Novembala 30 • Ndemanga za Msika • 4801 Views • Comments Off pa Kubetcherana Pa Yuro Kutha? Osamagwira Mpweya Wanu, Kapena Magulu Athu Ogulitsa
Ngati mwakhala ndi zokumana nazo zingapo zoyipa zamalonda posachedwa ndiye kuti mungafune kusiya lingaliro la malingaliro a FX omwe mwachiwonekere ndi ndalama zazikulu kwambiri za hedge fund padziko lapansi. Zakhala zodziwikiratu kwazaka zambiri chaka chino kuti thumba la hedge fund likuchita kubetcherana kuti 'tills' zawo zitha kulira ngati kugwa kwa Euroland kumabweretsa kugwa kwa ndalama za Euro.
Nthawi iliyonse yuro ikukwera mumzere wotsatira wavuto mutu wa hedge fund umakhala wotentha pansi pa kolala ndi nthawi ya mpweya poganiza kuti Yuro ili mu "imfa". Tsoka ilo iwo sanawerengere za ndale kuti asunge ndalama zomwe amagawana nazo, kapena kuti greenback sikhala yamtengo wapatali ngati malo otetezeka.
Pomwe dola yakula posachedwapa, malinga ndi zomwe Bloomberg weighted indexed indexed, zonsezi zitha kuthetsedwa ngati, kapena mwina, gawo lotsatira la GRGANTATUAN Fed litalimbikitsa kuchepetsa kuchuluka kwachulukidwe.
Iwo (FX) ndi bungwe lomwe likufuna kupindula ndi kuwonongeka kwa Eurozone ndipo chifukwa chake mulingo wamoyo wa mamiliyoni ambiri, chifukwa chake kusasunga lingaliro (kapena kandalama) komanso kukhala opanda chifundo ndizomveka. John Taylor, wamkulu wa malingaliro a FX amawongolera pafupifupi $ 5 biliyoni kuchokera ku New York, adaneneratu kangapo kuyambira 2010 kuti yuro igwera parity motsutsana ndi dola. Ndalama wamba idakwera 0.1 peresenti mpaka $ 1.3333 pa 10:50 am ku New York dzulo.
Mwezi watha kuyankhula ndi Bloomberg FX Concepts adati; "Chomwe chikukhumudwitsa kwambiri ndichakuti tikuyenera kuchita bwino pamsika wapadziko lonse lapansi wamavuto." Adawululanso mu Okutobala kuyankhulana ku London kuti ataya 12 peresenti chaka chino ndipo katundu omwe akuwongolera adatsika ndi gawo limodzi mwa magawo atatu mpaka $ 5 biliyoni kuchokera pa $ 8 biliyoni. "Tikuchita moyipa kwambiri."
Kodi ndizodabwitsa kuti sanayembekezere kuchuluka kwa kudzipereka kuti apulumutse ndalama zamtundu wa 17 zomwe zimagawana nawo? Ngakhale tili ndi chiyembekezo choti mgwirizano wa ndalama udakali mmene ulili panopa, yuro ya mayiko 17 ikuchita malonda kuposa avereji yake ya moyo wonse ya $1.2044 chifukwa cha ngongole zomwe European Central Bank ndi mabungwe azachuma a ku Ulaya akubweza ndalama zawo. Taylor amaliza ndikugawana "chiyembekezo" chake cha tsogolo loyipa la Eurozone ndi nzika zake mamiliyoni ambiri kuti kampani yake ipindule ndi kugwa kulikonse.
