Analiz tandans pou semèn nan kòmanse Mas 23rd
Nou chak semèn tandans / balanse analiz komès konsiste de de pati; premyèman nou analize desizyon politik fondamantal yo ak evènman nouvèl yo pou semèn kap vini an. Dezyèmman nou itilize analiz teknik nan yon tantativ pou detèmine nenpòt opòtinite komès potansyèl yo. Komèsan lekti evènman kle kalandriye nou yo pou semèn nan ta dwe sonje prediksyon yo, menm jan nenpòt devyasyon, ki soti nan ki prevwa pa ekonomis yo te vote, ka lakòz gwo mouvman pè lajan, tou depann de orè yo konsekan nan santiman ki te koze si done yo vini nan pi wo a, oswa anba atant.
The week begins Monday with a raft of PMIs, the first beginning with the HSBC China flash manufacturing PMI excepted to come in at 48.7. Europe’s flash manufacturing PMI is predicted to come in at 55.3, with services PMI anticipated to come in at 52.6. French flash services PMI is expected to print at 47.9. Germany’s flash manufacturing PMI is expected to come in at 55.8, Germany’s flash services PMI is anticipated to come in at 55.8. Germany’s central bank publishes its BUBA report. Later in the afternoon the flash manufacturing PMI for the USA is published.
Madi sees China’s conference board LEI published, later the RBA governor Lowe speaks, in the UK the Nationwide house price index is published, the German IFO business climate index is published, with an expected reading of 110.9. The UK’s CPI is published expected in at 1.7% year on year. The BBA mortgage approvals are predicted to come in at 50K for the last month. PPI for the UK is predicted to come in at 0.4% for the month, with RPI expected in at 2.7% year on year. HPI, house price inflation, is predicted to have increased by 5.7% year on year according to the ONS.
Balans komès Ewòp la prevwa ap vini nan € 13.9 milya pozitif pou mwa a. UK CBI reyalize lavant yo prevwa vini nan nan 30. Soti nan USA a ka Shilller endèks pri kay la pibliye, espere nan nan 13.3% ane sou ane, ak HPI mwa sou mwa espere nan nan 0.7%. Konfyans konsomatè nan USA a espere enprime nan 78.7. Nouvo lavant kay yo espere vini nan 447K. Endis fabrikasyon Richmond prevwa nan -1. Adjwen Gouvènè RBA Lowe a pale. Pita FOMC Plosser pale.
Mèkredi sees the RBA financial stability report published and the RBA Governor Stevens speaks. From Europe we receive the GFK German consumer confidence reading predicted to come in at 8.5. Italian retail sales are expected in at 0.4% up on the month. Core durable goods orders in the USA are expected to come in at 0.3% with durable goods orders predicted in up 1.1% month on month. Flash services PMI for the USA is predicted in at 54.2. The USA also publishes the results of the banking stress tests. The New Zealand trade balance is expected to come in at a positive $600 ml for the month.
Jedi witnesses the private loans data for Europe published expected in at 2.1% down. Retail sales for the UK are expected to come in at 0.5% up for the month, weekly unemployment claims in the USA are predicted in at 326K. FOMC member Pianalto speaks whilst the USA final GDP is published, expected in at 2.7% quarter on quarter. Pending home sales in the USA are anticipated to come in at 0.2% up on the month.
Depans nan kay la nan Japon prevwa yo te ogmante pa 0.3%, debaz Tokyo CPI pa 0.9% ak nasyonal debaz CPI pa 1.9%. Chomaj nan Japon espere enprime nan 3.7% ak lavant Yo Vann an Detay nan Japon espere yo te amelyore pa 3.6% ane sou ane.
Vandredi German CPI is anticipated to come in at 0.4% with import prices at 0.3%. The UK current account is expected to print at -$13.5 bn. Final GDP is expected to come in at 0.7% for the quarter. Index of services for the quarter in the UK is predicted to come in at 0.6%.
Detay depans pèsonèl yo pibliye nan USA a, espere nan nan 0.3% mwa nan mwa moute ak revni pèsonèl moute 0.4% mwa nan mwa. Inivèsite a revize nan Michigan endèks santiman konsomatè pibliye espere vini nan nan 80.6.
Analiz teknik detaye echanj potansyèl sou plizyè pè lajan pi gwo, endis ak negosyan
Swing / tandans komès analiz teknik nou an gen ladan lè l sèvi avèk endikatè sa yo ki fè yo tout kite sou anviwònman estanda yo, ak eksepsyon de liy yo stochastic ki fè yo ajiste a 10, 10, 5 nan yon tantativ 'rele soti' lekti fo. Tout analiz nou an fèt chak jou sèlman. Nou itilize: PSAR, bann Bollinger, DMI, MACD, ADX, RSI ak stochastics yo. Nou menm tou nou itilize kle mwayèn k ap deplase nan: 21, 50, 100, 200. Nou gade pou devlopman kle aksyon pri ak obsève kle manch / parèt nimewo wonn ak nivo psyche. Pou ba yo chak jou se metòd la Heikin Ashi pi pito.
EUR / USD finally broke to the downside on March 20th. Currently the price action is bearish, the last two HA daily candles are full bodied, closed with downward shadows; price has breached the lower Bollinger band, but is above the 200, 50 and 100 SMAs. The DMI is positive, but making lower highs, whilst the MACD is negative and making lower lows. PSAR is above price, RSI is at 49 with the ADX at 22. The stochastic lines have crossed and have exited the overbought territory. Traders short would be advised to stay so until several of the afore-mentioned indicators have reversed trend. Traders may wish to add to their positions should price approach the 200 SMA, above the critical round number of 13400.
O / USD broke to the upside on March 5th since which time the security has behaved in a volatile manner when judged on the daily time frame. However, the trend has remained bullish with PSAR below price, price breaching the main SMAs with the exception of the 200 SMA. Price had breached the upper Bollinger, but has now retraced back to the middle Bollinger. Friday’s HA candle was inconclusive taking on a similar appearance to a classic doji candle. Currently, when observed on the histogram visual, both the MACD and DMI are positive and making higher highs, the stochastic lines have yet to cross but are short of the overbought zone. The RSI is at 57 with the ADX at 15. Traders long would be advised to stay so until several of the afore-mentioned indicators exhibit bearish tendencies. Traders looking to close could (as a minimum) look towards the PSAR appearing above price as a reason to close the long trades.
USD / yèn broke to the downside on March 12th; however, traders must be on alert that the chart pattern has all the appearance of a security coiled to break to the upside. Currently PSAR is above price, price is above the 200 SMA. Both the DMI and MACD are positive and making higher highs, price has breached the middle Bollinger band. The stochastic lines are short of both the overbought and oversold area and have crossed to the downside. RSI is at 49 and the ADX is at 15. Traders short would be advised to proceed with caution given the mixed signals the indicators and price action is exhibiting.
DJIA la broke to the upside in the last daily session of the preceding week. Currently the PSAR is below price and positive, both the MACD and DMI are positive and making higher highs. The stochastic lines have crossed to the downside early in the month and are yet to reverse given the suddenness of the break to the upside. The RSI is at 52 with the ADX at 11. Price has breached the middle Bollinger and is above all the key SMAs. Traders long would be advised to make good use of trailing stops via the use of the PSAR given the current unpredictable nature of the markets and their inextricable link to the geo political tensions in the Ukraine area.
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