Ua piʻi ka GBP / USD i ka lima 1.40, piʻi ka euro i ka ikaika o ka paipai ʻana i ka ʻikepili manaʻo, piʻi ʻo SPX i kahi kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe, piʻi ka aila ma o $ 64 i ka barela.
Ua piʻi aʻe ka paona UK ma o ka pae 1.400 me ke kālā US ma ka Poalua, ua kū ʻo GBP / USD i ka lima koʻikoʻi no ka manawa mua ma hope o ke koho ʻia ʻana o ka hoʻoholo referendum Brexit i Iune 2016. I ke kālepa kalepa hope ʻana o ke kālā kālā, i kapa ʻia he kaula , e kālepa ana ma lalo pono o ka intraday Lehigh ma 1.400, a kokoke. 0.2% i ka lā. Ua mahalo ʻo Sterling ma mua o ka hapa nui o kona mau hoa i nā lā a me nā pule i hala iho nei, ma muli o ka piʻi ʻana o ka optimism e ʻike ana ʻo UK i kahi Brexit palupalu, ma nā ʻōlelo hoʻokele maikaʻi. Eia nō naʻe, pono e lawe i ka piʻi a me USD i loko o ka pōʻaiapili o kahi hebedoma nui loa o USD, ʻaʻole pono ka paona ikaika, aia nō ʻo EUR / GBP ma kahi o 16% ma luna o ka pae o ka referendum mua.
Ma kahi wili hoʻohenehene, e pili ana i ka pilina o UK me ka European Union, ua kōkua ʻo kahi rebate £ 1.2b mai ka EU i ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana no ka waihona kālā lehulehu o UK ma Kekemapa. Ua hōʻike nā helu kūhelu i ka hōʻaiʻē ʻāpana lehulehu lehulehu i hāʻule i £ 2.6bn, ka heluhelu haʻahaʻa o Kekemapa ma hope o 2000, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi ma mua o ka wānana. Ua hoʻonui ʻia ke kālā lehulehu e nā loaʻa kālā VAT, piʻi aʻe ma 4.9% a i £ 12.3bn e like me ka Office for National Statistics. ʻO ka hōʻaiʻē no ka makahiki kālā a hiki i kēia lā (mai ʻApelila i ka makahiki i hala) i kū ma £ 50bn, ʻo ia ka approx. 12% haʻahaʻa ma mua o ka manawa like i hoʻokahi makahiki ma mua. ʻO ka kino kalepa UK ʻo CBI pū kekahi me ka paipai ʻana i ka ʻikepili palupalu e pili ana i ka optimism ʻoihana; ke piʻi nei mai -11 a 13 i Ianuali, ua hoʻokau nā kauoha CBI i ka hele ʻana i 14 ma mua o 12, me nā kumukūʻai kūʻai CBI e piʻi nei i 40 mai 23, hiki i ka ʻikepili ke kūʻai aku ke hōʻike i ka piʻi ʻana o RPI, i nā mahina e hiki mai ana.
ʻO ka ʻikepili o ka ʻikepili euro i hāʻawi ʻia e ZEW maikaʻi no ka hoʻokele waiwai o ka bloc area hoʻokahi; ua piʻi ka hanana Kelemania i kēia manawa i 95.2, ua nānā ʻia nā mea i manaʻo ʻia no Kelemania i 20.4 a ua loaʻa ka manaʻo hoʻokele waiwai Eurozone ma 31.8. Hoʻohui ʻia i ka holomua ma luna o ka hui ʻana o Kelemania ma waena o ka CDU a me SDP, a me ka hilinaʻi o nā mea kūʻai aku ma kahi o ka euro e piʻi nei i ka 1.3, ke kuʻi nei i ka mea i manaʻo ʻia he 0.6, ua kōkua ka manaʻo holoʻokoʻa i ka piʻi ʻana o ka euro me kekahi o kāna mau hoa; ʻO EUR / USD e hōʻea ana i R2 i ka wā kūʻai ʻoihana ʻo New York. Ua piʻi aʻe ka helu helu DAX o Kelemania e 0.71% i ka lā, e hoʻonohonoho ana i kahi kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe.
Ua ala ʻo Yen i nā wā kālepa o ka lā, ma muli o ka BOJ mālama ʻana i ka uku ma -0.10% a me ka panakō kikowaena e hoʻolālā nei i ka 1.4% ulu no ka makahiki makahiki e hoʻomaka ana i ʻApelila. ʻO kekahi mau ʻōkuhi hoʻokele waiwai no Iapana i hala i nā wānana; ʻaʻole i hoʻololi ʻia nā kauoha mīkini ma 38.3% ulu, me ka hāʻule nui ʻana o nā kūʻai aku o Tokyo a me Tokyo. Ua lanakila ka papa kuhikuhi hana na hana a pau no Nowemapa i ka wanana; e hele mai ana ma 1.0%, ma mua o ka wanana 0.8% a kuʻi i ka heluhelu ʻana o ʻOkakopa 0.6%. Ua ala aʻe ʻo USD / JPY ma kahi o approx. 0.5%, ka pae kiʻekiʻe ma kahi o ʻelima mau mahina.
