Hiki i ka Desperation ke alakaʻi i ka Inspiration?
Ua paʻi ʻia nā helu no ka hana ʻole ma USA ma ka Pōʻalima. ʻO ka helu o nā ʻAmelika e waiho nei i nā hoʻopiʻi no nā pono hana ʻole i hoʻololi iki ʻia mai ka pule i hala. Ua hōʻemi nā noi no ka uku hana ʻinikua hana ʻole i ka 1,000 i ka pule i pau iā ʻOkakopa 8th a i ka 404,000, hōʻike ʻia nā helu o ka ʻOihana Hana. Ua wānana nā economists i nā koi 405,000 e like me ka median estimation i kahi ana Bloomberg News. ʻO ka heluna USA ma kahi o 308 miliona a ulu aʻe ma kahi o 30 miliona i loko o nā makahiki he 75 i hala. Ma kahi o 18% ma mua o 231 mau makahiki. Mai loko mai o kahi heluna kanaka o 1000 miliona mau mākua i manaʻo ʻia he 'nūhou maikaʻi' i kēia lā ʻo ia wale nō kahi palena palena iki XNUMX i noi ʻia no ka pono o ka hana ʻole ma mua o ka mahina i hala.
Aia nō he 404,000 mau koi hou i hana ʻia i ka pule i hala aku nei akā ua hiki i ka pāpāho mainstream ke pīhoihoi e ka hāʻule ʻana o 0.247% e hōʻike nei i kēia nūhou a me nā hoʻomaikaʻi palena ʻole ʻē aʻe i ka wā kalepa e 0.4%, ma ke ʻano he hōʻailona e hoʻomaikaʻi ana ka hoʻokele waiwai. Ua nalowale ka hoʻokele waiwai USA ma kahi o 10.5 miliona mau ʻoihana pilikino mai ka makahiki 2008, ua hoʻokumu nā ʻano mea like ʻole i 2 miliona mau hana. Kuhi no ka stimulus huina, ke noʻonoʻo nei i nā bailout āpau, nā hoʻopakele a me QE, manaʻo e pili ana. $ 3.27 trillion i hana ʻia / hoʻolilo ʻia mai ka makahiki 2008 a ua kau kekahi mau mea haʻi ʻōlelo i ke kumukūʻai ma kēlā me kēia hana i hoʻokumu ʻia e nā stimuli ma kahi o $ 280,000 no kēlā me kēia hana.
ʻO ka naʻauao i loaʻa e hana ka USA i ka wahi o 265,000 mau hana i kēlā me kēia mahina e kū mālie, no ka mea e hāʻule ka helu o ka hana ʻole mai 9.1% a kokoke i 5%. No laila inā ʻaʻole hiki i ka USA ke hana i nā hana hou aʻe ma o ka ʻoihana pilikino (e uku no ka hemahema he ʻumi miliona nalo mai ka makahiki 2008) pehea e hiki ai i kahi stimulus ke lawe i mua ma kahi kālā no kēlā me kēia hana.
ʻO ke āpau ākea ma waena o ka poʻe waiwai a ʻilihune loa o US e hoʻololi hou nei i ka hoʻokele waiwai US, aia i waho ka ʻōmole mai ka ʻōmole. Haʻalele ʻole ʻia, ʻo ke ʻano i ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka like ʻole hiki ke lūlū i ka paʻa o ka nohona. Mai ka makahiki 1980, approx. Ua neʻe aku ka 5 pākēneka o ka loaʻa kālā makahiki mai ka papa waena i nā ʻohana waiwai nui o ka lāhui. ʻO nā ʻohana 5,934 ʻoi loa o ka waiwai ma 2010 i loaʻa he $ 650 biliona hou aʻe, ma kahi o $ 109 miliona pakahi, ma mua o ka mea a lākou e loaʻa ai inā ua hoʻokaʻawale ʻia ka 'pie hoʻokele waiwai' e like me ia ma 1980, e like me ka ʻike o ka Census Bureau. E puka mai paha ka hoʻohoihoi mai ka hopohopo? ʻOiai ʻaʻole hiki i ka USA ke hoʻomau i kāna ala hele o kēia manawa. Hoʻomaka wale ka neʻe ʻana o ka Noho ma ʻō i ka lepo o ka mea maoli e waiho ana ma lalo.
Ke kū nei a i ʻole Stagflation?
ʻO ke kū ʻana ʻoi paha ka ʻoi loa o nā ʻoihana nui loa o ka honua i hiki ke manaʻolana no ka makahiki e hiki mai ana, me nā mea he nui e kū ana i kahi manawa nui o ke kūleʻa ʻana, e like me kahi hōʻike Reuters o 350 mau economists i hōʻike ʻia i ka Pōʻahā. He mea hoʻohoka nui ʻo 2011 no nā hoʻokele waiwai waiwai o ka honua i ulu, nā mea i hoʻopili ʻia e ka hui pū ʻana o; austerity, nā pilikia hōʻaiʻē a me nā pōʻino kūlohelohe.
Kākoʻo ʻia e nā helu kālepa nāwaliwali o ka Pōʻahā mai Kina, e kuhikuhi ana i ka nāwaliwali o ka hoʻokele waiwai o ka honua, e hōʻike ana i ka ninaninau hapahā ʻo ʻOkakopa i ka ulu ʻana o ka nāwaliwali i nā ʻoihana G7 he nui i hiki ke hoʻonui ʻia i ka makahiki aʻe a i ʻole. Ua wānana ʻia ka hoʻokele waiwai o ka honua i ka 3.8 pakeneka ma 2011, a he 3.6 pakeneka wale nō i ka makahiki e hiki mai ana ma ka hoʻohālikelike ʻana i ka 4.1 pakeneka a me ka 4.3 pakeneka wanana mai ka helu makahiki i hala o Iulai.
