Manaʻo ka hakahaka; Hoʻolaha Session ʻo Lākana Pre New York's Open
Ke moemoeā nei mākou e puka ana paha ʻo ʻEulopa i ka recession?
I loko o kā mākou Mahele o ka Laina ʻatikala o kēia kakahiaka ua hoʻokūkū mākou i ka mea nui o ka nānā pono ʻana i nā paʻi ʻikepili PMI Markit Economics a pehea e hiki ai iā lākou ke hoʻohuli i ka manaʻo o ka mākeke, keu hoʻi inā he nui o nā puke pākahi e pili ana i ka hana ʻEulopa a me ka ʻoihana lawelawe i hoʻohuli i ke au, hele ka laina waena 50 a hele mai i ka maikaʻi.
ʻO ka ʻikepili PMI ʻEulopa ka mea e paipai maoli nei, e hāʻawi ana i kahi tonic mākeke e pono ai ma hope o ka 'flash' ʻikepili PMI Kina, me ka ʻoluʻolu a HSBC i hui pū ʻia me Markit, kahi i hōʻike ai i ka ʻumikūmākahi mahina haʻahaʻa. Ua heleleʻi ka flash HSBC / Markit Purchasing Managers 'Index no ke kolu o ka mahina aʻe, i ka heluhelu ʻana o 47.7, mai ka hōʻoia ʻana o Iune i 48.2. E like me nā hōʻike diffusion he heluhelu ma lalo o 50 e hōʻike nei ua hāʻule ka hana.
ʻO Hongbin Qu, ka luna ʻenehana ʻo Kina o HSBC:
"ʻO ka heluhelu haʻahaʻa o ka Hōkū HSBC Flash China Manufacturing PMI e hōʻike ana i ka lohi mau o nā ʻāpana hana mahalo i nā kauoha hou nāwaliwali a me ka wikiwiki wikiwiki. Hoʻohui kēia i nā kaomi hou aku i ka mākeke hana."
E hoʻi i nā nūhou maikaʻi e pili ana i nā PMI no ʻEulopa a ʻo Palani a me Kelemania ke kumu nui o ka nānā…
Me he mea lā ʻaʻole ʻo ka wikiwiki nui o ka minster kālā Palani me kāna hoʻoholo ʻana ua hala ʻole ka ʻoihana ʻelua o ʻEulopa i kēia manawa. Ua hōʻike ʻo Markit ua piʻi ka PMI ʻāpana Palani i 48.8, mai ka mahina o Iune 47.4, he ʻumikūmāhiku mahina kēia kiʻekiʻe i kēia manawa e hōʻike ana i ka ʻāpana pilikino i emi iki a me ka palena lohi i nā mahina he ʻumikūmāhiku. ʻO ka ʻāpana hana o Palani, me kahi PMI o 49.8 (mai 48.4 i Iune), kokoke e kūleʻa i ka laina waena o 50 (e hōʻike ana i ka ulu ʻana), kahi kiʻekiʻe he 17 mahina, ʻoiai ke hoʻomaikaʻi ʻia ka ʻoihana ma 48.2 mai 47.2. Ua hōʻike ʻo Markit i kēlā;
"Ua hōʻike ka poʻe lawelawe i ka hāʻule lohi o ka ʻoihana poʻokela, ʻoiai nā mea hana i hōʻike i ka piʻi ʻana no ka manawa mua mai ʻApelila 2012. ʻO ka nui o ka hoʻokahe ʻana i ka hana ma ka ʻaoʻao pilikino Palani i hoʻonui ʻia i Iulai. ʻO ka hāʻule hope loa o nā limahana limahana ka lohi i 15. mahina. Ua hōʻailona nā mea lawelawe a me nā mea hana i nā hōʻemi nāwaliwali i ka hana.
"Ua neʻe kokoke ka hana ma ka ʻāpana pilikino Palani i ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana i ka hoʻomaka o ka hapaha ʻekolu. Ua hōʻailona maoli nā mea hana i ka piʻi ʻana o ka huahana no ka manawa mua ma kahi o hoʻokahi a me ka hapalua makahiki, ʻoiai nā mea lawelawe i hoʻopaʻa inoa i kahi emi haʻahaʻa o ka hana. . "
E ʻike i kāu hiki me kahi moʻomeheu hoʻomaʻamaʻa manuahi & ʻaʻohe pilikia
Kaomi aku e koi i kāu moʻokāki i kēia manawa!
ʻO ka ʻikepili Kelemania i paʻi ʻia e ka ʻoluʻolu a Markit, ua like ka hoʻoikaika ʻana. Ua kau aku ka ʻohana pilikino Kelemania i kāna pae kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe i loko o ʻelima mau mahina. Ua piʻi ka pae PMI Flash Kelemānia i 52.8, mai ka 50.4 o Iune, ʻo kēia ka pae kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe i ʻike ʻia mai ka lā Pepeluali 2013. Ua hoʻi ka ulu o ka hale hana ʻo Kelemania i ka ulu, ua pae ka pae waena 50 ma 50.3 a me 48.6 Iune. Ua ulu ka PMI mahele lawelawe o Germany mai 52.5, mai 50.4. Ua haʻi ʻo Tim Moore, ka mea kālailai ma Markit;
"Hoʻonohonoho ka hoʻi ʻana i ka ulu ʻoihana hou i kahi kani maikaʻi i ka hoʻomaka o ka hapaha ʻekolu a me ka rebound i nā helu hana e hoʻohui i ka lewa o ka positivity i nā kiʻi hou loa. ʻO ka hana ʻoi aku ka ikaika o ka ʻoihana pilikino Kelemania i Iulai e ʻike ʻia e ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻia o ka ʻoihana kūloko a me ka hoʻolilo kālā ʻana o nā mea kūʻai. Eia kekahi, ua kuhikuhi nā mea hana i nā hiʻohiʻona koi kiʻekiʻe mai ka ʻoihana autos a ma waena o nā mea kūʻai mai i ka ʻāpana kūkulu hale, i kōkua i ka hoʻomau ʻana i ka nāwaliwali i nā mākeke kūwaho nui. "
Ma ka ʻikepili ʻEulopa holoʻokoʻa, hāʻawi ʻia e ka papa kuhikuhi puka PMI o ka lua o Markit, ua kū i kona kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe ma luna o 18 mau mahina. Ua piʻi aʻe ka piʻi i 50.4, mai 48.7 i Iune, ka manawa mua ua haki ia ma luna o ka pae 50.0 mai Ianuali 2012. Ua hōʻike ʻo Markit ua hāʻule iki nā kauoha hou, ʻoiai ua emi nā nalowale hana.
