Jan 28 • Ndemanga za Msika • 1764 Views • Comments Off pa amalonda a FX amakhalabe akuyang'ana kwambiri, pamene mkangano wa Brexit ukubwerera ku Nyumba Yamalamulo sabata ino.
Sterling wakhala akukhudzidwa kwambiri posachedwa, pamene chisudzulo cha UK kuchokera ku European Union chikuyandikira; inakonzedwa pa March 29th 2019. Msika wa FX nthawi zambiri umatchedwa "wogwira ntchito", mosiyana ndi "zolosera" ndipo kufotokoza kumeneku kumawoneka kuti kwakhala kokhazikika, ndi kuwonjezeka kwa mtengo wa sterling motsutsana ndi anzawo akuluakulu, m'masabata aposachedwa.
Chiyembekezo m'misika ya FX ya sterling yapita patsogolo m'masiku awiri apitawa, chifukwa chopanda mgwirizano Brexit ikuwoneka yocheperako. Nyumba yamalamulo yaku UK tsopano ndiyomwe ili ndi udindo wowongolera ndondomekoyi, pogwiritsa ntchito kusintha kwa aphungu osiyanasiyana komwe kumveka ndikuvotera, podutsa akuluakulu aboma laling'ono la Conservative. Malingaliro abwino a ndale achititsa kuti GBP / USD ifike pamtunda womwe sunawoneke kuyambira kumayambiriro kwa November 2018. Chothandizira chovuta cha 1.300 kwa GBP / USD chinabwezedwa Lachitatu January 23rd, ndipo awiri akuluakulu akutha pafupifupi 1% Lachisanu 25th, monga idaphwanya 1.310. EUR/GBP yabwerera kuchokera ku 2019 yokwera masenti 92 pa paundi yaku UK, kufika pa masenti 86.
Komabe, ngakhale posachedwapa zachita bwino kwambiri poyerekeza ndi anzawo akuluakulu, amalonda omwe adakhalabe ndi chikhulupiriro cholimba komanso chikhulupiliro chakuti kuphatikiza boma la UK ndi Nyumba yamalamulo apeza yankho la Brexit (ndicho chomwe sichingawononge kwambiri chuma cha UK. ), ayenera kukhala tcheru kwambiri sabata ikubwerayi. Nkhani zilizonse zoipa kapena zabwino za Brexit, zitha kukhudza mwachangu mtengo wa sterling, momwe kuwerengera kumapitilira. Chifukwa chake, m'milungu yomwe ikuyandikira tsiku la Marichi 29 la Brexit, tiwona chidwi chowonjezereka komanso zochitika zabwino kwambiri, makamaka ngati mabungwe akuyenera kusintha mwachangu malo awo otsekera, amalonda adzafunikanso kuchitapo kanthu pakusintha mwachangu moyenerera.
Lachiwiri Januware 29, zosintha zingapo za MP ziyikiridwa pamaso pa nyumba yamalamulo, kuti aletse mgwirizano wa Brexit, sterling atha kuchitapo kanthu pomwe mikangano ndi mavoti akuwululidwa. Ochita malonda alangizidwa kuti aziyang'anitsitsa nthawi ya zotsatira zenizeni zomwe zalengezedwa, zomwe zingakhale madzulo oyambirira, nthawi ya ku Ulaya.
Prime Minister waku UK May akuyeneranso kuti ayambe kuwonetsa njira ina ya Brexit kuyambira sabata ino, atapereka mwayi womwe adapeza ku EU, patatha zaka ziwiri zakukambirana, adakanidwa kwambiri ndi Nyumba yamalamulo masana awiri, pomwe adavota. kutayika mu House of Commons.
Kumayambiriro kwa Januware, GPB/USD idatsika ndi chogwirira cha 1.240, pomwe EUR/GBP idawopseza kuti itulutsa 0.92, popeza chiyembekezo choti palibe mgwirizano ku EU chikuwoneka ngati chovuta. Mwina pambuyo pake adataya voti yake ya HoC ndipo adachita bwino; nzeru zonse za misika zidayamba kubetcherana kuti kusachita bwino kumawoneka kocheperako. Komabe, kutsika kwa GBP/USD 1.240 pachaka, kumapereka chidziwitso cha momwe malingaliro angasinthire mwachangu, ngati Nyumba Yamalamulo yaku UK ikalephera kupita patsogolo pamasiku 30 otsala a Nyumba Yamalamulo, lisanafike tsiku lotuluka.
