KAPALAKIKI ROLL MORNING
Hōʻike ka hōʻike COT i ka hōʻemi hou ʻana o ka USA dollar bullishness, ʻoiai ka ʻikepili PMI no ʻEulopa a me ko UK UK GDP kuhi manaʻo ke kumu o nā hanana nūhou nui no ka pule.
Hāʻawi ka hōʻike COT i kahi meahana maikaʻi loa i ka barometer wā lōʻihi o ka manaʻo e pili ana i nā hoa kālā nui. Hoʻopuka ʻia i kēlā me kēia Pōʻalima he waiwai mau nā mea kālepa kālā e makaʻala nei i kēia hōʻike ma mua o ka noʻonoʻo ʻana i kekahi piʻo, a i ʻole nā kūleʻa kūlana e kūʻē i nā kaʻi e kū nei.
ʻO ka hōʻike Commitment of Traders (COT), i hoʻokuʻu ʻia e ka Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) i ka Pōʻalima, ua hōʻike ʻo ka hoʻomau ʻana o nā kālepa a me nā loiloi kālā e hoʻemi i kā lākou pili pili no ka US kālā.
ʻO nā kālepa nui o ka wā e hiki mai ana, nā pale pale a me nā speculate nui, nā kūlana lōʻihi ma ke kālā he USA he $ 14.99b ma ka Poalua Pepeluali 14th, e like me ka ʻike CFTC. ʻO kēia kahi hoʻemi hebedoma o $ -2.08 biliona, mai ka $ 17.07b i hoʻopaʻa inoa ʻia i ka pule i hala, e pili ana i ka huina helu o nā ʻaelike US kālā me nā ʻaelike i hui pū ʻia o: euro, sterling, yen, Aussie dollar, Canadian dollar and the Swissie
Ua hoʻohaʻahaʻa nā specologists i kā lākou USA kūlana bullish kūlana no ke ono o ka pule ma ke kaʻina, e hōʻike ana i ka pae haʻahaʻa i ʻike ʻia mai ka lā 11 ʻOkakopa. Aia ke kūlana dollar ma lalo o ka + $ 20 biliona kūlana no ke kolu o ka pule ma ke kaʻina, ma hope o ka noho ʻana ma luna o ka pae o $ 20 biliona no ʻumikūmākolu mau pule a hiki i Ianuali 24th.
ʻO nā kālā i ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi me ka US kālā: yen (3,776 hoʻololi i kēlā me kēia pule i nā ʻaelike), Swissie (3,137 aelike), Cad dālā (10,790 aelike), Aussie (7,470 aelike) a me Kiwi (1,031 aelike).
Hoʻomaka mālie ka kalena hoʻokele waiwai o kēia pule i ka USA ʻo ka lā pelekikena lā hoʻomaha lā ma ka Pōʻakahi. Ma hope o ka pule ua paʻi ʻia nā minuke FOMC, a me ka raft o ka ʻike PMI o ʻEulopa a me USA a me ka helu ʻelua a UK o ka hapahā GDP.
ʻO ka ʻikepili UK ma muli o ka kalena o kēia pule e pili ana i ka CBI ʻ Orderlelo Hoʻolaha Polokalamu a me ka hōʻaiʻē Net Sector Public Ma ka Pōʻakahi ua wānana ʻia ka ʻike CBI me ka heluhelu ʻana o 5. Ma ka Pōʻahā nā ʻae ʻia ka molaki mai ka hui panakō o UK, e manaʻo ʻia e hōʻike i kahi hāʻule iki i 41.9k, no ka mahina o Ianuali
ʻO ka ʻikepili kū no ka hoʻokele waiwai o UK i loko o ka hebedoma hiki ke lilo i ka ʻenehana hōʻaiʻē ʻāpana lehulehu i paʻi ʻia ma ka Pōʻalua, i wānana ʻia e neʻe i ke koena o -14.5b no ka mahina o Ianuali. E kamaʻilio ke kiaʻāina BoE ʻo Mark Carney i ka pālepa o UK ma hope koke iho.
E nānā pono ʻia ka ʻike GDP o UK i ka Pōʻakolu, ʻo ia ka helu ʻelua no ka hapahā o 2016, no ka loli ʻole ka mea i manaʻo ʻia, mai ka heluhelu mua o 0.6%.
E paʻi ʻia nā minuke FOMC mai ka hālāwai pili kulekele Federal Reserve i ka Pōʻakolu. ʻOiai ke kālailai ʻia e nā mea hoʻopukapuka a me nā mea haʻi ʻōlelo mākeke, ua hoʻolaha ʻia ka ʻike e Janet Yellen (ka luna o ka Fed) i mua o nā luna kānāwai o USA i kēlā pule aku nei e hāʻawi i kāna hōʻike semi makahiki. No laila ʻaʻole loa ia e hiki ʻole ke ʻike ʻia kekahi mea hou ʻole: e hōʻike ʻia nā nūhou, nā hoʻokō ʻana, a me nā ʻikepili.
Nui ka nui o ka ʻike PMI Markit i paʻi ʻia i kēia pule no: ka Eurozone a me USA. He mau heluhelu uila kēia no Pepeluali, me nā ana a pau i paʻi ʻia ma ka Poalua. E nānā pono ʻia ka hōʻike PMI o Pepeluali Eurozone. Ua loli ka PMI hui ʻana o Ianuali mai ka 54.4 o Kēkēmapa, ka heluhelu kiʻekiʻe loa i loko o ʻelima mau makahiki. I ka USA hana PMI wanana e hele mai ma 55.2, me PMI lawelawe i koho ʻia ma 55.8, nā hoʻomaikaʻi iki mai nā heluhelu mua.
ʻO ka RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia), hoʻopuka i kāna mau minuke hālāwai kūkā kālā e pili ana i nā minuke mai ka hālāwai o Pepeluali i ka Pōʻalua, ʻo ka hope loa ka mālama ʻana i ka uku paneʻe ma 1.50%. ʻO ka ʻōlelo e pili pū ana me ka hoʻolaha kulekele e hōʻike ana he ʻaʻohe manaʻo iki o ke kōmike kulekele kālā e hoʻonui i nā uku i ka wā waena. E ʻimi ana nā mea hoʻopukapuka i nā minuke e hoʻoholo ai i kahi manaʻo o ka hōʻemi ʻana o ka helu i ka wā pōkole.
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