Kubwereza Kwamsika pa Epulo 3 2012
Yuro Ndalama
Lero, kalendala ndi yopyapyala. Ku Europe, Nyumba Yamalamulo yaku Spain ikambirana za bajeti yatsopano ya 2012. Izi zitha kuyambitsa mitu ina yaku euro ndikuwunika mdzikolo. Komabe, zochitika ku Spain zalembedwa kale. Chifukwa chake, zomwe zimakhudza malonda a EUR / USD zitha kukhala zochepa. Ku US, mafakitala adzafalitsidwa. Munthu wabwino akhoza kukhala wocheperako pochita chiopsezo.
Nthawi zambiri, lipotilo limangokhala logwirizana pakukhudzidwa kwamisika yamisika yapadziko lonse komanso yamalonda a EUR / USD. Chifukwa chake, titha kuyembekezera kugulitsa kosavuta pamisika yanthawi yocheperako tchuthi. Poyerekeza ndi tsiku ndi tsiku tikuyembekeza EUR / USD kukhala pafupi ndi momwe ziliri pano. Pambuyo pake pagawoli, mphindi zamisonkhano yam'mbuyomu ya Fed ndi khadi yamtchire. Msika udzawoneka ngati pali kusintha kulikonse mu QE yambiri. Ngati mamembala ena atha kukhala osamala kwambiri pakusankha QE yambiri, izi zitha kukhala zothandizira USD.
EUR / USD idafika poyerekeza ndi 1.2624 pambuyo poti S & P yatsitsa mayiko angapo a EMU. Kuchokera pamenepo, chiwongolero chaukadaulo chinayamba. EUR / USD idafika pamwamba chaka chino ku 1.3487 kumapeto kwa February. Komabe, panalibe zopindulitsa zotsatila ndipo EUR / USD idabwezedwa posachedwa pamachitidwe ophatikizira am'mbuyomu. Pakati pa Marichi, mphamvu yapadziko lonse lapansi idabweretsa EUR / USD patali kwambiri kuchokera pa 1.2974 ST pansi. Euro tsopano ikugulitsa chakumtunda, makamaka chifukwa cha zochitika zadzidzidzi za EU ndi ECB, tsopano popeza izi zili kumbuyo kwathu yuro iyenera kupeza phindu lake lenileni, lomwe lingakhale pansi pamtundu wa 1.32.
Pula ya Sterling
Lolemba, sterling idayenda bwino motsutsana ndi yuro komanso pang'ono motsutsana ndi dola. Malingaliro aukadaulo adathandizira, koma ndalama yaku UK idathandizidwanso ndi PMI wabwinoko kuposa momwe amayembekezeredwa pantchito yopanga. EUR / GBP ili m'malo a 0.8340 ku Asia. Komabe, thumba la ndalama ku UK lidayitanitsa zabwinoko kuyambira pomwe malonda adayamba ku Europe.
Kukhazikika kwachuma ku UK kudakulirakulira pambuyo pofalitsa PMI waku UK wopanga wabwino kuposa momwe amayembekezera. Awiriwo adatsikira kumunsi kwamalonda ambiri aku Europe ndipo adafika ku intraday kutsika kwa 0.83 kumapeto kwa Europe. Kuchokera kumeneko, banjali linapezanso malo otsekemera ndi kubwerera kwa mutu wa EUR / USD.
EUR / GBP idatseka gawoli ku 0.8313, poyerekeza ndi 0.8327 Lachisanu madzulo. Chifukwa chake, sterling idakwanitsa kuchita bwino masana, koma mozama, EUR / GBP imagwirabe bwino mwanjira yolumikizira yammbali.
Lero, PMI yomanga isindikizidwa. Chizindikiro ichi nthawi zambiri sichikhala chofunikira pamalonda abwino. Mgwirizanowu ukufuna kutsika kuchokera ku 54.3 mpaka 53.4. Chodabwitsa china pambuyo poti dzulo lakapangidwe kantchito lingalimbikitse kusangalala kwa ST, makamaka m'misika yaying'ono yomwe ilipo. Chakumapeto kwa chaka chatha komanso koyambirira kwa chaka chino, mitengo ya EUR / GBP idalowa nawo msika wamsika womwe umasinthidwa.
Otsatsawo anali akudziwa bwino kuti ECB isunga ndondomeko yazachuma mtsogolo mtsogolomu ndikuwona kuti ECB ipitiliza kupereka ndalama zambiri. Maonekedwe osauka a eco komanso kusowa kwa ngongole zomwe sizinathetsedwe zidapangitsa kuti euro iwononge mwayi wake kuposa ndalama zaku UK. Pomaliza, chovutacho chidatsekedwa, pomwe thandizo la 0.8222 lidagwira ndipo magulu ena angapo othandizira akupezeka (0.8142 / 0.8068). Pamwamba pake, pamwamba pa malo a 0.8400 / 22 adayesedwa kangapo, koma kupumula sikunachitike mpaka kumapeto kwa February.
Kupuma uku kudasintha kwakanthawi chithunzi cha ST pamtundawu. Komabe, panalibe zotsatira zotsatila ndipo awiriwa adabwerera posachedwa m'mbali zoyambilira. Pakadali pano sitikuwona choyambitsa kuti awiriwa achoke pamachitidwe ophatikiza a 0.8222 / 0.8424. Pakati pamtunduwu, timakondabe pang'ono njira zogulitsa.
