FXCC ikufotokoza chisankho cha UK General Thursday June 8th
Zipani zazikulu zandale
M'chisankho chomaliza cha 2015 chomwe chidachitika ku UK boma lomwe pano a Tories (Conservatives), adalandira 38% ya mavoti adziko lonse, Labor Party idapeza 31%, Liberal Democrats 8%, UKIP 13%, Green Party 4%, SNP 5 %.
Pali `` mipando '' 650 ku Nyumba Yamalamulo yaku UK, mipando imakhudzana ndi komwe aphungu 'azikhalamo' mchipindacho. Nyumba yotsikayo imatchedwa "House of Commons". Awa ndi mabwalo omwe zipani zosiyanasiyana zimamenyera ufulu wawo, ndipamene amakambirana mfundo ndikuvotera.
Manambala a Tory.
Ntchito yosankha zisanachitike monga a Tories; Manifesto awo (chikole chomwe adafalitsa pomwe ntchito yawo yampikisano), adanyozedwa ndi atolankhani aku UK. Manifesto adabweretsa ndalama zatsopano zosamalira okalamba, koma adalephera kupereka ndalama. A Tories akuyembekezeranso kuchotsera chomwe chimatchedwa "cholowa mafuta m'nyengo yozizira" ya $ 300 pachaka kwa ambiri opuma pantchito; malipiro omwe amapita kwa onse opuma pantchito ku UK. Afunanso kuchotsa chitsimikizo kuti opuma pantchito azisangalala ndi mapenshoni apamwamba, potengera chitsimikizo cha "katatu".
Kukwera kwa Jeremy Corbyn
Tsopano zisankhozi sizokhudza Tories kuponya mpira ndi manifesto yawo, Labor Party ikutsogozedwa ndi wandale yemwe, ngakhale anali atanamiziridwa kale ndi atolankhani, tsopano akuwoneka kuti ndiwotchuka kwambiri ndi ovota. Jeremy Corbyn adasankhidwa, osati kamodzi koma kawiri, ndi mamembala a Labor Party ngati mtsogoleri wawo ndipo akhala nyumba yamalamulo kwa zaka pafupifupi 35, akudzipereka mosatopa ndikudzipereka pandale panthawiyo.
Manifesto a Chipani Cholipira amawononga ndalama zonse; masamu akuphatikiza. Afunanso kukweza misonkho ya 5% ya anthu, kukweza misonkho yabungwe kubwerera ku 2010, kutulutsa ntchito zofunikira monga: njanji, madzi, gasi ndi magetsi, kuthetsa ndalama za kuyunivesite, kuteteza opuma pantchito ndikupanga banki yosungitsa ndalama ndi £ 250b), kuti apange ntchito ndikumanganso zomangamanga.
Zomwe zikuchitika posachedwa
Kuyambira pa Meyi 31 - Juni 3 mfundo 24 yomwe Mukuyendetsa kuchokera ku Epulo idachepa kufika pa 3. Kuphatikiza apo, m'mawerengedwe ena Inu Gov akuti ngati mutachotsa zolemetsazo (cholowa chausinkhu, kuchuluka kwa anthu, kusintha kwina kwa anthu ndi zina zambiri) ndimangogwiritsa ntchito masamu okhaokha, ndiye kuti Labor ili patsogolo, 43% mpaka 40%. Iwo anapitirira pamenepo; ponena kuti zotsatira za kafukufuku wamkulu omwe adachita, kudzera pamafunso pafupifupi 50,000, zimapangitsa kuti a Tories alephere kukhala ndi mipando yambiri ku Nyumba Yamalamulo.
Kusintha kwaposachedwa pakuvota ndi momwe zimakhudzira misika ya FX ndi equity
Pomwe mavoti acheperako, kapena nthawi yomwe a Tories awonetsa kutchuka kwakanthawi ndipo zisankho zakula mokomera iwo, mtengo wa sterling wakwera, kapena wagwa, koma pakadali pano ma gyrations amtengo wapatali kwambiri ambiri mwa anzawo akulu amakhala odzichepetsa. Zifukwa zakukhazikika kwakanthawi pamitundu ingapo ndizosangalatsa; Ambiri mwa owonetsa pamsika ndi owunikira akadali akuneneratu bwino za kupambana kwa Tory ndipo mabanki ena azachuma akhala akunena zonena za zotsatirazi.
