ʻO ka EUR / USD a me nā hopena o ka Spanish Bailout
I ka hopena pule, ua ʻae nā alakaʻi o ʻEulopa i kahi pūʻulu hoʻopakele no ka ʻāpana panakō Sepania. Hiki ke ʻike ʻia kahi kānana hohonu o kēia ʻaelike ma ka ʻāpana loaʻa paʻa o kēia hōʻike. Ua lele kiʻekiʻe ka euro i kēia kakahiaka a ke hoʻāʻo nei e loaʻa hou ka ʻaoʻao kūʻē 1.2625. Aia kekahi hopena maikaʻi ma nā mākeke kaulike ʻo ʻAsia i kēia kakahiaka. Eia naʻe, ʻaʻohe euphoria iki. Aia nō he nui o nā pilikia nui / kikoʻī e pono e hoʻoholo ʻia, a i ʻole ʻaʻole paʻi ʻia ma ka liʻiliʻi. Ua akāka hoʻi ʻaʻole kēia ka anuu nui i mua o kahi hui uniona me ke kuleana pili kālā no ka ʻāpana panakō (Spanish). Noho paʻa ʻo Sepania i ke kālā no ka fall-out mai kāna pilikia panakō. No laila, he mea maikaʻi ua loaʻa i kahi nui nui e mālama ai i ka ʻāpana panakō Sepania. Ma ka ʻaoʻao ʻē, aia nō ka nui o ka maopopo ʻole ma kekahi mau pilikia nui. ʻAʻole hoʻomaikaʻi ka hoʻolālā i ka ʻike ʻaiʻē o Sepania. Hoʻohui ʻia, i ka wā o ke koho balota Helene i ka hopena pule e hiki mai ana, e nui ana ka nui o nā kūkākūkā ʻana o nā mākeke e pili ana i nā ʻano āpau o ka contagion hiki. E pili ana kēia mau mea i Sepania, akā pili paha i nā mea like me ʻItalia.
Ma hope i kēia lā, aia wale nō ʻikepili ʻekahi ʻelua i ka kalena. No laila, e loaʻa i nā mākeke ka manawa āpau e noʻonoʻo ai i ka ʻaelike e kākoʻo i ka ʻāpana panakō Sepania. I kēia kakahiaka, ua koi maikaʻi ka euro a ke kālepa aku nei ka lua i ka ʻākau o ke kī 1.2625 / 42. Inā hōʻoia, he ST maikaʻi kēia no ke kālā hoʻokahi. Eia nō naʻe, ma ka hopena o ka laina ma waena o ka 'aniani e piha ana i ka hapalua' a i ʻole 'hapa hapa' e pili ana i nā pilikia EMU he lahilahi loa. No laila, ʻoiai e hōʻike ana ke kiʻi ʻenehana i nā hōʻailona e hōʻemi ana ke kaomi o EUR / USD, ʻaʻole mākou e makemake e hana i kahi huli nui ma kā mākou EUR / USD maikaʻi maikaʻi ʻole. Hoʻomaka mākou i ka pule me ka bias kūlike ʻole a nānā i ka hopena o ka mākeke ma hope o ka hala ʻana o ka hopena mua i ka ʻaelike. I ka ʻoiaʻiʻo, kānalua mākou e lilo kēia aelike i mea hoʻololi pāʻani maoli ma ke ala i kahi hopena o ka pilikia EMU hōʻaiʻē. Kūʻai paha ia i kekahi manawa no Sepania, akā he nui nā pilikia ʻē aʻe e pono e hoʻoponopono ʻia. E hoʻi hou ʻo Helene i nā kukui kukui. ʻO nā kikoʻī o ka hoʻolālā Sepania ke hōʻike ʻia lākou, a lawe paha i kekahi mea hōʻeha no nā mākeke. No laila i kēia manawa, ʻaʻole mākou e lele i kēia kuʻi hou o Euro.
I ʻelua mau pule i hala aku nei, aia hou ka pālua ma ka ʻāina ʻoi loa. I ka wā lohi, he kumu kūpono ʻole kēia no ke kūʻē kūʻē, akā ʻo ka hōʻike ʻilihune a nā US payrolls i hāʻawi ʻia i kumu no ka rebound loea i ka pule i hala. ʻO ka ʻaelike a EU e kākoʻo i ka ʻāpana panakō Sepania i kēia manawa e hoʻāʻo i kahi hōʻike o ka 1.2625 / 42 ʻāpana. ʻO ke kālepa paʻa ʻana ma ka ʻākau o kēia wahi kahi hōʻailona mua e emi ana ke kaomi. Ma ka haʻahaʻa, ʻo ka mahina ʻo Iune 2010 haʻahaʻa (1.1877) ka pae kiʻekiʻena kiʻekiʻe aʻe ma nā pakuhi ʻenehana. ʻIke ʻia ke kākoʻo waena ma ka haʻahaʻa o kēia makahiki (1.2288). I kēia manawa ke nānā nei mākou pehea ka hoʻāʻo o ka uku ʻāina 1.2625 / 42. ʻAʻole mākou makemake e hoʻohuli maikaʻi ma EUR / USD.
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