Ndemanga Zamisika Zamtsogolo - Kupeza Kuti Deja Vu Kumva

Déjà Vu, Maganizo Osadziwika Kuti Takhala Tidali Pano

Novembala 17 • Ndemanga za Msika • 6278 Views • Comments Off pa Déjà Vu, The Uncanny Sense Kuti Takhalapo Pano

Nthawi zina kumakhala kofunika kubwerera pazochitika zosokonezeka kuti muwone kuwonongeka. Izi zimaperekanso mwayi wokhazikitsira njira zomwe zatengedwa kuti zitheke kusokonezedwa ndikuwongolera moyenera mavuto. Chithunzi chomveka bwino chitha kuwonekera momwe kuwonongekako kuliri, kukonzedwa ndi njira zomwe zikukhazikitsidwa kuti amangenso ndikupewa zovuta zomwezo zikubweranso.

Déjà vu (kutanthauza "tawona kale") ndikumva kukhala wotsimikiza kuti wina wawonapo kale kapena wakumanapo ndi zomwe zachitika, ngakhale zochitika zenizeni zomwe anakumanapo kale sizikudziwika ndipo mwina amaganiza. Mawuwa adapangidwa ndi wofufuza zamatsenga waku France, Émile Boirac (1851-1917) m'buku lake la L'Avenir des sciences psychiques ("Tsogolo la Psychic Sayansi"), lomwe lidakulitsa nkhani yomwe adalemba ali digiri yoyamba. Zochitika za déjà vu nthawi zambiri zimatsagana ndi chidwi chodziwitsa, komanso lingaliro la "eeriness", "chachilendo", "weirdness", kapena zomwe Sigmund Freud amatcha "zamatsenga". Zomwe zimachitika "m'mbuyomu" zimachitika chifukwa cha maloto, ngakhale nthawi zina zimakhala zomveka kuti zomwe zidachitikazo zidachitikadi m'mbuyomu…

Nthawi zambiri 'ndimatulutsa' kwinakwake m'chigawo cha mawu 5,000 patsiku la FXCC. Zambiri mwa nkhani zimapangidwa chifukwa chokhala ndi chidwi chambiri pankhani zachuma, makamaka nkhani kapena zisankho zazikulu zomwe zitha kupanga dziko lathu la ndalama zam'tsogolo. Ndikuwunika mwachangu Bloomberg, Reuters, FT, UK nkhani zodziwika bwino komanso malo ogulitsira atolankhani kuti agwiritse ntchito malingaliro azomwe zikuchitika kuti apereke zomwe tikukhulupirira kuti zidzakhala chidziwitso chosangalatsa, chithunzithunzi chazomwe zikuchitika panopo. Mwachilengedwe nthawi zina ndimatulutsa nkhani ndipo imamva ngati ndikudzibwereza, nthawi zina ndimayenera kutenga kawiri kuti ndiwonetsetse kuti sindinalembe zomwezi posachedwa, monga nkhani dzulo yomwe idatuluka kuti France ndi Germany agawika kwambiri pa sitepe yotsatira.

Kodi munali mu Okutobala okha pomwe Merkel ndi Sarkozy anali ndi maulendo apandege oyenda pakati pa Germany ndi France kuti achite ngati osewera akulu kuti apeze yankho pamavuto andale aku Europe? Kodi sangatichotsere mu chisokonezo ichi ndi mgwirizano watsopano? Komabe pano tili mwezi umodzi ndipo Reuters ipereka mutu wankhani ndikunena kuti palibe chomwe chidakwaniritsidwa mwezi watha kupatula zomwe zikuwoneka ngati zosatheka; zinthu zoyipa zaipiraipira ..

