Zizindikiro Sizingagwire Ntchito Pokhapokha Pamene Zichita, Zomwe Zili Nthawi Yonse
Mukakhala mu 'masewera ochita malonda' kwazaka zingapo mumawona mafashoni amalonda akubwera; Kujambula mdima kunali mkwiyo wonse zaka zingapo zapitazo, mwina mumayenera kukhala Sith Lord kapena Jedi Knight kuti mugwire ntchito. Zikuwoneka kuti mtengo ndi njira yokhayo yogulitsira, ndipo ngati simukugulitsa pogwiritsa ntchito zoyambira ndiye kuti zikuwoneka “Mukungoganiza”.
Nzeru zomwe zalandilidwa posachedwa ndikuti muyenera kukhala ndi mwayi wofika pakuyenda, kuzama kwa msika, ndi mulingo wachiwiri wopeza malonda bwino. Palibe malingaliro pamalingaliro anga kuti onse omwe atchulidwawa akhoza kupititsa patsogolo malonda anu, chimodzimodzi squawk ndi malo osungira Bloomberg (mtengo wophatikizika wa circa € 2500 pamwezi) mosakayikira angakupatseni zida zofunikira kuti mugwire ntchitoyi, izi ndi zofuna kuti onse amalonda ayenera kukhala ndi cholinga, koma sizofunikira kwa ambiri amalonda omwe amagwiritsa ntchito ntchito za STP / ECN za broker monga FXCC.
Zomwe zikuchitika tsopano ndikutaya zizindikiro, zikuoneka kuti ziri;
- "Palibe bwino kuposa voodoo"
- "Amangosonyeza zomwe zinachitika, osati zomwe zidzachitike"
- "Onse adakomoka"
- "Ndibwino kuti mutenge mwana wazaka zisanu kuti mutenge mizere yowonjezera kuposa kugwiritsa ntchito zizindikiro"
Ndipo zimapitilira pitilira ...
Tsopano sindikudziwa za inu koma Gerald Appel yemwe adapanga MACD, Welles Wilder Jr., yemwe adapanga rsi, ndi George Lane, wopanga chisonyezo cha stochastic, aliyense akupanga masamu osangalatsa osonyeza (molondola molondola) ) komwe mtengo upite patsogolo, tengani voti yanga patsogolo pa munthu wina mwachisawawa pa forum ya 'interweb' yemwe wakuwuzani "Khalani ndi zizindikirozo ndikungogwiritsa ntchito tchati wamaliseche."
Chabwino ine ndikulolani inu mu chinsinsi chachikulu; zizindikiro zimagwira 'ntchito', koma osati mwa njira yoonekeratu zomwe zimayembekezeredwa. Pali khalidwe limodzi lodziwika bwino la zizindikiro zomwe zingateteze likulu lanu (popanda zomwe mumachoka mu masewerawa) komanso mumtima mukuchititsani kuti muzigwiritsa ntchito bwino ndalama zanu. Zizindikiro zimakutsogolerani inu nthawi yoti mulowe mu malonda ndi nthawi yoti mutuluke, ergo amaika malire pa kutayika kwanu pa ntchito iliyonse. Tetezani zowonongeka ndi zowonongeka zitha kudzisamalira zokha. Kodi mutha kusintha kayendetsedwe kake, msika wamtengo wapatali, mtengo wamtengo wapatali kuchita izo, kapena mungagulitse mwanjira imeneyo kuti mumagwire otaika anu kupitirira malire awo?
Ndagwiritsa ntchito wapamwamba kwambiri, kapena otsika kwambiri pa gawoli, kapena wotsiriza wothamanga, monga kuyima. Pa njira ya maola awiri ndi inayi yomwe nthawi zambiri imakhala yosiyana ndi ya 80-100 pips. Komabe, ndi mtengo wotsatira njira zowonetsera / zowonetsera zomwe zimayimitsa, nthawi zambiri kuposa, polamulidwa. Zisonyezo kuti mutsegule malonda ndi kutsogolera maulendo mobwerezabwereza kuposa momwe amachitira kale kusiyana ndi kuyima koyambirira, kawirikawiri pakati pa ma pips 30-50.
Chiyeso, kulola malonda kuti 'asinthe' kuti awone ngati akubwerera kuntchito yanu yowonongeka kapena kugunda pamene ntchitoyo 'yayipa' ndikuchotsedwa. Monga chisonyezo chotsatsa malonda omwe mungagwiritse ntchito pokonza malonda mungathe kuchoka ku malonda oipa ndi kumbali ina yabwino, mutachira kale, ngati "mtengo wothandizira" akudikira chifukwa chochoka.
