Forex Roundup: Nā lula kālā ʻoiai nā Slides
Ma ka Pōʻalima, e nānā pono nā mea hoʻopukapuka i nā mākeke pili honua i ka wā e piʻi mau ana nā hua. Ma hope o ka hālāwai ʻAsia, e hoʻokuʻu ʻo Australia i kāna ʻikepili kālepa no ʻAukake. Ma ka Pōʻalima, e hoʻolaha ka US i kāna hōʻike hoʻopiʻi hana ʻole i kēlā me kēia pule.
Ma ka Poaha, ʻOkakopa 5, eia kāu e ʻike ai:
Ma mua o ka hoʻomaka ʻana i kahi hoʻihoʻi, ua hōʻea nā hua paʻa i ka US a me ʻEulopa i nā pae i ʻike ʻole ʻia i nā makahiki. Ma UK, ua hōʻea ka 30 makahiki i ka 5%, ma Germany, ua hōʻea i 3% no ka manawa mua mai 2011, a ua piʻi ka 10-makahiki Treasury i 4.88%. I ka wā e hiki mai ana, e hoʻomau ka poʻe kālā i ka nānā pono ʻana i ka mākeke paʻa no ka mea he mea nui ia i nā mākeke kālā.
Ua manaʻo ʻia ua hoʻonui ʻia nā uku pilikino e 89,000 i Kepakemapa, ma lalo o ka ʻikepili mākeke o 153,000, e hōʻailona ana i ka pae haʻahaʻa loa mai Ianuali 2021, e like me ka Automatic Data Processing (ADP). Aia nā hōʻike ua nāwaliwali ka mākeke hana, akā hiki i nā hōʻike ʻē aʻe ke hāʻawi i ka hōʻoia. Ua hōʻole ka ISM Services PMI mai 54.5 a i 53.6 i Kepakemapa e like me nā manaʻo.
Luna Hoʻokele waiwai, ADP Nela Richardson:
Ke ʻike nei kā mākou mākeke hana i ka emi nui o kēia mahina, ʻoiai ke emi mau nei kā mākou uku.
Ma muli o ka hōʻike ʻana o ka ADP palupalu, ua hoʻihoʻi hou ʻia nā paʻa, akā ʻo ka ʻikepili US ma ka Pōʻalima me Jobless Claims a me ka Pōʻalima me Nonfarm Payrolls hiki ke hoʻoulu hou i nā loaʻa USD a hoʻonui i ka volatility market bond.
ʻOiai ka lele ʻana o ka Poalua. USD / JPY noho paʻa ma kahi o 149.00. I ka piʻi ʻana o ka lua ma luna o 150.00, ua komo paha nā luna o Iapana. I ka manawa like, ua hoʻomaka ka US Dollar e hoʻihoʻi i kona piʻi ʻana mai kahi kokoke i 11 mau mahina kiʻekiʻe. Aia kekahi mau kumu hoʻohālikelike, e like me ka hōʻike ʻana o ka US ADP i nehinei a me ka hoʻokō ʻana o ka ʻoihana lawelawe US, e manaʻo ana e noʻonoʻo hou ka Fed i ka piʻi ʻana o ka uku pānaʻi. I ka pane ʻana, ua palupalu nā hōʻaiʻē kālā a ka US Treasury, e koi hou ana i ke kālā.
He nui nā luna Fed, akā naʻe, ke hoʻopaʻapaʻa nei e pono e hoʻihoʻi ʻia ka inflation i 2% ma ka hoʻomau ʻana i nā hoʻoponopono kulekele. Ua hōʻoia ʻia ua hoʻoikaika ʻia ka manaʻo o ka hoʻomau mau ʻana i nā kumukūʻai kiʻekiʻe e ka manaʻo o ka mākeke ākea e hiki ke piʻi hou i kēia makahiki. Pono ka poʻe kālepa e makaʻala i ka wā e lawe ai i kahi kūpaʻa bearish ikaika ma USD / JPY no ka mea hiki i kēia backdrop ke hoʻonui i nā hua paʻa US a me ka USD.
Me ka nawaliwali o ke dala US, EUR / USD lele i 1.0525 a piʻi i kēlā me kēia lā. Ua hāʻule ka Eurozone Retail Sales e 1.2% i ʻAukake a ua emi iho ka Producer Price Index (PPI) e 0.6%, e like me nā manaʻo o ka mākeke.
Aia ka ʻikepili kālepa Kelemania i ka Pōʻalima. Ma muli o ka manaʻo paʻa ʻole o ka European Central Bank (ECB) ʻaʻole e piʻi i nā kumukūʻai, ʻaʻole kūpono nā ʻōlelo mai nā waihona waihona.
ʻOiai ke emi mau nei ke au, ʻo ka GBP / USD ʻO ka lā maikaʻi loa i loko o hoʻokahi mahina, e piʻi ana mai nā haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa ʻeono mahina ma 1.2030 a ma kahi o 1.2150.
I ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumu kūʻai, ʻo ka Ame ka / USD Ua piʻi ke kumukūʻai kūʻai, e paʻa ana ma luna o 0.6300. Pono ka breakout ma luna o 0.6360 no ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa i ke kaomi bearish. E hoʻokuʻu ʻia ka ʻikepili kālepa Australia i ka Pōʻalima.
Ua manaʻo ʻia e mālama ka Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) i kāna helu ma 5.5%. Manaʻo nā manaʻo o ka mākeke e hiki ke piʻi i ka helu ma Nowemapa 29 ma hope o nā wānana macro hou a me kahi hālāwai kūkā. ʻOiai e hāʻule ana i Sepatemaba haʻahaʻa ma 0.5870, NZD / USD ua ola hou, hoʻopau i ka lā ma kahi o 0.5930.
Ma muli o ka hāʻule nui ʻana o nā kumukūʻai aila maʻemaʻe, ʻo ka Canadian Dollar ka mea hana ʻino loa ma waena o nā kālā nui. USD / CAD hiki i ka pae kiʻekiʻe loa mai Malaki o 1.3784. ʻOiai nā lanakila haʻahaʻa, Gold aia ma lalo o ke kaomi ma $1,820. kala lilo kekahi kumu a hoʻohui i nā poho i hala iho nei ma $21.00, e noho ana ma ka palena hou.
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