Kusanthula kwamasabata sabata kuyambira Ogasiti 11th 2013
Malingaliro oyendetsera sabata yatha komanso zomwe zakhala zikuyenda bwino kwambiri, makamaka zimayendetsedwa ndi: ntchito ndi kupanga ma PMI osindikizidwa ndi a Markit economics, misonkhano ya atolankhani ndi akazembe am'mabanki ambiri otsogola, ndalama zogulitsa zamayiko monga Japan, China ndi USA komanso kuchuluka kwa malingaliro ofotokozera.
Mfundo zazikuluzikulu zomwe zimachitika m'sabatayi komanso zochitika zantchito zazikulu
Mfundo zazikuluzikulu sabata ino zikuyang'ana kwambiri: kuwerengera koyambirira kwa ziwerengero za GDP ku Japan komanso mayiko angapo aku Europe, USA ndi kukwera kwamitengo ku UK ndi kusowa kwa ntchito, chiwonetsero cha malingaliro a ZEW aku Germany, malonda ogulitsa ku USA ndi index ya Philly Fed yopanga. Palinso nkhani yaying'ono yokhudza momwe BoE MPC yaku UK idavotera poyerekeza ndi kusunga malo awo ogula pazomwe zilipo $ 375 biliyoni.
Munthawi yamalonda ogulitsa sabata yatha ambiri mwa magulu awiri azachuma, awiriawiri azinthu, ma indices ndi zinthu zina zimapitilizabe kukula. Panalibe zochepa panjira yazinthu zazikulu zatsopano, kapena zisankho zoyambira, zoyambitsa kusintha kulikonse.
Titalemba mndandanda wazomwe zakhala zikuchitika sabata ino tiziwonera sabata ikubwerayi pogwiritsa ntchito ukadaulo wamagulu awiri azachuma, magulu azinthu, ma indices ndi zinthu zina. Pomwe tikusanthula tiwunika zisonyezo zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito kwambiri pa tchati ya tsiku ndi tsiku, ngakhale titha kutchulanso tchati cha sabata.
Pakuwunika kwathu tidzagwiritsa ntchito zoyikapo nyali / mipiringidzo ya Heikin Ashi kuchitira mtengo, zikuluzikulu za tsiku ndi tsiku, kuphatikiza magawo ofunikira othandizira ndikutsutsa komanso magawo osuntha osavuta monga 200 ndi 50 SMA. Tidzagwiritsa ntchito zizindikilo zingapo zomwe timakonda kuchokera kumagulu owonetsa omwe ndi: MACD, DMI, Bollinger band, stochastics, RSI ndi PSAR. Zambiri mwazizindikirozi zitha kusintha makonda awo poyesera 'kuyimba' zomwe nthawi zambiri zimatchedwa "phokoso lamsika". Tidzanenanso za chida cha Fibonacci.
EUR / USD yapitilizabe kusintha kwake yomwe idayamba kapena kuzungulira Julayi 10 / 11th. Ndalama zazikuluzikuluzi, kuyambira pomwe zidasokoneza 200 SMA mpaka pomwe zidachitika pa Julayi 11, zatseka ma pips opitilira 550 pamwezi wa kalendala kuyambira pa Julayi 9th kusindikiza kwa 12800. Akatswiri ambiri ofufuza zaukadaulo akuyang'ana m'malo obwezeretsa organic pogwiritsa ntchito Chida cha Fibonacci chobwezera 23.6% cha circa 13250 kuchokera kumtunda wapano wa 13400. Kukayikira kuti EUR / USD itha kukhala chifukwa chobwezera kukutsindika ndi gulu lakumtunda la Bollinger lomwe likuphwanyidwa. Komabe, poyang'ana pazisonyezo zamalonda zomwe zikuyenda amalonda ambiri amadzimva kuti ali ndi mphamvu pongotsatira zomwe zikuchitika pano. DMI, m'malo osinthika a 20 apanga zotsogola m'masiku aposachedwa monga MACD. PSAR ili pamtengo wotsika, pomwe RSI pano ikuwerenga zoposa 60. Ma stochastics omwe asinthidwa 10,10,3 sanadutsenso ndipo ngakhale atachoka kudera lomwe lagulidwa kwambiri alephera kupitilirabe. Otsatsa ambiri amalangizidwa kuti adikire kuti atsimikizidwe, kuchokera kuzowonetsa zambiri zamalonda zomwe zikuyenda, kuti kutsetsereka kwamwambaku kwatha asanapite ku malonda achidule. Mwinanso ngati amalonda osachepera akuyenera kuyang'ana kuti PSAR iwonekere pamtengo, ndipo DMI, MACD ikhale yolakwika ndipo RSI igwe pansi pamlingo wapakatikati wa 50 isanachitike. Amalonda omwe akwera malondawa kwa nthawi yayitali kuyambira koyambirira kwa Julayi ayenera kusintha mayimidwe moyenera. Mwinanso kugwiritsa ntchito PSAR kuyika poyimilira kuti atseke pazopindulitsa mpaka pano. 13,300 ikhala gawo loyimilira lodziwikiratu popeza ndiyonso nambala yotsatira yama psyche mpaka kutsika.
