Amayankhula pafupipafupi pamitu yambiri ndipo zolankhula zawo nthawi zambiri zimagwiritsidwa ntchito kuwonetsa kusintha kwa mfundo kwa anthu komanso maboma akunja.
- Lipoti la ADP National Employment Report ndiyeso yosintha mwezi ndi mwezi pantchito zosakhala zaulimi, zapagulu, kutengera ndi malipiro a makasitomala pafupifupi 400,000 aku US. Kutulutsidwa, kutatsala masiku awiri kuti boma liziwunika, ndikuwonetseratu lipoti la boma lomwe silimalipira. Kusintha kwa chizindikiro ichi kumatha kukhala kosakhazikika.
- Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) (yomwe imadziwikanso kuti ISM Services PMI) imayesa kuchuluka kwa zochitika zamabizinesi kuphatikiza ntchito, kupanga, maoda atsopano, mitengo, operekera katundu, ndi zosungira. Zambiri zalembedwa kuchokera ku kafukufuku wa pafupifupi 400 oyang'anira ogula omwe siopanga. Pa cholozera, mulingo woposa 50 ukuwonetsa kukulira; pansipa akuwonetsa kupendekera.
- Ku Europe timayamba tsikulo ndi ma Eurozone Retail Sales kuyeza kusintha kwa mtengo wathunthu wamaganizidwe osintha mitengo pamisika. Ndicho chisonyezero chachikulu cha momwe ogwiritsira ntchito amagwiritsira ntchito ndalama, chomwe chimayambitsa zochitika zambiri zachuma.
- German Factory Orders imayesa kusinthaku pamtengo wathunthu wamaoda atsopano operekedwa ndi opanga zinthu zonse zolimba komanso zosakhazikika. Ndichizindikiro chotsogolera pakupanga.
- Mamembala asanu ndi limodzi a European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board ndi akazembe 16 a mabanki apakati aku euro amavotera komwe angayike. Otsatsa amayang'ana chiwongola dzanja chikusintha momwe chiwongola dzanja cha nthawi yayitali ndichomwe chimapangitsa kuwerengera ndalama.
- Msonkhano wa atolankhani ku European Central Bank (ECB) umachitika mwezi uliwonse, pafupifupi mphindi 45 kuchokera pomwe Mtengo Wochepera Wotsika walengezedwa. Msonkhanowu ndi pafupifupi ola limodzi ndipo uli ndi magawo awiri. Choyamba, mawu okonzeka amawerengedwa, kenako msonkhanowo ndiwotseguka kuti atole mafunso. Msonkhanowu umayang'ana zomwe zidakhudza lingaliro la chiwongola dzanja cha ECB ndikuthana ndi malingaliro azachuma komanso kukwera kwachuma. Chofunika kwambiri, imapereka chitsogozo chokhudza mfundo zamtsogolo zandalama. Kusasinthasintha kwakukulu kumatha kuwonedwa pamsonkhano wa atolankhani pomwe mafunso atolankhani amabweretsa mayankho osalemba.
Pula ya Sterling
Pound pano ikugulitsa 1.5903, itayamba tsiku pamlingo wa 1.60. USD yapeza mphamvu pa mphindi za FOMC zotulutsidwa kanthawi kapitako.
Lachitatu latibweretsera zochitika ziwiri zofunika ku UK:
Index ya Mtengo wa Nyumba ya Halifax imayesa kusintha kwamitengo ya nyumba ndi katundu wothandizidwa ndi Halifax Bank of Scotland (HBOS), m'modzi mwa obwereketsa nyumba zaku UK. Ndi chisonyezero chotsogola chaumoyo munyumba.
Dongosolo la Managing Purchasing Managers (PMI) limayesa magwiridwe antchito oyang'anira omwe amagula ntchito. Kuwerenga pamwamba pa 50 kukuwonetsa kukulira m'gululi; kuwerenga pansipa 50 kumasonyeza chidule. Amalonda amayang'ana kafukufukuyu mosamala momwe oyang'anira ogula nthawi zambiri amakhala ndi mwayi wodziwa zambiri zamakampani awo, zomwe zitha kukhala chitsogozo chazachuma chonse.
Swiss Franc
Ndalamayi ikuwoneka kuti ikungogona kudutsa kukwera ndi kutsika konse kwa misika. Sichimalembetsa blip apa ndi bomba pamenepo. Yuro ikugwa m'dera langozi pomwe SNB ikulonjeza kutenga nawo gawo pamlingo wa 1.20
Asia -Pacific Ndalama
Ndalama yaku Australia idatsika kwambiri kuyambira Januware, US Federal Reserve itanena kuti sizingachitepo kanthu kupititsa patsogolo chuma cha America. Dola ya Aussie inali kugulitsa pa $ US1.0294, itagwa pamtengo woyamba wa $ 1.0331 pa nkhani. Pa Januware 17, dollar yaku Australia idatsika $ US1.03. Gawo lakomweko latsika mpaka $ 1.0287 pamalonda amakono.
Kuchepa kwamalonda ku Australia kwachepa mu February, motsutsana ndi ziyembekezo zotsalira, malinga ndi kafukufuku waku Australia Bureau of Statistics. Malinga ndi ziwerengerozi, kuchepa kwamalonda ku Australia kwa mwezi wa February kunali $ 480 miliyoni yosinthidwa nyengo, kusintha kwa $ 491 miliyoni mwezi watha. Zotsatirazi zikutsatira kuchepa kwa $ 971 miliyoni mu Januware. Zonena zachuma zidakhudzana ndi zochulukirapo za $ 1.1 biliyoni mu February.