Mabanki akucheperachepera ndikugulitsa zinthu zawo zonse zakunyanja ndikuzibweretsanso ku Europe ndipo izi zikutanthauza kuti pali wogula mosalekeza wama euro, omwe ndi mabungwe awo azachuma. Zomwe sizikuoneka bwino, koma nthawi zonse pamakhala chiyembekezo choti zikafika poipa, maboma azidzuka ndikuchita zinazake.
mwachidule
Ndalama zapadziko lonse lapansi zidatsika kwa nthawi yoyamba m'masiku atatu ndipo masheya aku US adatsika pambuyo poti Standard & Poor adadula mitengo ya ngongole kwa obwereketsa kuchokera ku Bank of America Corp. kupita ku Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Mkuwa ndi mafuta zidatsika. Stoxx Europe 600 Index idatsika 1 peresenti, kutsika koyamba m'masiku anayi. Zamtsogolo za S&P 500 zatsika ndi 0.8 peresenti. Yuro idafooketsa 0.3 peresenti motsutsana ndi dola ndipo idatsika ndi 0.2 peresenti motsutsana ndi yen. Mkuwa unatsika mpaka 2.2 peresenti ndipo mafuta adatsika kuchokera pamtunda wa milungu iwiri ku New York. Dola Index, yomwe imatsata ndalama zomwe zimagwirizana ndi omwe akugulitsa nawo asanu ndi mmodzi, idakwera 0.4 peresenti atabwerera kwa masiku awiri. Yuro yamitundu 17 idatsika mpaka $ 1.3270 ndikugulitsidwa pa yen 103.53, poyerekeza ndi 103.77 dzulo.
Mafuta adatsika mpaka 0.8 peresenti kufika $98.96 mbiya ku New York asanagulitsidwe pa $99.09. Tsogolo linakwera dzulo kufika pamtunda wapamwamba kwambiri kuyambira pa Nov. 16 ndipo ndi 6.4 peresenti mwezi uno. Mkuwa wa miyezi itatu watsika ndi 2 peresenti kufika pa $7,342.25 metric toni ku London.
Europe
Atsogoleri a maboma aku Europe akumana pa Disembala 9 ku Brussels, Germany akukakamira kusintha kwaulamuliro komwe kungalimbikitse kutsatiridwa kwa malamulo a bajeti. Kusunthaku kungapangitse kuti European Central Bank ikhale yosavuta kuti ikhale ndi gawo lalikulu pothandizira mayiko akumayiko aku euro, popereka ngongole kudzera ku IMF, akuluakulu awiri omwe amadziwa bwino nkhaniyi adanena dzulo.
Arnaud Mares, wofufuza za Morgan Stanley, adalemba muzolemba zofufuza dzulo;
Akalephera kupereka ndondomeko yodalirika yophatikiza mbali zonse ziwirizi, tingayembekezere kuti 'kuthamanga' kwa maboma ndi mabanki kuchulukira, ndipo tiyenera kuopa kuti sikungathekenso. Zotsatira zachuma, chikhalidwe ndi ndale zingakhale zosamvetsetseka. Choncho, masabata angapo otsatirawa ndi nthawi yovuta kwambiri m'mbiri ya ku Ulaya.
Ngakhale atsogoleri anena kuti phindu lidzakulitsa kuchuluka kwa 440 biliyoni ($ 584 biliyoni) EFSF kufika ku 1 thililiyoni yuro, Chief Executive Officer Klaus Regling adati "ndizosatheka kupereka nambala imodzi" kuti ndalama zitheke.
Zithunzi pamsika pa 10:00 am GMT (nthawi yaku UK)
Misika yaku Asia idagwa usiku m'mawa kwambiri malonda a Nikkei adatseka 0.51%, Hang Seng adatseka 1.46% ndipo CSI idatseka 3.34% ndipo tsopano yatsika 19.62% pachaka. ASX 200 idatseka 0.43%. Ma index a bourse aku Europe achulukirachulukira kuchokera pomwe adatsegulira. STOXX 50 ili pansi pa 1.01%, UK FTSE ili pansi pa 0.55%, CAC ili pansi pa 1.06%, DAX ili pansi 0.83% ndipo MIB ili pansi pa 0.4%.
ndalama
Yuro inagwa 0.3 peresenti mpaka $ 1.3284 pa 8: 57 am London nthawi pambuyo pa kutsika kwa $ 1.3212 pa Nov. 25, mlingo wofooka kwambiri kuyambira Oct. 4. Ndalama zomwe zimagawidwa zinatsika 0.2 peresenti ku 103.57 yen. Yen idasinthidwa pang'ono pa 78.01 pa dollar. Yuro yatsika ndi 4.2 peresenti poyerekeza ndi dola ndi 4.4 peresenti motsutsana ndi yen mwezi uno pomwe malingaliro akuti vuto la ngongole likufalikira kumayiko akuluakulu akuchepetsa kufunikira kwa chuma chaderalo.