GBP / USD idayamba kusintha kwazomwe zikuchitika munthawi yofananira ndi EUR / USD kapena pa Julayi 9th / 11th. Zofanana ndi EUR / USD zomwe ziphuphu zakhala zofunikira, kuyambira 15,000 mpaka mtengo wapano wa 15,500. Apanso akatswiri ambiri aukadaulo azigwiritsa ntchito chida chawo cha Fibonacci, kujambula kuseri kwa Julayi 9th mpaka kumtunda kwa Ogasiti 8 ndikulosera zakugwa pafupi ndi 23.6%, kapena psyche 15,400. Tiyenera kudziwa kuti kugwiritsa ntchito bwino chida cha Fibonacci kumafuna kujambulanso tsiku ndi tsiku.
Kuyang'ana zizindikiro zina kumavumbula zomwezi ndi za EUR / USD, ndalama zomwe zimakhala ndi kulumikizana kwamphamvu ndi chingwe. PSAR ili pamtengo wotsika, MACD ndi DMI ali ndi chiyembekezo, ndikupangitsa kukwera kwambiri pamasiku aposachedwa ndipo makandulo awiri aposachedwa kwambiri a Heikin Ashi atsekedwa ndi mithunzi yokwera. Gulu lapamwamba la Bollinger laphwanyidwa, stochastics (pamasinthidwe a 10,10,3) ali pakatikati pa circa 50, pomwe RSI pano ikuwerenga 62. Amalonda amalangizidwanso kuti azipanga phindu lililonse panthawi izi zimachitika chifukwa chogwiritsa ntchito poyimilira, mwina pogwiritsa ntchito PSAR ngati gauge. 15,450 itha kuonedwa ngati kuyimitsidwa koonekeratu kapena 15,400 popeza imagwirizana ndi kubwerera kwa 23.6% Fibonacci. Otsatsa angaganize zokhalabe ndi chingwe chotalikirapo ngati malo oyenera mpaka zizindikilo zingapo zamalonda zosinthira zitalembetsa zoyipa. Mwinanso ngati RSI yocheperako pamzere wapakatikati wa 50, PSAR iwoneke pamwambapa ndi DMI ndi MACD, pogwiritsa ntchito histogram, kusindikiza zotsika zatsopano.
AUD / USD zidasinthiratu modabwitsa pa Ogasiti 5th bwanamkubwa wa RBA ndi komiti atadabwitsa msika wa FX (ndi misika yayikulu), pochepetsa kokha mitengo ya Aussie base ndi 0.25% pomwe akatswiri ambiri komanso owunikira pamsika adaneneratu kuchepa kwa 0.5% . Zikuwoneka kuti msika unali ndi mtengo wotsika ndi 0.5% pomwe Aussie adalimbana motsutsana ndi anzawo akulu akulu azachuma. Kwa magawo otsala a malonda sabata yatha msika udapitilirabe chifukwa cha kusintha kwachuma komwe kudasindikizidwa ndi China, mnzake wamkulu waku Australia, pazinthu zake komanso ndalama zake. Popeza kukwera kwakanthawi kochepa kwamitengo akatswiri ambiri atembenukira ku chida cha Fibonacci kuti akafufuze komwe kungabwerenso pamlingo wa 23.6% kapena circa 9100 kuyambira kumapeto kwenikweni kwa 9250.
