ʻO ka whipsaws Sterling ma kahi ākea a me nā hoa, no ka mea, hāʻawi ʻia kahi kuʻikahi Brexit e ke kuhina nui ʻo Mei i ka Parliament, ua piʻi aʻe nā helu helu US ma muli o ka pau ʻana o ka makaʻu kaua.
Ua haʻi aku ke kuhina nui o UK i kahi haʻiʻōlelo, e hāʻawi ana i kahi ʻaelike haʻalele hou (WA) i ka Hale Palemene, i ka Poalua. ʻO kahi haʻi ʻōlelo āna i hoʻohiki ai i nā hoʻomaikaʻi like ʻole, e loaʻa ka ʻaelike ma o ka House of Commons ma ke ʻano o ke koho balota, i ka pule mua o Iune. ʻO ke kumumanaʻo loa o ka hāʻawi hou ʻia, pili i ka manawa kūpono e loaʻa ai ka lua o ka referendum ma WA, inā ua koho ʻia kāna ʻaelike. Ma ke ʻano he hui kaulike ʻole o ka hana ʻeleʻele, ʻaʻahu ʻia me ka lālā ʻoliva maloʻo, ua kūleʻa kāna pāʻani. ʻAʻole i liʻuliʻu ka manawa o kāna kamaʻilio hōʻeuʻeu, kaumaha nui me ke kuko wahaheʻe, hāʻule pālahalaha i kona alo a huli ka hapa nui o kāna mau MP Tory iā ia. Ma kahi kokoke i nā MP a pau (mai nā ʻaoʻao āpau) i hōʻino iā ia no ka oportunism a me ka lola hope ʻole o ka dice, ma mua o kona haʻalele ʻana i kahi hilahila i Iulai.
No nā mea loiloi FX a me nā mea kālepa, ke ʻano o ka sterling i ka wā o ke awakea, ua hōʻoia hou ia (inā pono) e kipaku nā hanana i kā mākou mākeke a pehea e hana ai nā mākeke FX a ʻaʻole wānana. Hōʻike ʻia ka puke kākau GBP / USD, ka hana ʻana i ke kumu kūʻai whipsawing, ma kahi ākea ākea, i ka wā kūʻai o ke awakea I nā hola mua o ke kau kālepa Lākana-ʻEulopa, ua emi ke kumukūʻai ma o S2, e paʻi i kahi haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa o 1.268. Ua waiho ke kumukūʻai i kahi papa hana bearish price, a hiki i ka manawa a Mrs. May i haʻi ai i kāna kamaʻilio.
I ka nū ʻana o ka nūhou e pili ana i kāna hāʻawi referendum ʻelua, ua koho koke nā mea komo o ka mākeke FX i ka waiwai o ka sterling, me ka manaʻo he hiki ke koe i ka EU. Ua hoʻohuli ʻino ʻo GBP / USD i ka loli a haki iā R3, e piʻi nei e 0.70%, e paʻi i kahi kiʻekiʻe o 1.281 i kēlā me kēia lā, ma waena o kahi pālima manawa keu, ma hope o ka hoʻolaha ʻia ʻana o kāna hāʻawi. Eia nō naʻe, i ka hāʻule koke ʻana o ka MPs i ka hāʻawi, hāʻawi ʻo GBP / USD i nā loaʻa o ka lā e hoʻohuli kuhikuhi a ma ka 20:40 pm UK manawa i ka Pōʻalua, ua kūʻai aku ka lua nui ma 1.270, kokoke i S1 a i lalo -0.20% ma ka lā. ʻO ka mea maʻamau, ʻo kēia hanana nūhou haʻihaʻi ka mea i lanakila ma luna o ka hoʻokele waiwai kūkala nūhou UK / politika.
Eia nō naʻe, aia kekahi mau moʻolelo nūhou maikaʻi ʻole e hōʻike ana i ke kūlana pōpilikia o ka hoʻokele waiwai o UK, i ke alakaʻi a hiki i Brexit, i kōkua i ka hoʻoholo ʻana i ke ala o ka sterling ma mua o kā Mei haʻi ʻōlelo. Ua kūʻai hou ʻia ka British Steel hou, nā waiwai o ia mea (me ka ʻole o nā kuleana penihana) i kūʻai ʻia e kahi kālā pale mai TATA me ke kālā a ke aupuni UK, ua koi ʻia kahi laina ola he £ 120m mai ke aupuni o UK i ka pule i hala aku nei a ma ka Pōʻalua ua koi aku nā mea nona kekahi £ 30m. Inā ʻaʻole e hiki mai ka uku ma ke ahiahi Pōʻalua, hoʻoweliweli ia e pani i nā mea kanu, me ka lilo o nā hana he 25,000. ʻO kahi kaulahao hale ʻaina, i mua o ka mea kuke kaulana ʻo Jamie Oliver, i hele i ka Pōʻalua, me ka lilo o 1,500 mau hana a me 90 miliona mau ʻaiʻē. A ʻo ka CBI kūʻai aku / kauoha kauoha ninaninau ʻia i kahi dismal -10 paʻi no Mei, me ka wānana Reuters o -5, ka heluhelu haʻahaʻa i paʻi ʻia mai ka wā Great Recession.