Dola idapeza 0.3 peresenti lero, malinga ndi Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Indexes, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti ikhale yopindula kwambiri pakati pa ndalama za 10 zamayiko otukuka. Yen inapita patsogolo ndi 0.2 peresenti, ndipo yuro inafooketsa 0.1 peresenti.
Kutulutsa kwakalendala yachuma yomwe ingakhudze gawo lazamalonda lamadzulo
12:00 US - MBA Mortgage Applications 25 Nov
13:15 US - ADP Employment Change November
13:30 US - Zopanga Zopanda Famu 3Q
13:30 US - Mtengo wa Unit Labor 3Q
14:45 US - Chicago PMI November
15:00 US - Poyembekezera Kugulitsa Kwanyumba Okutobala
19:00 US - Fed's Beige Book
Zotulutsa zodziwika bwino zitha kukhala manambala a ntchito za ADP atapatsidwa kale ziwerengero zomwe sizinali zaulimi Lachisanu komanso buku la beige la Fed.
Kafukufuku wa Bloomberg wa openda akuneneratu kuchuluka kwa ntchito 130,000, poyerekeza ndi 110,000 ya mwezi watha.
Lipoti la buku la beige ndi lothandiza chifukwa limalola osunga ndalama kuti awone zomwe mamembala a FOMC adzakhazikitse chisankho chawo (ndipo chidziwitsocho sichingakhale choposa masabata awiri). Bukhu la Beige silimapereka chidziwitso pamalingaliro a mamembala a FOMC pazachuma, komabe; imangotchula mfundo zokhudzana ndi zachuma m'madera osiyanasiyana a US.
yuroeurozonefx maganizo
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Kubetcherana Pakutha Kwa Yuro? Osamagwira Mpweya Wanu, Kapena Magulu Athu Ogulitsa
Novembala 30 • Ndemanga za Msika • 4801 Views • Comments Off pa Kubetcherana Pa Yuro Kutha? Osamagwira Mpweya Wanu, Kapena Magulu Athu Ogulitsa
Ngati mwakhala ndi zokumana nazo zingapo zoyipa zamalonda posachedwa ndiye kuti mungafune kusiya lingaliro la malingaliro a FX omwe mwachiwonekere ndi ndalama zazikulu kwambiri za hedge fund padziko lapansi. Zakhala zodziwikiratu kwazaka zambiri chaka chino kuti thumba la hedge fund likuchita kubetcherana kuti 'tills' zawo zitha kulira ngati kugwa kwa Euroland kumabweretsa kugwa kwa ndalama za Euro.
Nthawi iliyonse yuro ikukwera mumzere wotsatira wavuto mutu wa hedge fund umakhala wotentha pansi pa kolala ndi nthawi ya mpweya poganiza kuti Yuro ili mu "imfa". Tsoka ilo iwo sanawerengere za ndale kuti asunge ndalama zomwe amagawana nazo, kapena kuti greenback sikhala yamtengo wapatali ngati malo otetezeka.
Pomwe dola yakula posachedwapa, malinga ndi zomwe Bloomberg weighted indexed indexed, zonsezi zitha kuthetsedwa ngati, kapena mwina, gawo lotsatira la GRGANTATUAN Fed litalimbikitsa kuchepetsa kuchuluka kwachulukidwe.
Iwo (FX) ndi bungwe lomwe likufuna kupindula ndi kuwonongeka kwa Eurozone ndipo chifukwa chake mulingo wamoyo wa mamiliyoni ambiri, chifukwa chake kusasunga lingaliro (kapena kandalama) komanso kukhala opanda chifundo ndizomveka. John Taylor, wamkulu wa malingaliro a FX amawongolera pafupifupi $ 5 biliyoni kuchokera ku New York, adaneneratu kangapo kuyambira 2010 kuti yuro igwera parity motsutsana ndi dola. Ndalama wamba idakwera 0.1 peresenti mpaka $ 1.3333 pa 10:50 am ku New York dzulo.
