Meyi 21 • Zogulitsa Zamalonda, Ndemanga za Msika • 3367 Views • Comments Off pa Kupanga njira yosavuta ya FX yamalonda, pang'onopang'ono komanso motsimikizika, chidutswa chidutswa.
Gwiritsani ntchito malo ambiri odziwika bwino amalonda komanso m'magawo omwe atchulidwa kuti "njira zamalonda", mudzawona zikwi zikwi, ndi mamembala, omwe ali otsimikiza kuti apeza malonda. Zomwe amakhulupirira kuti amatha kugwiritsa ntchito mobwerezabwereza; Gawo lililonse, tsiku ndi tsiku, kuti atenge phindu m'misika ya FX. Malingaliro achilengedwe amalonda ambiri adzafika, ndikuti njira zambiri / njira izi sizingakhale zopindulitsa nthawi zonse. Akadakhala kuti ali, ndiye kuti msika wa FX ukadachotsedwa pamadzi mwachangu, mpaka kutha.
Pakati pa malingaliro ochulidwa, ena ndi ovuta modabwitsa kotero kuti sangathe kutanthauzira, kapena kugwiritsa ntchito moyenera. Mudzawona kuphatikiza kwa: zaluso zaukadaulo, magawo osuntha, magawo osiyanasiyana, ndizosintha zambiri zomwe zasinthidwa kuti ziwonetsedwe bwino kwambiri. Amalonda ambiri amatengeka kwambiri ndi ntchitoyi mpaka kuiwala cholinga chawo chosavuta; muyenera kukhala mukuyang'ana njira yomwe imakupatsani mwayi wotsata mtengo, womwe mwina umakupatsani mwayi wodziwiratu; “Chikuchitika nchiyani kenako?”
Mawu amenewo; “Chikuchitika nchiyani kenako?” ndi imodzi mwazinthu zomwe zimanyalanyazidwa kwambiri pokhudzana ndi malonda. Ndipo mukayamba kugulitsa zochepa, ndiye ntchito yanu yayikulu; Kuyesera kupeza njira yodalirika, yomwe ili ndi mwayi wowonjezera wosonyeza zomwe ziwonekere, m'malo opanda kanthu, kudzanja lamanja la ma chart anu.
Vutoli silingathandizike pogwiritsa ntchito chisonyezo pambuyo pake, mpaka ma chart anu awoneke ngati chiwonetsero chamoto, nthawi yachisangalalo cha Julayi 4. M'malo mwake, mumakhala osokonezeka kwambiri ndikusokonekera mukasaka njira yodalirika yogulitsira, ngati ma chart anu ali ovuta komanso ophatikizika ndi zizindikilo zosafunikira, zomwe zimangowonetsa kuti mitengo yakhala ikuyenda osati komwe ikupita . Chimene ndichinthu chodabwitsa chomwe mungadziwitse pogwiritsa ntchito graph yosavuta, yosonyeza mtundu wofunikira kwambiri wamachitidwe.
Pali mfundo imodzi yosatsutsika yokhudzana ndi malonda, yomwe amalonda oyambira angalangizidwe kuti azikumbukirabe; palibe amene adapeza kapena kutulutsa, 100% bullet proof proof ndi njira zamalonda, zomwe zimaneneratu zomwe zidzachitike pambuyo pake. Kaya ndi akatswiri odziwika bwino komanso masamu kumbuyo kwa zaka za m'ma 70, monga Welles Wilder ndi Chuck Le Beau, kapena akatswiri amakono amakono. Makampani akuluakulu opambana a HFT monga: Virtu, Jump and Renaissance Technologies, sanaphwanye nambala yachinsinsi kuti athe kupeza phindu mwakufuna kwawo, amadalira: kuyatsa mwachangu kuti akafike kumsika, pafupi kwambiri ndi misika ndi phindu lawo laling'ono limadzikundikira ndikuphatikizika, kuti apange kubwerera kwawo.
