Nānā Mākeke Mei 30 2012
Ua kālepa aku nā ʻoihana i ʻoi aku i kēia lā, me nā mākeke ʻo US a me Kanada e ʻākoakoa ana ma ka nūhou e hiki ai iā Kina ke hana i ka stimulus fiscal stimulus. ʻOiai ua hōʻuluʻulu ʻia nā waihona metala ʻoihana me nā paʻakikī metala kumu, ua hāʻule nā waihona gula e 2.4% a hāʻule ke gula 1.7%. Ua alakaʻi nā hui ʻoihana i ke ala i ka US, me ka ʻenehana ʻenehana ʻenehana e mahalo nei iā 1.9% ʻoiai ka S & P 500 i piʻi aʻe e 0.87%. I ka pōkole, ke holo nei ke kālepa 'Kina' i kēia lā ma ka liʻiliʻi e pili ana i nā mākeke kaulike ma Kanada a me ka US e pili ana.
ʻOiai e kū ana nā waihona, ʻaʻole i iho ka US kālā: ke kālepa nei ka helu helu US kālā ma kāna pae kiʻekiʻe loa mai Kepakemapa i hala. Ua haki ka Euro ma lalo o ka pae honua ʻo 1.25 EURUSD a noho ma laila no ka hapa nui o ke awakea ma mua o ka hoʻi hou ʻana i ka pae 1.25 ma ka hopena. Hoʻomau ka EURUSD e hana i nā haʻahaʻa intraday hou no 2012. He aha ka mea hōʻeha i kēia lā? Me he mea lā ʻaʻole makaʻu ka hoʻoweliweli politika ma Helene ma hope o ke koho balota o Iune 17 - a me ka hemo ʻana paha mai ka Euro - ua hoʻomau ka hoʻouna ʻana o ka ʻōnaehana panakō Sepania i nā hōʻailona weliweli. E hōʻea ana nā mākeke me nā pilikia e pili ana i ka bailout o Sepania o kāna ʻāpana kālā: koi ke kapikala no ka bailout o kahi panakō nui hoʻokahi, ʻo ia ka hopena o ka hui ʻana o nā panakō liʻiliʻi i hāʻule ʻole, nui (manaʻo ʻia ma € 19bn - ʻo ia ka 1.7% o ko Sepania 2011 makahiki GDP).
Eia nō naʻe, koi ʻia ka ʻoki kālā nui i kahi manawa i noho ai ʻo Sepania, e ʻōlelo ai i ke Kuhina Nui o Sepania ʻo Mariano Rajoy, "he paʻakikī loa ke kālā iā ia iho." Ua pālahalaha ka pālaha Paniolo i kēia lā, me nā hua i ka 2-makahiki ma o ka 5 mau makahiki e piʻi aʻe ana ma kahi o 5bps ʻoiai ka piʻina o ka piko i piʻi maʻamau. Ua hōʻole ka helu kuhikuhi IBEX o benchmark ʻoiai ua piʻi ka hapanui o nā helu ʻē aʻe, a ua hoʻokahe ka mea mālama kālā iā 2.98% i kēia lā.
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Kālā Euro:
EURUSD (1.24.69) Ua hina ka euro, kokoke i kahi haʻahaʻa ʻelua mau makahiki i hala iho nei i ka Pōʻakolu, ua hōʻeha ʻia e ka hopohopo e pili ana i ka uku nui ʻana o Sepania i nā kumukūʻai hōʻaiʻē a me nā mea i manaʻo ʻia e pono ai ka hoʻonui kālā e kākoʻo i kāna panakō maʻi.
ʻO ke kumukūʻai o ke aupuni Sepania he 10 mau makahiki i loaʻa i kahi kiʻekiʻe he ʻeono mahina kiʻekiʻe i ka Pōʻalua, me ke kūʻai lilo aku i ka hōʻaiʻē o ka ʻāina no ka hoʻoulu ʻana i kā lākou uku pānaʻi ma nā wahi palekana Kelemania i nā kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe o ka euro i kēia pule a pau me Sepania. Ke kamaʻilio nei kēlā me kēia e pili ana iā Sepania, e kau ana i nā pilikia o Helene ma ka mea hoʻā hope.
