Ndalama zandalama; ndi zabwino ziti (ngati zilipo) zomwe angapereke kwa Forex Trader?
Mario Draghi, pulezidenti wa ECB, mwachiwonekere akudandaula kuti euro ikukwera kwambiri ndi USD. EUR / USD posachedwapa anaphwanya kasamaliro ka 1.2500 kwa nthawi yoyamba m'zaka zoposa zitatu, akudandaula kuti pamlingo uwu akhoza kuvulaza maiko akunja ndi kuwononga (zofooka) kubwezeretsa Eurozone, yomwe ili ndi zaka ziwiri zokha, mwina zaka zitatu kuti zikhale zogwirizana .
Pulezidenti Trump adalengeza kuti USD inali yaikulu kwambiri kumayambiriro kwa 2017, ndipo mlembi wake mwini chuma Mrnu analankhulana chimodzimodzi, kuti ndalamazo zinali zazikulu kwambiri, pamsonkhano wa WEF ku Davos sabata yatha. Kenaka Trump anayamba kutsutsa ndi kulimbikitsa mlembi wake wa chuma povomereza ku Davos kuti akufunadi kuteteza dola.
Bungwe la BJJ likufuna kuti njala yofooka ipitirize pulogalamu ya Abenomics, kuthandizira kuthetsa kusamvana ndikupitiriza kukula kwaposachedwapa monga (ngakhale mphekesera zotsutsana), Japan akadali mphamvu yogulitsa, ndi magulu a banja omwe tonsefe timakonda, monga; Sony, Honda, Suzuki, Panasonic ndi zina zotero.
Chimodzimodzinso anthu a ku China amafunikira ndalama za anthu awo renminbi (yuan) kuti akhalebe otsika, kuti apitirizebe kubwezeretsa kwawo kokondweretsa kokonzanso. Ngakhale kuti amayesetsa kwambiri USD / CNH inagwa kuchokera ku circa 70.00 kupita ku 64.00 ku 2017, yopanga katundu kunja kukayesa pamayiko osiyanasiyana, okwera mtengo kwambiri.
Ndiye pali vuto la boma la UK ndi Bank of England, omwe sangapange malingaliro awo (kutengera momwe zinthu zilili tsikulo) ngati mapaundi ofooka ndiabwino kugulitsa ndi kupanga (gawo lochepa la ntchito yaku UK). Kapenanso kuyipa pachuma, pamalingaliro oti monga chuma chotsogozedwa ndi ntchito / chotengera ogula chimadalira kwambiri katundu wotsika mtengo, mapaundi ofooka ndi abwino ...
Kotero ndizofotokozera mwachidule za kumene ife tiri pa chiyanjano ndi zomwe zingatchedwe "nkhondo za ndalama". Mwamwayi, kwa ife monga amalonda a ndalama, zonsezi: malingaliro, deta, malo apolisi ndi ndalama zamagetsi, zimayikidwa mu 'FX mincer' yaikulu ndipo pamapeto ena amabwera mtengo wathu waukulu wa awiriawiri. Ndipo pamene tikuvomereza kuti yuan saliyeso yapamwamba pawiri, yomwe imakhala yosasunthika / kutembenuzidwa, kapena imaimira mtengo wogulitsa monga ndalama ziwiri zofanana ndi zapamwamba, chikoka chake ndi zomwe zimakhudza misika ya padziko lonse ndi ndalama Pawiri timagulitsa, sitinganyalanyaze.
Ndalama za ndalama, chitsanzo chabwino cha ndalama zonse
Mfundo yeniyeni ndi yakuti palibe amene amapindula ndi nkhondo zapanyanja, ndipo kumapeto kwake ndiko kolondola; ngati tikuyesa zopindulitsa zilizonse zachuma. Tiyeni tigwiritse ntchito USA v China monga chitsanzo. Poyang'ana maganizo osiyana ndi otsutsana ochokera ku boma la United States ndi boma la FOMC / Fed, anthu opanga chisankho ku USA sangathe kupanga malingaliro awo ngati akufuna ndalama yapansi, kapena yoposa ya Yuan. Chikoka chonsecho chinkawoneka ngati chingwe chowombera ndi choopsya chowonekera ku China; pali kukayikira kuti Trump amafuna chabe pafupifupi. $ 500b mphulupulu ya malonda ndi China kuti iwonongeke mwinamwake, sizingatheke, iyenera kugulitsidwa pansi.