Ngakhale kudzikuza kolakwika kwa aphungu ambiri aku UK, otsogolera otsogolera a EU adatsindikanso kuti zotsutsana pa mgwirizano wochotsa sizidzatsegulidwanso. Nthambi yokha ya azitona yomwe idaperekedwa ku UK idachokera kwa wotsogolera zokambirana ku EU Michel Barnier kumapeto kwa sabata. Ananenanso kuti ngati UK ivomereza mgwirizano wanthawi zonse, ndiye kuti zomwe zimatchedwa "backstop" (njira yoteteza ku Ireland ku Europe ndi Pangano Lachisanu Lachisanu) zitha kuchotsedwa.
Lolemba Januware 28 ndi tsiku labata la nkhani zamakalendala zapakatikati mpaka pazambiri, komabe, monga momwe zafotokozedwera ndi nkhani ya Brexit, ndizochitika zandale komanso nkhani zabodza zomwe nthawi zambiri zimasuntha misika yathu ya FX. Ndipo nkhani zazikuluzikulu za ndale zomwe zikukhudza misika yonse yazachuma, sizongochitika ku UK kokha
Kuyimitsidwa kwa boma ku USA, komwe kwadzetsa ziwopsezo pafupifupi miliyoni imodzi ya ogwira ntchito m'boma, omwe amayang'anizana ndi mwezi wawo wachiwiri osalipidwa, kudafika pamavuto Lachisanu madzulo. Ndi imodzi mwama eyapoti ku New York itatsekedwa chifukwa chachitetezo komanso malingaliro ake adatsika kwambiri kuyambira pomwe adakhazikitsidwa, kukhazikika kwa Purezidenti Trump kudakhazikika; iye anaphethira poyamba pankhondo yake yolephera yofuna $4b yandalama zomangira mpanda, pakati pa Mexico ndi USA.
Adalengeza kuti athandiza ndalama za boma kuti ayambirenso. Kutsekedwa kunachitika Lachisanu madzulo / Loweruka m'mawa. Misika yaku US ikatsegulidwa Lolemba masana, amalonda azitha kudziwa ngati malingaliro ochulukira omwe amawonedwa m'masabata aposachedwa adzasungidwa. Malingaliro aposachedwa athandizidwa ndi ubale wa China - USA womwe ukuyamba kuchepa masabata aposachedwa, akuluakulu aku China atadzipereka kwakanthawi kugula zinthu zambiri kuchokera ku USA, kuti athe kukonza chiwongola dzanja cha USA ndi China. Ponena za zomwe USA ingagulitsire ndalama zotsika mtengo kuchuma chomwe chikukula mwachangu padziko lonse lapansi, kuti achepetse chiwongola dzanja chochulukirachulukira, ndichinthu chodabwitsa chomwe chiyenera kuganiziridwa.
Dola la US lagwa motsutsana ndi angapo a anzawo akuluakulu m'masabata aposachedwa, opanga msika atha kuweruza kuti FOMC ndi Fed zitha kusintha zomwe amakhulupirira kale; kukweza chiwongola dzanja cha US kangapo mu 2019, kuti amalize zomwe zimatchedwa "njira yokhazikika"; Kukweza mitengo kufika pafupifupi 3.5% pofika Q4 2019. Pomwe nkhani zamalonda zaku China zikuyikabe malingaliro a osunga ndalama komanso misika yazachuma idakalipobe kumapeto kwa chaka cha 2018, akatswiri ambiri akuganiza kuti FOMC ikhoza kutengera ndikuwulula mfundo zosokoneza kwambiri panthawi yawo. ndandanda yotsatira, misonkhano yokhazikitsa chiwongola dzanja. Dola yatsika kwambiri mu 2019 motsutsana ndi CHF ndi CAD. USD yatsikanso motsutsana ndi madola aku Australasian; AUD ndi NZD.
ZOCHITIKA PA KALENDA YA CHUMA PA JANUARY 28
JPY BoJ Monetary Policy Mphindi Mphindi Lipoti
USD Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec)
EURE ECB Zolankhula Purezidenti Draghi
GBP BoE's Governor Carney kulankhula KUlankhula
« Dollar mu tsitsi la Fed, imavutikira pafupi ndi sabata limodzi kutsika pomwe chizindikiro chikuyembekezeka USD ikuyang'aniridwa, pamene amalonda a FX akuyamba kutembenukira ku msonkhano wa FOMC sabata ino. »
Amalonda a FX amakhalabe akuyang'ana kwambiri, pamene mkangano wa Brexit ukubwerera ku Nyumba Yamalamulo sabata ino.
