Hoʻopuka nā UK a me USA i kā lākou hopena GDP Q4 hope loa ma ka Pōʻalima, e nānā pono ʻia lāua ʻelua, no nā kumu like ʻole
Ua paʻi nā keʻena helu helu ʻo UK a me USA i nā helu GDP hapaha hope loa no 2017, ma ka Pōʻalima Ianuali 26th. E nānā pono ʻia nā heluhelu ʻelua no nā hōʻailona o ka nāwaliwali waiwai, a i ʻole ka hoʻomau ʻana o ka ikaika, i ka hopena o ka makahiki. E nānā pono ʻia ka heluhelu ʻana o UK no nā ʻōuli hou aʻe e pili ʻole ana ka Brexit e hiki mai ana i ka hoʻokele waiwai, ʻoiai e nānā ʻia ka heluhelu ʻana o USA no nā hōʻailona e hōʻemi ʻia kahi kālā nāwaliwali, ma loko o ka makahiki 2017, i kūleʻa ʻole i ka ulu mau o ka ʻāina, i hoʻopaʻa ʻia ma luna. nā makahiki i hala iho nei.
Ma 9:30 am GMT (Lādana manawa) ma ka Pōʻalima 26 Ianuali ka UK ONS (kūhelu helu aupuni kūhelu) e hoʻolaha i ka hapaha hope a me ka makahiki i ka makahiki GDP helu no ka UK ʻO ka wānana no ka heluhelu ʻana o 0.4% no ka Q4 hope loa o 2017, ka hopena i hoʻokahi makahiki ma ka makahiki GDP wanana no ka ulu ʻana o 1.4%.
E nānā pono nā mea hoʻopukapuka a me nā mea hoʻopukapuka i kēia mau heluhelu ʻelua, ʻo ia hoʻi e pili ana i ka pilikia Brexit e hiki mai ana, e like me ka nui o nā loea a me nā mea haʻi ʻōlelo mākeke i manaʻo (a wānana ʻia nō hoʻi) i ke koho balota referendum e puka i waho o ka EU Eia nō naʻe, no ka mea he nui nā ʻeha e kuhikuhi; ʻaʻole i haʻalele ʻo UK, no laila hiki i kahi hopena hoʻokele Brexit ke hoʻokolokolo hoʻokahi wale nō (a inā) komo ke UK i kahi manawa hoʻololi a ke pau ia i ka puka.
Ua hele mai ka heluhelu Q3 GDP ma 0.4%, inā hele mai ka helu Q4 ma ke ʻano wānana ʻia ma 0.4% a laila e hele mai ka helu ulu 2017 ma 1.4%, kahi hāʻule YoY o 0.3%, mai ka 1.7% i hoʻopaʻa ʻia ma mua. ʻOiai e hōʻike ana kēia i ka hāʻule o ka ulu GDP, manaʻo nā mea ʻekekema he nui i kēia hopena e like me ka ʻae ʻia, hāʻawi ʻia i nā wānana mua o ka haʻalele. Eia naʻe, inā hiki mai ka heluhelu ma 0.5% no Q4, like me ka wānana i hana ʻia e ka NIESR, kahi kino kūʻokoʻa kūʻokoʻa, a laila mālama ʻia kahi helu GDP o 1.7%. Ua hauʻoli ʻo Sterling i kahi hālāwai kūʻē me kāna mau hoa nui i ka makahiki 2018, ʻoi aku ma kahi o 2% ma mua o nā hoa he nui a piʻi i kahi 5.5% me ka US kālā. Inā kūleʻa ka heluhelu GDP i ka wānana, a laila ʻike paha ka sterling i ka hoʻonui i ka nānā a me ka hopena ʻoi aku ka nui o ka hana.
Ma ka 13:30 pm, GMT (Lādana manawa) e hoʻopuka ʻia ka helu GDP hou loa no ka hoʻokele waiwai USA e ka Bureau of Economic Analysis; ka heluhelu makahiki (QoQ) (4Q A) e heluhelu ana. ʻO ka wānana no kahi heluhelu o 3%, kahi hāʻule mai ka 3.2% heluhelu makahiki i hoʻopaʻa inoa ʻia no ka hapahā i hala. ʻO ka helu ulu YoY i kēia manawa ʻo 2.30%.
ʻOiai ʻo ka papahana hoʻoliʻiliʻi auhau nui i hōʻike ʻia e hoʻomaka ana i ka ikaika a me ke kānāwai i Kēkēmapa 2017, ʻaʻole paha i hoʻokō ʻia kēia hoʻokūkū kālā i ka hana GDP ma USA i ka manawa o 2017. ʻAʻohe hōʻike e hōʻike ana i kahi kālā US haʻahaʻa i loaʻa ka hopena i makemake ʻia; e hoʻonāukiuki i ka boom i nā ʻenehana hana a me ka hoʻolilo. ʻO ke koena o ke kalepa a me nā uku i hoʻopaʻa ʻia i nā deficit i hoʻonui ʻia, i kēlā me kēia makahiki.
ʻO kēlā me kēia heluhelu ʻana ma luna, a i ʻole kokoke 3% no ke alakaʻi ʻana i ka Hemisphere economies, ua manaʻo ʻia he maikaʻi, no laila inā i hoʻopaʻa ʻia ka hoʻoliʻiliʻi makahiki o ka ulu GDP, mai 3.2% a i 3%, a laila e ʻike nā loiloi, nā mea kālepa a me nā mea hoʻopukapuka i kēia mea ʻae ʻia. e pili ana i ka waiwai o USD.
NĀ KĀNĀWAI KĀNĀWAI NO UK
• GDP YoY 1.7%.
• Ka uku paneʻe 0.50%.
• Ka piʻiʻana o ka piʻi 3%.
• Ka helu o nā hana ma 4.3%.
• Ulu ulu 2.5%.
• ʻaiʻē v GDP 89.3%
• PMI hui pū 54.9.
NĀ KUMU MAKAHI MAKAHIKI NO KA USA
• GDP QoQ makahiki 3.2%.
• Ka uku paneʻe 1.50%.
• Ka piʻiʻana o ka piʻi 2.10%.
• Ka helu o nā hana ma 4.1%.
• ʻaiʻē v GDP 106%.
• PMI hui pū 53.8.
« Ua hāʻule ka US dollar e like me ka USA Treasury Secretary i ʻōlelo ai ua kiʻekiʻe loa ke kālā, ua kuʻi ʻia hoʻi nā mākeke kaulike o US, no nā ʻōlelo a Stephen Mnuchin. Piʻi ʻo Euro i ka wā e haʻi aku ai ʻo Mario Draghi i kahi haʻi ʻōlelo hawkish, hoʻi hou ke kālā i ka hōʻole ʻana o Trump i kāna pahuhopu e hoʻonāwaliwali i ke kālā, hāʻule ke gula ma hope o ka nui o nā loaʻa nui. »