Ua lahilahi ka nūhou kalena hoʻokele waiwai o USA ma ka honua i ka wā o ka Pōʻalua, hoʻomaka ke kau kālā i kēia mahina a ʻaʻole hiki i nā huahelu o kēia makahiki ke hōʻike i ka papahana hoʻoponopono ʻauhau a Trump. Eia nō naʻe, ke nānā nei nā mea loiloi i nā loaʻa kālā e hoʻokumu inā ʻo ka manaʻolana o nā ʻokiʻoki ʻauhau i alakaʻi ʻia i ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka hana ʻoihana a me ka hoʻopukapuka kālā ʻana mai nā ʻoihana nui i USA. Ua hina ka helu helu kālā e ka circa 0.2% i ka lā, ua piʻi ka SPX e 0.22%, ua piʻi ka aila WTI ma o R2 a hiki i kahi intraday YoY kiʻekiʻe o 64.73, ʻoiai ua haki ke gula i ka ʻau 1,340, ke kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe i kū mai Sepatemaba 2017.
USDOLLAR.
Ua hāʻule ʻo USD / JPY i kahi pae i ʻike maka ʻole ʻia mai ka waenakonu o Kepakemapa 2017, ʻo ka lua o ke kālā nui i whipsawed i ka ʻĀkia a me ke kakahiaka kakahiaka, e hāʻule ana ma o S1, e piʻi ana ma o ka PP o kēlā me kēia lā, a laila loaʻa ka hana kumukūʻai i loko o kahi pae bearish a me kahi kahawai i wehewehe ʻia. kaomi ʻana i lalo ma o S1 e hoʻokokoke i S2, e pani ana i ka lā ma kahi o 0.5%. Ua piʻi aʻe ʻo USD / CHF ma luna o ka PP o kēlā me kēia lā i ka hapa mua o ke kau ʻEulopa, a laila huli a hāʻule ma waena o nā pae mua ʻelua o ke kākoʻo, e hoʻopau ana i ka lā ma kahi o 0.5% ma 0.957, like me USD / JPY hāʻule ka pālua i kahi pae i ʻike ʻole ʻia mai Kepakemapa. Whipsawed ʻo USD / CAD i kahi lewa hoʻomaka mua a laila hoʻohuli kuhikuhi e hoʻopau i ka lā kokoke i S1, e iho ana i ka 0.3% o ka lā ma 1.242.
Euro.
Ua kūʻai aku ʻo EUR / GBP i kahi pae liʻiliʻi loa o ka circa 0.2% i ka lā, e pani ana i kahi pā kokoke i ka PP o kēlā me kēia lā ma 0.878. Whipsawed ʻo EUR / USD ma o nā kumu bearish i hoʻomaka mua ʻia, e hāʻule ana i S1, a laila huli i ke ala, a pani ʻia i ka 0.6% o ka lā kokoke i R2 ma 1.229, e hoʻonohonoho ana i kahi kiʻekiʻe he ʻekolu mau makahiki. Ua kūʻai aku ʻo EUR / CHF i kahi pae paʻa me kahi bias i lalo, aia nō naʻe i nā kiʻekiʻe i ʻike ʻole ʻia mai Ianuali 2015, ua pani ka paʻa kālā i ka lā ma kahi kokoke i ka PP, pālahalaha i ka lā ma 1.117.
KE KULA.
Ua hina mua ʻo GBP / USD ma o ka PP o kēlā me kēia lā, a laila hoʻohuli i ke kuhikuhi, pani ʻana i ka circa 0.2% ma 1.400, aia ke kaula kiʻekiʻe i kēia manawa mai Iune 2016. Ua hina mua ʻo GBP / JPY ma o ka pae mua o ke kākoʻo ma S1, i a laila hoʻihoʻi hou, ma lalo o 0.2% o ka lā ma kahi o. 154.3.
gula.
Ua kū ʻo XAU / USD ma o R1, e hāʻule hou i loko o ka PP o kēlā me kēia lā, a laila loaʻa hou ka momentum bullish e pani i ka 1,340 circa, ma luna o R2 a piʻi i ka 0.6% o ka lā. ʻO ke kumukūʻai gula i nā kālā i kēia manawa ma kahi o ʻelima mau mahina ke kiʻekiʻe.
NĀ KUMU EPAUʻI SNAPSHOT NO IANUARI 23.
- Ua pani ʻo DJIA i ka 0.01%.
- Ua pani ʻo SPX i ka 0.22%.
- Ua pani ʻia ʻo FTSE 100 i 0.21%.
- Ua pani ʻo DAX i ka 0.71%.
- Ua pani ʻo CAC iā 0.12%.
NA MEA HANA KALAKA EKELEIA NO 24 IANUARI.
- EUR. ʻO Markit / BME Kelemānia Composite PMI (JAN P).
- EUR. ʻO Markit Eurozone Composite PMI (JAN P).
- GBP. Loaʻa ka loaʻa hebedoma ex Bonus (3M / YoY) (NOV).
- GBP. Ka helu o ka hana ʻole ILO 3Mths (NOV).
- USD. Markit US Composite PMI (JAN P).
- NZD. Palapala Kūʻai Mea kūʻai (YoY) (4Q).
« ʻO ka Swiss National Bank (SNB) ma ke ʻano he ʻoihana kālepa FX maikaʻi loa ma ka honua E kau ʻo Focus ma luna o Mario Draghi i ka Pōʻalima, ke hāʻawi ʻo ia i kahi ʻōlelo e pili ana i ka kulekele kālā o ka ECB, ma hope o ka hōʻike ʻia ʻana o ka hoʻoholo o ka uku paneʻe. »
