ECB malite ịmalite imegide ihe ike, na-akwado oke ehi
A na-atụ anya njedebe nke ọnwa na mpaghara ego. Gụnyere izu ụka US ụnyaahụ, mkpọkọta mkpọkọta dị obere n'ime awa Eshia na London mana ọ hụrụ usoro ịzụrụ maka euro na-eso data mmụba sitere na Spain na Germany.
Mkparịta ụka na mpaghara azụmaahịa lekwasịrị anya n'okwu ndị mere n'izu gara aga, ya bụ imechi amụma European Central Bank na ịda mba dollar. Anyị nwere nnọkọ na-atọ ụtọ n'ihu mkpebi amụma ego nke izu na-abịa, mmụba emelitere na amụma mmụba nke ECB, yana ntụzịaka ọzọ sitere n'aka Onye isi oche Central Bank European Christine Lagarde.
A na-atụ anya na mbubreyo May ga-akwado dollar ahụ, anyị hụkwara ụfọdụ nkwado n'izu gara aga. Otu onye na-ere ahịa n'etiti ụlọ akụ gwara m na ha anaghị atụ anya ka ọ ga-erute n'ihu ahụ taa, ọkachasị ebe ebuka US na-agbakọta n'oge na-adịbeghị anya. Nke a, n'aka nke ya, na-agwa m na euro nwere ohere itolite n'ihu.
Ọ bụ maka asymmetry nke ECB. Maka ndị na-azụ ahịa ego, ihe gbasara nke 50 nwere ike ịga n'ihu na Julaị bụ ihe fọrọ nke nta ka ọ bụrụ otu ihe mgbakwasị ụkwụ 25. Onye isi akụ na ụba Philip Lane kwuru ụnyaahụ na ịhazi amụma ego ga-eji nwayọ nwayọ yana na "n'ụzọ dị n'okpuru bụ ịrị elu ntọala 25 maka nzukọ July na Septemba". Nke ahụ bụ nkwupụta doro anya, mana ọ na-ahapụ ohere maka mmezi ọzọ, dịka okwu Lagarde kwuru na nso nso a. Ma ebe ọ bụ na Lane so na ndị otu na-achị isi, enwere ike were nke a dị ka nkwupụta nhụsianya.
Ma ihe ndabere 50 akụkọ ihe mere eme nwere ike ime bụ ihe ndị na-ere ahịa forex ga-ahụ na ahịa nhọrọ. Mgbanwe mgbanwe mgbanwe nke euro na-anọgide na-akwado dollar ahụ mana ọ na-adị obere obere bearish maka otu ego karịa n'etiti ọnwa Mee. Ọ bụrụ na anyị na-ahụ n'ihu repricing na mbụ aga na a premium ka bullish euro rates, ọ nwere ike were dị ka a siri ike ịrịba ama na ndị ahịa na-atụ anya a dovish ECB ele anya na a nnukwu ihe ize ndụ nke a ọkara a percentage point hike site September.
Ọmụrụ nwa dị iche n'etiti US na Germany na-aga n'ihu na-ebelata, ebe atụmanya ọnụ ahịa nke obere oge egosila ala dị mkpirikpi maka mpaghara euro. Nyocha nke mgbasa nke euro-dollar na EU-US swaps 1-2 afọ site ugbu a na-egosi na ịkwaga na $ 1.13 nwere ike ịbụ na pipeline. Na nnukwu "ma" ole na ole: ka ọnọdụ Covid si etolite na China yana ma agha ndị agha na Ukraine ga-abụ nnukwu ihe mgbochi ọzọ. Ka ọ dị ugbu a, mmụba dị elu karịa ụbọchị 55 na-akpụ akpụ na-ekwu maka oge mbụ kemgbe February na akụkọ na ndị isi EU ekwenyela na mmachibido iwu nke mmanụ Russia, na-emeghe ụzọ maka agba nke isii nke mmachi iji taa Moscow ahụhụ, na-ekwu maka onwe ya. . Enweelarị ike maka ịdaba n'ihu na dollar, mana dịka anyị kwuru n'izu gara aga, kpachara anya maka nkwụsịtụ ụgha n'etiti njedebe ọnwa na mbelata ego n'ihi oge ezumike. Malite echi, anyị nwere ike ọbụna ikwu banyere seasonality.
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