Mtundu wina wachisokonezo tsopano wabwera chifukwa cha kusayendetsa bwino kwa zinthu zomwe akuluakulu onse omwe ali ndi vuto la malaise. Pali maboma awiri osasankhidwa osankhidwa mwapadera omwe ali pamtima pa maelstrom ndipo ngakhale atakhala ndi misonkhano yambiri palibe mapulani kapena mapu amisewu omwe avomerezedwa osaloledwa kukhazikitsa ndipo mgwirizano wa Merkozy sunayanjanitsidwe pa ECB ngati wobwereketsa womaliza achisangalalo, kapena kuchepetsa kuchuluka kwake chifukwa kumatsutsana ndi kuchotseredwa ndi malamulo.

Chokhacho chachitika ndichakuti mamembala khumi ndi asanu ndi awiri a ndalama imodzi samanyalanyaza kugula kwanthawi zonse komanso kosalengezedwa komanso zinthu zosemphana ndi malamulo zomwe ECB ikuchita pakadali pano. Vutoli ndi lachisokonezo monga kale, koma tsopano lawonjezera zovuta zosafunikira . Ndizodabwitsa kuti magawo akulu omwe adalumikizidwa ku Europe sanakhazikitsenso milingo ya 2008-2009, zirp zokha (zero chiwongola dzanja) komanso kuchuluka kwazinthu zatsopano kuyambira 2008-2009 zalepheretsa izi. France ndi Germany alimbikitsanso nkhondo yawo yonena ngati European Central Bank iyenera kulowererapo mwamphamvu kuti ithetse mavuto azandale zaku yuro pambuyo poti kugula ma bond pang'ono kudalepheretsa misika.

Poyang'anizana ndi kukwera kwamitengo yobwereka pomwe kuchuluka kwa ngongole ya 'AAA' ikuwopsezedwa, France idalimbikitsa kuchitapo kanthu kwamphamvu kwa ECB. Chisokonezo pamsika wama bond chikufalikira ku Europe konse. Zokolola zazaka 10 zaku Italy zakwera kuposa 7 peresenti, zomwe sizingatheke kwa nthawi yayitali. Zokolola pamilingo yoperekedwa ndi France, Netherlands ndi Austria zomwe pamodzi ndi Germany zimapanga gawo loyambira la euro zakweranso. “Udindo wa ECB ndikuwonetsetsa kuti yuro ndiyokhazikika, komanso kukhazikika kwachuma ku Europe. Tikukhulupirira kuti ECB itenga njira zofunikira zowonetsetsa kuti ndalama zikuyenda bwino ku Europe, ” Mneneri waku boma la France a Valerie Pecresse ati atatha msonkhano wa nduna ku Paris. Unduna wa Zachuma ku France a Francois Baroin adabwerezanso lingaliro la Paris loti ndalama zochotsera ndalama ku EFSF zaku euro ziyenera kukhala ndi chilolezo chobanki, zomwe Berlin zimatsutsa. Kusunthaku kungalole kuti thumba libwereke ku ECB, ndikupatsa owonjezera moto kuti athane ndi mavuto omwe akufalikira. "Udindo waku France ndikuti njira yoletsera kufalikira ndi kuti EFSF ikhale ndi ziphaso zakubanki," Baroin adati pambali pa mwambo wopereka mphotho.

Koma Chancellor waku Germany Angela Merkel adafotokoza momveka bwino kuti Berlin ikana kukakamizidwa kuti banki yayikulu itengepo gawo lalikulu pothana ndivuto la ngongole, ponena kuti malamulo a European Union amaletsa izi. "Momwe timawonera mapanganowa, ECB ilibe mwayi wothana ndi mavutowa," Adatero atalankhula ndi Prime Minister waku Ireland a Enda Kenny. Njira yokhayo yobwezeretsa chidaliro pamisika inali kukhazikitsa kusintha kwachuma komwe agwirizana ndikupanga mgwirizano wapafupi ku Europe posintha mgwirizano wa EU, atero a Merkel. Opanga mfundo za ECB akupitilizabe kukana mayitanidwe apadziko lonse lapansi kuti achitepo kanthu mwachangu ngati wobwereketsa ku Europe pomaliza, akugogomezera kuti zili kwa maboma kuthetsa mavuto a ngongole pogwiritsa ntchito njira zowonjezerera ndikusintha.

