Ua piʻi ka helu helu US kālā i kahi kiʻekiʻe ʻaʻole i ʻike maka ʻia mai ka mahina ʻo Iune 2017, hāʻule ʻo GBP / USD i ʻelua mau mahina haʻahaʻa, i ka hoʻi ʻana o nā pilikia Brexit.
Ma 20: 20 pm UK manawa i ka Pōʻalua ʻApelila 23rd, ka US index index, DXY, i kālepa ʻia ma 97.62, a piʻi i ka 0.34% o ka lā, a hiki i kahi kiʻekiʻe i ʻike ʻole ʻia mai Iune 2017, ʻoiai ua ʻike ʻo USD i kahi piʻi i nā wā kalepa hou. Ua loaʻa i ka US kālā ka loaʻa kālā nui a me ka hapanui o kona mau hoa, i nā wā kālepa o ka lā.
ʻO nā kumu o ka piʻi ʻana o ka waiwai o USD he ʻokoʻa; ʻo ka piʻi nui o ka aila WTI e hoʻokumu i ka piʻi like o ka waiwai o USD, ke wānana nei kekahi mau loiloi i ka ulu ʻana o ka GDP o USA e paʻi i nā mea i manaʻo ʻia ke paʻi ʻia ka ʻikepili ma ka Pōʻalima, ʻoiai ka ʻikepili kūʻai hale hou i paʻi ʻia no USA ma ka Poalua, ua ala aʻe e 4.5 % no Malaki, i hoʻokahi a me ka hapa makahiki ke kiʻekiʻe, ke kuʻi ʻana i ka manaʻolana o -2.7%.
Ke noʻonoʻo nei nā loiloi inā, ma muli o ka ʻikepili waiwai paʻa paʻa a me nā mākeke kaulike e hoʻokokoke ana i nā kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe, inā paha e noʻonoʻo ka FOMC / Fed i ka haʻalele ʻana i kā lākou kulekele kālā dovish a hoʻonui i ka helu ma luna o ka pae 2.5% o kēia manawa, i ka hapaha hope o 2019. Ua hoʻokokoke nā mākeke kaulike o US i nā kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe i ka wā o ke kau ʻo New York, ua pani ka SPX i ka 0.87% ma 2,933, he 7 wale nō mau helu pōkole o kāna kiʻekiʻena kiʻekiʻe. Ua pani ka ʻenehana ʻenehana NASDAQ i ka 1.25%, ma ka 8,155, he 20 wale nō mau helu pōkole o kahi kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe, ʻoiai ua hina ʻo Tesla i nā haʻahaʻa i hōʻike ʻole ʻia mai ka ʻOkakopa 2018, ʻoiai ua piʻi aʻe ʻo Twitter e ka 16%, ma muli o ka hoʻonui ʻia o nā loaʻa kālā a me nā mea hoʻohana.
Ma 20:30 pm, ua kūʻai aku ʻo USD / CHF i ka 0.50% hōʻiha R3, AUD / USD iho -0.58% hōʻino S3, USD / JPY kūʻai aku i lalo -0.10%. Ua hoʻomau ʻo WTI i kāna piʻi hou ʻana i hoʻokumu ʻia e ke aupuni Trump i hoʻoweliweli i nā mea lawe mai a pau o ka aila Iran me nā hoʻopaʻi, e like me ka mākeke nui loa o ʻIrana. Ma 20:40 pm ua kūʻai aku ʻo WTI ma $ 66.36 no ka barela, piʻi aʻe i 1.22%, ʻoiai ʻo XAU / USD (gula) i hāʻule e -0.37%, i $ 1,273 no ka auneke. Ua heʻe ka hoʻopiʻi hoʻopiʻi palekana a ka mea hao makamae, no ka mea, ua hoʻi mai ka makaʻu ma ka manaʻo mākeke, me ka hoʻopaʻi.
Ua hāʻule ʻo GBP / USD i kahi mahina ʻelua haʻahaʻa i ka wā o nā kau o ka lā, ma 20:50 pm ka pālua kālā nui i kapa ʻia he “kaula”, kūʻai ʻia ma 1.294, e hāʻawi ana i ke kūlana ma ka ʻau 1.300, ʻoiai ke kālepa ma lalo o ka 200 DMA, ma 1.296. Whipsawed ka mau ma ka laulā, e oscillating ana ma waena o ka loiloi mua a me nā kūlana bearish loa, i nā kau o ka lā. Ma hope o ka haki ʻana iā R3, hoʻohuli ʻia ke kumukūʻai me ka ikaika i ke kuhikuhi, e hoʻi i waena o ka pivot point i kēlā me kēia lā, e haki ma o S3.