Amamvetsetsanso, monga olimba komanso mafunso omwe amawagwiritsa ntchito, kuti chiwopsezo ndi kuthekera kwawo ndiye maziko amachitidwe onse ogulitsa. Sadziwa zomwe zichitike pambuyo pake, koma kutengera zomwe zidachitika kale komanso momwe zinthu ziliri, atha kulosera zamaphunziro pazomwe zingachitike. Amayang'aniranso pachiwopsezo ndi kuwonekera; mukamagwiritsa ntchito ndalama mabiliyoni ambiri, simukuika pachiwopsezo 1% pamalonda amodzi, mumangokhala pachiwopsezo cha 0.0001% ndipo mudzakhala ndi malire otayika tsiku ndi tsiku komanso owononga madera m'malo, sungani ndalama. Amalonda ogulitsa ayenera kuzindikira mosamala za izi zokhudzana ndi kuthekera ndi chiopsezo, mosasamala kanthu za momwe mumagulitsira, ndizofunikira kwa wogulitsa aliyense, monga momwe zilili ndi kuchuluka kwa mabungwewo. Ndiwo chidwi chanu pazakufotokozerani za chiwopsezo ndi kuthekera komwe kungapangitse kuti muchite bwino, kuposa zinthu zina, monga njira ndi njira.
Kupanga njira yanu yosavuta sikuyenera kukhala njira yovuta, ndipo mukakhazikitsa kalembedwe kamalonda, zochitikazo zitha kugawidwa m'magawo 4-5 osavuta. Tiyerekeze kuti ndinu amalonda a tsiku, chifukwa chake, nthawi (TF) yomwe mungapange chisankho chanu choyambirira, mwina ndi 1hr kapena yocheperako, kapena kuphatikiza ma TF angapo apansi. Kenako mumasankha njira yamtengo wapatali yomwe mungagwiritse ntchito pamakalata anu kuti mufotokozere zomwe mungachite, mwina mungasankhe zoyikapo nyali, kapena Heikin Ashi.
Kenako mungaganizire kuyika mfundo zazikuluzikulu patsiku lanu, zomwe zitha kuwonetsa ngati mtengo watsiku ndi tsiku ndiwotsika, kapena wopanda pake. Ngati mtengo uli pamwambapa R1 amawerengedwa kuti ndiwopanda phindu, ngati uli pansi pa S1 umawerengedwa kuti ndi opanda pake. Ngati mtengo uli pafupi ndi pivot ya tsiku ndi tsiku umawerengedwa kuti ukuchita malonda mwamphamvu. Kenako mungaganizire kugwiritsa ntchito chizindikiritso chimodzi, mwina oscillator kapena chizindikiritso chofulumira monga MACD ndipo pamapeto pake mumasankha komwe mungayime ndikuyitanitsa malire amitengo, kutengera chiopsezo pamalonda omwe mwadzipereka.
Ndichoncho. Njira yotere ndi iyi: kukhazikika, kuyeza komanso kulondola, zimadalira zida zambiri zofunika kwambiri zomwe amalonda omwe angagwiritse ntchito bwino ndikugwiritsa ntchito ndipo ndi zaka zochepa kuchokera ku njira zina zovuta, mutha kuwerenga ndikuwona zitsanzo za, pa mabwalo osiyanasiyana. Nachi fanizo mwachangu, chosonyeza kumangidwa kwa zida zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito pa 1hr nthawi, panthawi yonse yogulitsa.
« Zolankhula za Mario Draghi, zowerengera zaposachedwa ku UK CPI komanso mphindi zamisonkhano ku FOMC, ndizochitika zazikulu zomwe zingasunthire mtengo wa EUR, GBP ndi USD. Mipikisano yowonjezereka yotsutsana kwambiri ndi anzawo, monga ntchito yatsopano ya Brexit yoperekedwa ndi a Pulezidenti May ku Parliament, mayiko a US omwe ali ndi chiwerengero cha chiwerengero cha amitundu akukwera chifukwa cha mantha a nkhondo. »
Kupanga njira yosavuta yogulitsira FX, pang'onopang'ono komanso motsimikizika, chidutswa chidutswa.
