Kodi mumabwereranso bwanji bwino?
Mu backtesting, njira kapena lingaliro limayesedwa kuti lipindule kale pamanja kapena mwadongosolo. Kuti mudziwe ngati njira yamalonda ikuwonetsa lonjezano ndi phindu m'misika ingapo, wochita malonda akhoza kubwezera njira pamanja kapena ndi pulogalamu yobwezeretsa.
Nkhaniyi ifotokoza za backtesting pamanja popeza backtesting sikuti nthawi zonse imafunikira mapulogalamu ndipo imatha kuchitidwa ndi wamalonda aliyense. Chifukwa cha kuthekera kwa nsanja zambiri zamalonda zapaintaneti, ndizotheka kuyesa pulogalamu yokhazikika pogwiritsa ntchito yaulere akaunti yamalonda ya demo. Ndikofunikirabe kuganizira zida zowongolera zoopsa popeza palibe zitsimikizo.
Kodi backtesting ndi chiyani?
Kutengera ndi mbiri yakale, kubweza kumbuyo kumatha kudziwa momwe njira yogulitsira kapena njira yowunikira ingachitire. Kupanga njira yabwino yogulitsira malonda kumadalira kwambiri chigawo ichi. Kuthekera kwa njira sikutha, ndipo kusintha pang'ono kungasinthe zotsatira. Chifukwa chake, kubwezera kumbuyo ndikofunikira chifukwa kumatha kudziwa ngati magawo ena ali othandiza kuposa ena.
Kodi pali zizindikiro za backtest?
Kwa kubwerera kumbuyo, Zizindikiro zaluso ndizothandiza chifukwa zimawerengera zenizeni panthawi inayake. Chilolezo cha mphamvu yachibale (RSI), mwachitsanzo, chimakhala chachindunji kwambiri chikamayenda pamwamba pa 25 tsiku lililonse chitakhala pansi pake. Ngati malonda atengedwa potsegula zotsatirazi, chizindikirochi chikhoza kuyesedwa mosavuta, poganiza kuti kutulukako ndi kolondola kwambiri.
Ndizotheka kuphatikiza zizindikiro za backtest zomwe zingayambitse kulowa kapena kutuluka kwa malonda potengera milingo kapena zizindikiro. Zotsatira zake, zimathandiza kupewa chisokonezo ponena za nthawi yoti mutenge malonda, yomwe nthawi zambiri imakhala nthawi yotsatila chizindikiro. Mapulatifomu ambiri ogulitsa amapereka zizindikiro zosiyanasiyana zaumisiri kuti atsimikizire njira yamalonda kapena mtundu. Zizindikiro monga Donchian Channels, Ichimoku Clouds, ndi Heikin Ashi ndizodziwika pakubweza kumbuyo.
Njira yabwino kwambiri ndi iti?
Palibe njira yotsimikizika 'yabwino' yogulitsira pamisika yazachuma. Mchitidwe wanu wamalonda, zolinga zonse, ndi zochitika zanu zidzatsimikizira njira yanu yabwino yobwerera kumbuyo.
Intraday backtesting
Otsatsa matsiku amatha kubwereza pamanja ma chart a intraday ngati akufuna kuphunzira momwe angagulitsire. Ma backtest osavuta amaphatikiza kuyang'ana nthawi ya mphindi imodzi ndi mphindi zisanu zomwe zikugulitsidwa, mwachitsanzo. Kuwonjezera phindu ndi zotayika kuchokera ku malonda oyambirira kutengera ndondomekoyi kungakupatseni lingaliro la kuchuluka kwa phindu lomwe linapangidwa sabata imeneyo.
Backtesting vs kuyesa kutsogolo
Kubwerera kumbuyo kumaphatikizapo kupeza malonda otengera mbiri yakale kuti awone momwe njira idzagwiritsire ntchito mtsogolo, pamene kuyesa kutsogolo kumaphatikizapo kuyerekezera zochitika zamalonda ndi njira za "kugulitsa mapepala". Wogulitsa ayenera kuyang'anitsitsa msika nthawi zonse, kugwiritsa ntchito zizindikiro zilizonse zomwe zimawoneka pamene msika ukuyenda.
Kubwerera kumbuyo kumafuna kudziwa ngati njira ikhoza kubweretsa phindu, pomwe kuyesa kwamtsogolo kumatsimikizira kapena kutsutsa izi. Kuphatikiza apo, kuyesa kwamtsogolo kumatenga nthawi yayitali chifukwa kuyenera kuchitika munthawi yeniyeni. Wochita malonda akhoza kusonkhanitsa malonda a zaka zambiri pa tsiku limodzi pobwezera kumbuyo m'malo mochita malonda tsiku ndi tsiku pamene zikubwera.
Kugwira ntchito kwa njira mdziko lenileni komanso zakale zitha kuphunziridwa palimodzi poyesa kubweza kumbuyo komanso kutsogolo.
Mfundo yofunika
Kuchita ma backtests amanja mu forex ndikofanana ndi m'misika ina yazachuma. Chifukwa cha maora 24 a msika wa forex, muyenera kuwonetsetsa kuti mumabwereranso nthawi zamasana pomwe mutha kugulitsa. Simungathe kupeza zambiri zodalirika pobweza njira ya forex kupitilira mwezi umodzi pokhapokha mutagwiritsa ntchito maola onse omwe alipo tsiku lililonse. Ndikofunikira kuganizira nthawi yomwe mutha kugulitsa musanayambe backtest yanu. Mutha kulowa nawo malonda kwa maola atatu okha. Kubwerera mmbuyo mu forex kumafuna zolembera zokha komanso phindu ndi zotayika zomwe zimakhala nazo panthawi yamalonda.
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