Nānā Mākeke Mei 10 2012
ʻIkepili Waiwai no Mei 10 2012
Ua lahilahi ka papa inoa ma ka pule holoʻokoʻa; hoʻomaka i kēia lā me nā helu hana ʻole ʻo Australia a me ka hana ʻana o Kina a me ke kaulike ʻana o ke kālepa a hoʻomau i Iapana no ka ʻike helu a me ke kaulike kaulike. Ma ʻEulopa, e ʻike mākou i ka nui o ka ʻikepili e hele mai ana mai UK me ka hoʻoholo hoʻoholo helu a ka Bank of England.
Ma kahi o ka US e loaʻa iā mākou nā helu hana ʻole a me nā helu kālepa.
Kālā Euro
EURUSD (1.2950) Nawaliwali ka Euro, ua nalowale kokoke i 0.2% e kūʻē i ka USD, akā ke kālepa mau nei i loko o ka wā i hala. Palupalu nā mākeke hoʻopaʻa, me nā hua i Italia, Sepania, Pokukala, Palani a me Helene e neʻe kiʻekiʻe aʻe ana. ʻO ka haki ma lalo o 1.2955 he mea hoʻohoka ia no nā bipi EUR ma kahi kaiaulu kahi e huli wikiwiki nei i ka hapa nui o nā mea kalaiwa. ʻO nā poʻomanaʻo i kākoʻo iā EUR ytd ma luna o nā pae i manaʻo nui ʻia e komo pū me: nā kahe hoʻihoʻi, ECB me ke kulekele Fed a me ka hiki no QE3 a ʻo ka hopena ka waiwai i hoʻopili ʻia ma Kelemania. Manaʻo mākou e kaupaona ka haunaele o kēia manawa ma EUR, akā mai manaʻo i ka hāʻule ʻana a e nānā iā ia e hele i 1.25 i ka hopena o ka makahiki.
Kuhi ʻia nā poʻomanaʻo i ka hiki ʻole paha o Helene e hana i kahi hui a kūkulu i nā mea e manaʻo ʻia e loaʻa ana kekahi koho balota ma Iune 10 a ʻo ka pilikia nui e lilo i lālā ma waena o ka EMU. ʻO kēia ʻano kānalua paha ka maikaʻi ʻole o ka EUR, ʻoiai ʻo kahi puka hope e luku ʻia i ka poʻe o Helene, akā maikaʻi paha no EUR. Aia kekahi hale headwinds ʻē aʻe, e like me ka referendum Mei 31 Irish a me ka hālāwai e hiki mai ana ʻo Hollande / Merkel i ka lā 16 o Mei e ukali ʻia e nā loli aupuni Palani.
ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o ka pilikia ʻEulopa he maikaʻi ʻole ia no ka ulu ʻana o ʻEulopa, akā e like me ka pakuhi lalo ma ka ʻaoʻao 1 e hōʻike nei he hopena maikaʻi ʻole ka ulu honua. Ma kahi memo ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi, ua hoʻokuʻu aku ʻo Kelemania i kahi koena kalepa i manaʻo ʻia, a ua piʻi aʻe i ka 17.4bn a ua piʻi aʻe i kahi kiʻekiʻe ke kiʻekiʻe. Ua hili ka hemahema o ke kālepa Palani i € 5.7; eia naʻe ua hele mai kahi hoʻololi i kahi kulu o nā mea kūʻai aku ʻelua a me nā lawe mai, e hōʻike ana i ka nāwaliwali o ka hoʻokele waiwai ma lalo.
ʻO ka Paona Sterling
GBPUSD (1.6138) Lawe mai kēia lā iā mākou i ka hoʻoholo hoʻoholo kulekele, kahi e manaʻo ai ka MPC e waiho i nā helu ʻelua a me ka papahana kūʻai waiwai ʻole i loli. ʻO kahi palena kiʻekiʻe o ka hoʻonui kālā no UK ke kau palena nei i ka hiki i ka BoE ke hāʻawi i ka kulekele kālā maʻalahi. E like me ia, e kakali nā lālā o ka mākeke no ka hoʻokuʻu ʻia ʻana o nā minuke BoE ma Mei 23rd no nā kikoʻī e pili ana i ka nānā ʻana o nā mea hana politika i loko o kahi kūlana waiwai e hoʻomau nei e hoʻomau nei ʻo GBPUSD i ka wā e lele ana ʻo EURGBP me kāna mau haʻahaʻa.