Meyi 21 • Zogulitsa Zamalonda, Ndemanga za Msika • 3367 Views • Comments Off pa Kupanga njira yosavuta ya FX yamalonda, pang'onopang'ono komanso motsimikizika, chidutswa chidutswa.
Gwiritsani ntchito malo ambiri odziwika bwino amalonda komanso m'magawo omwe atchulidwa kuti "njira zamalonda", mudzawona zikwi zikwi, ndi mamembala, omwe ali otsimikiza kuti apeza malonda. Zomwe amakhulupirira kuti amatha kugwiritsa ntchito mobwerezabwereza; Gawo lililonse, tsiku ndi tsiku, kuti atenge phindu m'misika ya FX. Malingaliro achilengedwe amalonda ambiri adzafika, ndikuti njira zambiri / njira izi sizingakhale zopindulitsa nthawi zonse. Akadakhala kuti ali, ndiye kuti msika wa FX ukadachotsedwa pamadzi mwachangu, mpaka kutha.
Pakati pa malingaliro ochulidwa, ena ndi ovuta modabwitsa kotero kuti sangathe kutanthauzira, kapena kugwiritsa ntchito moyenera. Mudzawona kuphatikiza kwa: zaluso zaukadaulo, magawo osuntha, magawo osiyanasiyana, ndizosintha zambiri zomwe zasinthidwa kuti ziwonetsedwe bwino kwambiri. Amalonda ambiri amatengeka kwambiri ndi ntchitoyi mpaka kuiwala cholinga chawo chosavuta; muyenera kukhala mukuyang'ana njira yomwe imakupatsani mwayi wotsata mtengo, womwe mwina umakupatsani mwayi wodziwiratu; “Chikuchitika nchiyani kenako?”
Mawu amenewo; “Chikuchitika nchiyani kenako?” ndi imodzi mwazinthu zomwe zimanyalanyazidwa kwambiri pokhudzana ndi malonda. Ndipo mukayamba kugulitsa zochepa, ndiye ntchito yanu yayikulu; Kuyesera kupeza njira yodalirika, yomwe ili ndi mwayi wowonjezera wosonyeza zomwe ziwonekere, m'malo opanda kanthu, kudzanja lamanja la ma chart anu.
Vutoli silingathandizike pogwiritsa ntchito chisonyezo pambuyo pake, mpaka ma chart anu awoneke ngati chiwonetsero chamoto, nthawi yachisangalalo cha Julayi 4. M'malo mwake, mumakhala osokonezeka kwambiri ndikusokonekera mukasaka njira yodalirika yogulitsira, ngati ma chart anu ali ovuta komanso ophatikizika ndi zizindikilo zosafunikira, zomwe zimangowonetsa kuti mitengo yakhala ikuyenda osati komwe ikupita . Chimene ndichinthu chodabwitsa chomwe mungadziwitse pogwiritsa ntchito graph yosavuta, yosonyeza mtundu wofunikira kwambiri wamachitidwe.
Pali mfundo imodzi yosatsutsika yokhudzana ndi malonda, yomwe amalonda oyambira angalangizidwe kuti azikumbukirabe; palibe amene adapeza kapena kutulutsa, 100% bullet proof proof ndi njira zamalonda, zomwe zimaneneratu zomwe zidzachitike pambuyo pake. Kaya ndi akatswiri odziwika bwino komanso masamu kumbuyo kwa zaka za m'ma 70, monga Welles Wilder ndi Chuck Le Beau, kapena akatswiri amakono amakono. Makampani akuluakulu opambana a HFT monga: Virtu, Jump and Renaissance Technologies, sanaphwanye nambala yachinsinsi kuti athe kupeza phindu mwakufuna kwawo, amadalira: kuyatsa mwachangu kuti akafike kumsika, pafupi kwambiri ndi misika ndi phindu lawo laling'ono limadzikundikira ndikuphatikizika, kuti apange kubwerera kwawo.