Kodi "Brexit" yovuta ndi chiyani, ndi "yofewa" Brexit
Brexit Wofewa
Brexit yofewa ingaphatikizepo kuyitanitsa ndikukambirana ndi mayiko ena aku UK aku 27 aku Europe kuti awonetsetse kuti kuwonongeka kwachuma ku UK ndikuchepa. Izi zikuphatikiza kuwonetsetsa kuti malonda akusungidwa pafupi ndi kulipira msonkho momwe angathere. Limodzi mwamavuto akulu omwe UK ikukumana nawo ndikuwonetsetsa kuti ndalama zowonjezera sizilipira mabizinesi aku Britain omwe amachita nawo Europe, dzikolo likatuluka ku European Union, kuyesa kuteteza mayendedwe aulere sikofunikira.
Hard Brexit
Mosiyana ndi njira yovuta ya Brexit ikuwoneka kuti ikukondedwa ndi chipani cha Tory ndipo makamaka Theresa May, yemwe wakhala akugwiritsa ntchito mawu oti "palibe mgwirizano wabwino kuposa chinthu choyipa" ndipo wapempha ufulu wandale zandale ku UK, a danga lomwe kale linali phwando lotchedwa UKIP.
Brexit yovutayo ikuwoneka kuti ikuyimira malo osakhazikika pomwe UK sakanatha kufikira msika waku Europe, kulipira misonkho ndikugwira ntchito motsogozedwa ndi malamulo a WTO (bungwe lazamalonda padziko lonse lapansi), zomwe zitha kukhala zoyipa kwambiri kuposa malonda amisonkho aulere masiku ano zomwe Britain akusangalala nazo pakadali pano, monga membala wapano wa European Union.
Zomwe mungayembekezere pa Chisankho Chachikulu ku UK misika ikadzatsegulidwa
Tulukani kafukufuku
Kafukufuku wofunikira kwambiri zisanachitike zotsatira za chisankho, ndiye chomwe chimatchedwa "kafukufuku wofufuza". Nzika zaku UK zikugwiritsabe ntchito njira yakale yovotera pamabokosi ovota ndipo mabokosi awa amakhala, mwachitsanzo; malaibulale, masukulu, maholo amatauni, maholo akumidzi ndi zina zambiri ku UK
Oyang'anira zisankho, osagwiritsidwa ntchito mwachindunji ndi boma la UK, kenako amawerenga mavoti ndikupereka zotsatira (pamalopo), kuti Nyumba Yamalamulo yakomweko yalengezedwe.
Zotsatira zoyamba ziyamba kulengezedwa pafupifupi 11pm UK nthawi. Nthawi zambiri zigawo za kumpoto chakum'mawa kwa England, monga Sunderland ndi Newcastle, zimanyadira kukhala woyamba kulengeza kuti ndi ndani yemwe wapambana m'malo mwa chipani chawo, wopambanayo amakhala MP, yemwe amayimira madera awo kunyumba yamalamulo.
Nyumba yamalamulo yopachikidwa.
Akatswiri ambiri akuti Labor Party tsopano ikuwona kuti sizingatheke kupambana zisankho, ngakhale atachita bwino kwambiri posachedwapa ndikupeza mavoti okwana 43%, angopeza ambiri. Pomwe a Tories, omwe ali ndi pafupifupi 38% ya mavoti, amatha kupambana ndikuwonjezera pang'ono. Ndi 38% ya Ogwira ntchito zitha kukhala zovuta kuti akwaniritse mipando 326 yambiri. Chifukwa chake, mwina Labour yabwino kwambiri yomwe ingakwaniritse, ingakhale kuletsa kuti Tories ipambane kenako ndikukhala ndi mphamvu yolumikizana ndi zipani zina.
FX, msika wamsika wamsika komanso wogulitsa ungasunthike
Ndizokayikitsa kuti zilizonse zomwe zingachitike, misika yamalonda ku USA, kapena misika yazogulitsa idzakumana ndi kusakhazikika pamasankho ku UK, msika waukulu waku UK wa FTSE mwina ungachitepo kanthu. Nyumba yamalamulo yopachikidwa, motsutsana ndi zotsatira zomveka, zitha kupangitsa kuti kusamvana komwe misika isakonde, makamaka ngati zokambirana zokhudzana ndi nyumba yamalamulo yomwe idapachikidwa, zimatenga masiku angapo kuti zigwirizane.
Komabe, misika ya FX imatha kusinthasintha kwambiri pomwe ma MP apambana akumayiko alengezedwa; kuyambira pafupifupi 11pm Lachinayi kumanja, mpaka m'mawa a Lachisanu. Ngati mipando ingapo yosunthira kuchokera ku Labour kupita ku Tory, kapena mosinthanitsa, titha kuwona zosintha zazikulu pakati pausiku ndipo amalonda ayenera kukumbukira nthawi zonse kuti kuchepa kwakanthawi pamalonda aku Sydney ndi Asia, kumatha kukulitsa kuthekera kulikonse ziphuphu.
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