Asia -Pacific Ndalama
Dzulo, USD / JPY yakhala ikupanikizika tsiku lonse. Kafukufuku wosauka waku Tankan adangokhala ndi zovuta zochepa (zoyipa) pa yen ngakhale panali zokambirana zambiri pamsika pazomwe zimalimbikitsa BOJ posachedwa (pafupi). Pambuyo pake pamsonkhanowu, malingaliro osamala pachiwopsezo ndi kuchepa kwa zokolola zapakati zidapangitsa USD / JPY kusiya zoposa 1 wamkulu. USD / JPY idafika intraday yotsika pa 81.88 kumapeto kwa Europe. Mosiyana ndi zomwe zidachitika mumsika / pamitengo ina, USD / JPY yalephera kupindula pakukweza malingaliro pachiwopsezo. USD / JPY adatseka gawoli nthawi ya 82.08, poyerekeza ndi 82.87 Lachisanu madzulo.
Lero m'mawa, phindu lomwe likuyenda pazinthu zaku Japan ndikuchotsedwa kwa ma USD / JPY maudindo akutali likupitilira. Kutsika kwaposachedwa kwa zokolola ku US kumapangitsa kuti phindu lipange USD / JPY. Chifukwa chake, amalonda a USD / JPY awunika ngati kuwongolera malingaliro pachiwopsezo kapena zidziwitso zabwino za US zokhoza kuyika zokolola ku US.
Malingana ngati sizili choncho, kuwongolera kungapitilize. Awiriwo akuyesanso khosi la 81.98. Malonda okhazikika pansi pamlingo uwu atha kuwonetsa kuti kuwongolera kulinso ndi zina. The 80.59 / 80.00 ndiye mfundo yotsatira pama chart.
Mawa amatibweretsera OZ Trade Balance yomwe imayesa kusiyana kwa mtengo pakati pazogulitsa ndi kutumizira kunja ndi ntchito munthawi yodziwika. Chiwerengero chovomerezeka chikuwonetsa kuti katundu ndi ntchito zambiri zidatumizidwa kuposa zomwe zidatumizidwa. Zomwe zanenedwa pano ndi za 1.00B zosintha kwathunthu kuchokera ku lipoti loipa mwezi watha.
Dola la Australia lidagwa banki yayikulu yaku Australia itaganiza zosiya ndalama. Reserve Bank ya Australia yasiya ndalama pamtengo wa 4.25% pambuyo pa msonkhano wawo wa Epulo wa Lachiwiri Lachiwiri. Ndalama zakomweko zinali kugulitsa masenti a 104.55 aku US chigamulocho chisanalengezedwe, ndipo chinagwera pa masenti a 104.15 aku US pambuyo pake.
Malonda ogulitsa ku Australia adakwera poyerekeza ndi momwe amayembekezera mwezi watha, zomwe zidawonetsedwa lero. Mu lipoti, Australia Bureau of Statistics yati kugulitsa kwa ogulitsa ku Australia kwakwera mpaka kusintha kwa 0.2%, kuchokera ku 0.3% m'mwezi wapitawu. Ofufuza amayembekeza kuti kugulitsa kwa Australia kukukwera 0.3%
Gold
Golide adalumphanso pagawo lero kukwera +9.55 mpaka 1681.45
Kusunthaku kudathandizidwa ndi chidziwitso champhamvu pakupanga kwa ISM ku US komanso lipoti lodabwitsa la ISM lochokera ku India. Ntchito zopanga ku India zidachepa mu Marichi, makamaka chifukwa cha kuzimazima kwa magetsi komanso kusowa kwa zinthu, malinga ndi kafukufuku wapachaka wa HSBC. Zolemba zogulira za HSBC zidatsika mpaka 54.7 mu Marichi kuyambira 56.6 mu February.
Mphekesera zikumveka kuti miyala yamtengo wapatali ku India, umodzi mwamisika yayikulu kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi ikuyembekezeka kutsegulidwanso bizinesi itanyanyala milungu iwiri. Ofufuzawo akuti chisankhochi chitha kutsitsimutsa kufunikira kwa ogula golide wamkulu kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi mu 2011.
Kusunthika kwakwezedwa ndi golide wopangidwa ndi dollar kumayanjananso ndi dola yaku US yofooka pang'ono, komanso kulowa kotala yatsopano.
Bank of America-Merrill Lynch Lolemba idula golide mu 2012, pomwe ikukweza mawonekedwe azitsulo zamkuwa monga mkuwa. Banki idula ndalama zake zagolide chaka chino ndi 5.4% mpaka $ 1,750 troy ounce kuchokera $ 1,850 / oz m'mbuyomu.
yosakongola Mafuta
Crude Oil ikugulitsa pa 104.67 kuchokera ku 103.31 ndi malipoti angapo azachuma komanso mphekesera zandale zochokera kumwera kwa Iraq. Nkhani idatulutsidwa lero kuti mwina kusokonekera kwazinthu kuchokera kudera la Kurdish ku Iraq. Msikawu ukupezanso thandizo pambuyo poti dera la Kurdistan ku Iraq laletsa kutumizako kunja chifukwa chakusamvana pamalipiro ndi Baghdad.
Dera lomwe limadzilamulira lokha la Kurdish yalengeza zakayimitsidwe kogulitsa mafuta kumapeto kwa Sabata, kunena kuti kuimitsidwa kumeneku ndikuti Baghdad yalephera kutumiza ndalama kuyambira Meyi, ngakhale derali limatumiza migolo 50,000 patsiku, malinga ndi Associated Press.
Kuphatikiza apo, kupanga kwa China kudawunikiridwa mosiyanasiyana Lamlungu, pomwe kafukufuku wovomerezeka mu Marichi adakwera bwino kwambiri mchaka chimodzi ndipo kafukufuku wopikisana ndi HSBC adawonetsa kuti gululi likuyenda kwambiri.
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