ʻO ka Paona Pelekane Nui
GBPUSD (1.5615) Ua kūpaʻa ʻo Sterling i ka Poalua, noho palupalu ana i ka tālā ʻo ka hopohopo e pili ana i ka ʻāpana pēpē palupalu o Sepania i mālama i nā mea hoʻopukapuka hopohopo i ka makaʻu ʻana.
Ua kākoʻo ʻia me ke kūʻē ʻana i ka euro, ʻaʻole mamao loa ia mai 3-1 / 2 mau makahiki i hala aku nei ma muli o ke kahe mai nā mea hoʻopukapuka e ʻimi nei i ka palekana mai nā pilikia ma ka ʻāpana euro.
Akā hiki i nā loaʻa ke lilo i ka mahu inā ulu nā mea i manaʻo ʻia e hōʻoluʻolu paha ka Bank of England i ke kulekele kālā e kākoʻo i ka hoʻokele waiwai holo.
ʻAʻole i pane iki ka paona i kahi ana i hōʻike ʻole ʻia e hōʻike ana i ka kūʻai aku o nā kūʻai aku Pelekane i lele i Mei, me nā ʻikepili o ka pule i hala e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻokele waiwai UK ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia i ka hapaha mua e kaupaona nei i ka manaʻo.
ʻĀkia –Kālā Kūʻai
USDJPY (79.46) Ua hina ka euro i lalo o $ 1.24572 ma ke kahua kūʻai EBS, kona pae haʻahaʻa mai Iulai 2010. Ua iho ka 0.3 pakeneka ma lalo o 1.2467 pakeneka mai ka hopena o ke kālepa US ma ka Poalua ma $ XNUMX.
Kūʻē i ka yen, kuʻu ka euro i ka 0.4 pakeneka a i ka 99.03 yen, kokoke i kahi haʻahaʻa ʻehā mau mahina o 98.942 yen i kū i ka Pōʻalua.
Gold
Gula (1549.65) ua kū i ka Pōʻakolu i ka hoʻomau ʻana o nā mea hoʻopukapuka e huhū e pili ana i ka pilikia o ka hōʻaiʻē o ka ʻāpana euro me nā kumukūʻai hōʻaiʻē Sepania e piʻi nei i nā pae unsustainable, e hoʻokū nei i ka euro i kahi pae haʻahaʻa i aneane ʻelua mau makahiki.
Hui Oil
ʻAila ʻAila (90.36) Ua hāʻule nā kumukūʻai ʻaila i kēia lā ma ka ʻaiʻē o Sepania a me nā pōpilikia o ka panakō, ʻoiai ua uhi ʻia nā poho e ka manaʻolana o ka haunaele i nā lako o ka Hikina Waena i hoʻokumu ʻia e nā haunaele ma luna o Iran, i ʻōlelo nā mea kālepa. ʻO ka ʻaelike nui a NūIoka, ʻo West Texas Interudeate crude no ka lawe ʻana i Iulai i hoʻoliʻiliʻi he 18 keneta ma USD 90.68 i ka barela.
Ua ʻae ʻo Iran a me nā mana honua e hui hou i kēia mahina aʻe e hoʻāʻo e hōʻoluʻolu i ke kū lōʻihi ma luna o kāna hana nukelea me ka loaʻa ʻole o ka holomua ma nā kamaʻilio ma Baghdad e pili ana i ka hoʻoponopono ʻana i nā mea nui a kā lākou paio.
Aia ma ka puʻuwai ka koi ʻana o ʻIrana i ka pono e hoʻonui i ka uranium a pono e hāpai ʻia ka hoʻopaʻi waiwai ma mua o ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana i nā hana e hiki ai ke hoʻokō i ka hiki ke hoʻomohala i nā mea kaua nuklea.