ʻO ka hana a GBP / USD i ka Pōʻalua, he mea hoʻomanaʻo ia no nā mea kalepa FX, ua hoʻi hou ka volatility e pili pono ana i ka pilikia o Brexit. Ua puka aʻe ka nūhou ma ke awakea o ka Pōʻalua, ʻaʻole hiki i nā ʻaoʻao politika ʻelua o UK ke kiʻi i kahi noho e pili ana i ka bila huki kānāwai. ʻOiai ke kaua kīwila internecine i ka pāʻina Tory i hōʻea i nā kiʻekiʻe hou, ʻoiai ua hōʻike kekahi mau MP Tory i ko lākou manaʻo e haʻalele ʻo Theresa May, a i ʻole e koi ʻia e kū i kahi balota hilinaʻi hou. Ua pani ka UK FTSE iā 0.85% i ka lā, ua haki i ka ʻau o 7,500, ʻoiai ke kau nei i kahi mahina ʻeono.
Ua loaʻa i ka euro ka waiwai like i loko o nā kau kālepa o ka lā, ma 21:00 pm UK manawa EUR / USD kūʻai aku i lalo -0.33% ma 1.122, e hāʻule ana i ke kolu o ka pae o ke kākoʻo, S3, i hoʻokahi manawa i ke kau o New York, ua haki ke kumukūʻai i ka 1.120 pae. Ua kūʻai aku ʻo EUR / GBP kokoke i ka pā ma 0.863, ʻoiai ua kūʻai aku ʻo EUR / JPY i lalo -0.40%, haki ʻana iā S3 a hiki i kahi haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa o ka pule. ʻOi aku ka maikaʻi o ka hilinaʻi o nā mea kūʻai aku no ka Eurozone ma mua o ka wanana ma -7.9, eia naʻe, ua wikiwiki nā luna o EZ e kuhikuhi i ka heluhelu ʻana ma mua o ka awelika wā lōʻihi a kokoke i nā kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe.
ʻO nā hanana kalena waiwai nui o Pōʻakolu no ʻEulopa e pili ana i nā mea hou loa, nā ʻano like ʻole, Kelemania IFO nā manaʻo heluhelu, ua wānana ʻo Reuters i nā heluhelu ʻana he ʻekolu e waiho loli ʻole, ke paʻi ʻia ka ʻike ma 9:00 am UK manawa. E hoʻopuka pū ka ECB i kāna bulletin hoʻokele waiwai hou loa i ka manawa like, hiki i nā ʻikepili ʻelua ke hoʻopili i ka waiwai o ka euro a me nā ʻikepili nui EZ. Mai UK mai e hoʻokuʻu ʻia kahi moʻohelu hōʻaiʻē a ke aupuni ma 9:30 am UK manawa, ʻo ka mea nui loa ka ʻāpana hōʻaiʻē ʻupena lehulehu no Malaki.
Ma ka hola 15:00 pm UK ma ka Pōʻakolu, e hōʻike ʻia ana ka hoʻoholo hoʻoholo uku paneʻe hou loa mai ke kikowaena waena o Kanada, ka BOC. ʻO ka wānana Reuters no kahi paʻa ma 1.75% no ka helu ana. Ma ke ʻano maʻamau, e huli koke ka nānā ʻana i ka hoʻokuʻu nūhou e pili pū ana, a i ʻole kekahi ʻōlelo kulekele kālā, mai ke Kiaʻāina ʻo Stephen Poloz, e ʻike inā ua loli ka panakō waena i kāna kūlana politika i kēia manawa.
« ʻO ka kūleʻa i ke kālepa kūʻai FX he mea pili a pilikino ia. Kūleʻa ke kālā Aussie ma mua o kāna mau hoa, no ka mea, hāʻule nui ka hoʻonui kālā, ua hala nā ana o Kelemānia IFO i nā wanana, me ka hoʻohui ʻana i ka makaʻu e komo paha ʻo Kelemania i ka emi. »