Amamvetsetsanso, monga olimba komanso mafunso omwe amawagwiritsa ntchito, kuti chiwopsezo ndi kuthekera kwawo ndiye maziko amachitidwe onse ogulitsa. Sadziwa zomwe zichitike pambuyo pake, koma kutengera zomwe zidachitika kale komanso momwe zinthu ziliri, atha kulosera zamaphunziro pazomwe zingachitike. Amayang'aniranso pachiwopsezo ndi kuwonekera; mukamagwiritsa ntchito ndalama mabiliyoni ambiri, simukuika pachiwopsezo 1% pamalonda amodzi, mumangokhala pachiwopsezo cha 0.0001% ndipo mudzakhala ndi malire otayika tsiku ndi tsiku komanso owononga madera m'malo, sungani ndalama. Amalonda ogulitsa ayenera kuzindikira mosamala za izi zokhudzana ndi kuthekera ndi chiopsezo, mosasamala kanthu za momwe mumagulitsira, ndizofunikira kwa wogulitsa aliyense, monga momwe zilili ndi kuchuluka kwa mabungwewo. Ndiwo chidwi chanu pazakufotokozerani za chiwopsezo ndi kuthekera komwe kungapangitse kuti muchite bwino, kuposa zinthu zina, monga njira ndi njira.
Kupanga njira yanu yosavuta sikuyenera kukhala njira yovuta, ndipo mukakhazikitsa kalembedwe kamalonda, zochitikazo zitha kugawidwa m'magawo 4-5 osavuta. Tiyerekeze kuti ndinu amalonda a tsiku, chifukwa chake, nthawi (TF) yomwe mungapange chisankho chanu choyambirira, mwina ndi 1hr kapena yocheperako, kapena kuphatikiza ma TF angapo apansi. Kenako mumasankha njira yamtengo wapatali yomwe mungagwiritse ntchito pamakalata anu kuti mufotokozere zomwe mungachite, mwina mungasankhe zoyikapo nyali, kapena Heikin Ashi.
Kenako mungaganizire kuyika mfundo zazikuluzikulu patsiku lanu, zomwe zitha kuwonetsa ngati mtengo watsiku ndi tsiku ndiwotsika, kapena wopanda pake. Ngati mtengo uli pamwambapa R1 amawerengedwa kuti ndiwopanda phindu, ngati uli pansi pa S1 umawerengedwa kuti ndi opanda pake. Ngati mtengo uli pafupi ndi pivot ya tsiku ndi tsiku umawerengedwa kuti ukuchita malonda mwamphamvu. Kenako mungaganizire kugwiritsa ntchito chizindikiritso chimodzi, mwina oscillator kapena chizindikiritso chofulumira monga MACD ndipo pamapeto pake mumasankha komwe mungayime ndikuyitanitsa malire amitengo, kutengera chiopsezo pamalonda omwe mwadzipereka.
Ndichoncho. Njira yotere ndi iyi: kukhazikika, kuyeza komanso kulondola, zimadalira zida zambiri zofunika kwambiri zomwe amalonda omwe angagwiritse ntchito bwino ndikugwiritsa ntchito ndipo ndi zaka zochepa kuchokera ku njira zina zovuta, mutha kuwerenga ndikuwona zitsanzo za, pa mabwalo osiyanasiyana. Nachi fanizo mwachangu, chosonyeza kumangidwa kwa zida zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito pa 1hr nthawi, panthawi yonse yogulitsa.
« Zolankhula za Mario Draghi, zowerengera zaposachedwa ku UK CPI komanso mphindi zamisonkhano ku FOMC, ndizochitika zazikulu zomwe zingasunthire mtengo wa EUR, GBP ndi USD. Mipikisano yowonjezereka yotsutsana kwambiri ndi anzawo, monga ntchito yatsopano ya Brexit yoperekedwa ndi a Pulezidenti May ku Parliament, mayiko a US omwe ali ndi chiwerengero cha chiwerengero cha amitundu akukwera chifukwa cha mantha a nkhondo. »