Jan 28 • Ndemanga za Msika • 1764 Views • Comments Off pa amalonda a FX amakhalabe akuyang'ana kwambiri, pamene mkangano wa Brexit ukubwerera ku Nyumba Yamalamulo sabata ino.
Sterling wakhala akukhudzidwa kwambiri posachedwa, pamene chisudzulo cha UK kuchokera ku European Union chikuyandikira; inakonzedwa pa March 29th 2019. Msika wa FX nthawi zambiri umatchedwa "wogwira ntchito", mosiyana ndi "zolosera" ndipo kufotokoza kumeneku kumawoneka kuti kwakhala kokhazikika, ndi kuwonjezeka kwa mtengo wa sterling motsutsana ndi anzawo akuluakulu, m'masabata aposachedwa.
Chiyembekezo m'misika ya FX ya sterling yapita patsogolo m'masiku awiri apitawa, chifukwa chopanda mgwirizano Brexit ikuwoneka yocheperako. Nyumba yamalamulo yaku UK tsopano ndiyomwe ili ndi udindo wowongolera ndondomekoyi, pogwiritsa ntchito kusintha kwa aphungu osiyanasiyana komwe kumveka ndikuvotera, podutsa akuluakulu aboma laling'ono la Conservative. Malingaliro abwino a ndale achititsa kuti GBP / USD ifike pamtunda womwe sunawoneke kuyambira kumayambiriro kwa November 2018. Chothandizira chovuta cha 1.300 kwa GBP / USD chinabwezedwa Lachitatu January 23rd, ndipo awiri akuluakulu akutha pafupifupi 1% Lachisanu 25th, monga idaphwanya 1.310. EUR/GBP yabwerera kuchokera ku 2019 yokwera masenti 92 pa paundi yaku UK, kufika pa masenti 86.
Komabe, ngakhale posachedwapa zachita bwino kwambiri poyerekeza ndi anzawo akuluakulu, amalonda omwe adakhalabe ndi chikhulupiriro cholimba komanso chikhulupiliro chakuti kuphatikiza boma la UK ndi Nyumba yamalamulo apeza yankho la Brexit (ndicho chomwe sichingawononge kwambiri chuma cha UK. ), ayenera kukhala tcheru kwambiri sabata ikubwerayi. Nkhani zilizonse zoipa kapena zabwino za Brexit, zitha kukhudza mwachangu mtengo wa sterling, momwe kuwerengera kumapitilira. Chifukwa chake, m'milungu yomwe ikuyandikira tsiku la Marichi 29 la Brexit, tiwona chidwi chowonjezereka komanso zochitika zabwino kwambiri, makamaka ngati mabungwe akuyenera kusintha mwachangu malo awo otsekera, amalonda adzafunikanso kuchitapo kanthu pakusintha mwachangu moyenerera.
Lachiwiri Januware 29, zosintha zingapo za MP ziyikiridwa pamaso pa nyumba yamalamulo, kuti aletse mgwirizano wa Brexit, sterling atha kuchitapo kanthu pomwe mikangano ndi mavoti akuwululidwa. Ochita malonda alangizidwa kuti aziyang'anitsitsa nthawi ya zotsatira zenizeni zomwe zalengezedwa, zomwe zingakhale madzulo oyambirira, nthawi ya ku Ulaya.
Prime Minister waku UK May akuyeneranso kuti ayambe kuwonetsa njira ina ya Brexit kuyambira sabata ino, atapereka mwayi womwe adapeza ku EU, patatha zaka ziwiri zakukambirana, adakanidwa kwambiri ndi Nyumba yamalamulo masana awiri, pomwe adavota. kutayika mu House of Commons.
Kumayambiriro kwa Januware, GPB/USD idatsika ndi chogwirira cha 1.240, pomwe EUR/GBP idawopseza kuti itulutsa 0.92, popeza chiyembekezo choti palibe mgwirizano ku EU chikuwoneka ngati chovuta. Mwina pambuyo pake adataya voti yake ya HoC ndipo adachita bwino; nzeru zonse za misika zidayamba kubetcherana kuti kusachita bwino kumawoneka kocheperako. Komabe, kutsika kwa GBP/USD 1.240 pachaka, kumapereka chidziwitso cha momwe malingaliro angasinthire mwachangu, ngati Nyumba Yamalamulo yaku UK ikalephera kupita patsogolo pamasiku 30 otsala a Nyumba Yamalamulo, lisanafike tsiku lotuluka.