ʻEulopa
Ma kahi iki, liu ʻia e (ke nānā pono ʻia a wili nui ʻia), ke puka nei ka nūhou maikaʻi ʻole e pili ana i ka palapala nui i lalo e ʻeha ana nā panakō ʻEulopa i hiki ai ke hoʻokō i ke kumumanaʻo i ʻōlelo ʻia ma ke ʻano he papahana nui. Wahi a Bloomberg nūhou e hoʻomākaukau nā panakū Kelemania iā lākou iho no nā pohō a hiki i ka 60 pākēneka ma kā lākou kuleana Helene aupuni. Ua kāhea nā panakō o ka ʻāina i kahi kāhea kūkākūkā i kēia pule, ua kūkākūkā ka poʻe komo i ka hiki ke lilo i nā palapala Helene ma waena o 50 pākēneka a 60 pākēneka.
Me ka balota "ʻae" i kēia manawa i loko o ka ʻeke mai Slovakia ʻo Van Rompuy a me Barroso i hoʻolaha ai e holo pono ana ka € 440 biliona EFSF, he aha nā hana a lākou e hana ai i mea e loaʻa ai kēlā kālā i ka mea i koho ʻia € 2-3 trillion he mea hoihoi paha ka Eurozone e ʻike maka ai i ka wehe ʻana. ʻO ka € 440 biliona e lawa ana e uhi i ka paʻamau o Helene.
Fitch Loaʻa iā Fidgety
Lawe ʻo Fitch i kahi scythe i kekahi mau helu hōʻaiʻē o nā panakō i ke ahiahi Pōʻahā nei, e kau ana i nā mea kiaʻi make ma ka wā e hoʻohewa nei i kekahi poʻe ʻē aʻe i kā lākou keʻena ma kahi kahawai wai make. Ua hoʻohaʻahaʻa ʻo Fitch Ratings iā UBS i ka Pōʻahā a hoʻonoho ʻia i ʻehiku mau US a me nā panakō ʻEulopa ma ka wati kiaʻi maikaʻi ʻole, e hōʻike ana i nā pilikia i ka hoʻokele waiwai a me nā mākeke kālā, a me ka hopena o nā lula hou. Ua hoʻohaʻahaʻa ke keʻena helu i ka loiloi paʻamau o ka mea hāʻawi manawa lōʻihi a UBS iā A mai A +.
Ke nānā nei hoʻi ʻo Fitch i nā loiloi no Barclays Bank Plc, BNP Paribas, Credit Suisse Group AG, Deutsche Bank AG, Societe Generale, Bank of America Corp, Morgan Stanley a me Goldman Sachs Group no nā hoʻoliʻiliʻi hou aʻe. ʻO nā ʻoki i ka hapanui o nā manawa he hoʻokahi notch, no kekahi mau notch ʻelua. Ma mua o ka Pōʻahā, hoʻohaʻahaʻa ʻo Fitch i kāna helu helu ma Royal Bank o Scotland a me Lloyds Banking Group PLC.
kanaka
Ua hāʻule nā waihona, hoʻokū i ka hālāwai ʻoi loa ʻo Standard & Poor's 500 Index ma luna o ʻehiku mau lā mai ka 2009, ma hope o ka emi ʻana o kā JPMorgan Chase & Co. loaʻa i waena o nā hopohopo no ka piʻi ʻana o ka waiwai i ka manaʻolana e pili ana i ka pilikia ʻaiʻē o ʻEulopa. Paheʻe nā huahana a hōʻiliʻili ʻia nā Waihona. Ua heʻe ka S&P 500 i ka 0.3 pakeneka ma ka hola 4 o ka hola ʻo New York, me ka hoʻi ʻana mai ka 1.4 pakeneka. Ua hōʻike ʻo JPMorgan i ka 33 pākēneka e emi ana ka uku, ke kāpae ʻia nei kahi $ 1.9 biliona kālā hoʻopōmaikaʻi, ʻoiai ke emi ʻana o ka loaʻa kālā hoʻopukapuka. Ua hāʻule nui nā mākeke ʻEulopa ma muli o ka hopohopo no ka likelika a me ka solvency o nā panakō. Ua pani ka STOXX i ka 1.67%, ka FTSE i lalo o 0.71%, ka CAC 1.33% a ua hoʻopaʻa ka DAX i ka 1.33%. ka bourse Italia, pani ka MIB i ka 3.71%, nā pilikia a Unicredit a me kahi koho balota o ka hilinaʻi ʻole no ke aupuni o Berlusconi e kaupaona nui nei i ka papa kuhikuhi i hāʻule e nā makahiki he 24.8% o ka makahiki.
ʻO nā hoʻokuʻu hoʻokele e hiki ke hoʻopili i ka manaʻo i ke kakahiaka Lādana a me ke kau ʻEulopa me kēia mau mea;
10:00 Eurozone - CPI Kepakemapa
10:00 Eurozone - Ke kaulike kaulike ʻAukake
Hōʻike kahi noiʻi Bloomberg o nā mea kālailai i kahi wānana waena o 3.0% makahiki i ka makahiki no ka helu kumukūʻai o nā mea kūʻai mai hoʻololi ʻole ʻia mai ka helu mua. ʻO 1.5% ka helu o ka 'core' i wānana ʻia ma mua o kēia. ʻO ka mahina ma ka mahina ka manaʻo he 1.2% mai 0.8% ma mua.
« Pono ka US Senate e noiʻi iā Yin Yang a haʻalele i ka pāʻani ʻana iā Ping Pong Inā hāʻule kahi kumulāʻau i ka nahele a ʻaʻohe mea e puni e hoʻolohe iā ia, kani paha ia? »