Koma kodi USA, yokhala ndi malingaliro akuluakulu a malonda komanso dziko lachidziwitso, ingatheke bwanji kubweretsa kusintha kwadzidzidzi, mwadzidzidzi kubwezeretsa mkhalidwewu ndipo mwinamwake kulimbikitsa yuan pansi? Iwo sangakhoze. Ndipo monga chuma chimadalira kwambiri malonda, maiko a China amatha kutsika mtengo ku USA ndi Yuan yofooka, koma China zomwe zimatumizidwa ku China kuchokera ku USA ndi mafuta ogulitsa madola, zidzakhala zodula, ndipo potsiriza zimapanga kupanga kukhala okwera mtengo ndipo ngati Kuitanitsa ndalama za ku China kumathamanga chifukwa cha Yuan wofooka, ndiye kusintha kwa dziko lonse kungakhale kovuta kwambiri. Lingaliro lakuti Achi China angakonzekere Yuan wamphamvu kuti asokoneze kupanga komanso potsirizira pake mphamvu zawo zotumiza kunja, zikuwoneka zosagwirizana ndi zofuna zawo. Ndiye kodi USA ingapambane bwanji nkhondo ya China ndi China? Iwo sangakhoze, ndizo zonse zero ndi mawonekedwe a zodziwitsimikiziridwa, kuwonongeka kwachuma.
Ogulitsa ndalama zamalonda angapindule ndi nkhondo za ndalama
Nthawi zina, tikamaganizira za ndale zomwe tafotokoza, sizosadabwitsa kuti timayang'ana ndalama ndi awiriwa omwe timakonda kugulitsa ndikudabwa momwe tingathe kugulitsira aliyense wa iwo. Kapena tingafune kudziwa chifukwa chake msika wa forex sungagwirizane ndi zovuta zomwe timachitira, mwachitsanzo, misika yamakono monga BTC / USD (bitcoin v dollar). Koma ngakhale zinthu zazikulu ndi zochititsa chidwi zandale ndi zachuma; nkhondo yaikulu yomwe ilipo pakati pa ouro / agule a dollar ndi ogulitsa, misika yathu ya forex ndi (mwayeso zina) yosakhazikika kwambiri. A 0.5% tsiku ndi tsiku pa GBP / USD angaganizidwe mokwanira, kusiyana kwa 1% kungakhale kosazolowereka, pafupifupi $ 5 trillion pamsika wogulitsa tsiku ndilokhazikika. Ngakhale zatchulidwa kale zikuluzikulu zazikulu ndi kusagwirizana komwe kuli pakati pa mphamvu zachuma; USA, China, Japan ndi Eurozone, nkhanizi zingangowonjezera mwayi wathu.
Nthawi zambiri tikhoza kukonzekera ndikukhala ndi malingaliro okhudza malonda athu, koma ndikofunikira kuti monga amalonda sitimayiwala zomwe tikugulitsa ndi chifukwa chake zilipo. Msika wathu wa forex ulipo makamaka kuti uwononge mtengo wa malonda pakati pa malonda apadziko lonse, sizinakhaleko kwa ife ogulitsa malonda kuti atenge phindu kunja kwa msika. Ngati tiwerenga kapena kumva za "nkhondo zamakono" muzofalitsa zodziwika pa miyezi yotsatira ndiye mwachibadwa, monga amalonda a forex, zida zathu zamalonda zidzasintha. Koma nkhondo zazing'ono izi zakhalapo m'mitundu yambirimbiri ndipo mosakayikira zimapambana: zochitika, zowonongeka ndi ntchito mu bizinesi yathu yapamwamba, zomwe zingakhale zabwino kwa mwayi wathu.
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