Mwezi watha kuyankhula ndi Bloomberg FX Concepts adati; "Chomwe chikukhumudwitsa kwambiri ndichakuti tikuyenera kuchita bwino pamsika wapadziko lonse lapansi wamavuto." Adawululanso mu Okutobala kuyankhulana ku London kuti ataya 12 peresenti chaka chino ndipo katundu omwe akuwongolera adatsika ndi gawo limodzi mwa magawo atatu mpaka $ 5 biliyoni kuchokera pa $ 8 biliyoni. "Tikuchita moyipa kwambiri."
Kodi ndizodabwitsa kuti sanayembekezere kuchuluka kwa kudzipereka kuti apulumutse ndalama zamtundu wa 17 zomwe zimagawana nawo? Ngakhale tili ndi chiyembekezo choti mgwirizano wa ndalama udakali mmene ulili panopa, yuro ya mayiko 17 ikuchita malonda kuposa avereji yake ya moyo wonse ya $1.2044 chifukwa cha ngongole zomwe European Central Bank ndi mabungwe azachuma a ku Ulaya akubweza ndalama zawo. Taylor amaliza ndikugawana "chiyembekezo" chake cha tsogolo loyipa la Eurozone ndi nzika zake mamiliyoni ambiri kuti kampani yake ipindule ndi kugwa kulikonse.
Mabanki akucheperachepera ndikugulitsa zinthu zawo zonse zakunyanja ndikuzibweretsanso ku Europe ndipo izi zikutanthauza kuti pali wogula mosalekeza wama euro, omwe ndi mabungwe awo azachuma. Zomwe sizikuoneka bwino, koma nthawi zonse pamakhala chiyembekezo choti zikafika poipa, maboma azidzuka ndikuchita zinazake.
mwachidule
Ndalama zapadziko lonse lapansi zidatsika kwa nthawi yoyamba m'masiku atatu ndipo masheya aku US adatsika pambuyo poti Standard & Poor adadula mitengo ya ngongole kwa obwereketsa kuchokera ku Bank of America Corp. kupita ku Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Mkuwa ndi mafuta zidatsika. Stoxx Europe 600 Index idatsika 1 peresenti, kutsika koyamba m'masiku anayi. Zamtsogolo za S&P 500 zatsika ndi 0.8 peresenti. Yuro idafooketsa 0.3 peresenti motsutsana ndi dola ndipo idatsika ndi 0.2 peresenti motsutsana ndi yen. Mkuwa unatsika mpaka 2.2 peresenti ndipo mafuta adatsika kuchokera pamtunda wa milungu iwiri ku New York. Dola Index, yomwe imatsata ndalama zomwe zimagwirizana ndi omwe akugulitsa nawo asanu ndi mmodzi, idakwera 0.4 peresenti atabwerera kwa masiku awiri. Yuro yamitundu 17 idatsika mpaka $ 1.3270 ndikugulitsidwa pa yen 103.53, poyerekeza ndi 103.77 dzulo.
Mafuta adatsika mpaka 0.8 peresenti kufika $98.96 mbiya ku New York asanagulitsidwe pa $99.09. Tsogolo linakwera dzulo kufika pamtunda wapamwamba kwambiri kuyambira pa Nov. 16 ndipo ndi 6.4 peresenti mwezi uno. Mkuwa wa miyezi itatu watsika ndi 2 peresenti kufika pa $7,342.25 metric toni ku London.
Europe
Atsogoleri a maboma aku Europe akumana pa Disembala 9 ku Brussels, Germany akukakamira kusintha kwaulamuliro komwe kungalimbikitse kutsatiridwa kwa malamulo a bajeti. Kusunthaku kungapangitse kuti European Central Bank ikhale yosavuta kuti ikhale ndi gawo lalikulu pothandizira mayiko akumayiko aku euro, popereka ngongole kudzera ku IMF, akuluakulu awiri omwe amadziwa bwino nkhaniyi adanena dzulo.