Komabe, akatswiri ambiri amakhulupirira kuti kusunthaku tsopano kukuyimira njira yokhayo yothetsera kufalikirako, ngakhale chiwopsezo cha inflation kuchokera pakusindikiza ndalama. Prime Minister waku Italy a Mario Monti adzafuna thandizo ku nyumba yamalamulo pazolinga zake zochepetsera ngongole yachiwiri yayikulu kwambiri m'chigawo cha yuro popeza zokolola zimakhalabe pamwamba pa 7% yopezera ndalama. Zokolola zomwe zakhala zikuyimira zaka 10 ku Italy zidakwera kuyambira 6 mpaka 7.07%, tsiku lachitatu zidakwaniritsa zomwe zidatsogolera Greece, Portugal ndi Ireland kufunafuna thandizo la European Union. Monti, ayesa thandizo lanyumba yamalamulo kuboma lake laukadaulo lero akapereka pulogalamu yake ku Senate ku Roma nthawi ya 1 koloko madzulo asanakumane ndi voti yodalira boma lake latsopano kuyambira 8 koloko masana.

Italy ikuyesera kuchepetsa ngongole ya 1.9 trilioni euros ($ 2.6 trilioni), kuposa Spain, Greece, Portugal ndi Ireland kuphatikiza, ndipo kulumpha kwa zokolola kumabweretsa kale ndalama zokwereka mdziko lomwe likuyenera kugulitsa pafupifupi ma euro 440 biliyoni a ngongole chaka chamawa. Treasure amayenera kupereka zokolola za 6.29%, zomwe ndizokwera kwambiri kuyambira 1997, pamangongole azaka zisanu pamalonda pa Novembala 14. Roberto d'Alimonte, pulofesa wazandale ku Luiss University ku Roma;

Monti ayesa kupereka malingaliro aboma lake ndi 'njira yolumikizirana,' nthawi yomweyo kulengeza zomwe zingasangalatse zipani zonse ziwiri. Pakhoza kukhala kubwezeretsedwanso kwa msonkho waukulu wanyumba komwe chipani cha Berlusconi sichifuna ndi malamulo atsopano okhudza mapenshoni ndi msika wantchito zomwe Democratic Party kapena ena mwa opanga malamulo amatsutsa.

 

Chiwonetsero Chadongosolo Akaunti Akaunti Yowonongeka Sungani Akaunti Yanu

 

Chidaliro ku UK Chikugwera Kuti Tifikire Zatsopano Zomwe Zadziwika                                                                             Chidaliro cha ogula ku UK chatsika pang'ono, chifukwa cha kuchepa kwa mavuto aku euro komanso kukakamizidwa kwakukulu pamabizinesi apanyumba, lipoti lochokera ku Nationwide lapeza. Consumer Confidence Index, yomwe idakhazikitsidwa pakafukufuku wapamwezi, idapeza kuti chidaliro chinagwera mwezi wachisanu motsatizana mu Okutobala mpaka pamiyala yatsopano pansi pa mfundo 36. Izi zili pansi kwambiri pazaka 78, pomwe ziyembekezo za ogula zidakwanitsanso kuwerenga kwa 48, kutsika ndi mfundo za 14 mwezi watha. 3% yokha ya ogula adalongosola momwe chuma chikuyendera "chabwino" ndipo 13% yokha akuyembekeza kuti zipitilira miyezi isanu ndi umodzi ikubwerayi.

