Kusatsimikizika kwa Fed ndi Vuto la Gasi ku Europe Limalamulira Msika wa FX
Ndi chiwongola dzanja cha US chikukwera sabata ino ndikukayikakayika kokhudza njira yamtsogolo ya ndondomeko yolimba ya Fed, dolayo idakwera pazaka khumi Lachiwiri. Mosiyana ndi zimenezi, kuchepetsedwa kwaposachedwa kwa gasi ku Russia kwaika chitsenderezo pa euro.
Lero, US Federal Reserve ikuyamba msonkhano wamasiku awiri ndipo ikuyembekezeka kukweza chiwongola dzanja ndi mfundo 75. Komabe, amalonda ambiri akudabwa ngati kuchepa kwachuma kungasinthe kuyang'ana kutali ndi kutsika kwa mitengo ndikuwonetsa kukwera pang'onopang'ono kwa kukwera kwamitengo kupita patsogolo.
Mapangano am'tsogolo omwe ali pachiwopsezo adzafika pachimake mu Januware 2023, mwezi umodzi patsogolo pa February omwe adalemba sabata yatha, pomwe zokolola zanthawi yayitali za Treasury zili pafupi ndi 80 maziko ochepera a Juni mpaka pakati pa avereji.
Izi zinathandiza kukankhira greenback pafupifupi 2.8% kuchoka pa 20-year high of 109.29 motsutsana ndi dengu la ndalama zosakwana masabata awiri apitawo. Pofika 0830 GMT, dolayo idakhazikika pa 106.5 kuyambira tsiku loyambira, ikukwera pang'ono motsutsana ndi euro mpaka $ 1.0219.
Komabe, pamene ziyembekezo za Fed zikuchepa, akatswiri ambiri amakhalabe ndi chiyembekezo cha dola, powona zizindikiro za kugwa kwachuma padziko lonse. Mantha otere adalimbikitsidwa ndi chenjezo lazachuma Lolemba kuchokera kwa wogulitsa ku US Walmart.
Izi zikutsatira kutulutsidwa kofewa zingapo mosayembekezereka kuchokera ku US ndi Europe.
Francesco Pesole, katswiri wodziwa bwino zandalama ku ING Bank, adati kuchepa kwa dola kunachitika chifukwa cha zomwe amalonda amatenga nthawi yayitali mu dollar yaku US.
"Choyambitsa (kutengera maudindo) chikhoza kukhala kuwunikanso nthawi yofikira chiwongola dzanja ndikukambirana za kuchepetsa mitengo," adatero Pesole.
"Koma Fed ili ndi malo ochepa odabwitsa odabwitsa poyerekeza ndi ECB ... Chiwongoladzanja cha chiwongoladzanja chimakhala chocheperapo kapena chocheperapo mogwirizana ndi tchati chobalalitsa ndi kukwera kwa inflation / kukula," anawonjezera, ponena za tchati chilichonse chokwera mtengo cha Fed chikuwonetsa, malinga ndi kulosera kwa akuluakuluwo.
Kupindula kwa yuro kumakhalabe kokakamizika ndi kusatsimikizika pachitetezo chamagetsi ku Europe pomwe Russia idati gasi wopita ku Germany kudzera papaipi ya gasi ya Nord Stream 1 idzatsika mpaka ma kiyubiki mita 33 miliyoni tsiku lililonse kuyambira Lachitatu. Ili ndi theka lamakono, lomwe ndi 40% yokha ya mphamvu zambiri.
Komabe, momwe ndalama imodzi yokha imakhudzidwira ndi nkhani zatsika mpaka pano, ngakhale kuti kuopsa kowonjezereka kwa mafuta ku Ulaya ndi kuchepa kwachuma.
Pesole adati yuro ikufuna kumva nkhani zoyipa kutsogolo kwa gasi, ponena kuti "ntchito yoyankha nkhani siili yakuthwa kwambiri ndipo sidzabweretsa kusakhazikika komweko monga idachitira mwezi watha."
Komabe, yuro ikhoza kufooketsa ngati misika iyamba kuwunika mwachangu kuchuluka kwamitengo yomwe ikubwera ndi European Central Bank, yomwe idatsitsa kale ziyembekezo zake mu Seputembala ndipo tsopano ikuyerekeza kukwera kwa mfundo za 39 poyerekeza ndi mfundo za 50 sabata yatha.
Mitengo yazinthu imathandizira madola aku Australia ndi New Zealand. The Aussie inagunda mwezi umodzi wa $ 0.6984 pamene chitsulo chachitsulo chinagunda kwambiri kwa milungu iwiri, ndipo amalonda amadikirira deta ya inflation yomwe ingasonyeze 6.2% pachaka kukwera kwa mitengo ya ogula, mofulumira kwambiri kuposa zaka makumi atatu.
"Malingana ndi deta, kuwonjezeka pang'ono kwa dola ya ku Australia ndikotheka," akatswiri a ANZ Bank adanena. "Maziko 50 kuchokera ku (Reserve Bank of Australia) sabata yamawa ndi zomwe zidanenedweratu - chiwopsezo chachikulu ndichokwera kwambiri." Kwina konse, ma cryptocurrencies adapezanso phindu la sabata yatha. Bitcoin inali yamtengo wapatali $21,100, yotsika kwambiri kuyambira July 18. Ether inagundanso mlingo wake wotsika kwambiri kuyambira July 18 pa $ 1,421.
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