Ntchito zantchito zaku Australia zomwe zidachitika mu Marichi, pomwe malonda adayamba kuchepa ndipo ndalama zakomweko zidakhalabe zolimba, kafukufuku wapayokha akuwonetsa. Australia Industry Group / Commonwealth Bank Australian Performance of Services Index (PSI) idakwera mpaka 0.3 mpaka 47.0 mu Marichi. Kuwerengetsa pansipa 50 kumawonetsa kuchepa kwa ntchito. Magawo awiri mwa asanu ndi anayi okha omwe ali ndi kafukufukuyu ndi omwe adalemba zomwe zikuchitika. Anali azachuma komanso inshuwaransi, komanso ntchito zaumwini ndi zosangalatsa.
Dola lokwera kwambiri la Aussie likulepheretsa chiyembekezo chamabizinesi omwe akuwululidwa ndi malonda komanso kusowa chidaliro pakati pa mabanja ndikubwezeretsa malonda ndi ntchito zantchito.
Gold
Tsogolo la golide lomwe limawonjezeka pakatayika patangopita mphindi zochepa kuchokera kumsonkhano waposachedwa kwambiri wa Federal Reserve (FOMC) udawonetsa opanga mfundo osachita chidwi ndi kugula kwina kwakatundu komwe kumatchedwa kuchulukitsa. Golide yomwe idatha gawo la Comex pansi $ 7.70 pa $ 1,672 paunzi, idapitilizabe kugwa pambuyo pagawo. Posachedwa inali $ 1,648.70, kuchotsera pafupifupi $ 31.
Otsatsa agula golide m'zaka zaposachedwa ngati tchinga motsutsana ndi zomwe akuganiza kuti kukwera mitengo kwakukulu chifukwa cha mapulogalamu a Fed.
"Golide tsopano yakhala yopanda chakudya chokwanira chaopanga ndalama kuti ipitirire patsogolo komanso pansi pofikira chifukwa chofooka kwakuthupi," atero akatswiri ku Barclays. "Zofunika kuchokera ku China zayamba kuwonjezeka koma zimangogwirizana ndi kutsika kwamitengo, pomwe kulowetsedwa kwa golide ku Turkey kwachulukirapo kuposa theka la kotala," iwo adati.
Kutumiza kwa golide kochokera ku India, wogulitsa golide wamkulu padziko lonse lapansi, kudatsika ndi 55% mu Marichi, pomwe miyala yamtengo wapatali idatseka malo awo mdziko lonseli ikufuna kubwezeredwa kwa chiwongola dzanja chomwe chikukonzedwa mu Bajeti ya Union.
Katundu wa golide wa Bullion wagwedezeka mpaka matani 90 mchaka cha Januware-Marichi 2012, motsutsana ndi matani 283 mu kotala lolingana la chaka chatha. Mu Januware, matani 40 agolide adayitanitsidwa kunja, pomwe mu February pafupifupi matani 30 adayitanitsidwa kunja. Kunyanyala kwa miyala yamtengo wapatali komanso kukwera kwa katundu mu Marichi kukhumudwitsidwa kumafuna zina.
Mu Januware, boma lidakwera msonkho kuchokera ku 1% mpaka 2%. Apanso mu Marichi, msonkho wolowera kunja udawonjezeredwa mpaka 4%. Ponena za kutsika kwa katundu wogulitsa kunja, miyala yamtengo wapatali yati chiwongola dzanja chambiri komanso kukwera kwamitengo zikukhudzanso kagwiritsidwe ntchito kazitsulo zamtengo wapatali.
yosakongola Mafuta
Mafuta Osakanizika omwe adayikidwa kuti agulitse ku 103.95 pansi 1.27. Zambiri zamafuta sabata iliyonse ku US zikuyembekezeka kuwonetsa mafuta osakomoka omwe adakwera sabata yatha pomwe oyenga adachulukitsa ntchito. Malinga ndi kuyerekezera kochokera kwa akatswiri 15 ofufuza a Dow Jones Newswires, malo osungira mafuta a ku America adakwera ndi migolo 1.9 miliyoni.
EIA ikukonzekera kufotokoza malipoti ake sabata iliyonse pazazinthu zoyambirira Lachitatu, pomwe gulu lazamalonda ku American Petroleum Institute lati lipereke zomwe zadzachitika Lachiwiri. Ofufuza omwe adafunsidwa ndi a Platts akuti kuwonjezeka kwa migolo 1.9 miliyoni yopanda kanthu sabata yatha pa Marichi 30. Mafuta osungira mafuta akuwoneka akukwera migolo 1.6 miliyoni sabata, pomwe zopereka ma distillate zikuyembekezeka kutsitsa migolo 600,000. Izi zikutsatira kuchuluka kwa migolo 7.1 miliyoni yopanda tanthauzo sabata yatha.
"Zikuwonjezeka panthawiyi ya chaka zikuyembekezeredwa chifukwa zoyenga zatsala pang'ono kukonza nyengo yachilimwe isanafike", atero a Tom Bentz, director ku BNP Paribas ku New York. Otsutsa akufuna kuwona manambala azomwe zisanachitike.
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