Ma ke ʻano maʻamau ua paipai kēia mau paʻi ʻike maikaʻi mai Markit i nā bourses ʻEulopa e ala aʻe i ke kau kālepa kakahiaka. E huli ana ka noʻonoʻo i ka ʻike USA USA - ka PMI hana uila, me ka lana o ka manaʻo ʻo USA pū kekahi ma kahi ala ulu ulu.
Pono e loaʻa kahi leka akahele e pili ana i nā helu PMI hoʻouluulu o ʻEulopa?
Kū i waho nā pilikia ʻelua. ʻO ka mea mua ke lana nei ka manaʻo ma luna o nā paʻi he nui e hāʻule mau ana ma lalo o ke kanalima mark, e hōʻike ana i ka ulu ʻana ma luna o ka contraction. I nā manawa he nui ke hōʻike nei mākou ua lohi ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa a ke lohi nei ka 'hōʻemi ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai', hiki ke ʻōlelo ʻia e maikaʻi wale ana ʻo ʻEulopa. ʻOiai ka pololei a me ka hilinaʻi o kā Markit ʻikepili ʻaʻole ia ka ʻikepili 'kūhelu'. E ʻimi ana nā loiloi i nā puka kūhelu, e like me Eurostat, e hōʻailona i ka manawa i ka wā i puka aku ai ʻo ʻEulopa i ka recession.
E ʻike i kāu hiki me kahi moʻomeheu hoʻomaʻamaʻa manuahi & ʻaʻohe pilikia
Kaomi aku e koi i kāu moʻokāki i kēia manawa!
ʻO ka lua pono mākou e ʻike i kahi alahele e kiʻi ai nā paʻi kiʻi i 47-49 e hoʻomaka i ka rubicon o 50 i loko o nā mahina e hiki mai ana, a laila hiki iā mākou ke hoʻomaka e noʻonoʻo i ka mea i manaʻo ʻia he hiki ʻole ma mua o Pepeluali-Malaki; ke kolo nei ʻo ka Eurozone a me ʻEulopa ākea ma waho o ke kūleʻa i huki ʻia i loko no nā makahiki he nui.
Nānā i ka mākeke ma 10:45 UK manawa
I ke kau pō / kakahiaka kakahiaka ʻAsia-pacific kau ʻana ua hoʻopaʻa ʻo Nikkei i ka 0.32%, pani ʻia ka Hang Seng 0.24% ʻoiai ua pani ka CSI i ka 0.36%.
Aia ma UK i kēia manawa ʻo 42 FTSE a i ʻole 0.62%. Ua piʻi aʻe ka helu helu French CAC ma 0.78%, piʻi ka DAX ma 0.5%, piʻi ka IBEX i 0.78%, ʻoiai e piʻi ana ka papa inoa STOXX me 0.75%.
Ke nānā nei i nā kumukūʻai huahana i lalo ke gula i lalo o 0.29% ma $ 1341 no ka auneke. Ua iho ka aila WTI e 0.08% ma $ 107.14 no ka barela, ʻoiai e iho ʻia ana ke kinoea NYMEX e 0.67% ma $ 3.72.
Forex kālele ana
Ua kūʻē aku ka lāhui he ʻumikūmāhiku o ʻEulopa i ke kālā me ka ʻaneʻane o kāna mau hoa kalepa nui ma muli o nā index index o nā mana kūʻai maikaʻi a ʻEulopa. Ua hāʻule ka dālā Aussie no ka manawa mua i nā kau kalepa ʻehā i hala aku nei me ka counterpart o ka US ma muli o ka ʻikepili e hōʻike ana i ka hōʻemi ʻana o ka hana ʻana ma Kina, ʻo ia ka mea kalepa ʻoihana nui loa ʻo Australia a me kahi huakaʻi nui i lawe aku ai.
Ua piʻi ka euro he 0.1 pakeneka i $ 1.323 i ke kau Lādana, ma hope o ka hōʻea ʻana i $ 1.3255, ke kiʻekiʻena kiʻekiʻe i ʻike maka ʻia mai Iune 20. Ua piʻi aʻe ke kālā o ʻEulopa i ka 0.8 pakeneka a i ka 132.49 yen, e piʻi ana i kahi kiʻekiʻe he ʻelua mahina o 132.61 yen. Ua piʻi ka Greenback 0.7 pakeneka i 100.10 yen. Ua hāʻule ke kālā o Australia i ka 0.9 pakeneka a i ka 92.13 keneta US. Ua hōʻea i nā keneta 89.99 US ma Iulai 12th, ka pae haʻahaʻa loa i ʻike ʻia ma kahi kokoke i ʻekolu mau makahiki, i iho mai kahi kiʻekiʻe 2013 $ 1.0599 ma Ianuali 10.
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