Kuyang'ana zomwe zikuwonetsa kusinthanitsa malonda a DMI ndi MACD posachedwapa zakhala zabwino, RSI ili pamwamba pamzere wapakatikati pa 55. Gulu lapakati la Bollinger laphwanyidwa, pomwe ma stochastics awoloka ndipo achoka pa 70 , yomwe imadziwika kuti gawo loyang'aniridwa. Otsatsa amalangizidwanso kuti azikhala ndi zomwe zikuchitika pano, kuyang'anira maimidwe mosamala, pomwe atha kufunafuna kusintha kwa zizindikilo zambiri zomwe zatchulidwazi asanakonzekere kugulitsa kwakanthawi. Chiwongola dzanja chokhazikika chomwe chimasinthidwa chimakhala ndi 'moyo' waukulu kuposa zochitika zina zofunika, kapena zochitika zazikulu.
Zizindikiro
DJIA, pamasabata atatu apitawa, adawonetsa chitetezo chomwe chikuvutikira kupeza phindu lina kumtunda. Popeza zidasokonekera chifukwa cha mbiri yakale zikuwoneka kuti opanga msika ndi osunthira akuvutikira kupereka chindapusa kuti apitilize kukwera popanda nkhani zofunikira.
Pakadutsa mwezi uliwonse, ndikuwonjezera ndalama zokwana $ 85 biliyoni zandalama kudzera mu pulogalamu ya Fed, zomwe zimakhudza misika yamalonda ku USA yolimbikitsayi ikuwoneka kuti ikuchepetsa. DJIA idayamba kusintha pa Ogasiti 6th osatengera nkhani zoipa, koma kuthekera kwakumva kwachisoni komanso kulimba mtima. Mndandanda wayamba kupanga zomwe zikuwonetsa kuthekera kwazomwe zikuyenda pansi zomwe zikukula.
PSAR ili pamwamba pamtengo, RSI ili pansi pamzera wapakatikati wa 50, MACD ndi DMI ndizosavuta ndikusindikiza zotsika pang'ono pa histogram, gulu lapakati la Bollinger laphwanyidwa mpaka kumapeto, stochastics, pa 9,9,3 kolowera, awoloka ndikutuluka kudera lomwe lidagulitsidwa kwambiri. Makandulo / mipiringidzo yaposachedwa kwambiri ya Hiekin Ashi yatsekedwa ndi mithunzi yotsikira. Masiku osunthira osavuta a masiku makumi asanu ali pafupi kuwoneka ngati pangakhale kupumula kwakukulu kuti zisachitike. Otsatsa amalangizidwa kuti ayang'ane kusinthanso kwa ziwonetserozi asanafike pofupikitsa index. Mwinanso osachepera PSAR yomwe ikuwoneka pansipa mtengo ndipo DMI ndi MACD zimakhala zabwino.
zinthu
Mafuta a WTI apitilizabe kukhala chitetezo chovuta kulosera m'masabata aposachedwa ndikusintha kwakukulu tsiku ndi tsiku. Pakadali pano chitetezo ndi chachabechabe, koma mawonekedwe ake mwina akupanga zomwe zikusonyeza kuti apitenso patsogolo. DMI ndiyabwino ndipo yakwera kwambiri m'masiku aposachedwa, MACD yakhala yotsika kwambiri, RSI ili ndi zaka 55 ndipo ma stochastics omwe ali ndi 9,9,3 awolokera kumtunda. Amalonda amalangizidwa kuti azisamala mosamala chitetezo ichi, mwina ngati PSAR ikuwoneka pansipa pamitengo m'malo awo ochepa ndikuganiza zotalika.
Gold
Monga akuchitira umboni masabata aposachedwa golide walephera kutchula malo achitetezo omwe amachitidwapo pamisika ina. RORO (chiopsezo chotenga paradigm) yasanduka nthunzi ndipo golide yataya malo ake otetezeka. Ponena kuti izi ndi njira yakanthawi kochepa, kapena kuwunikirabe kopitilira muyeso wachuma kwa Fed, zikuwonekabe. Golide amawoneka kuti akupanga zinthu zowoneka bwino, komabe, pamasiku omaliza amalonda sabata yatha chitetezo chidayamba kutengera njira zachitetezo kuti zitheke. MACD idakhala ndi chiyembekezo ndipo idakwera kwambiri pa histogram, RSI ili pamwamba pa 50 kusindikiza pa 53, ma stochastics pamakonzedwe a 9,9,3 atawoloka kumene kupita kumtunda ndipo gulu lapakati la Bollinger laphwanyidwa kumtunda. Mtengo tsopano wakhazikika molondola pafupi ndi 50 SMA pomwe 'yakhala' mothinana kwamasiku angapo. Ogulitsa golide wamfupi amalangizidwa kuti aziwunika malo awo mosamala kuti awone umboni wina wosonyeza kuti mtengo ungathe kukwera.
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