EUR / GBP Imawonjezera Zonunkhira Zina
Lachiwiri, EUR / GBP idakwera ndikutsika mumayendedwe olimba am'mbali mwa magulu a anyamata akulu a 0.82. Awiriwo amakhala mozungulira kwambiri malo othandizira a 0.8222 / 10 koma mayeso enieni sanachitike. Izi zati, ndizofunikira kuti EUR / GBP yalephera kujambula zopindulitsa pamsonkhano wangozi dzulo. Pakati pa tsiku, awiriwa adakhala pafupi ndi Lolemba ku Asia, koma adapanikizika pang'ono kuyambira pomwe malonda adayamba ku Europe.
UK March CPI idanenedwa pa 3.5% (kuchokera pa 3.4% komanso motsutsana ndi 3.4%). Sitikuyembekeza kuti kupatuka uku ndikofunikira pakuwunika kwa BoE. Komabe, GBP idapeza nkhupakupa pang'ono pakamasulidwa. Yuro idayesanso kuyambiranso pambuyo pamalonda a T-bill aku Spain komanso kafukufuku waku ZEW waku Germany koma kusunthaku kudatsekedwa nthawi yomweyo. EUR / GBP yakhazikika m'dera la 0.8230 / 55 kwa gawo latsaliralo ndikutseka gawoli ku 0.8243, kutsika kuchokera ku 0.8265 Lolemba madzulo.
Kalendala ya eco ku Europe ndi ku US ndiyochepa kwambiri. Kalendala ku UK ndiyosangalatsa. Zambiri zakamsika wogulitsa ku UK zizisindikizidwa. Nthawi zambiri, lipotili silimangoyendetsa msika pokhapokha ngati pali kusiyana kwakukulu pamgwirizano. Nthawi yomweyo, Mphindi za msonkhano wapitawa wa BoE zidzafalitsidwa. Ripotili lili ndi zotheka kuyenda pamsika. Pamsonkhano wa Meyi MPC idzakhala ndi lipoti latsopano la inflation ndipo gawo laposachedwa lazogula Chuma lidzamalizidwa.
Chifukwa chake, misika idzakhala yofunitsitsa kuti ipeze malingaliro aliwonse a chisankho cha Meyi. Timaganiza kuti njira yovotera mu Epulo inali yofanana ndi pamsonkhano wa Marichi (2 otsutsa omwe akufuna kugula zambiri).
Timaganiziranso kuti MPC sinasinthe kuwunika kwake pazachuma komanso kukwera kwamitengo. Ngati banki itayamba 'kuda nkhawa' pang'ono ndi kukwera kwamitengo (kutsika kwa zinthu kutsika pang'onopang'ono poyerekeza ndi njira yomwe ikuyembekezeredwa), izi ziziwerengedwa ngati kuchepetsa mlandu wa QE yambiri.
Mwachidule: tikuyembekeza kuti mphindi zisatenge mbali kwenikweni koma tikuwona chiopsezo chakunja chotsatira chabwino.
Posachedwa, tinakhala ndi lingaliro loti chochitika chodziwika bwino chikufunika kuti tithetse chithandizo chofunikira. Malingana ngati chochitikachi sichikupezeka, EUR / GBP ikhoza kukhalabe pano pafupi ndi zotsika zaposachedwa. Kuphatikiza apo, pansi pa thandizo la 0.8222 / 10, magawo ena ofunikira akupezeka (0.8143, Ogasiti 2010 otsika; 0.8068, Juni 2010 otsika).
Chifukwa chake, kupuma, ngati kulipo, kungakhale pang'onopang'ono pang'onopang'ono poyerekeza ndi zomwe zingakhale za EUR / USD. Chifukwa chake, zitha kutenga nthawi kuti EUR / GBP iwonongeke bwino pansi pamlingo wapamwambawu. Komabe, potengera malingaliro olakwika onse pa ndalama imodzi, sitimapeza phindu pakabudula wa EUR / GBP panobe.
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