Tiyeni tichite phwando ngati ndi 19,999.
Nthawi ina, pamsika wogulitsa ku New York Lachisanu pa 6 Januware, a DJIA adafika pachimake, kufika 19,999, mfundo imodzi yokha yamanyazi ya psyche 'handle' ya 20,000. FTSE 100 yaku UK idasindikiza zolemba zambiri pamlungu womaliza pa 6 Januware, kutha sabata ku 7,210.
Akatswiri ambiri azachuma akafunsidwa, amati kusankhidwa kwa purezidenti, zisankho, zitha, kutsegulira kukachitika pa Januware 20. Ambiri amaneneranso kuti kukwera kwamisika yamakampani yaposachedwa ku UK 'kutha (ndi chabwino), mapulani a Brexit atamasulidwa ndi boma la UK. Komabe, pali akatswiri ambiri komanso akatswiri azachuma omwe ali ndi malingaliro otsutsana.
Ngakhale panali nkhawa zambiri, malinga ndi kuchuluka kwa misika yamasheya yomwe ikuyenera kufikira modetsa nkhawa, zikuwoneka kuti palibe vuto lalikulu, kapena chochitika chakuda chakuda, chomwe chitha kugulitsa mwadzidzidzi. Komabe, tiyenera kukhala tcheru kuti zochitika zakuda (mwachilengedwe) sizimanenedweratu kawirikawiri.
Chiwerengero cha P / E chaposachedwa cha FTSE 100 yaku UK ndi pafupifupi 34, mbiri yakale ndi 15. Chiwerengero cha P / E chimafotokozedwa bwino ngati chiŵerengero cha mtengo wamakampani poyerekeza ndi gawo lomwe amapeza. Monga dzinalo limatanthawuzira, kuwerengera P / E, mumangotenga mtengo wamalonda wamakampani ndikugawana ndi zomwe amapeza pagawo (EPS): P / E Ratio = Mtengo Wamsika pa Gawo. Zopindulitsa pa Gawo (EPS). Chifukwa chake kalozera wamkulu waku UK akuyang'ana makampani ambiri moyenera kuposa mbiri yawo.
Akatswiri ambiri amagwiritsa ntchito "Case Schiller Ratio" kuti ayese index ya USA Standard & Poor (SPX 500). Imatchedwa "CAPE" imayimira; chiŵerengero cha Kusintha kwa Mtengo-ndi-Kupeza kwakanthawi pazaka 10 zapitazi. Chiŵerengero chapano ndi 28.16, mulingo wapakatikati ndi 16.05. Malo okwera kwambiri omwe adalembedwa anali mu Disembala 1999 ku 44.19, otsika kwambiri omwe adalembedwa anali 4.78 mu Disembala 1920. Zomwe anganene kuti misika yaku USA ikadali ndi mwayi wambiri wokwera pamwamba; kufika pachimake pamlingo wopambanitsa womwe udachitidwa umboni dot com ngozi ya 1999-2000 isanachitike. Kapenanso, omwe amagulitsa ndalama ndi akatswiri angaganize kuti mitengo ya SPX pakadali pano ndi 42% kuposa mtengo wapakatikati.
Imodzi mwazinthu zomwe akatswiri ndi akatswiri azachuma amagwirizana, ndi momwe izi zidakwaniritsidwa; osati kudzera pakampani, koma kudzera munzika zotsika kwambiri, zomwe zimalola mabungwe akuluakulu kuti agule masheya awo, kuti akweze mtengo wamagawo ndikuwonjezera magawo.
Mwachitsanzo, makampani aku USA adawononga ndalama pafupifupi $ 2.5 trilioni pazaka zisanu ndi chimodzi zapitazi akuchita izi. Zodabwitsa ndizakuti, njira yotereyi ikadadziwika kuti ndi "malonda mkati" kale mu 1982. Izi zidasintha pomwe Securities and Exchange Commission idakhazikitsa lamulo 10b-18, lomwe lidatsegula zipata zamadzi kuti makampani ayambe kuwombolera magawo awo ambiri. Ponena kuti chizolowezichi chikhoza kupitilirabe, ngati mitengo yaku USA ingafikire 'chizolowezi' cha 3% pofika kumapeto kwa 2018, ndizokayikitsa kwambiri.
Dola, mothandizana ndi misika yamalonda ku USA, yakhala ndi mwayi waukulu pachisankho cha purezidenti, makamaka chifukwa cha msonkhano wa Disembala FOMC, pomwe 0.25% yawonjezeka. Yuro ili pafupi kufanana ndi dola, pomwe sterling yagwa pafupifupi 20% poyerekeza ndi USD, kuyambira pa 23 June Brexit referendum. Ndipo yen yagwa pafupifupi 17% poyerekeza ndi dola, kuyambira Ogasiti 2016.
Zochitika pakalendala yachuma pa Januware 9th 2016, nthawi zonse zomwe zatchulidwa ndi nthawi zaku London.
07:00, ndalama zidayendetsedwa EUR. Kupanga Kwama Industrial ku Germany. Zonenedweratu kuti chiwonetsero cha mafakitale aku Germany chakwera kufika pa 1.9% m'mwezi wa Novembala, kuchokera ku 1.2% m'mbuyomu.
07:00, ndalama zidayendetsedwa EUR. Ndalama Zamalonda Zaku Germany (mayuro) (NOV). Germany ndiyapadera pakati pamayiko opanga mafakitale a G10, potumiza mabizinesi abwino; amatumiza kunja kuposa momwe amalandirira. Kuneneratu za Novembala ndi € 20.3b, kuyambira € 19.3b m'mbuyomu.
09:30, ndalama zidayendetsedwa EUR. Chidaliro cha Euro-Zone Sentix Investor Confidence (JAN). Chiyerekezo cha akatswiri azachuma omwe adawerengedwa ndi chowerengera cha 12.8, kuchokera pakuwerenga kwa Disembala kwa 10 koyambirira kwa Disembala.
10:00, ndalama zinachitika EUR. Mtengo Wosowa Ntchito ku Euro-Zone (NOV). Chiyembekezo ndichakuti mutu wa kusowa kwa ntchito ku Eurozone ukhalabe wokhazikika pa 9.8%.
20: 00, ndalama zidachitika USD. Ngongole Yogula. Malingaliro akuti ngongole yaogula ku USA idakwera, makamaka chifukwa cha nyengo, ndi $ 18.400b kuchokera pakukwera kwa $ 16.018b mwezi watha.
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