Palibe njira yomwe ingakhale 100% yolondola poyesa kutsogolo kwa malonda, monga wamalonda wotchuka Jesse Livermore akuti akunena, "Sudzadziwa konse" kupatula iwe! "Pokhapokha mutagulitsa kapena Banja lachiwiri la 1 (kugulitsa yaikulu kukula), kapena kupeza zofunikira zazikulu za BoE / FED / ECB kusanayambe kufotokoza, zochitika zonse zomwe zingasunthike pamsika nthawi yomweyo, ndiye kuti muli mu chakudya ndi ena onse zabwino zathu.
Mukudikira mtengo kuti mutengepo ku nkhani kapena zofunikira ndiyeno kuti mudziwe kuti muzitha magazi anu, ndiye kuti mutha kukoka. Kodi mtengo wamtengo wapatali, kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe, kayendedwe ka 2, kulosera kayendetsedwe ka ndalama kwa ogulitsa malonda mopambana kuposa zizindikiro, kapena kukufikitsani patsogolo pambaliyi ndiziganiziranso zofunika izi?
Pali maluso atatu omwe amalonda amalowa, malowedwe, oyang'anira ndi kutuluka. Timavomereza kuti sitingathe kulamulira kapena kuwonetsa mtengo umene timayambitsa kukopa, koma pamapeto pake timakhala ndi chifundo pa msika, koma tikhoza kulamulira maganizo athu kuti tigwiritse ntchito bwino malonda ndikufika pamapeto pomwe kulowa ndi kutuluka. Kugwiritsira ntchito zizindikiro zothandizira pa izi kungakuthandizeni kuti mukhale ndi maganizo omvera pamene mukulimbikitsana kwambiri malonda kuti muwonetsetse kuti kutaya kulikonse pa malonda amodzi akuchepetsedwa. Kugwiritsira ntchito zizindikiro zolondola kungathandizenso kuchepetsa chiyeso chogonjetsa malonda; izi zingakhalenso wowononga nkhani kwa wogulitsa osadziŵa zambiri.
Nthawi ina ndayika ndondomeko yamtengo wapatali pogwiritsa ntchito zokambirana za njira zowonetsera. Ndinapempha wogulitsa mnzanga kuti andisonyeze komwe angatenge malonda pogwiritsa ntchito mtengo. Kenaka ndinadutsa ma MA, rsi, macd strat pamasankho ake. Inu mukudziwa kumene ine ndikupita ndi izi sichoncho inu? Pazinthu zamtunduwu, zomwe zinatenga nthawi ya sabata ziwiri, ntchito yomwe inatengedwa pa ora limodzi inali yofanana kwambiri ndi yanga.
Mtengo wasunthidwa, tidatsata mtengo. Komabe, panali china chake cholondola ndi njira yowonetsera yomwe idapangitsa kuti njira yochitira mitengo ibwere posachedwa. Komanso kuyitanidwa kuchitapo kanthu ndi njira yowonetsera sikunachedwe pomwe njira yogwiritsira ntchito mtengo inali ndi kuchedwa kwachilengedwe pomwe wamalonda amayeza zomwe angasankhe ndikupeza nthawi 'yoyang'ana maziko ake onse'.
Ndi njira iliyonse yowonetsera ife tikuyang'ana ndendende mofanana ndi kuchitapo kanthu mtengo, kusuntha kwakukulu kuchoka ku mtengo kapena mtengo wamtengo wapatali. Kodi iwo omwe amatsutsa zizindikiro akusonyeza kuti zizindikiro zina sizingathe kuwonetsera kupanga mtengo kapena kusapangitsa apamwamba kapena kuchepa? Ngati tikufuna mtengo wosiyana kuchokera kuzinthu zofunikira, kuti mtengo ukhale wofulumizitsa kuchoka ku chiwerengero chokhazikika, sangathe kuphwanya awiri pulogalamuyi kuti phindu likuyenda?
Zili choncho ndipo pali ochita malonda ambiri ogwira ntchito, ena mwa ndalama zazikulu za hedge funds, omwe agwiritsa ntchito zizindikiro kuti zikhale zabwino kwazaka makumi ambiri amene amamwetulira atamva kuti njira yomwe amagwiritsira ntchito “Sizigwira ntchito…”
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