GBP/USD Imachira Pang'ono Pambuyo Kugunda Record Lows
Pamene BoE ndi UK Treasury ankafuna kuchepetsa misika ya jittery, mapaundi anakwera pang'ono ku Ulaya Lachiwiri m'mawa.
Monga Chancellor waku UK Kwasi Kwarteng adalonjeza kuti adzachepetsa misonkho yambiri, ndalamayo idatsika pafupifupi 5% mpaka $ 1,035 dzulo lake.
Ngakhale kukwera, ndalama za ku Britain zidakali zotsika kwambiri kuyambira 1985. Kwarteng adakhazika mtima pansi misika ndi mawu ogwirizana ndi Bank of England akulonjeza kuti afulumizitsa njira zowongolera ngongole.
Kuphatikiza apo, banki yayikulu yaku Britain idati sidzazengereza kukweza chiwongola dzanja ngati inflation ikwera, koma sinakweze mitengo nthawi yomweyo.
Pambuyo pa msonkhano wa Lachiwiri, mapaundi akadali otsika ndi 20 peresenti poyerekeza ndi dola kusiyana ndi momwe zinalili kumayambiriro kwa 2022. Ndi khosi ndi khosi ndi yen ya ku Japan monga ndalama za G10 zomwe zikuyenda bwino kwambiri chaka chino.
Kutsatira kudulidwa kwa msonkho kwa boma kwa $ 45 biliyoni komanso kubwereketsa kwakukulu komwe kudalengezedwa Lachisanu, osunga ndalama padziko lonse lapansi ayang'ana kwambiri pakutsika kwa chidaliro cha Britain.
“Pakadali pano, palibe umboni woonekeratu wakuti ndondomeko ya bajeti ya boma idzasinthidwa kapena kusinthidwa,” anatero katswiri wa zachuma ku JPMorgan Allan Monks.
"BoE iyenera kubwereza zoyembekeza za msika kapena chiopsezo chokhumudwitsa osunga ndalama ndikukweza ziyembekezo za nthawi yayitali ya inflation pokhapokha Kwarteng akubwera ndi ndondomeko yowonjezereka kuti akhazikitse zinthu," adatero Monks.
Lolemba, mitengo yama bond yama bond aboma la UK idatsikanso, kutenga zokolola zazaka 10 kuposa 4.2% kuchokera pafupifupi 3.5%. Zokolola zazaka ziwiri, zomwe zimakhudzidwa kwambiri ndi ziyembekezo za chiwongoladzanja, zinathetsa gawoli pafupifupi 4.4%.
Ngakhale kuti amalonda akuchepetsa ziyembekezo za kuwonjezereka kwadzidzidzi, misika ikuyembekeza kuti Bank of England idzakweza mitengo ya 1.5 peresenti mpaka 3.75% mu November.
M'mabizinesi oyambilira Lachiwiri, mitengo yama bond idakwera, pomwe zokolola zazaka 10 zidatsika ndi 0.19 peresenti kufika pa 4.07 peresenti, koma ngongole zangongole zikadalipo pakutsika kwambiri pamwezi.
Chiwongola dzanja chikuyembekezeka kukwera kwambiri chifukwa cha chiwongola dzanja chokwera pamabanki akuluakulu aku UK.
Dola yaku US ikhoza kupuma pang'ono
Kukwera kwa chiwongola dzanja cha US, chuma champhamvu kwambiri ku US, komanso kufunikira kotetezedwa motsutsana ndi kusakhazikika kwamitengo yamtengo wapatali kwakopa osunga ndalama ku dollar, kupangitsa kuti ikwere pafupifupi 22 peresenti poyerekeza ndi ndalama.
Osunga ndalama ena amawopa kuti kufunikira kwa dola kwachititsa kuti awonongeke kwambiri, zomwe zimawonjezera chiopsezo cha kugwa kwakukulu ngati mkhalidwe ndi kufunikira kosunga ndalamazo zikusintha ndipo amalonda amayesa kutseka malo awo nthawi yomweyo.
"Positioning yatenthedwa," atero Kelvin Tse, wamkulu wa njira zazikulu zapadziko lonse lapansi ku America ku BNP Paribas. "Tikapeza chothandizira, dola imatha kutembenuka ndikutembenuka mwamphamvu," adatero.
Owonera m'misika yamayiko akunja anali ndi ukonde wautali wa dola ya US $ 10.23 biliyoni pa Seputembara 20. Izi zatsika kuchokera pachimake pafupifupi $20 biliyoni mu Julayi koma zikuwonetsa gawo lachitatu lalitali kwambiri kuyambira 1999 kwa amalonda omwe ali ndi maudindo a dollar okhala ndi 62 masabata owongoka. za maudindo.
Kupatula kukayikira kwakanthawi kochepa kokhudzana ndi mliriwu, zambiri pazosankha zambiri kuyambira 2014 zikuwonetsa kuti ma bond aku US dollar ndiye adakulungidwa kwambiri, malinga ndi a Morgan Stanley.
Pafupifupi 56% ya omwe adachita nawo kafukufuku wa BofA wokhudza oyang'anira ndalama zapadziko lonse mu Seputembala adatchula malo a madola atali kwambiri ngati malonda "otsika mtengo kwambiri", ndipo dolayo idakhala ndi udindo womwewo pakufufuza kwa mwezi wachitatu.
Ngakhale lipoti lotentha kwambiri kuposa momwe amayembekezera ku US mu Ogasiti linasokoneza ziyembekezozo ndikukweza dola, osunga ndalama akuti chiwopsezo cha malonda a dollar yakwera kwambiri.
"Mwachiwonekere, mukakhala ndi mgwirizano wochuluka pamene onse ogulitsa ndalama akuyang'ana chinthu chomwecho pamene malingaliro akusintha, zomwe zimachitika zimakhala zovuta," adatero Eric Levé, mkulu wa zachuma ku Bailard.
"Titha kuwona mosavuta kusintha kwa dola motsutsana ndi euro kapena yen ndi 10-15% kumbali ina," adatero. Mu 2015 ndi 2009, maulendo awiri otsiriza chiwerengero cha dola chinakwera ndi 20% pachaka, ndondomekoyi inalemba kuchepa kwa miyezi iwiri ya 6.7% ndi 7.7%, motero, pamene dola inakwera kwambiri.
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