Robert Gardner, wamkulu wachuma ku Nationwide, adati:

Chidaliro cha ogula chidapitilira kuchepa mu Okutobala, kutsika ndi mfundo zisanu ndi zinayi mpaka kutsika kwatsopano kwa 36. Mndandanda tsopano wagwa kwa miyezi isanu motsatizana, ndikuusiya ukutaya mfundo zisanu pansi pamunsi wotsika wa 41 womwe udalembedwa mu February chaka chino. . Chidziwitso cha chidaliro, chomwe chidayamba mu Meyi 2004, tsopano chili ndi mfundo zopitilira 40 pansi pazaka 78 zomwe zidakhalapo kwa nthawi yayitali.

Ndalama zaposachedwa kwambiri zidatulutsidwa tsiku lotsatira Banki yaku England idaneneratu za chiwopsezo chazachuma chazambiri zomwe zidapangitsa njira ina yadzidzidzi.

mwachidule Market                                                                                                                                                                     Masheya aku Europe adagwa, ndikutumiza Stoxx Europe 600 Index kutsika kwa tsiku lachitatu mwa anayi, France ndi Spain asanagulitse ndalama pakati pazokwera kubweza. Tsogolo la index yaku US lidakwera pomwe magawo aku Asia sanasinthidwe pang'ono. Stoxx 600 idatsika ndi 0.5 mpaka 235.75 nthawi ya 9:25 m'mawa ku London pomwe zokolola zapazaka 10 zaku Spain zidakwera mpaka zaka za euro ndipo zokolola zaku France zaka zisanu zidakwera mpaka miyezi isanu ndi umodzi. Tsogolo pa Index & Poor's 500 Index yomwe ikutha mu Disembala idakwera ndi 0.4%. Index ya MSCI Asia Pacific sinasinthidwe pang'ono. France ndi Spain akukonzekera kugulitsa ma biliyoni 12.2 biliyoni ($ 16.5 biliyoni) ma bond masiku ano poyesa kufunika kwa omwe adzagulitse ndalama chifukwa ndalama zowonjezera kubwereka zikukhudza gawo lalikulu lachigawochi. France imagulitsa pafupifupi 8.2 biliyoni ya ngongole pambuyo poti zokolola pazaka 10 zakunyumba zidakwera dzulo mpaka mbiri yaku euro yofanana ndi mabanki aku Germany. Spain ikupereka ma 4 biliyoni a euro chokhazikitsa chitetezo chatsopano mu Januware 2022.

Chithunzi cha msika pa 10: 15 am GMT (nthawi ya UK)                                                                                                        Misika yaku Asia idapeza mwayi wosakanikirana m'mawa wonse. Nikkei inatseka 0.19%, Hang Seng inatseka 0.76% ndipo CSI inatseka 0.3%. Ku Australia ASX 200 idatseka 0.25%. Maulendowa aku Europe ali ndi m'mawa wina wosachita kusankha komanso wosasangalatsa, zikhalidwe zazikulu zonse pakadali pano ndizosavomerezeka. STOXX pakadali pano yatsika ndi 1.08%, UK FTSE pakadali pano yatsika ndi 1.30%, CAC ili pansi 1.43% ndipo DAX yatsika ndi 0.78%. Brent Circe watsika ndi 1.23% pa ​​ICE ndipo malo agolide atsika ndi 0.43%. tsogolo lalingaliro la SPX lakwera 0.14%.

Kutulutsa kwachuma komwe kungakhudze gawo lamadzulo                                                   13:30 US - Nyumba Iyamba Okutobala 13:30 US - Zilolezo Zomanga Okutobala 13:30 US - Zoyambirira ndi Kupitiliza Zopempha Zopanda Ntchito 15:00 US - Philly Fed Novembala Kafukufuku waku Bloomberg ananeneratu Zoyambirira Zopanda Ntchito za 395K, poyerekeza ndi zomwe zidatulutsidwa kale yomwe inali 390K. Kafukufuku wofananiratu akulosera za 3633K pazinthu zopitilira muyeso, poyerekeza ndi chithunzi choyambirira cha 3615K.

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