Hoʻohui ka EUR / GBP i kekahi mea ʻalani
Ma ka Pōʻalua, ua heʻe ka EUR / GBP i luna a i lalo i kahi kālepa kālepa ʻaoʻao ākea i ka pae o ke keiki nui 0.82. Paʻa ka pāpālua ma waena o ka mamao o ke kī ʻo 0.8222 / 10 kākoʻo akā ʻaʻole i kū kahi hōʻike maoli. ʻ saidlelo ia, he mea nui ia no ka EUR / GBP ʻaʻole i hoʻopaʻa i nā loaʻa i ka hālāwai hoʻoweliweli i nehinei. ʻO Intraday, ua paʻa ka pālua ma kahi kokoke i nā wahi kiʻekiʻe o ka Pōʻakahi ma ʻAsia, akā ua hele ʻia ma lalo o ke kaomi haʻahaʻa mai ka hoʻomaka o ke kālepa ʻana i ʻEulopa.
Ua hōʻike ʻia ka UK Malaki CPI ma kahi 3.5% (mai 3.4% a me vs. consensus o 3.4%). ʻAʻole mākou e manaʻo e lilo kēia hoʻololi i kumu nui i ka helu BoE. Eia naʻe, ua loaʻa iā GBP kekahi mau kikika i ka hoʻokuʻu ʻia ʻana. Ua hoʻāʻo ka euro e loaʻa hou kahi ʻāina ma hope o ke kūʻai ʻana o ka T-bill Sepania a me ke ana ʻana o ka Kelemania ZEW akā ua aneane paʻa ka neʻe ʻana Noho ʻo EUR / GBP ma ka 0.8230 / 55 wahi no ke koena o ke kau a pani ʻia ke kau ma 0.8243, mai 0.8265 i ke ahiahi Pōʻakahi.
ʻĀwīwī loa ka papa helu eco ma ʻEulopa a ma ka US. Hoihoi ka kalena ma UK. E paʻi ʻia ka ʻikepili mākeke hana UK. ʻO ka maʻamau, ʻaʻohe mover mākeke kēia hōʻike ke ʻole he ʻokoʻa ākea mai ka ʻae like ʻana. Ma ka manawa like, e paʻi ʻia nā Minuke o ka hālāwai BoE ma mua. ʻO kēia hōʻike i ka neʻe ʻana o ka mākeke. Ma ka hālāwai Mei e loaʻa i ka MPC kahi hōʻike hoʻonui hou a e pau ka tranche o nā kūʻai Asset.
No laila, makemake nui nā mākeke e kiʻi i nā kuhi no ka hoʻoholo Mei. Manaʻo mākou he like ke ʻano o ke koho balota ma ʻApelila e like me ka hālāwai o Malaki (2 poʻe kūʻē e makemake i nā kūʻai waiwai hou aku).
Manaʻo pū mākou ʻaʻole e loli ʻo MPC i kāna loiloi i ka hoʻokele waiwai a me ka hoʻonui kālā. Inā huli ka 'panakō i kahi' hopohopo 'hou i ka hoʻonui kālā (e emi mālie ana ke kumukūʻai i ka hoʻohālikelike ʻia i ke ala i manaʻo ʻia), e manaʻo ʻia kēia e hoʻoliʻiliʻi nei i ka hihia no ka nui o QE.
E hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo: manaʻo mākou e ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi o nā minuke no ka sterling akā ʻike mākou i kahi pilikia ma waho no kahi hopena maikaʻi maikaʻi.
I ka wā hope loa, ua paʻa mākou i ke kumumanaʻo e pono ai kahi hanana kūlana kiʻekiʻe e hoʻomaʻemaʻe i ke kākoʻo koʻikoʻi. ʻOiai ʻaʻole e hōʻike ʻia kēia hanana, e noho paha ʻo EUR / GBP i ka pae i kēia manawa kokoke i nā haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa. Eia hou, ma lalo o ke kākoʻo o 0.8222 / 10, ke piʻi aʻe nei kekahi mau pae kākoʻo ʻē aʻe (0.8143, ʻAukake 2010 haʻahaʻa; 0.8068, Iune 2010 haʻahaʻa).
No laila, ʻo ka haki, inā he mea paha, e hoʻonui mālie ʻia paha i ka mea he hihia no EUR / USD. No laila, hiki ke hoʻolōʻihi i ka manawa no EUR / GBP e haki maopopo ma lalo o kēia pae kiʻekiʻe. Eia nō naʻe, ke hāʻawi nei i ka manaʻo maikaʻi ʻole i ke kālā hoʻokahi, ʻaʻole mākou e loaʻa kālā ma ka EUR / GBP pōkole i kēia manawa.
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