Arnaud Mares, wofufuza za Morgan Stanley, adalemba muzolemba zofufuza dzulo;
Akalephera kupereka ndondomeko yodalirika yophatikiza mbali zonse ziwirizi, tingayembekezere kuti 'kuthamanga' kwa maboma ndi mabanki kuchulukira, ndipo tiyenera kuopa kuti sikungathekenso. Zotsatira zachuma, chikhalidwe ndi ndale zingakhale zosamvetsetseka. Choncho, masabata angapo otsatirawa ndi nthawi yovuta kwambiri m'mbiri ya ku Ulaya.
Ngakhale atsogoleri anena kuti phindu lidzakulitsa kuchuluka kwa 440 biliyoni ($ 584 biliyoni) EFSF kufika ku 1 thililiyoni yuro, Chief Executive Officer Klaus Regling adati "ndizosatheka kupereka nambala imodzi" kuti ndalama zitheke.
Zithunzi pamsika pa 10:00 am GMT (nthawi yaku UK)
Misika yaku Asia idagwa usiku m'mawa kwambiri malonda a Nikkei adatseka 0.51%, Hang Seng adatseka 1.46% ndipo CSI idatseka 3.34% ndipo tsopano yatsika 19.62% pachaka. ASX 200 idatseka 0.43%. Ma index a bourse aku Europe achulukirachulukira kuchokera pomwe adatsegulira. STOXX 50 ili pansi pa 1.01%, UK FTSE ili pansi pa 0.55%, CAC ili pansi pa 1.06%, DAX ili pansi 0.83% ndipo MIB ili pansi pa 0.4%.
ndalama
Yuro inagwa 0.3 peresenti mpaka $ 1.3284 pa 8: 57 am London nthawi pambuyo pa kutsika kwa $ 1.3212 pa Nov. 25, mlingo wofooka kwambiri kuyambira Oct. 4. Ndalama zomwe zimagawidwa zinatsika 0.2 peresenti ku 103.57 yen. Yen idasinthidwa pang'ono pa 78.01 pa dollar. Yuro yatsika ndi 4.2 peresenti poyerekeza ndi dola ndi 4.4 peresenti motsutsana ndi yen mwezi uno pomwe malingaliro akuti vuto la ngongole likufalikira kumayiko akuluakulu akuchepetsa kufunikira kwa chuma chaderalo.
Dola idapeza 0.3 peresenti lero, malinga ndi Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Indexes, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti ikhale yopindula kwambiri pakati pa ndalama za 10 zamayiko otukuka. Yen inapita patsogolo ndi 0.2 peresenti, ndipo yuro inafooketsa 0.1 peresenti.
Kutulutsa kwakalendala yachuma yomwe ingakhudze gawo lazamalonda lamadzulo
12:00 US - MBA Mortgage Applications 25 Nov
13:15 US - ADP Employment Change November
13:30 US - Zopanga Zopanda Famu 3Q
13:30 US - Mtengo wa Unit Labor 3Q
14:45 US - Chicago PMI November
15:00 US - Poyembekezera Kugulitsa Kwanyumba Okutobala
19:00 US - Fed's Beige Book
Zotulutsa zodziwika bwino zitha kukhala manambala a ntchito za ADP atapatsidwa kale ziwerengero zomwe sizinali zaulimi Lachisanu komanso buku la beige la Fed.
Kafukufuku wa Bloomberg wa openda akuneneratu kuchuluka kwa ntchito 130,000, poyerekeza ndi 110,000 ya mwezi watha.
Lipoti la buku la beige ndi lothandiza chifukwa limalola osunga ndalama kuti awone zomwe mamembala a FOMC adzakhazikitse chisankho chawo (ndipo chidziwitsocho sichingakhale choposa masabata awiri). Bukhu la Beige silimapereka chidziwitso pamalingaliro a mamembala a FOMC pazachuma, komabe; imangotchula mfundo zokhudzana ndi zachuma m'madera osiyanasiyana a US.
yuroeurozonefx maganizo
« Zomwe Hopey Changey Sizinachitike Khazikitsani Ma Phasers Anu kuti Asokonezeke »