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One of the PIIGS is beginning to squeal, Portugal’s bond yields rise past the critical 7% yield to 8%.
Bond traders have been selling Portuguese debt this morning, in turn driving down its price and as a consequence pushing up the interest rate (yield) on the bonds. The yield was trading at below 6.5% on Monday morning, the yield on 10-year Portuguese debt this morning has now hit 8%, according to Tradeweb data. In layman’s terms it means that Portuguese debt is seen as increasingly risky. Historically the seven percent level is looked upon as a demarcation line in the sand; a tipping point that if crossed countries then struggle to pay back and to pay down their debt.
Portugal appears to be in a similar situation to Greece, in as much as the austerity measures have abjectly failed to produce any growth, instead heaping misery on sections of society. The damage has devastated Portuguese youth unemployment numbers – the public protests are growing in numbers and frustration levels daily. The Portuguese finance minister resigned on Monday in ‘protest’ at the failings of the austerity programme. It’s now being rumoured on the twitter ‘blogosphere’ that two other ministers may resign, thereafter the Eurozone could be looking at the crisis bringing down yet another government. The resulting effect on the Portuguese stock market has been dramatic, equities on the PSI are currently down 6.5% at the time of writing.
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PMI Ewopeyen ki te pibliye maten an pa Markit ekonomi yo te ankouraje
The UK’s latest service sector PMI has just been published and the figure is above the analysts’ expectations of 54.6. At 56.9, the UK service sector PMI was the highest witnessed since March 2011. Intriguingly this figure illustrates that the UK service sector is outperforming the eurozone economy and based on these numbers the UK economy probably grew by at least 0.5% in the second quarter. Many of the Eurozone service sector PMIs also reached recent highs, causing analysts and market commentators to consider that, despite the EZ still being mired in recession, the bottom may have been reached.
PMI kle yo
Iland: 53.2 - 5 mwa segondè
Almay: 50.4 - 3-mwa segondè
Espay: 48.1 - 24-mwa segondè
Lafrans: 47.4 -10-mwa segondè
Itali: 47.0 - 21-mwa segondè
Snapshot mache a 10:30 GMT (lè UK)
Gwo Endis Ewopeyen an
Malgre done pozitif PMI sektè sèvis ki soti nan Markit pou majorite nan pi gwo manm Eurozone yo ak UK a, pi gwo endis ekite Ewopeyen yo desann anpil nan mitan etap nan sesyon Lond la. Sitiyasyon Pòtigè a ak mank de pwogrè pandan Troika la vizite Atèn ap peze lou sou santiman mache aktyèl la.
Kòm deja mansyone PSI Pòtigè a desann 6.5%, UK FTSE a desann 1.55%, DAX a desann 1.92%, CAC a desann 1.84%, MIB desann 2.05% ak echanj Atèn yo desann pa 2.29%. Endèks STOXX Ewopeyen an desann 2.09%. Gade nan direksyon pou New York louvri fiti endèks ekite DJIA a kounye a pri 0.58% desann, sijere ke mache US la ap louvri desann.
Komodite; lwil oliv vyole $100 pa barik
Lwil oliv monte siyifikativman nan sesyon maten an kòm yon konsekans jeo-politik laperèz ke lit aktyèl la nan peyi Lejip la ta ka throttle rezèv nan Kanal Suez la, 2.24 milyon barik yon vwayaj nan Suez Mediterane Pipeline a dapre dènye enfòmasyon EIA. ICE WTI bit ogmante 1.37% nan 100.97 pou chak barik pandan y ap Brent brut ogmante 0.62% nan 104.65 yon barik. Comex lò ogmante 0.55% nan 1,250 pou chak ons. Ajan pri sou echanj Comex la ogmante 0.81% pri a 19.46 pou chak ons. Copper sou Comex monte 0.54% nan 3.16.
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Konsantre sou foreks
Kab te reyaji favorab pou PMI pozitif nan sektè sèvis UK a, sou yon baz intraday modèl la se optimis, pè lajan an te fè aksidan nan pivot chak jou ak vyole R1 sou lage nouvèl la. Sepandan, tou de tablo tandans chak jou ak chak semèn pou GBP / USD yo (jiskaprezan) pa afekte. Euro yo ap kondwi pi ba kòm yon konsekans sitiyasyon an Pòtigè, Euro yo te tonbe 0.4 pousan a $ 1.2931 nan sesyon an Lond apre dekline 0.7 pousan yè. Lajan 17 nasyon an pataje tou te glise 1 pousan a 129.28 Yen, pi gwo bès li depi 14 jen.
Yen strengthened 0.7 percent to 99.98 per dollar after depreciating to 100.86 yen, the weakest level seen since May 31st. The euro has climbed 4.6 percent so far this year, according to the Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Index which tracks the 10 most developed nations’ currencies. The dollar has gained 7 percent and the yen has slumped 8.6 percent.
Dola Aussie a te desann nan 90.70 santim ameriken nan sesyon Azyatik la, pi piti temwen depi septanm 2010, anvan komès 0.8 pousan pi ba nan 90.76. Li te refize 0.7 pousan a 91.39 Yen. Aussie a pèdi 0.5 pousan a NZ $ 1.1743 apre li te touche pi bonè NZ $ 1.1738, nivo ki pi fèb la temwen depi Desanm 2008.
Nouvèl Zeland lan, kiwi a, depresyasyon 0.3 pousan a 77.29 santim ameriken ak 0.2 pousan a 77.83 Yen.
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