Ngakhale kudzikuza kolakwika kwa aphungu ambiri aku UK, otsogolera otsogolera a EU adatsindikanso kuti zotsutsana pa mgwirizano wochotsa sizidzatsegulidwanso. Nthambi yokha ya azitona yomwe idaperekedwa ku UK idachokera kwa wotsogolera zokambirana ku EU Michel Barnier kumapeto kwa sabata. Ananenanso kuti ngati UK ivomereza mgwirizano wanthawi zonse, ndiye kuti zomwe zimatchedwa "backstop" (njira yoteteza ku Ireland ku Europe ndi Pangano Lachisanu Lachisanu) zitha kuchotsedwa.
Lolemba Januware 28 ndi tsiku labata la nkhani zamakalendala zapakatikati mpaka pazambiri, komabe, monga momwe zafotokozedwera ndi nkhani ya Brexit, ndizochitika zandale komanso nkhani zabodza zomwe nthawi zambiri zimasuntha misika yathu ya FX. Ndipo nkhani zazikuluzikulu za ndale zomwe zikukhudza misika yonse yazachuma, sizongochitika ku UK kokha
Kuyimitsidwa kwa boma ku USA, komwe kwadzetsa ziwopsezo pafupifupi miliyoni imodzi ya ogwira ntchito m'boma, omwe amayang'anizana ndi mwezi wawo wachiwiri osalipidwa, kudafika pamavuto Lachisanu madzulo. Ndi imodzi mwama eyapoti ku New York itatsekedwa chifukwa chachitetezo komanso malingaliro ake adatsika kwambiri kuyambira pomwe adakhazikitsidwa, kukhazikika kwa Purezidenti Trump kudakhazikika; iye anaphethira poyamba pankhondo yake yolephera yofuna $4b yandalama zomangira mpanda, pakati pa Mexico ndi USA.
Adalengeza kuti athandiza ndalama za boma kuti ayambirenso. Kutsekedwa kunachitika Lachisanu madzulo / Loweruka m'mawa. Misika yaku US ikatsegulidwa Lolemba masana, amalonda azitha kudziwa ngati malingaliro ochulukira omwe amawonedwa m'masabata aposachedwa adzasungidwa. Malingaliro aposachedwa athandizidwa ndi ubale wa China - USA womwe ukuyamba kuchepa masabata aposachedwa, akuluakulu aku China atadzipereka kwakanthawi kugula zinthu zambiri kuchokera ku USA, kuti athe kukonza chiwongola dzanja cha USA ndi China. Ponena za zomwe USA ingagulitsire ndalama zotsika mtengo kuchuma chomwe chikukula mwachangu padziko lonse lapansi, kuti achepetse chiwongola dzanja chochulukirachulukira, ndichinthu chodabwitsa chomwe chiyenera kuganiziridwa.
Dola la US lagwa motsutsana ndi angapo a anzawo akuluakulu m'masabata aposachedwa, opanga msika atha kuweruza kuti FOMC ndi Fed zitha kusintha zomwe amakhulupirira kale; kukweza chiwongola dzanja cha US kangapo mu 2019, kuti amalize zomwe zimatchedwa "njira yokhazikika"; Kukweza mitengo kufika pafupifupi 3.5% pofika Q4 2019. Pomwe nkhani zamalonda zaku China zikuyikabe malingaliro a osunga ndalama komanso misika yazachuma idakalipobe kumapeto kwa chaka cha 2018, akatswiri ambiri akuganiza kuti FOMC ikhoza kutengera ndikuwulula mfundo zosokoneza kwambiri panthawi yawo. ndandanda yotsatira, misonkhano yokhazikitsa chiwongola dzanja. Dola yatsika kwambiri mu 2019 motsutsana ndi CHF ndi CAD. USD yatsikanso motsutsana ndi madola aku Australasian; AUD ndi NZD.
ZOCHITIKA PA KALENDA YA CHUMA PA JANUARY 28
JPY BoJ Monetary Policy Mphindi Mphindi Lipoti
USD Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec)
EURE ECB Zolankhula Purezidenti Draghi
GBP BoE's Governor Carney kulankhula KUlankhula
« Dollar mu tsitsi la Fed, imavutikira pafupi ndi sabata limodzi kutsika pomwe chizindikiro chikuyembekezeka USD ikuyang'aniridwa, pamene amalonda a FX akuyamba kutembenukira ku msonkhano wa FOMC sabata ino. »