Forex Roundup: Malamulo a Dollar Ngakhale Ma Slides
Lachinayi, osunga ndalama aziyang'anitsitsa misika yapadziko lonse lapansi pomwe zokolola zikupitilira kukwera. Chakumapeto kwa gawo la Asia, Australia itulutsa zidziwitso zake zamalonda mu Ogasiti. Lachisanu, US idzatulutsa lipoti lake la sabata la sabata la anthu opanda ntchito.
Lachinayi, Okutobala 5, izi ndi zomwe muyenera kudziwa:
Asanakonzekere kuchira, zokolola za bond ku US ndi Europe zidafika pamlingo womwe sunawonekere zaka zambiri. Ku UK, zokolola za zaka 30 zinafika ku 5%, ku Germany, zinafika 3% kwa nthawi yoyamba kuyambira 2011, ndipo zaka 10 za Treasury zinafika pa 4.88%. M'tsogolomu, osunga ndalama adzapitiriza kuyang'anitsitsa msika wa bond chifukwa ndi chinthu chofunika kwambiri pamisika yachuma.
Akuti malipiro achinsinsi adakwera ndi 89,000 mu Seputembala, pansi pa mgwirizano wamsika wa 153,000, zomwe zikuwonetsa otsika kwambiri kuyambira Januware 2021, malinga ndi Automatic Data Processing (ADP). Pali umboni wosonyeza kuti msika wogwira ntchito wafooka, koma malipoti ena angapereke chitsimikizo. ISM Services PMI idatsika kuchokera ku 54.5 mpaka 53.6 mu September mogwirizana ndi ziyembekezo.
Chief Economist, ADP Nela Richardson:
Msika wathu wa ntchito ukutsika kwambiri mwezi uno, pomwe malipiro athu akutsika pang'onopang'ono.
Chifukwa cha lipoti lofewa la ADP, ma bond adachira pang'ono, koma deta yaku US yomwe idayenera Lachinayi ndi Zofuna Zopanda Ntchito ndi Lachisanu ndi Nonfarm Payrolls zitha kuyambitsa kupindula kochulukirapo kwa USD ndikuwonjezera kusakhazikika kwa msika.
Ngakhale Lachiwiri kusinthasintha koopsa, USD / JPY idakhazikika pafupifupi 149.00. Pamene awiriwa adakwera pamwamba pa 150.00, akuluakulu a ku Japan ayenera kuti adalowererapo. Nthawi yomweyo, Dollar yaku US yayamba kubweza kukwera kwake kwaposachedwa kuchokera pakukwera pafupifupi kwa miyezi 11. Pali zinthu zingapo zomwe zingakhudze, kuphatikiza lipoti la dzulo la ADP la US ADP komanso kusagwira bwino ntchito kwa ntchito za US, zomwe zikuwonetsa kuti Fed ikhoza kuganiziranso zakukwera kwa chiwongola dzanja. Poyankha, zokolola za US Treasury bond zidachepetsedwa, ndikukakamizanso dola.
Akuluakulu ambiri a Fed, komabe, amatsutsa kuti inflation iyenera kusinthidwanso ku 2% popitiliza kusintha ndondomeko. Zatsimikiziridwa kuti malingaliro a mitengo yokwera kwambiri amalimbikitsidwa ndi malingaliro ambiri amsika akuti kukweranso kumodzi kudzachitika chaka chino. Amalonda akuyenera kukhala osamala akamayimilira pa USD/JPY chifukwa izi zitha kulimbikitsa zokolola za US ndi USD.
Ndi kufooka kwa Dollar yaku US, EUR / USD idalumphira ku 1.0525 ndikuwuka tsiku lililonse. Malonda a Eurozone Retail adatsika ndi 1.2% mu August ndipo Index ya Mtengo wa Wopanga (PPI) inatsika ndi 0.6%, mogwirizana ndi zomwe msika ukuyembekeza.
Zambiri zamalonda zaku Germany zikuyenera Lachinayi. Popeza European Central Bank (ECB) ikuyembekezeka kuti isakweze mitengo, ndemanga za mabanki apakati ndizochepa.
Ngakhale mayendedwe akadali pansi, a GBP / USD awiriwa anali ndi tsiku lawo labwino kwambiri kuposa mwezi umodzi, kukwera kuchokera kutsika kwa miyezi isanu ndi umodzi pa 1.2030 mpaka pafupifupi 1.2150.
Pamene mitengo ya zinthu idakwera, a AUD / USD kusinthana kunakwera, kugwira pamwamba pa 0.6300. Kuphulika pamwamba pa 0.6360 kumafunika kuti muchepetse kupanikizika kwa bearish. Zambiri zamalonda zaku Australia zidzatulutsidwa Lachinayi.
Zinkayembekezeredwa kuti Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) idzasunga mlingo wake pa 5.5%. Zoyembekeza zamsika zikuwonetsa kuti kukwera kwamitengo kutha kuchitika pa Novembara 29 kutsatira zonenedweratu zatsopano komanso msonkhano wa atolankhani. Ngakhale kugwa kwa Seputembala kumatsika pa 0.5870, NZD / USD adachira, kutha tsikulo mozungulira 0.5930.
Chifukwa cha kutsika kwakukulu kwamitengo yamafuta osakanizidwa, Dollar yaku Canada ndiyomwe idachita bwino kwambiri pakati pa ndalama zazikuluzikulu. USD / CAD adafika pamlingo wapamwamba kwambiri kuyambira pa Marichi 1.3784. Ngakhale mapindu ochepa, Gold ali pampanipani pa $1,820. Silver adataya maziko ndikuphatikiza zotayika zaposachedwa pa $21.00, kukhalabe momwe zakhalira posachedwa.
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