ʻĀkia –Kālā Kūʻai
USDJPY (79.69) Ke hoʻomau nei ka hoʻoikaika ʻana o ka yen ma muli o ka hoʻonui ʻia ʻana o ka hōʻole i ka makaʻu, ke piʻi aʻe nei he 0.2% mai ka hopena o nehinei. Hoʻohui ʻia, ʻoi aku ka ikaika o ke alakaʻi ʻana a me nā hōʻailona hōʻailona e hōʻike ana i ke kūpaʻa i ka hoʻokele waiwai Kepanī. Hoʻokuʻu wale ʻia, kālepa a me nā helu helu o kēia manawa, kāhāhā nā mākeke e hiki mai ana ma luna o ka wānana. ʻOiai hoʻohoka hou ʻia nā ʻike Kina.
Gold
Gula (1694.75) Ua heʻe ke gula i kēia lā, ma hope o kahi mega rally i ka US kālā ʻoiai ke nānā aku nei nā mea hoʻopukapuka o ka honua i ka loli i ka pelekikena Pelekane a me kahi kūʻai aku i nā mākeke honua i lawe i ka metala melemele. Ua piʻi ka US kālā i kāna kiʻekiʻe he ʻehā mahina e kūʻē i ka Euro i kēia lā, ma hope o ka hōʻole ʻana o ka poʻe koho balota ʻEulopa i nā moho pro-austerity i nā koho balota o ka hopena pule. Ua hāʻule ke gula i ka hebedoma i hala a ua lilo nā pohō o kēia lā i kahi pōkole pōkole ma hope o ka ʻike ʻia ʻana o kahi ʻikepili o nā uku pānaʻi ʻole ma ka Pōʻalima. Ua koho nā poʻe koho balota Farani i pelekikena hou mai ka pāʻina Socialist, ʻo Hollande nāna e hoʻolālā e hoʻohuli i ka mana o ke aupuni o kēia manawa i ka austerity i ka pane ʻana i ka wā kūʻē o ka hōʻaiʻē mōʻī lōʻihi o ʻEulopa. I kēia manawa, hoʻopaʻi ka poʻe koho balota ma kā Helene balota i nā ʻaoʻao pro-bailout o ka ʻāina, e hōʻole ana iā lākou ka hapa nui i ka pāremata.
Hui Oil
ʻAila ʻAila (96.81) Ua hōʻole ʻia nā kumukūʻai ʻaila ʻaila ʻo Nymex e ka 0.7 pakeneka ma hope o ka manaʻo e piʻi aʻe ana i nā inventories aila ʻaila o US. Hoʻohui ʻia, ua hoʻokau nui ʻia ka helu helu kālā ʻoi aku ka ikaika a me nā hopohopo e pili ana i ka pilikia o ka ʻaiʻē ʻo Euro Zone. Hoʻopili kaʻaila ʻaila i kahi haʻahaʻa intra-lā o $ 96.19 / bbl a kau ʻia ma $ 96.31 / bbl.
Ua ʻōlelo ʻia e ka US EIA i loko o kā lākou hōʻike hebedoma ua piʻi aʻe nā waihona ʻaila ʻaila o US e 3.7 miliona mau barela i ka pule i pau i ka lā Mei 4, ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia no ka hoʻonui he 1.97 miliona. Ua piʻi aʻe nā lako ʻaila US e 2.84 miliona mau barela i ka pule i hala. Ua hele mai ke kumu kūʻai aila mai ka haʻahaʻa mai ka wā i puhi ai nā mākeke i ke kaniʻuhū ʻana i ka hōʻike a ke aupuni ma hope o kekahi lā ma hope o ka American Petroleum Institute, kahi hui ʻoihana, i ʻōlelo ai ua piʻi ka nui o nā papa inoa o nā US ma 7.78 miliona mau barela i ka pule i hala. ʻO ka nui o nā inventories ʻaila ʻaila o US i kū ma 379.5 miliona mau barela a ʻo ka pule i hala, ke kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe mai ʻAukake 1980, e hōʻike ana i ka makaʻu no ka lohi o ka noi aila mai ka US.
Ma ka hope o ka hoʻonui ʻana i nā hopohopo e pili ana i ka palena ʻāina hōʻaiʻē ʻo Euro Zone me nā manaʻo mākeke nāwaliwali, e kakali i ka ikaika nui e kālepa haʻahaʻa. Hoʻohui ʻia, e hana kekahi dālā ikaika ma ke ʻano he kumu maikaʻi ʻole no nā kumukūʻai. E kakali i nā kumukūʻai aila ʻaila e kūʻai aku me kahi bias maikaʻi ʻole ma muli o ka piʻi ʻana o nā inventories aila ʻaila US me ka ikaika i ka papa kuhikuhi US kālā.
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