ʻO ka Pōʻalua kahi lā mālie no nā hanana nūhou kalena hoʻokele waiwai mai USA, ua paʻi ʻia nā ʻike kūʻai home e kū nei; ua hala ka heluhelu ʻana i ka wānana o kahi piʻi o 2.7%, e hele mai ana ma -0.4% mahina i ka mahina no ʻApelila. Ua kau aku ke kālā US ma mua o ka hapa nui o kona mau hoa i ka wā kūʻai kālepa o ka Pōʻalua, ʻoiai ua pani ʻia nā hōʻike mākeke kaulike o US i ka lā. Ua paipai ʻia ka makaʻu ma ka naʻau ma muli o ka nele o nā ʻōlelo e hoʻolele ʻia ana, e pili ana i ke kaua kalepa, ua ʻimi ʻo USA me Kina. Ua hoʻomaka ʻo Huawei i kāna polokalamu Hoʻohanohano 20 hou loa loa loa ma ka Poalua; maikaʻi loa e like me ka iPhone hou loa, akā ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi o ka hapalua o ke kumukūʻai. ʻIke nō, ke kau ʻia nei ma ka papa inoa i pāpā ʻia i nehinei e Trump, ʻaʻole ia he manawa kūpono.
Ma 21:00 am UK manawa i ka Pōʻalua, ua kūʻai aku ka helu helu kālā, DXY, i ka 0.14% mālama i ke kūlana ma luna o ka 98.00 lawelawe ma 98.04. Ua kūʻai aku ʻo USD / JPY i ka 0.46% ma 110.56, no ka mea ua hōʻemi ʻia ka hoʻopiʻi hoʻopiʻi no yen, ua kūʻai aku ʻo USD / CHF iā 0.30% no kekahi kumu like. Kūʻai aku ʻo EUR / USD kokoke i ka pālahalaha, ma lalo o 0.06% ma 1.116, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka USD i ka lā i kū ʻole ʻia, e like me ka nawaliwali o ka euro, i hōʻike ʻia e ke kālā bloc hoʻokahi e hoʻopaʻa inoa ana i nā loaʻa me ka hapa nui o kāna mau hoa i ka lā. Ua kālepa aku ka EUR / GBP i ka 0.18% ma 0.878, ke kiʻekiʻena kiʻekiʻe i kau ʻia ma waena o Pepeluali. Ua pani ka SPX i ka 0.86% a ua pani ka ʻenehana kaumaha NASDAQ iā 1.03%.
He lā hana nui ka Pōʻakolu no nā hanana kalena hoʻokele waiwai a me ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana i ka ʻikepili, kahi e mākaʻikaʻi ai nā mea kālepa FX. Ma ka hola 8:30 o UK, ua hāʻawi ʻo Mario Draghi, ka Pelekikena o ka ECB, i kahi haʻiʻōlelo ma Frankfurt, hiki ke loli ākea ka ʻike o ia mea, e pili ana i nā hoʻoweliweli like ʻole a me nā pilikia a ka ʻāina EZ e ʻike nei. Ma hope, ma 9:30 am, paʻi ʻia ka pūʻulu hou loa o ka UK inflation data. ʻO ka mea i manaʻo ʻia, ma muli o ka wānana Reuters, no ka piʻi ʻana o ka UK nui CPI makahiki e heluhelu ana i ka 2.2% no ʻApelila, mai 1.9% i Malaki. Kuhi ʻia ka CPI o ʻApelila ma 0.7% no hoʻokahi mahina, ʻoi aku ka nui ma mua o ka helu maʻamau o 0.00-0.02%, i hoʻopaʻa inoa ʻia no UK ma nā makahiki i hala iho nei. Hiki i ka Sterling ke pane i nā heluhelu inā hoʻokō ʻia nā wānana, inā hoʻoliʻiliʻi nā mea hoʻopukapuka a me nā mea kālepa FX i ka BoE e hoʻonui i ka uku paneʻe kumu mai 0.75%, ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo mua ʻia. E paʻi ʻia nā helu ʻaiʻē aupuni he nui no ka UK e ka ONS, kahi piʻi nui o ka hōʻaiʻē e manaʻo ʻia ana.
Ma ke ahiahi ahiahi, ma ka hola 19:00 pm UK, e paʻi ʻia nā minuke mai ka lā hope loa o Mei 1st, ka kulekele kālā FOMC a me ka hālāwai hoʻonohonoho helu. ʻO kahi hanana i hiki ke hoʻoneʻe i ka waiwai o USD, inā loaʻa ka pūʻiwa i ka moʻolelo i loko o ka palapala, e like me; nā alakaʻi i mua e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻohuli i ke kulekele kālā, mai dovish a i hawkish.
« Ke kūkulu nei i kahi hoʻolālā kālepa FX maʻalahi, lohi a ʻoiaʻiʻo, ʻāpana. Kākau inoa ʻo Yen i nā loaʻa liʻiliʻi a me nā hoa e like me nā ʻike kālepa i nā hoʻomaikaʻi, hoʻomau ʻo sterling i kāna hāʻule pili Brexit, ʻoiai ke kali nei nā mea kālā i nā minuke hālāwai FOMC. »
